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Russo-Ukraine War - 10 May 2022 - Day 76

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A number of claims and counterclaims are being made on the Ukraine-Russia conflict on the ground and online. While GlobalSecurity.org takes utmost care to accurately report this news story, we cannot independently verify the authenticity of all statements, photos and videos.

On 24 February 2022, Ukraine was suddenly and deliberately attacked by land, naval and air forces of Russia, igniting the largest European war since the Great Patriotic War. Russian President Vladimir Putin announced a "special military operation" in Ukraine in response to the appeal of the leaders of the "Donbass republics" for help. That attack is a blatant violation of the territorial integrity, sovereignty and independence of Ukraine. Putin stressed that Moscow's goal is the demilitarization and denazification of the country. The military buildup in preceeding months makes it obvious that the unprovoked and dastardly Russian attack was deliberately planned long in advance. During the intervening time, the Russian government had deliberately sought to deceive the world by false statements and expressions of hope for continued peace.

"To initiate a war of aggression... is not only an international crime; it is the supreme international crime differing only from other war crimes in that it contains within itself the accumulated evil of the whole." [Judgment of the International Military Tribunal]

The seventy-sixth day of the Ukrainian people's heroic confrontation with the Russian military invasion continues. Full-scale armed aggression against Ukraine continues. The Russians are increasing the pace of strategic offensive operations in the Eastern Operational Zone. Exercises fire along the entire line of contact and in the depths of the defense of Ukrainian troops.

“Putin faces a mismatch between his ambitions and Russia’s current conventional military capabilities” Director of National Intelligence Avril Haines told the Senate Armed Services Committee. “At the very least, we believe the dichotomy will usher in a period of more ad hoc decision-making in Russia, both with respect to the domestic adjustments required to sustain this push, as well as the military conflict with Ukraine and the West,” she said. “And the current trend increases the likelihood that President Putin will turn to more drastic means, including imposing martial law, reorienting industrial production, or potentially escalatory military actions to free up the resources needed to achieve his objectives as the conflict drags on, or if he perceives Russia is losing in Ukraine.” Haines said “The next month of fighting will be significant as Russian attempts to reinvigorate their efforts.... But even if they are successful, we are not confident the fight in Donbas will effectively end the war... As both Russia and Ukraine believe they can continue to make progress militarily, we do not see a viable negotiating path forward, at least in the short term”.

The UK Ministry of Defence assessed that Russia's underestimation of Ukrainian resistance and its 'best case scenario' planning led to demonstrable operational failings, preventing President Putin from announcing significant military success in Ukraine at the 09 May Victory Day parade. Russia's invasion plan is highly likely to have been based on the mistaken assumption that it would encounter limited resistance and would be able to encircle and bypass population centres rapidly. This assumption led Russian forces to attempt to carry out the opening phase of the operation with a light, precise approach intended to achieve a rapid victory with minimal cost. This miscalculation led to unsustainable losses and a subsequent reduction in Russia's operational focus.

Vladimir Golstein, associate professor at Brown University in Rhode Island, noted "the endless barrage of news to which Americans have been exposed, seems to carry two messages: first, Russians are barbaric and therefore performing all sorts of barbaric policies, including wars; second, they are not competent at what they do and are therefore being defeated by the courageous Ukrainian forces. ... The nature of this proxy war is obvious, and it has been obvious to any unbiased observer. The speed with which Ukraine has been armed by NATO, the provocative Ukrainian stance, the West's refusal to engage in diplomacy, the well-organised sanction campaign, the all-powerful media blitzkrieg, and finally, the acknowledgment of the top figures in western establishment that their purpose is to weaken Russia so it won’t be capable of any military action, all testify to the highly elaborate plans of subjugating Russia before tackling the next country that threatens NATO hegemony: China." Oleksiy Arestovych pointed to Putin’s statement that Russia would honor the memory of those who fought in World War II by doing “everything so that the horror of a global war does not happen again”. Translating from “Kremlin speak into Russian,” Arestovych said this means: “There will be no nuclear war. There will be no war with NATO. What will there be? There will be a sluggish attempt to solve three main problems,” which he identified as taking control of the entire Luhansk, Donetsk and Kherson regions. Arestovych said in an online interview that Russia would drag out the war while bleeding the Ukrainian economy with the aim of getting Ukraine to agree to give up these territories.

