Draft Study
Prepared by the U.S. Department of Energy
Office of Arms Control and Nonproliferation
(NN-40)

August 23, 1995

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY:

Purpose of this Report

The Public Process

External Expert Review and Interagency Coordination

Interim Conclusions

Background

Technical Proliferation Concerns

Recommendations to Manage Proliferation Concerns at NIF

Policy Conclusions

BODY OF REPORT:
        Background on the National Ignition Facility

Technical Analysis of Proliferation Implications:

A. Overview

The Stockpile Stewardship Mission

Approach of Technical Analysis Section

B. Vertical Proliferation:

What Weapons Science can the U.S. do on NIF?

C. Managing Vertical Proliferation Concerns at NIF

D. Horizontal Proliferation:

Technical Factors that mitigate utility of NIF for proliferation

Proliferation by Other States

E. Managing Horizontal Proliferation Concerns at NIF

Policy Issues related to NIF and Nonproliferation

A. Impact on Comprehensive Test Ban Treaty Negotiations

B. Impact on the Nuclear Nonproliferation Treaty

C. Impact on Vertical Proliferation and a Nuclear Arms Race

D. Impact on Other Countries' Motivations to Acquire Nuclear Weapons

APPENDICES:

I. List of External Reviewers

II. New DOE Classification Guidance for Inertial Confinement Fusion (ICF)

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