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Measuring Stability and Security in Iraq

September 2007
Report to Congress
In accordance with the
Department of Defense Appropriations Act 2007
(Section 9010, Public Law 109-289)



1 Nationwide poll, August 2007: "The Iraqi people would be better off if the country were divided into 3 or more separate regions that better reflected ethnic or sectarian populations." Nationwide, 33% of Iraqis agree to this statement. Sample Size: ~12000. Margin of Error (MoE): ~1%
2 The ePRTs differ from PRTs in that they are more closely paired with a U.S. military unit in an advisory role than existing PRTs, whose primary relationship is with a provincial government. An ePRT operates at the grass roots level in its partnered military unit's area of responsibility. The ePRTs, like the ten original PRTs, are intended to promote reconciliation, build governance capacity, support U.S. counterinsurgency strategy, encourage moderate elements, and foster local economic development.
3 The Central Criminal Court of Iraq (CCCI) was established in 2003 pursuant to Coalition Provisional Order 13 (as revised and amended) to try terrorism, government corruption, organized crime, and other specified categories of cases.
4 The International Compact with Iraq (ICI) provides a five-year framework for Iraq to achieve financial sustainability through economic reform commitments between Iraq and the international community. This GoI initiative, co-chaired with the United Nations (UN), commits Iraq to reforming its economy, establishing new investment laws and regulations, building the institutions needed to combat corruption, ensuring good governance, and protecting human rights. In return, members of the international community commit to supporting these efforts through financial, technical, and administrative assistance, as well as through forgiveness of Iraq's external debt. Background material can be found at www.iraqcompact.org.
5 This quarterly report shows monthly data over a 15-month period and breaks out North and South production, whereas the last report shows weekly data for a 3-month period.
6 "Sectarian incident" is defined as an attack by a person or a group of people of a particular ethnic/religious group directed at a different ethnic/religious person or group of people where the primary purpose/motivation is based on ethnic or religious reasons.
7 Incidents reported in the Multi-National Corps-Iraq (MNC-I) Significant Activities Database include known attacks on Coalition and Iraqi forces, the civilian population, and infrastructure. These incidents typically involve improvised explosive devices, small arms including sniper fire, and indirect fire weapons.
8 Beginning with this report, data on attack incidents by month will be shown in response to a Government Accountability Office (GAO) recommendation. Previously, attack incident trends were reported using weekly averages during periods of varying length. This report will also begin to report casualties by month to be consistent with incident reporting.
9 Nationwide poll, August 2007: "Do you agree with the following statements? I feel safe and secure in my neighborhood and I feel safe traveling outside my neighborhood." Nationwide, 79% of respondents agree that they feel safe inside their neighborhoods and 33% feel safe traveling outside their neighborhoods. Sample size: ~12000. Margin of error: ~1%
10 Nationwide poll, July 2007: "How satisfied are you with the following? The ability of the Iraqi Army to provide security in my area." Nationwide, 71% of Iraqis are either somewhat or very satisfied. Sample size: ~8000. Margin of error: ~ 1%
11 Nationwide poll, July 2007: "In general, do you have confidence in the ability of the Iraqi government to improve the situation?" Nationwide, 57% of Iraqis answered "yes." Sample size: ~8000. Margin of error: ~ 1%
12 Nationwide poll, August 2007: "How would you describe the situation today in the country." Nationwide, 7.3. Sample size: ~12000. Margin of error: ~1%
13 An "independent" unit is capable of planning, executing, and sustaining counterinsurgency operations. A unit "in the lead" is capable of planning, executing and sustaining counterinsurgency operations with Coalition support. A unit fighting "side-by-side" is partially capable of conducting counterinsurgency operations in conjunction with Coalition units. A unit "forming" is at the institutional training base or is not yet capable of conducting counterinsurgency operations.
14 Payroll numbers do not reflect present-for-duty totals. No data available on how many of those on the payroll have received initial training and equipping by the Coalition or the ministries.
15 International Police Liaison Officers (IPLOs) and International Police Trainers (IPTs) were redesignated as International Police Advisors (IPAs) on July 5, 2007.
16 The nine key cities are: Baqubah, Basrah, Fallujah, Kirkuk, Mosul, Najaf, N.Babil, Ramadi, and Samarra.

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