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Russo-Ukraine War - 03 October 2024 - Day 953

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A number of claims and counterclaims are being made on the Ukraine-Russia conflict on the ground and online. While GlobalSecurity.org takes utmost care to accurately report this news story, we cannot independently verify the authenticity of all statements, photos and videos.

On 24 February 2022, Ukraine was suddenly and deliberately attacked by land, naval and air forces of Russia, igniting the largest European war since the Great Patriotic War. Russian President Vladimir Putin announced a "special military operation" (SVO - spetsialnaya voennaya operatsiya) in Ukraine in response to the appeal of the leaders of the "Donbass republics" for help. That attack is a blatant violation of the territorial integrity, sovereignty and independence of Ukraine. Putin stressed that Moscow's goal is the demilitarization and denazification of the country. The military buildup in preceeding months makes it obvious that the unprovoked and dastardly Russian attack was deliberately planned long in advance. During the intervening time, the Russian government had deliberately sought to deceive the world by false statements and expressions of hope for continued peace.

"To initiate a war of aggression... is not only an international crime; it is the supreme international crime differing only from other war crimes in that it contains within itself the accumulated evil of the whole." [Judgment of the International Military Tribunal]


The UK Ministry of Defence reported that on 11 September 2024, the Merchant Vessel (MV) Aya was struck by a missile in the Black Sea as it transited south from the Ukrainian port of Odesa having been loaded with more than 26 thousand tons of grain bound for Egypt. It is almost certain that the missile was an AS-4 KITCHEN anti-ship missile launched by a Tu-22M3 BACKFIRE Russian bomber that was operating in the area at the time. It is a realistic possibility that a detonation failure avoided catastrophic damage.
It is unlikely that the MV Aya was the intended target for this mission and was likely struck due to poor targeting procedures from Russian pilots using an aging munition. Russia has regularly attacked targets along Ukraine's Black Sea coastline, including Snake Island, as they attempt to disrupt export activity and degrade any military assets in the area.

Following the loss of a BACKFIRE in April this year, Russia has almost certainly been more wary with their strike operations in the Black Sea. It is a realistic possibility this incident occurred due to pilots incorrectly identifying MV Aya as their target in haste, wanting to depart the area immediately after launch for fear of being targeted by a Ukrainian surface to air missile.

The KITCHEN missile has consistently underperformed in the Ukraine conflict. Launching a supersonic cruise missile on an incorrect heading against a likely erroneous target in international waters demonstrates extremely poor and irresponsible aviation practice.

The General Staff of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reported that the Defense Forces of Ukraine continue to withhold the pressure of the occupation troops. The situation in the Pokrovsk and Kurakhivsk directions remains tense - Russia is focusing the main offensive efforts there. In addition, the occupiers are actively attacking the Lyman direction today.

So far, there have been 132 combat clashes. Today, the Russian terrorist state made three rocket strikes with three rockets, 48 air strikes, dropping 97 KAB. In addition, the Russian zagarbniki launched 788 kamikaze drones for strikes and carried out over 3,000 shells at the positions of Ukrainian troops and settlements.

