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NIGHTLINE (11:35 PM ET) - ABC February 03, 2003

NIGHTLINE THE LOSS OF THE COLUMBIA

CHRIS BURY, ABC NEWS

(Voice Over) While a small army continues to search for debris, NASA widens its investigation.

RON DITTEMORE, SHUTTLE PROGRAM MANAGER

We are extremely interested in any debris upstream of the primary impact area. If we truly were shedding some material as early as California, that's going to be significant to us.

CHRIS BURY

(Voice Over) But were any signals missed?

JOHN PIKE, ABC NEWS CONSULTANT

I think that it's quite obvious that NASA has had to compromise safety because they simply haven't had enough money.

GREGG EASTERBROOK, EDITOR "THE NEW REPUBLIC"

The shuttle is just basically a bad vehicle.

CHRIS BURY

(Voice Over) And has the time come to change the space program as we know it?

ROBERT PARK, UNIVERSITY OF MARYLAND

The fact is, it's going to open up that discussion. And we will have a discussion of whether this is really the way we want to spend our resources.

graphics: the Loss of the Columbia

CHRIS BURY

(Voice Over) Tonight, "The Loss of the Columbia", are the risks too great?

graphics: ABC NEWS: Nightline

ANNOUNCER

From ABC News, this is "Nightline." Reporting from Washington, Chris Bury.

CHRIS BURY

(Off Camera) Like so many long-time love affairs, America's infatuation with space travel had been losing some of its old spark. No longer did the networks broadcast every liftoff and landing. No longer did schoolchildren learn every astronaut's name. In fact, the shuttle's comings and goings had become so ordinary. So routine it's taken another tragic accident to make many of us sit up and take notice. But naturally in the wake of Saturday's Columbia disaster, the questions are coming hard and fast. Some are urgent, did something happen on liftoff to damage those tiles protecting the shuttle from the heat of reentry? Some questions fall into the category of second- guessing, were warnings missed and critics ignored? Then there are larger questions, are the shuttles in particular, and manned space flight in general, really worth the risk to human life? Can the old American infatuation survive another shuttle catastrophe? Our broadcast tonight is an attempt to examine some of those questions. And we begin with the latest on the investigation, from "Nightline's" Deborah Amos.

DEBORAH AMOS, ABC NEWS

(Voice Over) The clues collected from forests and fields, from ponds and schoolyards, don't yet add up to much. How did the Columbia come to such a terrible end? NASA is no closer to an answer today.

RON DITTEMORE

That missing link is out there. And here we are, 48 hours from the event. So, we're still struggling with it.

DEBORAH AMOS

(Voice Over) Lisa Stark has been covering the NASA briefings.

LISA STARK, ABC NEWS

(Off Camera) NASA says they may never be able to figure out what caused the heat buildup on the left side of the shuttle during reentry. One focus of the investigation remains that piece of insulation that came off the tank, hit the wing during liftoff. We've now learned that piece was 16 by 20 inches, weighed more than two and a half pounds. NASA says it will assume that was the cause of the accident and try to determine if what happened to Columbia fits that assumption.

DEBORAH AMOS

(Voice Over) An assumption that will focus on these, the shuttle's thermal tiles, tiles that protect a spacecraft from the searing heat of reentry in the earth's atmosphere. In a 1990 report, scientist Elisabeth Pate-Cornell showed that when crucial tiles are damaged, the risk increases significantly. NASA wants another look at her data.

ELISABETH PATE-CORNELL, SCIENTIST

Yesterday, someone from headquarters asked me to send back to him a copy of my report because they remembered very well that it existed and what I'd said. What they could not remember is where they had put it.

DEBORAH AMOS

(Off Camera) There were promises today for the most open accident investigation ever. A former Navy Admiral, Harold Gehman(PH), has been named to oversee a review, additional investigative teams are expected to be named soon. NASA officials are getting high marks for sharing, rather than hiding frustration in the early days.

DEBORAH AMOS (CONTINUED)

(Voice Over) It was very different 13 years ago, after the first shuttle disaster, the Challenger, and the investigation that followed.

EUGENE, AERONAUTICS PROFESSOR, MIT

There was a feeling that NASA had put the wagons in a circle, to use a bad analogy.

DEBORAH AMOS

(Voice Over) Eugene, a professor of aeronautics at MIT was on the commission that investigated the Challenger disaster. He says the investigators must also come from outside the government.

EUGENE

They are, in a sense, grading their own examination paper. And there are going to be people who have difficulty accepting that they can be absolutely open honest and forthright under those circumstances.

