News

February 2003 News

Ankara delays parliamentary vote on deal over US troops By Leyla Boulton The Financial Timest February 28, 2003 -- "It's the whole division minus the people," said Patrick Garrett, a military analyst with GlobalSecurity.org.
Heat Damage Found on Shuttle Wing Section May Be Key Clue By Scott Gold and Ralph Vartabedian The Los Angeles Times February 28, 2003 -- "It looks like a strike," said John Pike, a space expert at GlobalSecurity.org, a Washington research group that focuses on security and aerospace technology issues.
NASA Pressed on When Officials Learned of E-Mail About Shuttle By Kenneth Chang and Richard A. Oppel Jr. The New York Times February 28, 2003 -- If that analysis was overly optimistic, and the impact had exposed the underlying aluminum, "an entirely coherent explanation of what went wrong" emerges, said John Pike, a space industry analyst and director of GlobalSecurity.org. "The pieces pretty much fit together," he said.
COLUMBIA DISASTER SHUTTLE INVESTIGATION WORLD NEWS TONIGHT WITH PETER JENNINGS (06:30 PM ET) - ABC February 28, 2003 -- JOHN PIKE, DIRECTOR, GLOBALSECURITY.ORG: I think it's going to be very important to understand why it was the air force started to photograph the shuttle and was then overruled.
Psychological warfare in US weaponry ABC Radio - The World Today February 28, 2003 -- Patrick Garrett is a defence analyst with the Washington-based think tank, Global Security.org. (...) PATRICK GARRETT: It looks as if Secretary of Defence, Donald Rumsfeld, as well as other elements within the Administration have been trying to make the case that the Iraqi military leadership should rebel in the opening hours of the war or should quite frankly just get rid of Saddam Hussein now and that the war would be over, you know, fairly soon.
REGIMENT REFLECTS, GETS READY FOR MISSION By John C. Ensslin Rocky Mountain News (Denver, CO) February 28, 2003 -- Source: www.globalsecurity.org/military/agency/army/3acr.htm
An Iraqi Division Moves South By Greg Miller The Los Angeles Times February 28, 2003 -- "I think Iraq may be attempting to start the ground war ahead of America's planned schedule," said John Pike, director of GlobalSecurity.org, "engaging in troop movements that might provoke the United States into converting parts of the 'no-fly' zones into 'no-drive' zones."
Steep price tag expected for victory in N. Korea War would be 'military's nightmare,' expert says By Paul Wiseman USA Today February 28, 2003 -- The defenders would need to withstand a North Korean assault for up to 15 days and then hold the line for two or three weeks more while U.S. and South Korean forces mobilized for a counterattack, according to GlobalSecurity.org, a research group devoted to defense issues.
U.S. arms experts: Japan at risk from N. Korean missiles By Yutaka Ishiguro The Yomiuri Shimbun February 28, 2003 -- John Pike, director of GlobalSecurity. org, a nonprofit nonpartisan organization founded in December 2000, said it was almost certain that North Korea has the capability to strike Japan with a first-generation nuclear weapon using its Rodong missile.
Troops depart Kentucky for Mideast as war looms By Chris Kenning The Courier-Journal February 28, 2003 -- ''This is one of those 'really, no kidding' deployments people have been waiting for,'' Patrick Garrett, an associate analyst with Alexandria, Va.-based GlobalSecurity.org, said of the 101st Airborne's departure.
Strides in technology magnify info war potential By Anick Jesdanun The Associated Press February 27, 2003 -- "These soldiers are still getting haircuts and shopping, and local merchants are going to report massive drop-offs in sales due to troops deploying," said John Pike, director of GlobalSecurity.org, a research organization.
US lowers terror alert but warns attack risk remains By Patrick Anidjar Agence France Presse February 27, 2003 -- Tim Brown, an anti-terrorism specialist at the Globalsecurity.org consultancy, said the authorities probably realised now that the heightened alert was a mistake. "They wanted to be covered so that in case of an attack they could tell the population: 'We told you so'."
New Questions on Shuttle Tile Safety Raised By Ralph Vartabedian and Scott Gold The Los Angeles Times February 27, 2003 -- The e-mails show that debate was restricted to a small technical community within NASA, mainly landing-gear experts, but that it failed to gain wide recognition at higher levels, said John Pike, a space expert at GlobalSecurity.Org. "Why is this whole debate going on among a bunch of wheel guys?" Pike asked in an interview Wednesday. "I don't see that it ever reached the top level administrators."
NASA engineers saw signs of 'really bad news' By Alan Levin USA Today February 27, 2003 -- "It really looks like there was somebody that grasped the possibility of some really bad news," said John Pike, a space policy analyst with GlobalSecurity.org. Pike, a frequent critic of NASA, said the e-mails indicate that the space agency has not been forthright since the accident.
Iraqi propaganda targets citizens, world ABC Radio - The World Today February 27, 2003 -- PATRICK GARRETT: Well, it's extremely difficult for one on the outside to be able to do some polling within Iraq to see exactly how they feel about Saddam Hussein's regime and the information that they're getting from him.
Outfitting the Army of One By Monty Phan and Lou Dolinar Newsday February 27, 2003 -- Tim Brown, a senior analyst at GlobalSecurity.org, an Alexandria, Va.-based strategic think tank, said Iridium has some advantages over the military's system: It's cheap, easy to use and makes it fairly simple to set up quick-and-dirty communications networks.
N. Korea restarts nuclear reactor By John Donnelly The Boston Globe February 27, 2003 -- ''They are getting close to the top of the escalation ladder. There's not much more they can do without provoking a US military strike,'' said John Pike, director of GlobalSecurity.org, an online think tank on security issues. The group's website contains several aerial photos of the Yongbyon nuclear complex north of Pyongyang, including two apparent test runs in January of firing up a nearby coal-fired plant.
Australia geographically important for US missile shield plans ABC Radio - The World Today February 27, 2003 -- Globalsecurity.org is one of America's leading think tanks on missile defence. Associate, Patrick Garrett, is also sceptical. PATRICK GARRETT: Quite frankly, they've been working on this system longer than I've been alive and they can't get it to work yet. At some point somebody needs to make the decision that maybe we need to rethink this. And maybe not pursue this as America's, you know, primary national defence policy.
Weapons Go From Smart to Brilliant By Paul Eng ABCNews.com February 26, 2003 -- The key to a delivering a quick knockout blow will be U.S. predominance in information technology, explains John Pike, an analyst with military think-tank GlobalSecurity.org in Alexandria, Va.
A Longer Timetable For War By Paul Rogers AlterNet.org February 26, 2003 -- By Feb. 14, there were about 106,000 U.S. forces in the Central Command area that covers the Gulf, with perhaps 10,000 more in Turkey (see http://www.globalsecurity.org/ for the most recent information).
THE TARGET; SADDAM HUSSEIN'S LIFE Rocky Mountain News (Denver, CO) February 26, 2003 -- Sources: Periscope 'Military Balance' International Institute for Strategic Studies; David Mack, Middle East Institute ; U.S. State Dept.; Congressional Research Service; CIA; Cox News Service; Associated Press; Federation of American Scientists; GlobalSecurity.org; New York Times News Service; United Nations
Retooled Patriot may get a new shot By Richard Whittle The Dallas Morning News February 26, 2003 -- SOURCES: Lockheed Martin; Raytheon; GlobalSecurity.org; Dallas Morning News research
Small satellites put company in orbit: Surprise demand rescues MicroSat By Jennifer Beauprez The Denver Post February 26, 2003 -- For years, the aerospace industry has sought to make spacecraft smaller and lighter to reduce the costs of sending them into space, said John Pike, an aerospace analyst with GlobalSecurity.org
NH man killed in crash of Black Hawk in Kuwait The Union Leader February 26, 2003 -- According to the Web site globalsecurity.org, the regiment is the largest aviation battalion in the U.S. Army and its mission includes transportation of people and equipment.
IRAK VS volgen vermoedelijk 'binnenste-buiten' tactiek ( Door Bengt van Zwol ) By Van Zwol Algemeen Nederlands Persbureau ANP February 26, 2003 -- Experts van het International Institute for Strategic Studies en van Globalsecurity.org vergelijken het 'binnenste-buiten' scenario dan ook met een ,,gespierde staatsgreep''.
Ungebremster Aufmarsch der Amerikaner in der Golfregion By Lezzi B. Neue Zuercher Zeitung February 25, 2003 -- www.globalsecurity.org
I missili iracheni «al Samoud» puntati contro le truppe Usa La Stampa February 25, 2003 -- «Ritengo che gli al Samoud siano cruciali nella strategia di Saddam Hussein» - ha spiegato John Pike, analista militare del «think tank» Globalsecurity.org.
