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Finland - 14 Apr 2019 Parliamentary Election

Despite the relatively small changes in mid-2018, despite the fact that the three major parties have supported, by mid-2018 the winner of the next parliamentary elections can not be declared. Moving voters have, in the turn of the century, waved the power of parties even at the end of the parliamentary elections. Examples of quick turnarounds are found in this millennium parliamentary elections. The top three will remain the same. Instead, the differences between the SDP, the congregation and the center will intensify. The reason for the stalemate of stalemate is the decline of both the SDP and the consortium support. The SDP loses its support of 0.9 and the consortium 0.8 percentage points. - The situation is so much the same that the SDP and the consortium are fighting for the party of the biggest party. The center is clearly behind these two.

Finnish citizens resident outside Finland wont have to schlep to their nearest embassy to vote in the 2019 parliamentary and European elections, thanks to a rule change to finally allow postal voting. Some 250,000 Finnish citizens with the right to vote reside outside the country, but turnout has been as low as ten percent in some elections among that group. Voting currently has to be done in person, at a diplomatic mission, and Finlands network of embassies has shrunk in recent years.

Support for the Social Democrats and Christian Democrats is around the same level as among people living in Finland, noted Peltoniemi. The National Coalition Party and Swedish Peoples Party, on the other hand, have bigger support among expats than among Finnish residents.

Many experienced MPs have announced that they no longer stand for election in the spring elections. Among the MPs of the center, Tapani Tlli, Markku Rossi, Seppo Kriinen and Niilo Kernen have previously said they will leave politics in the next election.

Greens' support for YLE's poll in August 2018 was 12.6 percent. In September 2017, the popularity was 17.8 percent. Usually, green election results are below the poll. In the European 2009 polls, the Greens received 12.4 percent of the vote. Green chairman Touko Aalto admitted that the decline in popularity in the polls is annoying. "Of course, such Gallup results are a bit annoying, even though I realize that major movements are taking place in these times," Aalto said.

The support of the Left Alliance is highest in percentage points. The party's support rises to 9.1 percent, which is 1.4 percentage points higher than in the previous Survey. The Left Alliance and the Greens supporters are similar in time to time. Looking at the growing popularity of the Left Alliance, it is a mirror image of what the Greens have lost support.

The True Finns and the Blue Future also raise their support. The rise of the blue future is partly explained by the previous measurement result, which was the weakest of the party so far. Blue's small support increases from the former basic Finns, ie from the old reference group. - According to the background material, the increase in support from Finnish peoples is due to men, under 25 and the working population. One might think that the fundamental words of the True Finns, including the ending of humanitarian migration, appeal to young men.

President Sauli Niinisto accepted the resignation of the government led by centrist Prime Minister Juha Sipila on 08 March 2019. The president asked the government to complete its term in office and serve as the caretaker government. Center Party MP Arto Satonen said that the situation will not make much difference as the government's term in office was nearly over. The parliamentary election was due in April. Media reports said the government faltered after its major health reform virtually failed.

Some 4.5 million Finns headed to the polls Sunday 14 April 2019 to vote for representatives to the 200-seat Eduskunta parliament. Widespread public dissatisfaction with recent spending cuts looked likely to propel the opposition Social Democratic Party back to government for the first time in 16 years. The opposition center-left Social Democratic Party was expected to come out on top with 19 percent support. That outcome would give party leader Antti Rinne, a former finance minister, the task of finding coalition partners to form the first left-leaning government in two decades. The conservative National Coalition Party, which was in the outgoing center-right governing coalition, was neck-and-neck in second with the far-right Finns Party at around 16-17 percent. Prime Minister Juha Sipila's Center Party and the Greens were expected to come in fourth and fifth. The far-right Finns Party, led by hardline MEP Jussi Halla-aho, has seen a surge in support in recent months during an anti-immigration dominated campaign, urging people to "Vote for some borders."

The Social Democrats and other parties criticized Sipila's outgoing center-right coalition for implementing welfare cuts in an attempt to reinvigorate the economy. Rinne advocated for increasing taxes and spending to preserve health and social benefits and a world-class education system. Only 6.6% of the population is foreign-born, the lowest rate in Western Europe. Until recently, immigration was only a minor election issue. However, the Finns Party has attracted voters from small towns and villages worried about the issue.

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