In the Kharkiv direction, Russian forces three times unsuccessfully stormed the positions of Ukrainian units in the areas of Vovchansk and Starica, and dropped ten air bombs on Cherkasy Lozova, Starica and Bochkove. The Russian enemy suffers significant losses - today 110 Russian occupants were killed and wounded, one tank, seven artillery systems, four RSVs, 11 cars, 33 unmanned aircraft and four special equipment units.
Eleven times Russian forces attacked Ukrainian positions in the Kupyansky direction. Near Sinkivka, Kurylivka, Sand and Pershotravnevogo units, the Defense Forces repelled nine assaults. The fighting continues in the area of vyshnevogo and petropavlívki.
In the Lyman direction today, Russian troops attacked Ukrainian defenders 13 times in the areas of settlements Makiyivka, Novosadove, Torske, Druzhelyubivka, Grekivka and Dronivka.
Russian forces once tried to push Ukrainian defenders out of positions in the area of Spirny on the Siversky direction. After getting a hard cut off, he walked away.
In the Kramators комуkomu direction Ukrainian warriors fought off six attempts of zagarbnikív to move forward. Russian forces concentrated efforts in the area of Andriyivka, White Mountain and Stupočok. In addition, with the support of bombarduval Кnoí̈ aviation, the enemy attacked the times of yar.
Toretsk, Dachne and Nelipivka were attacked nine times in the Toretsky direction, before that the Russian aggressor's aviation bombarded the areas of the settlements of Katerinivka, Druzhba and Kleban-Bik.
The main efforts of the Russian enemy continues to focus on the pokrovsky direction, here, throughout this day, the aggressor 28 times attacked Ukrainian positions in the areas of Suhoí̈ Balka, Girnika, Promenâ, Novotoretsky and Krutogo Yar.
According to preliminary estimates, today the Russian occupiers on the Pokrovsky direction lost 288 soldiers killed and wounded. One tank, two combat armored vehicles, seven cars, two BM-21 Hail jet fire systems, one reconnaissance BPLA and one artillery system were destroyed. Ukrainian defenders also caused significant damage to two artsystems, two cars, five armored machines and one tank.
In the kurakhiv direction Russian zagarbniki are also pretty active - at this time of the day recorded 23 Russian attacks. Two of them going on. Mainly fighting took place in the districts of Novooleksandrivka, Tsukurinyo, Georgiyivka, Konstantinivka, Trudovoye, Vozdvizhenko, Antonivka and Katerynivka.
Four times today the Russian enemy has stormed the front edge of Ukrainian defense in the direction of Maximivka and Epiphany in the Vremivsky direction.
Two attacks of Russian zagarbnikív near kamiansky and novodanilivka were stopped in the orihiv direction.
The Defense Forces of Ukraine continue their operation in the Kursk direction, where Russian forces launched six air strikes using 13 controlled air bombs.

The Ministry of Defense of the Russian Federation reported that the Sever Group of Forces in Liptsy and Volchansk directions engaged the units of the 57th Motorised Infantry Brigade, the 92nd Air Assault Brigade of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, the 113th and 129th territorial defence brigades in Malye Prokhody, Liptsy, Volchansk (Kharkov region), and the city of Kharkov.

The AFU losses amounted to up to 145 troops, one armoured fighting vehicle, two motor vehicles, one 152-mm D-20 gun, and one 122-mm D-30 howitzer. An Anklav-N electronic warfare station, a manufacturing facility and a storage depot for unmanned aerial vehicles were neutralised.

The Zapad Group's units have taken more advantageous lines and positions. The Group inflicted fire damage on manpower and materiel of the 44th, 63rd, and 66th mechanised brigades, 143rd Infantry Brigade, 3rd Assault Brigade, 114th Territorial Defence Brigade, and 1st National Guard Brigade close to Kupyansk, Novoosinovo, Kruglyakovka, Lozovaya, Zeleny Gai (Kharkov region), Nevskoye (Lugansk People's Republic), Torskoye (Donetsk People's Republic), and Serebryansky forestry.

Three counter-attacks launched by assault groups of 14t, 53rd, and 116th mechanised brigades of the AFU were repelled.

The AFU losses amounted to up to 400 troops, one infantry fighting vehicle, seven motor vehicles, U.S.-made 155-mm M777 and M198 howitzers, one UK-made 155-mm FH-70 howitzer, and two 122-mm D-30 howitzers. Two Anklav-N electronic warfare stations, two U.S.-made AN/TPQ-50 counter-battery radars, and four ammunition depots were destroyed.

The Yug Group of Forces improved the tactical position. The Group engaged the units of the 22nd, 30th, 54th, 93rd mechanised brigades, 56th Motorised Infantry Brigade, 144th Infantry Brigade, and 46th Airmobile Brigade close to Seversk, Nikiforovka, Kramatorsk, Markovo, Verolyubovka, Stupochki, Predtechino, Belaya Gora, Maksimilyanovka, and Katerinovka (Donetsk People's Republic).

