Measuring Stability and Security in Iraq

June 2007
Report to Congress
In accordance with the
Department of Defense Appropriations Act 2007
(Section 9010, Public Law 109-289)

¹ Data cutoff date for this report is May 15, 2007.

² Translates as "Enforcing the Law."

³ Background material can be found at www.iraqcompact.org

⁴ Nationwide poll, April 2007: "The militias are acting in the best interests of the Iraqi people." 25% agree nationwide, 52% agree in Baghdad. Sample size: ~12,000 (nationwide). Margin of error: ~ 1% nationwide, < 5% provincial.

⁵ Nationwide poll, March 2007: "Do you agree with the following statement? I feel safe traveling outside my neighborhood." 30% agree. Sample size: ~12,000. Margin of error: ~ 1% nationwide, < 5% provincial.

⁶ Nationwide poll, March 2007: "On a scale of 1 to 10, with 10 being high and 1 being low, how would you describe the tensions in your [country/neighborhood] today?" Country/neighborhood average: 7.76/3.47. Sample size: ~12,000. Margin of error: ~ 1% nationwide, < 5% provincial.

⁷ Nationwide poll, March 2007: "Do you agree with the following statement? Militias should be dissolved." 77% agree, 19% disagree. Sample size: ~12,000. Margin of error: ~ 1%.

⁸ Nationwide Poll, April 2007 - "How confident are you in the following to improve the situation in Iraq? The Iraqi Government." 58% say 'a great deal' or 'some' confidence, 30% say 'little' or 'no' confidence. Sample size: ~8000. Margin of error: ~1%

⁹ Nationwide poll, March 2007: "Agree or disagree, Our national government is leading the country in the right direction." 61% agree, 30% disagree. Sample size: ~8000. Margin of error: ~1%

¹⁰ Nationwide Poll, March 2007 - "How satisfied are you with the following? The ability of the Iraqi Police to provide security in my area." 71% say 'very' or 'somewhat' satisfied, 23% say 'somewhat' or 'very dissatisfied. Sample size: ~8000. Margin of error: ~1%

¹¹ Nationwide Poll, March 2007 - "How satisfied are you with the following? The ability of the Iraqi Army to provide security in my area." 67% say 'very' or 'somewhat' satisfied, 25% say 'somewhat' or 'very dissatisfied. Sample size: ~8000. Margin of error: ~1%

¹² Nationwide poll, December 2006, and March 2007: "In general, do you have confidence in the ability of the Iraqi government to protect you and your family from threat?" Yes, 47% and 53%, respectively. Sample size: ~8,000 (nationwide). Margin of error: < 1.5% (nationwide) and 2%-8% (provincial).

¹³ This report and future reports will not discuss the Center for Dignitary Protection. MNSTC-I has completed its training goal and no longer has visibility on whether these personnel are serving. MNSTC-I continues to assist in training bodyguards for high-ranking GOI personnel.

¹⁴ The nine key cities are: Baqubah, Basra, Fallujah, Kirkuk, Mosul, Najaf, N. Babil, Ramadi, and Samarra.

¹⁵ This includes the approximately 137,000 authorization for the Objective Counterinsurgency Force, approximately 12,000 authorization for the 10% manning increase for the Iraqi Army, and approximately 26,000 for the prime minster's initiative to expand the military with new units.