TARGET VALUE ANALYSIS
Targeting is the process of selecting targets and matching the appropriate response, taking into account operational requirements and friendly force capabilities. Attacking targets that the enemy can least afford to lose strips him of his initiative and forces him to conform to our battle plan. Targeting requires interaction between fire support, intelligence, engineer, and maneuver personnel. Target value analysis is an analytical tool to be used in the targeting process by which the maneuver commander--
- Provides focus for his target acquisition effort.
- Identifies priorities for the engagement of enemy targets that will facilitate the success of his mission.
- Identifies effects criteria.
- Permits planning for identified contingencies based on enemy options available when the enemy operation fails.
- Better estimates friendly unit capabilities.
Target value analysis is described in Chapter 3 of the Fire Support Mission Area Analysis (FSMAA) (classified SECRET) and in FM 6-20-10. The complete FSMAA is normally distributed to FSEs at division and higher echelons. Selected extracts may be distributed to brigade and battalion levels.
High-value targets (HVTs) are targets deemed important to the enemy commander for the successful accomplishment of his mission. The loss of HVTs can be expected to contribute to a substantial degradation of an important enemy battlefield function. High-value targets are developed by using the TVA tools based on the interpretation by the friendly intelligence system of the enemy course of action.
High-payoff targets are HVTs that must be successfully acquired and attacked to contribute substantially to the success of friendly operations. They are developed on the basis of METT-T and are not dependent on the ability of the unit to acquire or attack them. If an HPT is beyond the capability of the unit to acquire, then it should be passed to the next-higher echelon as a priority intelligence requirement.
Attack criteria are a compilation of the commander's guidance, desired effects of attack, high-payoff target lists, and attack priorities.
The attack guidance matrix is a compilation of attack criteria in a format that can be understood by fire support and targeting agencies.
Time-sensitive targets are those targets requiring immediate response because they pose (or will soon pose) a clear and present danger to friendly forces or are highly lucrative fleeting targets of opportunity.
Target development is the process of providing direct combat information, targeting data, and correlated targeting information. It gives the commander and his attack managers timely and accurate locations of enemy weapon systems, units, and activities that may impact on current or projected operations.
Integral to the performance of duties by the targeting officer is the use of the IPB and the TVA. The TVA tools in the FSMAA include the spread sheets and the target sheets. The high-payoff target list is a product of target value analysis.
On the front side of each spread sheet (example below) is information about Threat forces at regiment, division, army, and front with respect to the operations the forces are expected to conduct. On the back side of the spread sheet (example) is a summary of information about the enemy doctrine and tactics. It indicates how the Threat is expected to fight, what his operation is intended to accomplish, and what alternatives he has if he fails to accomplish his primary mission. The major sections of the spread sheet are as follows:
- Title and sheet number (front and back)(A).
- Relative value matrix (front)(B).
- Attack rationale column (front)(C)
- Specific high-value targets (front)(D).
- Doctrinal template (back)(E).
- Threat force doctrinal resume (back)(F).
- Fallback option statement (back)(G).
Title and Sheet Number
These specify the unit level and enemy mission of interest. This header is shown on the front and back of the spread sheet.
Relative Value Matrix
The relative value matrix is the part of the spread sheet that indicates which of the 13 target sets are high value in that situation. The matrix presents information that aids managers of attack assets (both maneuver and fire support) and collection managers in establishing priorities.
The 13 target categories (center of the matrix) represent target groupings based on their battlefield functions, not on the associated equipment. The categories (also known as target sets) cover all of the major battlefield functions of the Threat. The categories are as follows:
- C3 targets are command, control, and communications centers that affect maneuver or combined arms.
- The FIRE SPT category covers the entire Threat fire support system.
- MANEUVER targets are combat arms tactical subunits in various postures.
- ADA refers to air defense system targets, including missile unit headquarters and processing centers, radar sites, and short-range air defense platoons.
- ENGINEER denotes engineer targets, including crossing sites, snorkeling sites, and movement support elements.
- RSTA assets include ground surveillance radars, reconnaissance patrols, and airborne sensor systems.
- The REC category is radio-electronic combat, known as offensive electronic warfare. Because of the nature of the Soviet system, some dedicated collection target acquisition assets are listed in this category instead of under RSTA.
- NUKE/CHEMICAL targets are major firing positions and nuclear and chemical support elements.
- CLASS III POL refers to petroleum, oil and lubricants support and includes transport and pipeline units and POL points.
- The CLASS V AMMO category covers the ammunition support targets.
- CLASS IX MAINT covers maintenance and repair capabilities.
- LIFT refers to general transport units in the Threat.
- LOC represents lines of communication for which no specific target types are designated. However, any target attacked that would interfere with the ground or air lines of communication is a candidate.