Three counter-attacks launched by assault groups of 24th Mechanised Brigade, 5th Assault Brigade, and 81st Airmobile Brigade of the AFU were repelled.

The enemy sustained losses of up to 720 troops, one infantry fighting vehicle, four motor vehicles, one 122-mm Gvozdika self-propelled artillery system, one 122-mm D-30 howitzer, one U.S.-made 105-mm M119 gun, one 155-mm FH-70 howitzer and 105-mm L-119 gun made by the UK. One assembly workshop for unmanned aerial vehicle, one Anklav-N electronic warfare station, and three field ammunition depots were eliminated.

The units of the Tsentr Group of Forces continued advancing to the depth of enemy defences. They inflicted fire damage on the 31st, 32nd, 101st, 110th, 151st mechanised brigades, 1st Tank Brigade, 142nd Infantry Brigade, 95th Air Assault Brigade, 109th and 112th territorial defence brigades, 12th and 14th national guard brigades close to Dzerzhinsk, Druzhba, Sukhaya Balka, Krasny Yar, Grodovka, and Gornyak (Donetsk People's Republic).

Eight counter-attacks launched by assault groups of the 53rd, 100th, 150th mechanised brigades, 144th Infantry Brigade, 25th Air Assault Brigade, and the 425th Assault Battalion of the Armed Forces of Ukraine were repelled.

The enemy losses included up to 615 troops, one tank, two armoured fighting vehicles, four pick-up trucks, one 152-mm D-20 gun, one 122-mm Gvozdika self-propelled artillery system, three 122-mm D-30 howitzers, and one 100-mm Rapira anti-tank gun.

The units of the Vostok Group of Forces improved the situation along the front line. They inflicted damage on manpower and materiel of the 72nd Mechanised Brigade, 58th Motorised Infantry Brigade, 118th, 125th, 241st territorial defence brigades, and 21st National Guard Brigade close to Dobrovolye, Zolotaya Niva, Velikaya Novoselka (Donetsk People's Republic), and Levadnoye (Zaporozhye region).

Two counter-attacks launched by assault detachments of the AFU 110th Territorial Defence Brigade were repelled.

The AFU losses amounted to up to 130 troops, one armoured fighting vehicle, six motor vehicles, and two French-made 155-mm CAESAR howitzers.

The Dnepr Group of Forces defeated the units of the 141st Infantry Brigade, the 35th Marine Brigade, the 103rd and 108th territorial defence brigades near Malaya Tokmachka, Nesteryanka (Zaporozhye region), Stepnoye, Kazatskoye, and Kisomys (Kherson region).

The AFU losses amounted to up to 75 troops, one tank, seven motor vehicles, and one 152-mm D-20 gun. One U.S.-made AN/TPQ-50 counter-battery radar and three field ammunition depots have been neutralised.

Operational-Tactical Aviation, attack unmanned aerial vehicles, and Missile Troops and Artillery of the Russian Groups of Forces have engaged Ukrainian energy facilities that supported the actions of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, as well as clusters of enemy manpower and military hardware in 146 areas.

Russian air defence systems have shot down four ATACMS operational-tactical missiles and five U.S.-made HIMARS MLRS projectiles along with 144 fixed-wing unmanned aerial vehicles, with 122 of them outside the special military operation zone.

In total, since the beginning of the special military operation, 646 aircraft, 283 helicopters, 32,734 unmanned aerial vehicles, 579 anti-aircraft missile systems, 18,479 tanks and other armoured fighting vehicles, 1,469 MLRS combat vehicles, 15,507 field artillery guns and mortars, and 26,824 units of support military vehicles have been neutralised.

The Ministry of Defense of the Russian Federation also reported that the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation continue the operation to neutralise an enemy group, which broke into the territory of Kursk region.

The Sever Group of Forces continued offensive and damaged formations of the 21st, 22nd, and 115th mechanised brigades, 17th Tank Brigade, 82nd and 95th airborne assault brigades of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, the 1st National Guard Brigade, the 36th Marine Brigade, as well as the 129th Territorial Defence Brigade near Daryino, Lyubimovka, Novy Put, Nikolayevo-Daryino, and Plekhovo.