US troops in range of Iraq's missiles: Allied jets intensify strikes on batteries By Robert Schlesinger and Bryan Bender The Boston Globe February 26, 2003 -- ''That would suggest that [Hussein] figures the balloon is going to be going up pretty soon,'' said John Pike of GlobalSecurity.org, a Virginia-based defense think tank. ''He may not have anticipated the relative ease with which the US would be able to target them, but that sounds like he's getting ready to go.''
Bush urges U.N. vote for action By Stewart M. Powell The Times Union (Albany, NY) February 25, 2003 -- "I think the Al-Samoud is one of the keys to his (Saddam's) strategy," said John Pike, an analyst at Globalsecurity.org. "As soon as the Iraqis decide that the U.S. 5th Corps is heading toward Baghdad, the bulk of the Al-Samouds are going to come flying out of Basra into Kuwait, tipped with an assortment of nasties."
Banned Missile Might Well Be Used in a War By Greg Miller The Los Angeles Times February 25, 2003 -- "I think the Al-Samoud is one of the keys to his strategy," said John Pike, an analyst at GlobalSecurity.org. "As soon as the Iraqis decide that the U.S. 5th Corps is heading toward Baghdad, the bulk of the Al-Samouds are going to come flying out of Basra into Kuwait, tipped with an assortment of nasties."
NASA's Handling of Warnings Troubles Congress By Eric Pianin The Washington Post February 25, 2003 -- "The documents are entirely consistent with [the notion] that they didn't want to know about the problem because there was nothing that could be done," said Pike, who is director of the nonprofit group GlobalSecurity.org.
Kim's War Machine; With obsolete tanks, scarce ammo and scant fuel, the Dear Leader's army desperately needs nukes By Donald Macintyre Time International February 24, 2003 -- Sources: The Military Balance 2002/2003; Globalsecurity.org; Center for Defense Information, Jane's Sentinel Security Assessment
Shuttle Probe Chief Not Seeking Scapegoat By Sonja Barisic Associated Press February 24, 2003 -- "The credibility of the findings with the public will ultimately rest on the credibility of the panel members," said Pike, director of GlobalSecurity.org, a nonprofit military intelligence and space research think tank in Alexandria. "In the real world, the public is more likely to trust household names than a bunch of resumes that they've never heard of before."
NASA must do more with less: Funding, safety concerns at issue By John McCarthy Florida Today February 24, 2003 -- "(Safety) could not have helped but to be compromised," said space expert Charles Vick, senior fellow at Globalsecurity.org.
If war breaks out, the Web has unique perspective By Yogi Schulz Calgary Herald February 24, 2003 -- The GlobalSecurity Web site provides updates on the military situation at various global-conflict regions. Recently, the site displayed satellite surveillance photos of North Korean nuclear facilities and provided a summary assessment of Iraq's military capability with a large collection of maps.
Military planners draw from 1991 war By Dale Eisman The Virginian-Pilot February 24, 2003 -- ``Whatever problems we have are going to be magnified on the other side,'' said Piers Wood, a retired Army lieutenant colonel and senior fellow at GlobalSecurity.org, a Washington-based think tank.
US plans total war against Kim By Ian Mather Scotland on Sunday February 23, 2003 -- John Pike, executive director of GlobalSecurity.org, a group that tracks military developments, said: "The problem is that you just don't know what fraction of North Korea's capabilities would be destroyed in those attacks. "
Richard Perle, conseiller du Pentagone, toujours irrite par Paris; Nouvelle charge antifrancaise By Jacques Duplouich Le Figaro February 24, 2003 -- ' Personne ne semble bien comprendre que cette strategie ne s'arretera pas au renversement de Saddam Hussein ', remarque John Pike, un expert americain pour les questions de defense. ' L'Irak n'est pas la fin du livre. C'est le debut du chapitre ', assure-t-il.
Why Iraq is so scary By Eric Boehlert Edmonton Journal February 23, 2003 -- "He's going to use every last drop he's got because he can't take them with him," says John Pike, director of GlobalSecurity.org, a non-profit defence policy group based in Alexandria, Va. "Saddam wants his own chapter in the history books."
Witness to the Weapons; Ex-Iraqi officer upholds claims of chemical weapons By Matthew McAllester Newsday (New York, NY) February 23, 2003 -- SOURCES: www.globalsecurity.org, www.cia.gov, staff reporting
US mulls how Iraq may use chemical-biological arms By Will Dunham Reuters February 23, 2003 -- John Pike, director of the GlobalSecurity.org think tank, said Iraq likely has a stockpile of hundreds of tons of chemical and biological agents. To put that in perspective, North Korea is widely estimated to have a stockpile of thousands of tons, and the United States had 31,000 tons and the Soviets declared 40,000 tons at their respective peaks.
Moonless key to date of invasion By Tom Infield, Drew Brown Sunday Mail (QLD) February 23, 2003 -- "The soonest they can start is just in time for the new moon," said Patrick Garrett of the GlobalSecurity.org website.
Une armada pour une strategie flexible By Jean-Dominique Merchet Liberation February 22, 2003 -- Connaitre la realite des 'moyens' militaires reellement engages dans la region n'est pas simple. 'Il n'est plus possible de fournir un etat des lieux tres precis, compte tenu de la diminution des informations publiques disponibles', constate Globalsecurity (1), l'observatoire militaire independant le plus pointu. Selon ses estimations, il y aurait environ 126 000 militaires americains presents dans la region.
Des armes de haute technologie Dernières Nouvelles d'Alsace February 22, 2003 -- « Les bombardements devraient être guidés par satellite plus que par laser », car ces derniers sont sensibles aux nuages et mauvais temps, note John Pike, directeur du centre de recherches Globalsecurity.org.
U.S. presence in Saudi Arabia a sensitive issue for Muslims By Rick Montgomery The Kansas City Star February 22, 2003 -- Patrick Garrett, associate analyst for GlobalSecurity.org, said conventional thinking at the Pentagon seemed to be, "Why settle for a fixed number of bases in the Middle East when you can have more?"
We are ready to fight, says Rumsfeld By Julian Borger in Washington and Richard Norton-Taylor The Guardian February 22, 2003 -- "Rumsfeld is absolutely right, and for that matter we could have waged the war back in October if necessary. But if you want to fight the war on Tommy Franks' plan then there is a lot more that has to happen," said Patrick Garrett, an analyst at the defence thinktank, GlobalSecurity.org.
Special report: How the war against Iraq could unfold By Dave Moniz USA TODAY February 21, 2003 -- Sources: Army Times Publishing Co.; Anthony Cordesman, Center of Strategic and International Studies; Gannett News Service; Globalsecurity.org (MAP); GRAPHIC, Color, Dave Merrill, USA TODAY, Sources: Nathaniel Levine, Army Times Publishing Co.; U.S. Defense Department; Globalsecurity.org (MAP);
U.S. could start war anytime, even though not all troops in place By Tom Infield and Drew Brown Knight Ridder Newspapers February 21, 2003 -- "Our analysis is, the soonest they can start is in 10 days, just in time for the new moon," said Patrick Garrett of GlobalSecurity.org.
A well-tested eye in the sky By Jon Bonné MSNBC.com February 21, 2003 -- "While it's a very significant platform, it's not like we're going to have to give up the farm," says Patrick Garrett, an associate researcher for Globalsecurity.org. "People know what the U-2 intelligence looks like."
Loss of Turkish bases could prolong war, experts say By Jessica Guynn Knight Ridder Newspapers February 20, 2003 -- "They (the United States) have gotten more rather than less worried . . . about keeping the Kurds down and the Turks out," said John Pike, a military analyst with GlobalSecurity.org. "But basically all you need is a few brigades of American troops to have a visible show of force."
Long wait may dampen morale By Robert Schlesinger The Boston Globe February 20, 2003 -- Piers Wood, a retired Army lieutenant colonel and a senior fellow at GlobalSecurity.org, recalled that during the Gulf War, US soldiers ''got their edge by training 24-7 once they got there.''
Gearing up for bio-battle: Protective suits might be put to test in Iraq By David McLemore Dallas Morning News February 20, 2003 -- As the existing supply of older-version protective suits becomes obsolete by 2007, there is a looming shortage of biochemical suits, according to GlobalSecurity.org, in part because the supply of new suits, boots and masks is not entering the inventory as quickly as planned.