The right side of the matrix indicates the relative worth of target sets that are considered high value for the situation. This part of the matrix uses a simple bar chart to show the relative worth of the target sets with respect to each other for the specific operation depicted by the spread sheet. The relative worth of a target refers to the relative effect that successful attack of the target will have on the friendly operation and the friendly scheme of maneuver. The stated relative worth is confirmed by the staff during the war-gaming process. The target sets that are not considered to be of high relative worth are not assigned a value bar.
The left side of the matrix consists of three columns, labeled DISRUPT, DELAY, and LIMIT. An X in the column associated with the target set indicates that a benefit may be accrued by attacking the target with one of these particular goals in mind.
An X in the DISRUPT column indicates that attacking a target with the goal of disrupting its function may be of considerable benefit. Such attack can be by continuous suppression, neutralization, or destruction of the target by lethal means or by offensive EW for some types of targets. The enemy function represented by the target is considered unacceptable on the battlefield and must be removed.
An X in the DELAY column indicates that a benefit can be gained by attacking the target to delay its arrival on the battlefield. In some cases, a commander could opt to use a smaller amount of ammunition and slow a second-echelon force for a period of time. This would allow his maneuver forces to recover and conduct a coordinated effort when the enemy second echelon arrives at the FLOT. In this case, the unacceptable aspect of the target set function is its time of arrival at the battlefield, The implication is that the combined arms team can defeat such a target if it is given enough time to prepare.
An X in the LIMIT column indicates that a benefit can be gained if the target approach is limited, thus shunting the enemy unit to another portion of the battlefield. This either puts the target into a portion of the battlefield where it can be better handled or puts the enemy on terrain not suitable to his purposes. The unacceptable aspect of this target set function is where it is employed on the battlefield.
Attack Rationale Column
The attack rationale column in the center of the spread sheet provides a guide of the benefits to be derived by attacking targets of a particular category. This column discusses the desired objectives for attack of the target in the category. Each description is connected to the appropriate category by lines. A solid line indicates the primary results of attacking targets in the category from which the line is drawn. (Solid lines should be traced from left to right.) Some descriptions are further attached to other categories by dotted lines. This indicates that a secondary benefit is achieved for that category when the primary target is attacked. Dotted lines are traced from the attack rationale column back to the category (right to left).
Two type styles are used in the attack rationale column. Descriptions in normal type indicate that the greatest benefit is achieved by attacking targets in their associated groups sequentially from the top of the matrix to the bottom. Descriptions in italics indicate that the categories always have the same value throughout the operation, regardless of posture.
Specific High-Value Targets
The high-value target column of the spread sheet specifies the high-value targets for each set. Numbers in parentheses refer to specific target sheets containing individual target descriptions for the high-value target type given. Usually, there are some high-value targets for each category even though the set itself might be given a low relative value. When formulating detailed attack guidance, one should be aware of all of the specified high-value targets, not just those in the higher-value categories. In developing the high-payoff target list, targeting personnel should consider all of the high-value targets in the context of the situation in addition to the commander's directive.
The doctrinal template indicates the major subunits of the unit considered, deployed to scale, without regard to the effects of terrain and weather. Fire support personnel can use the template to plan acquisition coverage and likely areas of interest. However, it should be used cautiously and only as a guide, because of the effects of terrain.
The doctrinal resume is a synopsis of the major features of the operation. This portion indicates the objective of the force and the tactical principle that governs how the unit is supposed to fight.
Fallback Option Statement
The fallback option portion details what we can expect the enemy to do if he fails to accomplish his mission. Contingency plans and high-payoff target recommendations based on the most likely outcome of the current battle can be prepared and presented. Fallback options are referenced to other spread sheets in the FSMAA.
The target sheet is made up of seven major sections:
- Target category.
- Target sheet number and title (incorrectly labeled in the FSMAA as high-payoff target).
- Degradation effect.
- Some form of graphic representation.
Target Category, Sheet Number, and Title
The target category indicates in which of the 13 sets the target belongs.
The sheet number can be used to cross reference the target sheet with the spread sheet. The target title refers to the target type and function. The label "high-payoff target" from the FSMAA is a misnomer. This section really represents the high-value target cross-reference number (as shown below). The other portions of the target sheet are more complex and contain most of the information useful to targeting personnel.
The function section details the specific operations and tasks that the target is expected to perform. It includes the primary and secondary functions and indicates any relationship to the other target categories or types.
The description of the target details the number and type of vehicles and equipment in a position and specifies the approximate number of personnel associated with the position. It details the usual distance from the FEBA and indicates the normal posture of the target with respect to camouflage and orientation and the amount and type of terrain occupied. The description is useful in considering what types of attack systems and munitions are to be used. It also helps to discriminate between targets of a similar function.
The signature section describes signatures ranging from visual and electronic to auditory and infrared.
The degradation portion indicates what happens to the parent unit or an associated unit when the target function is removed. This section can be used by operations and fire support personnel to help determine effects desired against a target.
The graphic representation shows in a general overlay format how the target would be arrayed doctrinally on the battlefield.