DEBORAH AMOS

(Voice Over) Questions about the cause of the crash of an aging spacecraft raise broader questions about overall safety. Last August, Don Nelson, a 36-year NASA veteran, sent this letter to the President, pleading for a halt to the shuttle program. He feared a major crash.

DON NELSON, RETIRED NASA OFFICIAL

There's no way that you can make this vehicle 100 percent safe. And it was just a matter of time until you have another tragedy like the Challenger.

DEBORAH AMOS

(Off Camera) In July 2002, NASA's Inspector General's report showed the shuttle's safety program required additional funding. The government's accounting office raised safety concerns. They warned that the NASA shuttle's work force had declined significantly, to the point of reducing NASA's ability to safely support the shuttle program.

DEBORAH AMOS (CONTINUED)

(Voice Over) The concerns are not new, but the media and the public are not focused on the shuttle program. Flights are so routine that in the early hours of Saturday morning, few Americans were aware that Columbia was about to land.

GREGG EASTERBROOK

I think the shuttle's always been dangerous. Space flight, no matter how you did it, would be dangerous. I think there have been so many generalized warnings about the shuttle. They're like generalized terrorism threats. As long as it's working, people don't pay attention. What matters now is that it's failed a second time. And it shown us, I think, that it's fundamentally flawed through the second failure.

DEBORAH AMOS

(Voice Over) Space flight is dangerous. Just how dangerous was made abundantly clear in the early hours on Saturday morning. The seven astronauts onboard accepted the risk. But after this disaster, are politicians and the public willing to continue? It is a question that Ken Bowersox and Don Pettit may be asking. Along with a Russian astronaut, they are orbiting in the international space station. A Russian cargo ship was launched yesterday to bring them supplies. NASA officials say they are safe.

MICHAEL KOSTELNIK,

NASA DEPUTY ASSOCIATE ADMINISTRATOR

We have sufficient life support capability to support the international space station without the help of the space shuttle for several months. In fact, up until the May or June time period.

DEBORAH AMOS

(Voice Over) But these men may be the last Americans in space for some time to come. The three remaining NASA shuttles have been grounded until the cause is found and fixed. After the Challenger disaster, it was nearly three years before NASA launched a manned space flight. This is Deborah Amos, for "Nightline" in Washington.

CHRIS BURY

(Off Camera) The Columbia catastrophe, like the Challenger disaster before it, raises the inevitable question, is manned space travel really worth the risks? That part of the story when we come back.

graphics: Nightline

ANNOUNCER

This is ABC News "Nightline", brought to you by . . .

commercial break

CHRIS BURY

(Off Camera) President Bush has already answered the biggest question posed by the Columbia disaster, he has insisted NASA's manned space program will carry on. But in light of the loss of Columbia, are the benefits still worth the risks? Here's ABC News correspondent, Jim Wooten.

JIM WOOTEN, ABC NEWS

(Voice Over) Why? Why do we do this? An American President once tried to answer that question.

JOHN F. KENNEDY, FORMER US PRESIDENT

We choose to go to the moon, and do the other thing. Not because they are easy, but because they are hard.

JIM WOOTEN

(Voice Over) Is that it? Because it's hard? Because it's hard to do? It is that, of course. So hard, in fact, that in the 41 years since the first one, this country's manned space missions have cost 17 lives. And tonight, as the latest casualties are mourned and memorialized, that question, that very same question, is being asked yet again. Why? Why do we do this?

SENATOR BILL NELSON, DEMOCRAT, FLORIDA

The American people want a space program. They want to dream. They want to soar. They want to be inspired.

JIM WOOTEN

(Voice Over) The Senator is a politician, of course. But he once soared into orbit on the shuttle.

SENATOR BILL NELSON

In most Americans' hearts, there is this yearning to be an explorer, to be an adventurer. I think it's probably part of our character, as a people.

JOHN LOGSDON, SPACE POLICY INSTITUTE

After the flag, after the bald eagle, it's usually an astronaut on the moon or the shuttle at launch that we use to symbolize what we do as a nation.

ROBERT PARK

Why are we still doing it? It's a very good question. And the reason is, basically, that NASA has been convinced, from the beginning and have convinced many members of Congress, that the public simply would not support a space program if there were not human beings involved. I think they're wrong.