USA - TROOPS IN HAWAII COULD REINFORCE FORCES ON KOREAN PENINSULA Periscope Daily Defense News Capsules February 19, 2003 -- "The forces that are in Hawaii are force-packaged for the Korean Peninsula," said Patrick Garrett, an analyst for Globalsecurity.org. "I think they don't really have the type of training you need for fighting in a desert environment."
Fighter jet's critical component sits in cockpit By Steven Komarow USA TODAY February 19, 2003 -- Sources: U.S. Air Force, Federation of American Scientists Military Analysis Network, globalsecurity.org and Lockheed Martin (ILLUSTRATION)
WAR WITH IRAQ: A VIEW AT THE POSSIBLE FIRST WAVE OF ATTACK WORLD NEWS NOW - ABC February 19, 2003 -- JOHN PIKE, DIRECTOR GLOBALSECURITY.ORG: Meaning that you could blackout any command post hidden in a large palace complex without having to completely pulverize the entire palace with thousands of bombs.
Global Security dans la crise irakienne Temps Réels publié le 2003-02-19 - GlobalSecurity est devenu un site tres populaire, avec plus de 100 000 visites par mois, et notamment sa rubrique " public eye ", composée d'images satellites, souvent accompagnées de photographies aeriennes et de cartes militaires.
NASA views space plane as helpmate to shuttles By Gwyneth K. Shaw The Orlando Sentinel February 19, 2003 -- Space policy expert John Pike said he's not sure why NASA can't build the space plane more quickly, considering that it will be based on technology the agency has been working on for more than a decade.
US plans for mini-nuke arsenal revealed By Will Knight NewScientist.com news service February 19, 2003 -- Patrick Garrett, an analyst with the military think-tank GlobalSecurity.org, says the document is alarming. "It's like looking at the cold war all over again," he told New Scientist.
Members of Iran's 'Terror-Sponsoring' Brigade among 300 Dead in Airline Crash By Patrick Goodenough Crosswalk.com News Channel February 19, 2003 -- According to Globalsecurity.org, the IRGC is also believed to be in charge of Iran's weapons of mass destruction programs and missile forces.
Im Land der Zwerge Von Verena Mayer Frankfurter Rundschau February 19, 2003 -- Doch wo das Offensichtliche zu wenig Beweiskraft hat, ist Verlass auf die Spekulation: Auf der amerikanischen Internet-Seite "Globalsecurity.org" ist die Al-Zahraa unter "Irakische Kriegsschiffe" aufgelistet, in der Rubrik "Support und Miscellanous", in der sich auch zwei Präsidenten-Yachten finden. Daneben zählt eine Uhr mit Digitalanzeige herunter, wie lange es noch bis zum Angriff der Amerikaner auf Irak dauern könnte.
Analisti militari a Bush: "Ecco perché va evitata la guerra" di Melissa Bertolotti Il Nuovo February 19, 2003 -- John Pike, analista militare a Washington e ideatore di GlobalSecurity.org, è stato chiaro: "non è per nulla facile per gli strateghi del Pentagono elaborare un piano attuabile che non provochi l'uso delle armi chimiche o biologiche contro Israele".
Bush undeterred by global protests Hi Pakistan February 19, 2003 -- The weapon's massive power surge is supposed to travel through antennas or power cords to wreck any unshielded electronic appliance within a few hundred meters (yards), according to studies cited by GlobalSecurity.org, a research organization.
U.S. drops millions of leaflets warning Iraqis not to oppose American troops By Peter Smolowitz Knight Ridder Newspapers February 18, 2003 -- "It's an art that is similar in a number of ways to advertising but with much higher stakes," said Francois Boo of GlobalSecurity.org, a military think tank.
NASA wants safer, simpler space plane By Irene Brown UPI Science News February 18, 2003 -- "A fully reusable singe-stage-to-orbit shuttle only makes sense if you're flying its several times a week," said John Pike, a space program analyst with GlobalSecurity.org. "The largely reusable shuttle makes sense if you're flying it several times a month, but if you're flying just several times a year, you basically want to throw away the booster and just reuse the expensive electronics and life support systems."
A CLOSER LOOK IRAQ ATTACK WORLD NEWS TONIGHT WITH PETER JENNINGS (06:30 PM ET) - ABC February 18, 2003 -- JOHN PIKE, DIRECTOR, GLOBALSECURITY.ORG: Meaning that you can black out any command post hidden in a large palace complex without having to completely pulverize the entire palace with thousands of bombs.
Extinguishing the Threat: U.S. special weapons may target Iraqi chemical and biological threats By Frank Vizard Scientific American February 18, 2003 -- Pike, meanwhile, credits Israeli intelligence services as the source of those rumors, calling it a disinformation campaign whose purpose is to put Syria next on the American hit list. "I have difficulty understanding how Israeli intelligence would have come into possession of such information," Pike states.
Silence over baby stymies crisis master By Laura Coleman Noeth GoMemphis.com February 18, 2003 -- Incirlik Air Base is owned by the Turkish government but used by the U.S. Air Force as a major installation. According to GlobalSecurity.org, a Washington-area defense think tank, one of the base's primary missions is enforcing the no-fly zone over northern Iraq. "I don't think it's very likely that Iraq would attack the base," said Tim Brown, senior analyst with GlobalSecurity. "It's out of their range."
Defense analysts: Hawaii troops likely to stay in state The Associated Press February 18, 2003 -- "I don't see them being involved in the follow-on force or for the post-Saddam government," said Patrick Garrett, an analyst with GlobalSecurity.org, which monitors military programs. "I think they're much more useful where they're at - which is waiting for a war on the Korean Peninsula to occur."
IRAK 'Fouten van Afghanistan moeten worden voorkomen' By Van Zwol Algemeen Nederlands Persbureau ANP February 17, 2003 -- ,,De indicaties zijn dat Franks' plannen voor oorlog helemaal niet lijken op hetgeen waar de minister van Defensie naar zocht, het lijkt bijna op Desert Storm II'', aldus een analist van Globalsecurity.org, een militaire denktank.
Report: Hawaii troops may be Korea reserve United Press International February 17, 2003 -- I don't see them being involved in the follow-on force or for the post-Saddam government," Patrick Garrett, an analyst with GlobalSecurity.org, told the Advertiser. "I think they're much more useful where there are, which is waiting for a war on the Korean Peninsula to occur."
Spy planes "significant" boost to weapons inspections By Damian Carrington New Scientist February 17, 2003 -- For Patrick Garrett, analyst at the military think tank GlobalSecurity.org, the most dramatic change that the inspectors' new eyes in the sky will bring is far clearer vision - perhaps six times sharper. That could make the difference between simply spotting a truck and identifying what it is being used for.
NASA to Unveil New Space Transport Plans By Irene Brown Discovery News February 17, 2003 -- "A fully reusable singe-stage-to-orbit shuttle only makes sense if you're flying its several times a week," said John Pike, a space program analyst with GlobalSecurity.org. "The largely reusable shuttle makes sense if you're flying it several times a month, but if you're flying just several times a year, you basically want to throw away the booster and just reuse the expensive electronics and life support systems."
Hawaii Troops Likely To Stay In State The Associated Press February 17, 2003 -- GlobalSecurity.org analyst Patrick Garrett says Hawaii troops are much more useful staying in state because of the threat of conflict with North Korea.
Jeffco firm gears up for space plane: Lockheed, others await NASA's plan Tuesday By Jennifer Beauprez Denver Post February 17, 2003 -- NASA needs to reduce the weight of the spacecraft to cut costs, said John Pike, an aerospace and defense analyst with GlobalSecurity.org in Alexandria, Va. Right now, it costs $10,000 to put one pound of cargo into orbit. Ultimately, NASA wants to reduce that cost to $100 per pound.
N. Korea threat likely to keep Hawai'i troops here By William Cole The Honolulu Advertiser February 17, 2003 -- "I don't see them being involved in the follow-on force or for the post-Saddam government," said Patrick Garrett, an analyst with GlobalSecurity.org, which monitors military programs. "I think they're much more useful where they're at - which is waiting for a war on the Korean Peninsula to occur."
Coming Soon to Baghdad - The Preview of the E-Bomb By Phil Brennan NewsMax.com February 17, 2003 -- Wrote Krane, "The weapon's massive power surge is supposed to travel through antennas or power cords to wreck any unshielded electronic appliance - civilian or military - within a few hundred yards, according to studies cited by GlobalSecurity.org, a research organization.
