D. We Assess That Baghdad Has Begun Renewed Production of Mustard, Sarin, GF (Cyclosarin), and VX
( ) The IC provided the Committee with seven intellieence reports which said Iran had renewed production of chemical agents. according to an IC response to a question from Committee staff "Analysts in 2002 evaluating these reports did not consider them highly reliable." There were no DELETED reports to corroborate the DELETED reporting that CW production had begun. Intelligence analysts told Committee staff that their assessment that Iraq, "had begun renewed production of mustard, sarin, GF and VX," was not based on this reporting, but was an analytical judgment based largely on DELETED reports of transshipment activity at al Musayyib DELETED, discussed previously in this report. A CIA analyst told Committee staff that prior to DELETED reports, the IC assessed that Iraq was capable of producing CW, but could not determine whether Iraq had produced such weapons. The analyst said that the IC assessed that if Iraq had been moving chemical munitions, it must have produced the agents with which to fill those munitions. The specific references to the chemical agents mustard, sarin, GF and VX were based on information about which agents Iraq had produced in the past and an analytical judgment about which agents Iraq was still capable of producing.
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