Members of the Kremlin-linked private military company, the Wagner Group, have reportedly requested hundreds of thousands of additional troops to reinforce Russian efforts in Donbas, the Institute for the Study of War said. In its latest campaign assessment, the institute cited intelligence reports that untrained Russian conscripts were still being sent into active combat despite the Kremlin denying this practice. It mentioned a prisoner of war from the Wagner Group saying that a “covert mobilisation” was under way in Russia to send conscripts to clean damage caused by combat in the self-proclaimed Donetsk and Luhansk people’s republics.

The institute also said US officials had reported that Russian forces deployed to the Zaporizhzhia area were experiencing “very low morale and psychological conditions”. They “complain about the ineffectiveness of operations in the area, frequently abuse alcohol, and shoot at their own vehicles in order to avoid going to the front line”, the institute added.

A senior US defense official stated "Their Russian sortie count is up over 300 now, so that is a -- that is a -- an increase from what we've -- from what we've seen in the past. And we largely talked about them being between 2 and 300. They're up over 300 in the last 24 hours. ... Russians are up to about what we -- we're counting 99 operational BTGs inside Ukraine. So over the last 24, they added two. We believe that these two were airborne BTGs and it's not exactly clear where they went. I -- and we tend to -- we tend to think that -- that they've put them into the south but it's not a -- it's not 100 percent certain.... we would assess that the Russians are, you know, at -- at about two weeks behind where they wanted to be... it's hard to say that it is when there's just so much relative close range fighting that's going on in some of these areas and the -- and the fact that -- that these towns and villages, you know, continue to change hands."

The senior US defense official stated "we see increasing -- an increasing reliance on dumb bombs, for instance, in Mariupol. We know that they have -- that -- that they are -- they have -- they have burned through quite a bit of their precision-guided munitions. It doesn't mean that they don't have any left but -- but we know that they have -- that they have expended quite a bit. And we also know that the -- that the sanctions are having a bite on the Russians' ability to replenish those stocks in their defense industrial base. So we know that -- that the sanctions are responsible for -- for making it harder for Mr. Putin to replenish those stocks, particularly when it comes to some of the electronic components that go into precision-guided munitions."

The official noted "We still assess the airspace over Ukraine to be contested and that is to a very large degree about how nimble the Ukrainians have been in air defense, not just short defense with Stingers but -- but with the -- with longer range air defense systems. I mean like that's why the -- you know when we were talking about the S-300s going in and Slovakia providing that system was so important to give them long-range air defense. And one of the reasons we know it's -- it's working is because we continue to see the Russians wary of venturing into Ukrainian air space at all and if they do they don't stay very long. Most of their air strikes are -- well, almost all of them are launched and recovered inside Russia and they -- and they try to do these standoff strikes so that they don't have to enter Ukrainian air space... some of the dumb bomb attacks on Mariupol, they had to advance into Ukrainian airspace. They release their payload and then -- and then they get out of Dodge. They're not staying very long."

The greatest activity of the Russians is observed in Slobozhansky and Donetsk directions. There is a high probability of missile strikes on civilian and military infrastructure. In the Volyn and Polissya directions, the Russians did not take active action. There was a movement of military equipment of the Armed Forces of the Republic of Belarus in the framework of combat readiness and completion of the rotation of individual units, involved in strengthening the protection of the Ukrainian-Belarusian border in Brest and Gomel regions.

In the northern direction, the Russians continued to provide enhanced protection of the Ukrainian-Russian border in the Bryansk and Kursk regions. They fired mortars in the border areas near Karpovychi and Senkivka in the Chernihiv region. The Russians did not conduct active offensive operations in the Slobozhansky direction. They continued to take measures to regroup existing units. They carried out engineering and fortification equipment of advanced positions, strengthens the air defense system, increases the system of medical support.

In order to prevent the advance of units of the Defense Forces of Ukraine and to strengthen their troops, the Russians additionally moved up to five hundred mobilized persons from the temporarily occupied territories of Donetsk and Luhansk oblasts to the territory of Kharkiv oblast. Ukraine carried out two offensives in the Kharkiv area. North of Kharkiv Ukraine captured the settlements of Slobozhanske, Borshchova, Rus'ki Tyshky, and Cherkas'ki. Lyptsi is contested. Northwest of Kharkiv Ukraine captured Bairak, Rubizhne, Verkhnii Saltiv, and Zamilivka.