Fort Campbell soldiers packing up, moving out By Leon Alligod The Tennessean February 16, 2003 -- One or both of the loaded ships were scheduled to sail as early as yesterday, headed for a location somewhere in the Persian Gulf, according to the Web site GlobalSecurity.org, which catalogs military movements on a daily basis.
Saddam Hussein's inner circle St. Petersburg Times February 16, 2003 -- SOURCES: Associated Press; GlobalSecurity.org; Washington Post; USA Today; the Guardian; BBC News Online
This time, US readies a lightning strike in Gulf By Bryan Bender Boston Globe February 16, 2003 -- The goal is ''to make it impossible for military leaders to operate in a wartime environment,'' said Patrick Garrett of GlobalSecurity.org in Alexandria, Va.
From guns to submarines, military using hardware made in Connecticut The Associated Press February 16, 2003 -- "The military shoot, move and communicate on weapon systems manufactured in Connecticut," Piers Wood, a visiting senior fellow at GlobalSecurity.org in Alexandria, Va., a nonprofit think tank, told the Connecticut Post.
A High-Tech Show of Force; U.S. weapons aimed to 'awe' By Craig Gordon Newsday (New York, NY) February 16, 2003 -- "We're just going to level the headquarters anyway, just in case, so it's not going to be nonlethal for long," said retired Army Lt. Col. Piers Wood, a defense analyst with globalsecurity.org, which tracks weapons systems. "The elimination of the headquarters would be too important to the outcome and the success of the operation that you aren't going to have everything rest on the success of this [microwave] weapon, which may or may not work."
Shaky foothold in space: It's lonely up there By Andrew C. Revkin Edmonton Journal February 16, 2003 -- This leads to the troubling calculus about keeping the station in space, said John Pike, a space technology expert and director of globalsecurity.org, a Washington research group. "Everybody's going to be looking closely at the inventory of Progresses and Soyuz boosters to put them up, and running that against the need to reboost the station," Pike said.
Iraq focus Sacramento Bee February 16, 2003 -- Iraq military resources: (GlobalSecurity.org) globalsecurity.org/military/world/iraq/index.html
Loss to the Shuttle: Future Flights; Agonizing Decision Awaits if Root Cause of Disaster Remains Elusive By John Noble Wilford The New York Times February 15, 2003 -- "The initiating event is the thing you have to fix," said John E. Pike, director of GlobalSecurity.org, a military and space consulting firm in Washington. "If NASA cannot identify that event, they are going to have to fly the shuttle with no idea of how safe it is, or else we cannot fly at all with that level of uncertainty."
New controversy surfaces in Space Shuttle Columbia disaster CTV NEWS February 15, 2003 -- JOHN PIKE [Space Industry Consultant]: The airforce and the intelligence community have several types of satellites orbiting the earth that are designed to pick up heat. Some of them can detect very hot objects reentering the earth's atmosphere and that might provide some clue as to the reentry of Columbia.
NASA And US Military Clash Over Columbia Investigation; Military Does Not Want To Give Out Classified Information WORLD NEWS TONIGHT SATURDAY - ABC February 15, 2003 -- JOHN PIKE, ABC NEWS CONSULTANT: The Air Force and the intelligence community have several types of satellites, orbiting the earth, that are designed to pick up heat given off by missiles being launched. Some of them can also detect very hot objects reentering the earth's atmosphere. And that might provide some clue as to the reentry of Columbia.
War would offer new military challenges; Goals are more complex than in 1991 conflict By Derrick DePledge Gannett News Service February 15, 2003 -- Already, the United States probably has more than 106,000 soldiers and about 450 aircraft in the Persian Gulf, according to GlobalSecurity.org. The organization works to discourage the use of military force, especially the threat of nuclear weapons, but also tracks military deployment around the world.
Inspectors' report: The questions still to be answered: More progress made but suspicions linger as concessions fall short of hoped-for cooperation By Owen Bowcott, Ewen MacAskill, Richard Norton-Taylor and Brian Whitaker The Guardian (London) February 15, 2003 -- Iraq maintains that it has no documentary evidence of the destruction. "There's no reason why the Iraqi government doesn't have these documents," Patrick Garrett of GlobalSecurity.org said. "The lack of them is a complication."
Experts claim new weaponry could win war Australian Broadcasting Corporation LATELINE: Late night news & current affairs February 14, 2003 -- PATRICK GARRETT, GLOBAL SECURITY: I think this is going to definitely be a very different war than we saw in Operation Desert Storm back in '91.
The military buildup CBC News Online February 14, 2003 -- Sources: GlobalSecurity.org and the Center for Defense Information.
Rumsfeld May Reduce Forces in S. Korea By Sonni Efron and Mark Magnier Los Angeles Times February 14, 2003 -- Photographs posted on the nonpartisan Web site GlobalSecurity.org appear to show that repairs were made in January to a leaking line apparently designed to supply steam to the Yongbyon reprocessing site, said GlobalSecurity head John E. Pike.
U.S. has new weapon ready; It could kill circuits but spare people By Edward Epstein The San Francisco Chronicle February 14, 2003 -- "If I was Saddam Hussein, I'd make a major investment in old motorcycles and go back to the era of World War II and use motorcyclists as messengers," said retired Army Lt. Col. Piers Wood of GlobalSecurity.org, a group that tracks new weapons systems.
Satellite Views of Shuttle Unsought; Columbia Orbited In Camera Range By Rick Weiss The Washington Post February 14, 2003 -- "They saw the tile problem as a maintenance issue as opposed to a safety issue, and then there's no need to look in orbit because you're going to get a look at them on the ground," said John Pike, director of GlobalSecurity.org, a nonprofit defense and space policy group based in Alexandria. "In a resource-constrained organization, you cannot afford a lot of goose-chasing," Pike said, acknowledging that it would be no small matter to ask for spy satellite assistance -- especially given current world events.
US / NORTH KOREA TENSIONS RECENT NORTH KOREAN ACTIONS ARE RAISING NEW CONCERNS FOR THE US WORLD NEWS NOW - ABC February 13, 2003 -- JOHN PIKE, DIRECTOR GLOBALSECURITY.ORG: The bad news is that it looks like the North Koreans are preparing to reprocess fuel to make atomic bombs. The good news is that it looks like that reprocessing plant was started briefly, and then turned back off.
Pentagon could debut new weapons in Iraq By Jim Krane The Associated Press February 13, 2003 -- Compared to the broad capabilities hatched in Afghanistan, technology watchers aren't likely to be dazzled in an Iraq war, said John Pike, a military analyst with GlobalSecurity.org.
NATO impasse seen slowing a US attack from Turkey By Bryan Bender The Boston Globe February 13, 2003 -- ''Turkey will be playing an extremely important role, in that it will be a staging ground for airborne units to capture air fields in northern and western Iraq,'' said Patrick Garrett of the think tank GlobalSecurity.org in Alexandria, Va.
39,000 More Reservists Called to Active Duty By John Hendren Los Angeles Times February 13, 2003 -- "It is a substantially larger reserve component call-up than I had anticipated," said John Pike, a military analyst for GlobalSecurity.org. "What remains unclear is how much of that call-up is going to be for homeland security purposes, how much is to support the initial attack on Iraq and how much is for potential deployment to Iraq for postwar stability and support operations."
N. Korea Declared In Nuclear Violation; Officials Also Said The Nation Has A Missile That Can Hit The Western United States By Howard Witt The Orlando Sentinel February 13, 2003 -- SOURCES: Federation of American Scientists, Jane's, Knight Ridder Tribune, Globalsecurity.org, The Los Angeles Times
A closer look at Yongbyon USA Today February 13, 2003 -- The photo analysis and identification was provided by GlobalSecurity.org.
Du ruban contre une attaque chimique Agence France Presse February 13, 2003 -- La comparaison avec la guerre froide est tangible, estime Patrick Garrett, spécialiste de la lutte antiterroriste à GlobalSecurity.org. À l'époque, la menace d'une attaque nucléaire lancée par l'Union soviétique contre les États-Unis avait incité l'administration américaine à recommander à la population de se cacher sous une table et de se couvrir les yeux et la nuque... pour se protéger des effets d'une bombe atomique.
NORTH KOREA BOMB CAPABILITY WORLD NEWS TONIGHT WITH PETER JENNINGS (06:30 PM ET) - ABC February 12, 2003 -- JOHN PIKE, DIRECTOR, GLOBALSECURITY.ORG: The bad news is that it looks like the North Koreans are preparing to reprocess fuel to make atomic bombs. The good news is that it looks like that reprocessing plant was started briefly and then turned back off.