JIM WOOTEN

(Voice Over) Still, although NASA has been putting human beings up there with some regularity, the public, or at least the Congress, hasn't seemed all that excited. The budget for space is now about $15 billion a year, less than one percent of the Federal government's total expenditures. But even at that, it's been flat for the last decade or so. Last year, President Bush asked for an $800 million cut. And some NASA advocates say its budget has been reduced in real terms by 40 percent since 1990. Meanwhile, since every manned shuttle mission cost nearly $500 million, there's been a growing clamor for increased use of robots in space. They're cheaper, the argument goes, better, faster. You don't have to bring them down. And if something does go wrong, the only cost is money.

SENATOR BILL NELSON

Because you need the human in the loop, using human judgment, in order for us to accomplish a lot of things.

JOHN LOGSDON

We couldn't have fixed the Hubble space telescope, without the astronaut crew that went up with the corrective optics. Sure, there are lots of exciting scientific things that can be done by robots. But there are also lots of exciting scientific things that require human presence.

JIM WOOTEN

(Voice Over) On the other hand, Doctor Park compares, unfavorably, the unmanned Pathfinder mission to Mars, 300 million miles away, with the space station, which is about the distance from New York to Washington, DC, above the earth.

ROBERT PARK

And yet, that mission, with all the information it, sent back about Mars, cost about a fourth as much as a single shuttle launch. So, when it comes to cost, there's a factor of at least two orders of magnitude, maybe three, to get the same information robotically, as opposed to with human beings.

JIM WOOTEN

(Voice Over) And there's plenty of evidence that the media are not as hypnotized with the space program as they once were. The story of Columbia's departure, for example, was on page three of "The Washington Post." Page 14 of the "New York Times." And the last time this network broadcast a launch live was more than five years ago. Nevertheless, when disaster struck on Saturday, no story was more important. Perhaps because when something does go wrong, the old myth of Americans as adventurers comes to the fore, the vision of a country that does things because they're hard, no matter what.

JOHN PIKE

Space flight is the modern embodiment of the American dream. America is about pioneering frontiers. It's about taking risks. It's about boldly going where no one has gone before. I mean, Americans don't go to the Air and Space Museum to get a history of Tang and Velcro, okay, they go there to be inspired.

JIM WOOTEN

(Off Camera) So, that's why we do it, to inspire ourselves and others with what courageous adventurers we are as individuals. With how mighty we are as a nation. And not really, or at least not mainly, for the science and technology NASA says has so improved and enhanced our lives on earth. Maybe so. But what is the maximum acceptable cost in terms of lives of that inspiration? The answer to that may lie in the story of the first circumnavigation of the globe back in the 16th century. In 1519 Ferdinand Magellan left Spain with 270 men on five ships. Three years later, one ship returned with only 18 men, not including Magellan. The age of exploration had begun with an enormous cost. It still continues. I'm Jim Wooten for "Nightline" in Washington.

CHRIS BURY

(Off Camera) Since NASA is so determined to keep sending men and women into space, is the shuttle still the right way to go? That conversation in a moment.

commercial break

CHRIS BURY

(Off Camera) Joining us from the Johnson Space Center in Houston, Doctor Mae Jemison, who was among the first astronauts selected after the Challenger accident. She flew as a science mission specialist on a shuttle flight in 1992. And from Durham, North Carolina, Duke University professor Alex Roland, who spent eight years as a historian with NASA. Doctor Jemison, let me begin with you because you are in a better position than any of us to talk about the risks involved. But the question is, in light of the Columbia disaster, should NASA put the shuttle program on hold?

DOCTOR MAE JEMISON,

FORMER SPACE SHUTTLE ASTRONAUT

The prudent thing to do right now is to put the shuttle program on hold until one understands what went on during the Columbia incident. Because, the reality is, until we understand, was it a problem with the tiles? Was it something that came off with the foam? Is it having to do with the APUs? Whatever the issue is, we need to understand that to make sure it's not a problem that's going to occur with every vehicle, that we resolve that problem and figure out any ways to move things forward, to make it safe. So, yes, it's a prudent move to do right now. However, that doesn't mean that you extend it to say that we don't continue on with human space flight.

CHRIS BURY

(Off Camera) Professor Roland, obviously there are many risks involved in human space flight. Have the risks become unmanageable now in the wake of the second fatal catastrophe?

ALEX ROLAND, FORMER NASA HISTORIAN

No, I don't think they're unmanageable. But I don't think they've been managed very well. I think, by the time this investigation's done, we're likely to see that there are the same systemic problems at work now that were at work behind the Challenger accident. That is, we have a shuttle program that is overstressed for being underfunded. They're trying to do too much with the money they have available. And that puts stress on the managers, causes them to make bad decisions. So I think we need to re-evaluate the program, surely find out what the specifics of this accident were. But then look for systemic ways to improve the program so it has chances for a better safety record in the future.