In the Izyum direction, the Russians continued to create favorable conditions for the offensive, for which it replenished ammunition and logistics, conducted engineering equipment of advanced positions and strengthened air reconnaissance. Southwest of Izyum Russia has taken control of Velyka Komyshuvakha. Russian forces have reached Derylove and Drobysheve, to the Northwest of Lyman. Unsuccessful attempts to establish control over Rubizhne continue in the Severodonetsk direction.

The Russians carried out assault operations in the areas of the settlements of Nizhne, Toshkivka, Orikhovo, Luhansk region, but had no success. The Russians were trying to gain a foothold in the area of the settlement of Oleksandrivka, carrying out assault operations in the area of the settlement of Shandryholove in Donetsk region, but had no success. In the Donetsk direction, the Russians attempted assault operations in the directions of the town of Marinka, the settlements of Kamyanka, Yasynuvata district, and Novomykhailivka, Pokrovsky district, Donetsk region. They were unsuccessful.

In the city of Mariupol, the Russians continued to focus efforts on blocking and destroying Ukrainian units near the Azovstal plant. With the support of artillery and tank fire they conducted assault operations. Zelenskyy told Maltese lawmakers that despite pleas, Ukraine has not received the amount of weapons it would need to unblock the siege of Mariupol and free the city. Zelenskyy said defenders “still continue their resistance in the plant of Azovstal. We are using all possible diplomatic instruments to rescue them, but Russia doesn’t allow for any of the proposed options. We have asked our partners to provide weapons in order to unblock Mariupol and rescue both civilians and military personnel”.

A Ukrainian fighter holed up in Mariupol’s Azovstal steelworks said that numerous wounded troops need to be evacuated from the site after Russian attacks there. “There are plenty of wounded. They need evacuation. One can’t delay the process because the wounded need care … [and] drugs. They need normal food and fresh air,” Captain Sviatoslav Palamar, a deputy commander of Ukraine’s Azov Regiment, told the Ukrainska Pravda newspaper. Hundreds of Ukrainian fighters are believed to be occupying the sprawling steelworks, their last holdout against Russian forces intent on capturing all of Mariupol.

At least 100 civilians remain holed up in Mariupol’s Azovstal steelworks, an aide to the city’s mayor said. “In addition to the military, at least 100 civilians remain in the [Azovstal] shelters. However, this does not reduce the density of attacks by the occupiers,” Petro Andryushchenko said in a post on Telegram. Ukraine had previously indicated that all civilians had left Azovstal, and Russia said the evacuation of civilians from the sprawling, Soviet-era plant was complete. The situation in the Zaporizhzhya and Yuzhnobuzh directions has not changed significantly. An intensified level of terrorist threat continued to operate in the Transnistrian region of the Republic of Moldova. Mobilization activities were not being carried out in the region, but local armed groups and a task force of Russian troops continue to be on high alert.

The Russians continued to suffer losses on the territory of Ukraine. Thus, according to available information, units of the 138th separate mechanized brigade of the 6th Combined Arms Army of the Western Military District due to significant losses in the Kharkiv region were withdrawn from Ukraine to the Belgorod region of the Russian Federation. A significant part of the remaining military personnel under the contract wrote reports on dismissal. As a result of coordinated actions of the personnel of the units of the Defense Forces of Ukraine in the Kharkiv region, the settlements of Cherkasy Tyshky, Rusky Tyshky, Rubizhne and Bayrak were liberated.

Aviation of the RF Armed Forces hit two depots of rocket and artillery weapons of the Armed Forces of Ukraine and more than 70 objects in a day. Russian air defense systems shot down a Su-25 attack aircraft in the Dnepropetrovsk region and a Mi-8 helicopter in the Kherson region. This was stated by the official representative of the Russian Defense Ministry, Major General Igor Konashenkov. "Russian air defense systems shot down a Ukrainian Su-25 aircraft in the area of Shirokoye, Dnipropetrovsk region. In addition, a Mi-8 helicopter of the Ukrainian Air Force was shot down near Novodmitrovka, Kherson region," he said. According to Konashenkov, four Ukrainian unmanned aerial vehicles were also destroyed.

"Rocket forces and artillery units hit 223 areas of concentration of manpower and military equipment, destroyed three command posts and two ammunition depots. As a result of the strikes, more than 100 nationalists were killed, 19 units of military equipment were disabled," Konashenkov said. "Operational-tactical and army aviation hit 74 targets during the day, including two command posts, 20 areas of concentration of manpower and military equipment of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, as well as two depots of rocket and artillery weapons," he added.