Strategische Einblicke: Ein Aufmarsch, der auf Irak Eindruck machen soll Von Daniel Herrmann Frankfurter Rundschau February 12, 2003 -- Der US-Militärexperte John Pike von der Organisation Global-Security, die nicht gewinnorientiert arbeitet, trägt im Internet Informationen zusammen. Absolute Zahlen wagt auch er kaum zu nennen.
US govt comes under attack for duct tape defense By Patrick Anidjar Agence France Presse February 12, 2003 -- Patrick Garrett, a terrorism expert with the GlobalSecurity.org think tank, said the comparison between government advice being dispensed today and at the height of the Cold War 50 years ago was "tangible."
Prowler tumbles off deck of USS Stennis, crew members safe The Associated Press February 12, 2003 -- The planes, which cost an estimated $52 million each, played a key role in suppressing enemy anti-aircraft defenses during Operation Desert Storm, according to the military policy think-tank globalsecurity.org.
Airstrike reflects shift in targets By Robert Schlesinger The Boston Globe February 12, 2003 -- ''It's certainly interesting that now that everything has fallen into place that's what they've started to strike,'' said Francois Boo, an associate analyst at GlobalSecurity.org, a defense think tank in Virginia.
GOOD MORNING LOWCOUNTRY The Post and Courier (Charleston, SC) February 12, 2003 -- To see the leaflets, go to http://www.globalsecurity.org/military/ops/iraq art-of-war.htm. That site is a "nonprofit, non-partisan think tank and Web site that focuses on defense, space and intelligence matters," said spokesman Patrick Garrett at its Alexandria, Va.-based operation.
VVS of allies prepare the territory of Iraq for the ground-based intrusion Lenta.Ru February 12, 2003
Die Zahlen allein besagen wenig De Standaard Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung February 11, 2003 -- Dezember sind nach Angaben der Organisation Global Security, die Informationen aus offenen Quellen sammelt und ins Internet stellt, etwa 170 000 amerikanische Soldaten aller Waffengattungen für einen zweiten Irak-Krieg in Alarmbereitschaft versetzt worden; 115 000 befänden sich schon in der Golfregion oder auf dem Weg dorthin.
Mobilization of the US military to the Persian Gulf All Things Considered (9:00 PM ET) - NPR February 11, 2003 -- Patrick Garrett, of GlobalSecurity.org, has been monitoring the military deployments to the Gulf. Mr. PATRICK GARRETT (GlobalSecurity.org): The fact that the CRAF activation did take place is really a key indication that the military is going to begin ramping up its deployment cycle within the next couple weeks.
Hard-nosed general set to lead next Gulf War By Tara Copp Scripps Howard News Service February 11, 2003 -- "The indications are that Franks' initial war plans are not at all what the Secretary of Defense was looking for, it almost looks like Desert Storm II," said Patrick Garrett, a military analyst with Globalsecurity.org. "It's a lot bigger than what Rumsfeld wanted, and it doesn't look at all like it will reflect the military transformation that Donald Rumsfeld has staked his military reputation on."
U.S. prepares troops to resist chemical attacks By Dave Moniz USA Today February 11, 2003 -- Soldiers are less effective fighting in full protective gear, according to research compiled by Globalsecurity.org, a Web site that specializes in military matters. Their fighting skills can drop by as much as 50% and they can take up to three times longer to perform tasks. And they get tired. And dangerously overheated.
Bush: Allies' veto hurts NATO; Vote on Turkey baffles president By Bob Kemper The Chicago Tribune February 11, 2003 -- Source: Federation of American Scientists, Globalsecurity.org; Chicago Tribune/Max Rust and Dionisio Munoz
Spy telescopes and early warning radar could help shuttle inquiry By Matt Crenson The Associated Press February 11, 2003 -- "It may represent the worst available image that shows the relevant phenomenon," said John E. Pike, director of GlobalSecurity.org. Then again, he added, it may be that on that particular morning, a fuzzy outline of the shuttle was the best the Starfire system could do.
Thinking Beyond the Shuttle By Kenneth Chang The New York Times February 11, 2003 -- Grand technological ambition has, however, spelled trouble. "It has always been easier to generate the artwork than to turn it into hardware," said John Pike, a space analyst who is also the director of GlobalSecurity.org.
Pentagon orders commercial airlines to help move troops to Gulf region By Pauline Jelinek The Associated Press February 10, 2003 -- U.S. Transportation Command: http://www.globalsecurity.org/military/agency/dod/transcom.htm
Feds Find Poison Plot vs. Gulf Troops By James Gordon Meek Daily News (New York) February 10, 2003 -- A defense expert said the American public probably is more vulnerable to attack than U.S. troops are. "Think about two or three people walking around Manhattan sprinkling this stuff into lunch buffets," said John Pike of GlobalSecurity.org. "How would people panic if they were afraid to eat?"
What Next?: Designs for Next-Generation Shuttle Stalled from Launch By Paul Eng ABCNews.com February 10, 2003 -- Charles Vick, an analyst with space and defense think tank GlobalSecurity.org in Alexandria, Va., says that such immature technologies ultimately led to the X-33's downfall. "[Advanced] materials for the fuel tank really struck out," says Vick, who notes that a fuel tank ruptured during ground testing in 1999 and caused massive delays and cost overruns.
Shuttle Failures Raise a Big Question By Peter Whoriskey The Washington Post February 10, 2003 -- Still, others said NASA faces a difficult task -- and future. The space agency now "is going to have a real hard time convincing anyone that the odds of catastrophe are anything than about one in fifty," said John Pike, director of GlobalSecurity.org, which studies security and space issues. And "they are going to have a very hard time describing a coherent program that loses an orbiter and crew every decade or so."
COLUMBIA INVESTIGATION SOME EXPERTS BLAMING LACK OF FUNDING WORLD NEWS THIS MORNING - ABC February 10, 2003 -- JOHN PIKE, ABC NEWS CONSULTANT: I think there's every reason to anticipate that when we learn the source of the loss of the Columbia, that the loss of Columbia will ultimately be traced to just not enough money.
A Gathering Storm, By The Numbers By Ron Laurenzo Defense Week February 10, 2003 -- GlobalSecurity.org, a Web site which has one of the most detailed, publicly available lists of U.S. forces in the region, reported Friday that 85,000 U.S. troops and 450 aircraft were in CENTCOM's area. Those numbers exclude troops who are "in direct support" of operations in Afghanistan, implying that the bulk of the 85,000 are being concentrated for possible hostilities with Iraq.
SHUTTLE COLUMBIA DID CUTBACKS EFFECT SAFETY? WORLD NEWS TONIGHT (06:30 PM ET) - ABC February 9, 2003 -- JOHN PIKE, ABC NEWS CONSULTANT: I think there's every reason to anticipate that when we learn the source of the loss of the Columbia, that the loss of Columbia will ultimately be traced to just not enough money.
South Asia nuclear threat on rise; India, Pakistan build up arsenals By Liz Sly Chicago Tribune February 09, 2003 -- "In a perfect world, if the Bush administration didn't have its focus on other things, it should take a harder look at what both sides are doing, but in the time frame we are in that isn't going to happen," said Patrick Garrett, an analyst with GlobalSecurity.org, a think tank in Virginia.
TARGET IRAQ: PREPARING TO MOVE IN By Wayne Snow The Atlanta Journal-Constitution February 09, 2003 -- GlobalSecurity.org, which specializes in defense issues and provides weekly updates on troop strength, said it is now impossible to provide a "high-fidelity" profile of current deployments. Its numbers are lower than the cumulative number being reported by The Associated Press. AP quotes unnamed Pentagon sources as saying about 125,000 military personnel are in the region. The numbers in this graphic are based mainly on GlobalSecurity.org's best estimates as of this week.
NASA facing a test crisis of trust By Tony Freemantle The Houston Chronicle February 09, 2003 -- "The problem they had at the time of Challenger was that they were trying to get the flight rate up to 24 launches a year," said John Pike, a space policy expert at GlobalSecurity.org, a Washington-area think tank, and a former space policy director for the Federation of American Scientists. "This pressure to fly was driven by the fundamental economics of the shuttle program."
THE SPACE PROGRAM: It's about exploration more than experiments By Jeff Nesmith The Atlanta Journal-Constitution February 09, 2003 -- Science is largely coincidental in the U.S. space program, said John Pike, director of GlobalSecurity.Org, a national security think tank. "Human space flight is a way of demonstrating national greatness," he said.