Over the past 24 hours, the Sever Group of Forces repelled two enemy counter-attacks towards Plekhovo. As a result, the Armed Forces of Ukraine have lost up to 30 troops killed and wounded.

In addition, the enemy made five attempts to break through the border of the Russian Federation towards Novy Put. There was no violation of the State border. The AFU losses amounted to more than 60 troops killed and wounded; three armoured fighting vehicles and one motor vehicle were eliminated.

Army Aviation and artillery strikes inflicted losses on manpower and hardware clusters of the 22nd, 41st, 61st, and 115th mechanised brigades, 17th Tank Brigade, 80th and 95th air assault brigades of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, the 1st National Guard Brigade, the 36th Marine Brigade, as well as the 112th and 129th territorial defence brigades close to Bogdanovka, Daryino, Zeleny Shlyakh, Lyubimovka, Martynovka, Melovy, Nikolo-Daryino, Novoivanovka, Novy Put, Orlovka, Plekhovo, Pokrovsky, Russkoye Porechnoye, Sverdlikovo, Tolsty Lug, Cherkasskoye Porechnoye, and Yuzhny.

Operational-Tactical Aviation and Missile Troops hit concentration areas in Sumy region and reserves of the 21st, 41st, 47th, and 115th mechanised brigades of the AFU, 1st National Guard Brigade, as well as the 101st and 103rd territorial defence brigades near the Veliky Bobrik, Velikaya Chernetchina, Glukhov, Makeyevka, Obody, Pavlovka, Peremoga, Rechki, Sklyarovka, Studenok, and Ulanovo.

The AFU losses amounted to more than 300 troops, four armoured fighting vehicles, as well as six artillery guns, including two U.S.-made Paladin self-propelled artillery systems, one Swedish-made Archer self-propelled artillery system, and three motor vehicles.

Since the beginning of hostilities in Kursk region, the Armed Forces of Ukraine have lost more than 19,850 troops, 135 tanks, 66 infantry fighting vehicles, 98 armoured personnel carriers, 864 armoured fighting vehicles, 577 motor vehicles, 162 artillery guns, 33 MLRS launchers, including eight of HIMARS and six of MLRS made by the USA, nine SAM launchers, five transport-loading vehicles, 40 electronic warfare stations and nine counter-battery radars, three air defence radars, 19 engineering and other vehicles, including 11 counterobstacle vehicles, one UR-77 mine clearing vehicle, and two armoured recovery vehicles.

The operation to neutralise the AFU units is in progress.


In September, Russia expanded its control in Ukraine by approximately 467.7 km², the largest monthly gain for Russia since March 2022. They also retook control of approximately 125.9 km² of the territory in Kursk Oblast seized by Ukraine last month, for a total net Russian gain of 593.6 km². As of the end of September, Russia occupies 17.86% (+0.08%) of Ukraine, including Crimea, and the parts of Donetsk and Luhansk occupied before 2022, shown in purple. This second chart illustrates how Russian control has evolved since the invasion began in February 2022. As of the end of September, Russia occupies 17.86% (+0.08%) of Ukraine, including Crimea, and the parts of Donetsk and Luhansk occupied before 2022, shown in purple. This second chart illustrates how Russian control has evolved since the invasion began in February 2022. This series of charts shows control over time in the 4 Oblasts in Ukraine with active moving fronts. Russia is steadily progressing on all fronts, with more rapid advances in Donetsk Oblast. This series of charts shows control over time in the 4 Oblasts in Ukraine with active moving fronts. Russia is steadily progressing on all fronts, with more rapid advances in Donetsk Oblast. This series of charts shows control over time in the 4 Oblasts in Ukraine with active moving fronts. Russia is steadily progressing on all fronts, with more rapid advances in Donetsk Oblast. This series of charts shows control over time in the 4 Oblasts in Ukraine with active moving fronts. Russia is steadily progressing on all fronts, with more rapid advances in Donetsk Oblast. A look at the progression of the Ukrainian incursion into Kursk since the operation there began. Ukrainian control there peaked around 6th September at 2.84%.



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