According to the Ministry of Defense of the Russian Federation, since the beginning of the special military operation, 164 aircraft, 125 helicopters, 798 unmanned aerial vehicles, 302 anti-aircraft missile systems, 2,983 tanks and other armored combat vehicles, 351 multiple rocket launchers, 1,440 field artillery pieces have been destroyed since the beginning of the special military operation. and mortars, as well as 2,796 units of special military vehicles.

The official representative of the Russian Defense Ministry, Major General Igor Konashenkov, said that Ukraine had lost 30 military drones near Zmeiny Island. "This adventure ended in disaster for Ukraine. The mindless PR campaign of the Kyiv regime to seize Zmeiny Island on the eve of Victory Day led to the senseless death of more than five dozen Ukrainian militants and military personnel of the elite units of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, the loss of four aircraft, ten helicopters, three boats and thirty unmanned aerial vehicles devices," the military department of the Russian Federation said.

"Today, Russian servicemen found three more bodies of Ukrainian saboteurs washed up from the sea on the shore. Now, as a result of the failure of the Kyiv operation, 27 bodies of militants of Ukrainian special forces units and nationalists remain on Zmeiny," Konashenkov said.

"I would like to note that another Ukrainian unmanned aerial vehicle Bayraktar TB2 was destroyed by Russian air defense systems this afternoon in the area of Zmeiny Island," he said. According to Konashenkov, in this way, over the past three days, the Kyiv regime has lost only 30 military unmanned aerial vehicles in the area, nine of them - strike Bayraktar TB2. "All unmanned aerial vehicles were involved in the failed "PR campaign" of the Kyiv regime to seize the Serpent Island on the eve of May 9, the Victory Day in the Great Patriotic War," Konashenkov added.

"In total, in the course of a senseless attempt to seize the island from a military point of view, the Kyiv regime lost three Su-24 bombers and one Su-27 fighter in the Zmeinoye area. 10 helicopters of the Ukrainian Air Force were destroyed. Of these, three Mi-8 helicopters with landing troops were shot down on board, one Mi-24 support helicopter. In addition, six more Mi-8 and Mi-24 helicopters involved in the operation were destroyed on the ground near the settlement of Artsyz, Odessa region," he said. Konashenkov added that three Ukrainian armored assault boats "Centaur" with amphibious assault on board were also destroyed in the sea.

The Kremlin regime seeks to destroy the Ukrainian nation, so such actions should be recognized as genocide, and Russia is a state that supports and carries out terrorism, the Lithuanian parliament said. The Sejm unanimously voted for the corresponding resolution - 128 votes. In it, the Seim stated that the Russian armed forces and mercenaries had committed mass war crimes on the territory of Ukraine, especially in the cities of Bucha, Irpen, Mariupol, Borodianka and Gostomel. According to the document, the goal of the complete or partial destruction of the Ukrainian nation, its spirit is seen by killing its members by entire families, including children, kidnapping them, torturing, raping, including minors, mocking the bodies of those killed and tortured.

"The Seimas of Lithuania recognizes the full-scale armed aggression against Ukraine by the armed forces of the Russian Federation and its political and military leadership, which began on February 24, 2022, as a genocide of the Ukrainian people," the resolution says. It also emphasizes that all perpetrators must be held accountable and that the international community must establish a Special International Criminal Tribunal to investigate and evaluate Russia 's aggression against sovereign Ukraine.

Ukraine’s State Security Service (SBU) alleged that Russia is listing troops killed in Ukraine as “missing” while secretly burying their bodies in order to hide the true extent of its losses. The SBU said its claim was based on an intercepted phone call between a pro-Russian separatist fighter and his wife in the self-declared Donetsk People’s Republic, in eastern Ukraine. The rebel allegedly said in the call that thousands of killed Russian troops were being dumped at a huge “junkyard” near the city of Donetsk. “It’s not a morgue, it’s a landfill,” the SBU quoted the separatist fighter as saying. He reportedly added in the call that the site was “cordoned off” and the stacks of corpses there reach two metres in height. There was no immediate reaction to the SBU’s claims from Moscow.

Moscow’s losses amounted to 26,000 soldiers, including some 350 in the past 24 hours, Ukraine’s military said. Since the invasion began on February 24, Russian forces have also lost 1,170 tanks, 2,808 armoured vehicles, 199 planes and 158 helicopters, the General Staff of Armed Forces said.

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Page last modified: 17-10-2022 19:16:43 ZULU