At Dover, sounds of freedom and quiet honor for fallen heroes By John L. Micek The Morning Call February 09, 2003 -- With a length of 121 feet, the four-engine C-5 is one of the world's largest airplanes. It has a crew of five, and space for up to 270 soldiers. It can fly up to 3,250 nautical miles without aerial refueling, according to GlobalSecurity.Org, a Virginia-based think-tank.
Shuttle History Reveals Years of Shifting Funds By R. Jeffrey Smith, Eric Pianin, James V. Grimaldi and Greg Schneider The Washington Post February 09, 2003 -- "All kinds of safety improvements . . . could have been put into the shuttle," said John Pike, a space program expert at GlobalSecurity.org. But "they didn't under the theory that there's no payoff . . . [for] a system that's only going to fly for the next few years."
The secretary of state tells the United Nations that America has the goods on Saddam Hussein By Kevin Whitelaw U.S. News & World Report February 17, 2003 -- But the resolution on the satellite photos was blurred to obscure U.S. intelligence capabilities, and "you do have to make the leap of faith that those blotches in the images are in fact decontamination trucks," says John Pike, an intelligence expert at Globalsecurity.org.
Countdown to a war against Iraq Sunday Herald Sun(Melbourne) February 09, 2003 -- Sources: U.S. Navy, GlobalSecurity.org, Federation of American Scientists, U.S. Central Command, Global security Australian Defence Studies Centre/Centre for International Strategic Analysis
SHOULD WE GO TO WAR? Wisconsin State Journal February 9, 2003 -- Source: White House, Nuclear Files Organization, OPEC, AFP, Guardian, U.S. Commerce Department, U. S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, Knight Ridder Washington Bureau, Statistical Review of World Energy, United Nations, Global Security.org, ESRI, Associated Press
'They're going to have to go house to house' By John Briggs The Burlington Free Press (Burlington, VT) February 09, 2003 -- The family is also using the Internet to pull up useful Web sites: (...) - globalsecurity.org (provides information about unit deployments and other military topics).
North Korea no easy win, analysts say By Stephen J. Hedges and Douglas Holt Chicago Tribune February 09, 2003 -- "The problems you have there are that you just don't know what fraction of North Korea's capabilities would be destroyed in those attacks," said John Pike, executive director of Globalsecurity.org, a group that tracks military developments. "You might be able to destroy many of North Korea's long-range missiles, but I don't necessarily know that the United States knows where all of this stuff is."
NASA knows exactly what it wants in a new shuttle. The problem is the technology doesn't exist and creating it would cost too much By Stephen Strauss The Globe and Mail February 08, 2003 -- On many levels, the reasons why the shuttle has not been replaced with anything significantly better is simple. "The technology is not there. We cannot today produce an economically viable alternative to the present shuttle," says Charles Vick, a U.S. space and strategic studies analyst with GlobalSecurity.org.
The Pentagon revises battle after fighting in Afghanistan By James W. Crawley Copley News Service February 08, 2003 -- Even so, the war in Afghanistan may offer even better lessons for wars after 2010, said defense analyst John Pike, president of GlobalSecurity.org. If the United States develops vital national interests in areas where the military can't be predeployed - as it is in the Persian Gulf - then some of those lessons from Afghanistan, such as forward-operating bases and aiding coalition forces, will be critical, Pike said.
SUR LE NET: Irak: scénarios Le Monde 7 February 2003 -- Guide militaire de l'Irak (Global Security). www.globalsecurity.org/military/world/iraq/
So, what does it all mean? Aerotech News & Review February 7, 2003 -- "The industry is extremely hungry, as hungry as it has been in a long time," said John Pike, who runs globalsecurity.org, a nonprofit space and military research organization.
'Significant' Piece of Shuttle's Wing Is Found in Texas By David E. Sanger with John M. Broder The New York Times February 7, 2003 -- The range's 3.5-meter and 1.5-meter telescopes are typically used to help researchers reduce atmospheric distortion to take clearer pictures of objects in space like satellites. "It's the equivalent of a spy satellite's looking up, not down," said John Pike of global security.org, a space and military research organization.
March to war reaching point of no return By Susan Taylor Martin St. Petersburg Times February 07, 2003 -- Despite its public recalcitrance, France has sent its only aircraft carrier to the eastern Mediterranean. "I don't think it's a coincidence where it's going, seeing there are about to be two U.S. carrier battle groups there," said Patrick Garrett, of GlobalSecurity.org, a Virginia think tank that studies defense issues.
No place to hide from hi-tech spies in the sky By Tim Reid The Times (London) February 07, 2003 -- Tim Brown, of Globalsecurity.org, said: "They have been intercepting conversations in Iraq for 12 years. They have got to know voices and patterns very well." The intercepts are relayed to the National Security Agency in Fort Meade, Maryland, and are then pored over by analysts.
IRAQ'S SECRET WEAPONS; Damning evidence By Kim Gamel and Ian McPhedran The Advertiser February 07, 2003 -- Tim Brown, a senior associate at the Washington military institute, globalsecurity.org, points out that the original CIA images would be of far better quality than those reproduced in newspapers.
North Korea Says Nuclear Plant Has Been Restarted By Barbara Demic The Orlando Sentinel February 6, 2003 -- SOURCES: The Associated Press; Center for Nonproliferation Studies; SpaceImaging Asia; GlobalSecurity.org; Internation Atomic Energy Agency; ESRI
President Bush Renews Warning to Saddam Hussein To Disarm; North Korea Threatens War Against the U.S. By Brit Hume, Jim Angle, Greg Palkot, Major Garrett SHOW: FOX SPECIAL REPORT WITH BRIT HUME (18:00) February 06, 2003 -- JOHN PIKE, DIRECTOR, GLOBALSECURITY.ORG: After that reactor had operated for a short period of time, it going to be too radioactive for the United States to bomb it without causing a lot of radioactive contamination.
THE CASE AGAINST IRAQ; Evidence shows new details of missiles, drones By Tom Walsh The Boston Herald February 06, 2003 -- "Obviously, the drones would pose a significant threat if they are carrying chemical or biological weapons," said Francois Boo, analyst at GlobalSecurity.org.
Space Shuttle Researchers Defend Their Science By Jeff Nesmith Cox News Service February 6, 2003 -- Science is largely coincidental in the U.S. space program, said John Pike, director of GlobalSecurity.Org, a national security think tank. "Human space flight is a way of demonstrating national greatness," he said.
Next steps: diplomacy, bolstering of Gulf forces By Anne E. Kornblut and Robert Schlesinger Boston Globe February 06, 2003 -- Patrick Garrett of GlobalSecurity.org, a Virginia-based defense think tank, said that the equipment for the Fourth Infantry Division -- which uses the most cutting-edge tanks -- remains undeployed. Consequently, the division's equipment for serious warfare must still be transported to the region, which could take three weeks.
Fångarna i rymden Av OLOF LUNDH Expressen February 06, 2003 -- Jag tror inte att det är givet att rymdfärjorna kommer att flyga igen, säger John Pike, chef för Global Security, som forskar om rymdfrågor.
Spy agencies watching Iraqis' response By John Diamond USA TODAY February 06, 2003 -- GRAPHIC: GRAPHIC, B/W, Sources: U.S. intelligence, Department of Defense, author Jeffrey Richelson and GlobalSecurity.org (ILLUSTRATION)
Analysts see images boosting US case By John Donnelly Boston Globe February 06, 2003 -- Patrick Garrett, a defense analyst at globalsecurity.org, a Washington-based firm that specializes in satellite imagery, said Powell ''hit a home run'' with the photos.
US intelligence on Iraq "compelling" but limited By Will Knight NewScientist.com February 06, 2003 -- Patrick Garrett, an analyst with the US military think tank Global Security, describes the November 2002 satellite images of a chemical decontamination truck close to a munitions bunker as "pretty damning evidence" that the bunker contained chemical weapons. He says Global Security is currently trying to verify the accuracy of all the satellite images produced by the US.
U.S. Takes a Risk in Showing Spy Methods By Greg Miller The Los Angeles Times February 06, 2003 -- John Pike, an analyst at Globalsecurity.org, said that declassified images are typically of far lower resolution than the classified versions they are derived from.
Powell shares intel on Iraq By Bill Nichols USA Today February 06, 2003 -- Powell's performance was "an Adlai Stevenson moment," said John Pike of the Washington think tank Globalsecurity.org. "He knocked it out of the park. It would convince anyone who could be convinced, and not everyone can be convinced."