CHRIS BURY

(Off Camera) Doctor Jemison, is the shuttle still the right vehicle for the job? Or is it too old? Too big? Too unwieldy, as some, including Professor Roland, have suggested?

DOCTOR MAE JEMISON

I think what we have to do is understand what the shuttle was designed for. The shuttle was designed initially to carry a multitude, a variety of cargo, up into space and bring it back down. Initially it was designed to go to a space station. And then other requirements were levied on it. So, in the other hand, what Professor Roland is saying about understanding what we're doing and NASA's budget being too tight, may have some validity. But I don't think that there's a validity so much in the safety, as in, we have to, as a country, commit to a program and then fund it to that level instead of changing it.

CHRIS BURY

(Off Camera) Professor Roland, as Doctor Jemison just pointed out, the shuttle was in fact designed for a far different mission, to fly far more frequently with great payloads. And the question is, has the shuttle outlived its usefulness?

ALEX ROLAND

Well, you would still want to use it for certain kinds of missions. I don't believe we should have a space station. But if you're going to have one, it's appropriate to use the shuttle to carry up some of those large components. It's not appropriate to use it for just crew resupply to the station where you only have small number of crew going up or for the kind of mission we just had. It's like driving a truck to do what a small automobile could do.

CHRIS BURY

(Off Camera) Larger question, Doctor Jemison, and this has based on the assumption that manned space travel is still necessary, and the question is, why? Why do we still need to put men and women in space?

DOCTOR MAE JEMISON

Well, human space flight is about extending human presence in the universe. I think that there's a number of ways to look at this. People advocate robotic missions. Robotic missions can only do things. They can only do things that you've already thought of, in terms of possibilities. Humans have the ability to be much more flexible, where you can change the possible experiments that are done. We see with a different eye. We may notice things that are not noticed on robotic missions. And I think that there's also the very real need to just extend human presence. There is a drive for us to explore. And to set that aside, I think, is not in the best interest of the advancement of mankind, of humanity.

CHRIS BURY

(Off Camera) Professor, isn't it cheaper and safer to use cameras and computers and robots?

ALEX ROLAND

Of course it is. Anything you can identify to do in space, you can do more efficiently, more effectively, and more safely with machine. Doctor Jemison, really offers two rationales for having humans there. One, is that we need a human in space. But that's having humans in space as an ends in itself, which doesn't make any sense to me. Secondly, she says that humans are able to adapt to unexpected circumstances in space. I think that seldom happens in the space program because as we've seen with the recent shuttle accident, those humans have to have the proper equipment, the proper information. Their whole mission has to be designed for whatever they're going to do. They have little flexibility to change that mission once they're launched. In fact, I believe that when you put humans on a spacecraft, you limit its capabilities to do exploration and research because the primary function of the space craft then becomes getting the humans back alive, not conducting the mission.

DOCTOR MAE JEMISON

I actually have to disagree with Professor Roland. Because when you do things like work experimentation with animals, that kind of thing, you do need humans around. The whole idea that a robotic mission's profile can be changed is not true, either. Yes, safety is an issue. The very safest flight would be, not to do it at all. So, there is a question about, what is it that you're attempting to do? I think some mixture of robotic missions and human missions is what's necessary. To say that humans don't need to go somewhere would be, to say that we can send a robot to Hawaii and have the same experience, the same evaluation as having sent a human explorer there.

CHRIS BURY

(Off Camera) Mister Roland, we just have a few seconds left. How much of the drive to put humans in space still, after all these years, is a matter of pure politics, of getting public support and Congress' support?

ALEX ROLAND

NASA has always believed, since the Apollo program, that manned space flight would be the essential ingredient of any successful space program. They believe that the American public and Congress wouldn't support a program without manned space activity. I think they ought to give it a try. I'm not saying we should get rid of all manned space flight, but I think the public would be tolerant of a lot more good space science and a lot less of astronauts floating around, tending experiments that don't amount to much.

CHRIS BURY

(Off Camera) On that note. Thank you very much. Professor Alex Roland, Doctor Mae Jemison, we appreciate you joining us tonight. I'll be back with a note about ABC's coverage of tomorrow's memorial service in a moment.

commercial break

CHRIS BURY

(Off Camera) Tomorrow afternoon, President Bush will attend the memorial service for the Columbia astronauts in Houston. ABC News live coverage is scheduled to begin at 1:00 Eastern time. And that's our report for tonight. I'm Chris Bury in Washington. For all of us here at ABC News, good night.


Copyright © 2003, American Broadcasting Companies, Inc.