Spy in the sky good enough for most experts on the ground By Stuart Millar The Guardian February 06, 2003 -- Tim Brown, a senior associate at the Washington-based thinktank, globalsecurity.org, said the images used by the Pentagon and CIA analysts would almost certainly have been much clearer than those revealed by Mr Powell.
Powell's evidence against Saddam: does it add up? By Ewen MacAskill, Steven Morris, Richard Norton-Taylor, Nicholas Watt and Brian Whitaker The Guardian February 06, 2003 -- Tim Brown, senior analyst at globalsecurity.org, agreed with Mr Powell's assessment. "The Iraqi evidence for their destruction just doesn't fit," he said. "No one can produce any documentation - it's as if the Iraqis were saying 'the dog ate my homework'."
Top secret part somewhere among shuttle debris By Dan Feldstein The Houston Chronicle February 06, 2003 -- Experts differed on the importance to national security of recovering the device, which was "keyed," or prepared for use with mathematical algorithms. "Better safe than sorry," said John Pike, director of GlobalSecurity.org and an expert on intelligence policy.
Lies and statistics Radio Nederland Wereldomroep February 05, 2003 -- Patrick Garrett, a defence analyst with Global Security.org, says these official lies will not work as well against Saddam Hussein's military this time as they did in the first Gulf War. In this interview with Newsline's Lovejit Dhaliwal, he also tellingly points out that the US is ready to strike Iraq at any moment.
Powell adds weight to case against Saddam, but proof remains circumstantial By Robert Russo Canadian Press February 05, 2003 -- "It really shows that Iraq is involved in an active effort to circumvent UN regulations," said Patrick Garrett, an analyst at Globalsecurity.org.
Fact File: The Allied troops in the Gulf Reuters February 05, 2003 -- According to Global Security.org there are about 15 500 Marines en route to the Gulf aboard three major task forces and around 20 000 sailors and aviators attached to the carrier battle groups and amphibious task forces.
Amerikanen in race tegen de zon Van Stieven Ramdharie de Volkskrant February 05, 2003 -- Het Pentagon is nog bij lange na niet gereed, benadrukt defensie-analist Patrick Garrett van GlobalSecurity.org, dat de Amerikaanse troepenbewegingen minutieus bijhoudt.
Nuclear weapons on the table in a Iraqi war By Lance Gay Scripps Howard News Service February 05, 2003 -- Francois Boo, an analyst with GlobalSecurity.org, a Washington think tank, said a new war with Iraq would be different because President Bush has repeatedly declared his intention this time to depose Saddam and his regime. (...) But responding to a chemical attack with nuclear weapons "would cause more harm than good," and would send a message to other countries that the nuclear threshold has been lowered. "It's very unlikely we would turn Iraq into a giant glass bowl," he said.
At air base helping search, the talk of war still main topic: Louisiana's Barksdale housing debris collected from shuttle By Joni James The Miami Herald February 5, 2003 -- ''Barksdale is going to be extremely important,'' said Patrick Garrett, associate analyst at GlobalSecurity.org, a nonprofit military analysis firm. ``I think you'll see a lot of aircraft shipping out of there at night in the next few weeks.''
Blair Fails To Persuade France...'Monitors Must Complete Hunt' Last-Ditch Arab-EU Mission *Powell Set To Expose 'Lies' *Saddam Rejects Qaeda Links Kuwait Times February 5, 2003 -- So far, none of the stealths of the USAF 49th Tactical Air Wing are in the Gulf, according to GlobalSecurity.Org, the leading independent US military Web site.
Orbiting supercameras aid search for shuttle debris By Bill Gertz The Washignton Times February 5, 2003 -- John Pike, a satellite specialist with GlobalSecurity.org, said in an interview that the investigators also will be using the Global Positioning System navigation satellites to help locate and map debris. "Imagery satellites could help with debris fields," Mr. Pike said. "You might be able to get debris fields in 100 frames."
Rebuilding Effort Could Help Space Industry in Long Run By Barnaby J. Feder The New York Times February 5, 2003 -- "The industry is extremely hungry, as hungry as it has been in a long time," said John Pike, who runs globalsecurity.org, a nonprofit space and military research organization.
Informatie over Irak op het Internet De Standaard February 4, 2003 -- Militaire ontwikkelingen in en rond Irak, gevolgd door de Amerikaanse denktank GlobalSecurity
Oorlog Irak: Hard, snel en verrassend By Door Martijn Delaere BN/DeStem February 4, 2003 -- Voor Pike en zijn organisatie Globalsecurity.org geen statig onderkomen in het centrum van Washington, maar een kelder in de buitenstad Alexandria. "We zijn arm, en dan te bedenken dat de lui in het Pentagon op onze website kijken om te zien hoe hun troepenopbouw in de Golf verloopt."
Mixed message By George C. Wilson GovExec.com February 4, 2003 -- The Nuclear Posture Review. The unclassified version of this document, released on January 9, 2002, looked harmless enough. But secret excerpts of the review, later released by the private organization GlobalSecurity.org, dismayed arms-controllers and alarmed several countries that surmised that they could be attacked pre-emptively by the United States, perhaps with nuclear weapons.
Future of the Shuttle Program Is Linked to the Space Station's By John Noble Wilford The New York Times February 4, 2003 -- At the time, John Pike, director of space policy for the Federation of American Scientists, made a prescient observation. NASA, he wrote, "was in a race against the clock" to complete the station, "or a substantial fraction thereof, prior to the next shuttle accident."
Logistics dictate Iraq war timing Reuters 4 February 2003 -- So far, none of the stealths of the USAF 49th Tactical Air Wing are in the Gulf, according to GlobalSecurity.Org, the leading independent U.S. military website.
The signs of a slowly building catastrophe By Kevin Coughlin and Kitta MacPherson Star-Ledger 4 February 2003 -- Ice could have formed between the shuttle's tiles in space, and then exploded from the heat of re-entry, said Charles Vick, a chemical engineer who consults for Globalsecurity.org.
Critics question shuttle as sole ride to orbit By Matt Crenson The Associated Press 4 February 2003 -- With those plans on hold, NASA critics assert, the tragedy gives NASA an opportunity to rethink the shuttle's mission. "The fundamental reality is that it was designed to do something other than what it is doing," said John E. Pike, director of the space and military policy think-tank GlobalSecurity.org.
Now, the Space Station: Grieving, Imperiled By Andrew C. Revkin The New York Times 4 February 2003 -- This leads to the troubling calculus about keeping the station in space, said John E. Pike, a space technology expert and director of globalsecurity.org, a Washington research group.
Should we be up there at all? Boston Globe 4 February 2003 -- John Pike, director of GlobalSecurity.org and former director of space policy at the Federation of American Scientists, justifies sending humans to space in language reminiscent of the Cold War. ''Neil [Armstrong] and Buzz [Aldrin] did not go to the moon for science,'' Pike said. ''Neil and Buzz went to the moon for truth, justice and the American way.''
SPACE PROGRAM INQUIRY WORLD NEWS NOW (02:00 AM ET) - ABC February 4, 2003 -- JOHN PIKE, ABC NEWS CONSULTANT: Space flight is the modern embodiment of the American dream. America is about pioneering frontiers. It's about taking risks. It's about boldly going where no one has gone before.
180 more reservists, Guardsmen called up Florida and Texas have most activated By Scott Butler The Florida Times-Union February 3, 2003 -- Many have more training than their counterparts in other states, and Florida has several 'critical units,' Patrick Garrett, analyst for GlobalSecurity.org, a non-profit organization that studies defense issues, told the Herald.
Back to the Future: After Columbia, What's Next for International Space Station? By Ned Potter ABC News.com February 3, 2003 -- Defense expert John Pike, who runs the Web site globalsecurity.org, argues the policy has paid off, and may now save the space station. Because of that Soyuz spacecraft, astronauts do not have to depend solely on the now-grounded shuttles. "With permanent human presence on the station and with Russians to get the crew back and forth, we can keep flying in space even though the shuttle is not," he said.
Space Station May Hang in Balance; Costly, much-criticized international project relies on shuttle fleet to ferry its crucial parts By Peter Pae, Ralph Vartabedian and Usha Lee McFarling The Los Angeles Times February 3, 2003 -- "I don't think it's a given that we'll fly the shuttle again," said John Pike, director of GlobalSecurity.org, a space and defense research firm in Alexandria, Va. "If it turns out the problem is easy and cheap to repair, they would probably default to flying the shuttles. But, on the other hand, if it is a big problem that takes a lot of money and time to fix, they will have to do the math and figure out whether to fix the shuttle or build a replacement."
Tight Budgets Cast Doubt on NASA Safety; Critics say agency may have put astronauts in danger by trying to do too much with too little funding. Program takes no shortcuts, chief says By Edwin Chen and Paul Richter The Los Angeles Times February 3, 2003 -- The background to that debate is that NASA as an agency is partially a Cold War relic, created to lead a space race against a Soviet Union that once seemed to threaten America's technological supremacy but no longer exists, said John Pike, director of GlobalSecurity.org, a nonprofit think tank here. "How much are you going to spend on a space race if you're the only one running?" he asked.
Boeing, Lockheed face scrutiny, await fallout of investigation Companies manage shuttle operations By Byron Acohido USA TODAY February 3, 2003 -- NASA's continuing budget crunch creates staff pressures that could compromise safety, said John Pike, executive director of GlobalSecurity.org, a watchdog group. "Simply saying the shuttle is safe does not make it safe," he said.
Russia might be only savior Register news services February 3, 2003 -- That leads to the troubling calculus about keeping the station in space, said John E. Pike, a space technology expert and the director of GlobalSecurity.org, a Washington research group. "Everybody's going to be looking closely at the inventory of Progresses and Soyuz boosters," he said, "running that against the need to reboost the station. Maybe the answer is that there's more than enough, or just enough, or more than enough for this year, but after that there's a real problem."
DOD requests $380 billion budget BY Dan Caterinicchia and Matthew French Federal Computer Week February 3, 2003 -- Patrick Garrett, an associate analyst at GlobalSecurity.org, which monitors space and military programs, said the increase in funding for unmanned vehicles is recognition of their success and that they have "played an important role in the last two years." He added that the trend should continue as DOD's workforce decreases but the number of missions it is involved in increases.
GOOD MORNING AMERICA ABC February 3, 2003 -- JOHN PIKE, ABC NEWS: If the thermal protection tiles fail, the heat's going to get in, it's going to melt through wires and it's going to cause the structure eventually to fail.
GOOD MORNING AMERICA ABC February 3, 2003 -- JOHN PIKE, ABC NEWS: I think that NASA was basically kidding itself about the safety of the shuttle.
COST OF SHUTTLE FLIGHTS IS THE COST WORTH THE RISK? WORLD NEWS THIS MORNING - ABC February 3, 2003 -- JOHN PIKE, ABC NEWS CONSULTANT: There's simply no way that we can run a space program if every 50th mission is going to result in a loss of life and a loss of the orbiter.
Columbia Shuttle Disaster Investigation Begins; NASA Analyses Their Role FOX SPECIAL REPORT WITH BRIT HUME 3 February 2003 -- JOHN PIKE, DIRECTOR, GLOBALSECURITY.ORG: If you're not prepared to spend what it takes, you'll windup with accidents like this.
A CLOSER LOOK INTERNATIONAL SPACE STATION ABC WORLD NEWS TONIGHT WITH PETER JENNINGS 3 February 2003 -- JOHN PIKE, ABC NEWS SPACE CONSULTANT: With permanent human presence on the station and with Russians to get the crew back and forth, we can keep flying in space even though the shuttle is not.
Some Accusing NASA of Ignoring Early Warning Signs About Columbia FOX HANNITY & COLMES 3 February 2003 -- JOHN PIKE, GLOBALSECURITY.ORG: Well I don't think at this point anybody is being accused of criminal evidence. I think that basically what we're trying to do is understand how it was that, despite all of the best efforts, apparent best efforts of NASA engineers, of the dedication of all of the contractors who have been working on this program for so many years, after all of the political leaders say they are making safety the highest priority, how is it that this accident, nonetheless, took place? And unavoidably, I think as we learned with the Challenger accident, complex accidents like this have two components.
NIGHTLINE THE LOSS OF THE COLUMBIA NIGHTLINE (11:35 PM ET) - ABC February 03, 2003 -- JOHN PIKE, ABC NEWS CONSULTANT: I think that it's quite obvious that NASA has had to compromise safety because they simply haven't had enough money.
Civilians Aid Army, But Raise Concern By Ron Martz Atlanta Journal and Constitution February 2, 2003 -- Patrick Garrett, associate analyst with Global Security, a Washington-based organization that tracks military issues, said there is no solid information about how extensive the background checks are for civilian workers hired for the low-tech jobs. That could make it easy for terrorists to infiltrate the camps.
Threats and Responses: The Military ; War Plan Calls for Precision Bombing Wave to Break Iraqi Army Early in Attack By Eric Schmitt and Thom Shanker The New York Times February 2, 2003 -- Sources: Military officials; Globalsecurity.org; Center for Defense Information; U.S. Naval Observatory
Experts Warned Of Budget Cuts, Safety Concerns By R. Jeffrey Smith, Joby Warrick and Rob Stein The Washington Post February 2, 2003 -- John Pike, a director of GlobalSecurity.org and a longtime critic of the agency's shuttle management, said even this estimate is speculative. "NASA has been wildly unrealistic about shuttle reliability. If you go back and look at their reliability estimates, I think that they basically just made them up," Pike said.
Budget cuts, mechanical problems have plagued NASA for years By Martin Merzer and Lisa Arthur Knight Ridder February 2, 2003 -- "The reality is that the shuttle will blow up sooner or later," John Pike, director of GlobalSecurity.org, an Alexandria, Va., space policy group, told The Miami Herald. "But the direction in which they are going will make it sooner rather than later."
U.S. may debut secret microwave weapon versus Iraq By Will Dunham Reuters February 2, 2003 -- "It's not really that high-tech," added retired U.S. Army Lt. Col. Piers Wood of the GlobalSecurity.org think tank. "You've got a microwave oven at home probably that generates a pulse of heat. But the point is that this is not such a ground-breaking paradigm shift as much as an engineering problem: getting the equipment small enough to carry around the battlefield in various platforms," Wood said.
IS THE COST TOO HIGH? ABC THIS WEEK WITH GEORGE STEPHANOPOULOS February 2, 2003 -- -- JOHN PIKE, ABC NEWS CONSULTANT: There's simply no way that we can run a space program if every 50th mission is going to result in a loss of life and a loss of the orbiter.
NASA AND SAFETY A LOOK AT NASA'S SAFETY ABC WORLD NEWS TONIGHT SATURDAY February 2, 2003 -- JOHN PIKE, ABC NEWS CONSULTANT: The space shuttle is probably the single most complex machine that humanity has ever created. Frankly, it's a miracle every time it does work and so there are an enormous number of things that can go wrong on the shuttle.
Shuttle Columbia lost; debris falls on Texas By Martin Merzer and Phil Long The Miami Herald February 1, 2003 -- ''[The shuttle's] perfectly capable of blowing up every time they launch it,'' John Pike, director of GlobalSecurity.org, an Alexandria, Va., space and defense policy watchdog group, told The Herald. ''They bet the agency every time they launch.''
NASA tried to maintain shuttle schedule on tight budget By Tara Copp Scripps Howard News Service February 1, 2003 -- Saturday's crash over Texas "is an unfortunate example of where budgets and human lives come together," said Patrick Garrett, an analyst with Globalsecurity.org, an air and space defense research group in Washington, D.C. "If you don't divert enough resources to an organization you can have a tragedy like this."
WORLD NEWS TONIGHT SATURDAY ABC February 1, 2003 -- JOHN PIKE, ABC NEWS CONSULTANT: They have been continuously improving and modifying the hardware on the shuttle, so I don't think that the age of the fleet is a concern.
10 BEST SITES OF THE WEEK The Independent February 1, 2003 -- Global Security.org's mission statement declares it to be "focused on innovative approaches to the emerging security challenges of the new millennium". It aims to do this by improving "the capabilities of the American intelligence community to respond to new and emerging threats, reducing the need to resort to the use of force". By accessing the site, you too can keep a close eye on global flashpoints: stories are handily divided into Hot Topics, In the News and News Archive.
Florida's Guard and Reserve preparing thousands for war By Phil Long and Elaine De Valle The Miami Herald February 1, 2003 -- Florida is contributing so many reservists and Guard members because many have more training than their counterparts in other states and because Florida has several ''critical units,'' said Patrick Garrett, analyst for GlobalSecurity.org, a nonprofit organization that studies defense issues.
Activity Seen at N. Korea Nuclear Site; Spy satellites show trucks where fuel rods are stored By THE WASHINGTON POST Newsday February 1, 2003 -- SOURCE: Center for Nonproliferation Studies; GlobalSecurity.org; Time

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February 2003 News