The high-payoff target list identifies the HPTs for a specific point in the battle in the order of their priority for acquisition and attack. While target value is usually the greatest factor contributing to target payoff, other things to be considered include the following:
- Sequence or order of occurrence.
- Ability to locate and identify the target.
- Degree of accuracy and identification available from the acquisition system.
- Ability to engage the target.
- Ability to defeat the target.
- Resource requirements necessary to accomplish all of these.
The PRIORITY column simply lists the priority order of the list. The list may have any number of target priorities.
The CATEGORY column identifies the target category from which each listed high-payoff target comes. Time-sensitive (TS) targets may be identified in this column.
The SHEET NUMBER column identifies the target sheet number of each high-payoff target.
The DESCRIPTION column identifies the target description from the appropriate target sheet.
The following paragraphs present a divisional how-to guide with enough detail to provide a transition from concepts to workable TVA attack guidance. The specific tasks discussed are not normally done at levels below division. However, similar tasks are done as part of normal operations of a brigade battle staff. In performing its own target value analysis, the brigade concentrates on division-level spread sheets and target sheets. The brigade attack guidance addresses assets the brigade controls. The brigade targeting effort always occurs within the context of the decision support template. The high-payoff target list and attack guidance at brigade and task force or battalion are normally more detailed and focused than those at higher levels. This discussion is presented to facilitate an understanding of the requirements and products of the TVA process that may impact at brigade level and below. Tasks identified are done at division by the field artillery intelligence officer (FAIO) in conjunction with the targeting team and at brigade and below by the targeting officer in conjunction with the battle staff. For a more detailed discussion of specific TVA tasks and the targeting process, see FM 6-20-10.
As soon as a likely enemy course of action is determined, determine the tactical situation and find the appropriate spread sheet. Then, identify the target sets with the highest relative worth.
Coordinate with G2 and G3 plans as follows:
- From the G2 and G3, get any commander's guidance for relative worth or delay or limit modifications.
- With the G2 and/or G3, integrate finding high relative worth target sets into division priority intelligence requirements.
Get G2 input for the high-value target list based on the G2 estimate of the enemy situation.
Coordinate with G2 for planning target areas of interest and decision points. The FS cell should brief the G2 on the deep attack assets available, their ranges and capabilities, and their reaction times.
From the selected spread sheet, extract the following:
- The relative worth for each set. The relative worth will drive target attack guidance.
- Target sets to be delayed or limited. These sets will drive the attack in depth (interdiction) effort.
- High-value targets. Develop the list of high-value targets from the mission area analysis and the commander's guidance. This list will drive the development of the high-payoff target list.
- Enemy fallback options. These will drive preparation of TVA for future operations.
Start with the list of identified high-value targets, and prioritize the targets according to their relative worth and the commander's guidance.
Eliminate all targets beyond the range of division-level weapons. When the commander has approved the high-payoff target list, coordinate with the next-higher FS cell and the ALO to engage these targets.
Eliminate those targets that are too large or too hard to engage with division-level assets. Consider these targets for engagement by corps, CAS, and nuclear and chemical weapons.
Coordinate with the G2 and/or ASPS. Eliminate targets to be engaged that cannot be regularly acquired in a timely manner.
The remaining high-value targets, which can be acquired and effectively attacked once they are acquired, comprise the high-payoff target list.
Coordinate with the G2, ASPS, and/or div arty targeting personnel to search for the targets on the high-payoff target list.
Disseminate the high-payoff target list to all fire support agencies.
The attack guidance matrix is a means used to present the attack guidance for specific high-payoff targets. This guidance is recommended by operations and fire support personnel for approval by the commander. The procedure for preparing a target attack guidance matrix is described below.
First, list the 13 target categories in the CATEGORY column. Transfer all the target sheet numbers for these categories from the high-payoff target list to the HIGH PAYOFF column.
Determine what effect (suppress, neutralize, or destroy) the commander wants on each target set. Determine if the effect the commander wants requires that a modification be recommended. If ammunition and fire units are plentiful, greater effects may be achievable. If ammunition and fire units are limited, decrease the effects levels for borderline categories. On the basis of this determination, insert the appropriate effects in the HOW column of the attack guidance matrix. Enter the letter S for suppress, N for neutralize, or D for destroy. If a modification or a specific effects level is required, indicate that in the HOW column.
When to Attack
Determine when to attack each target set. Indicate in the WHEN column the decision for each target set. Enter the letter I for immediate, A for as acquired, and P for plan.
Immediate attack should be limited to not more than two target categories. The nuke/chemical target category is always immediate. If there is another category that has very high relative worth and is highly mobile, make it immediate.
Most targets will fit in the as acquired category. In general, any target that is worth shooting and is expected to move will be classified as acquired. Targets that are worth shooting and are not expected to move may be classified as acquired or plan.
NOTE: The term expected to move means that the target is likely to move before fires on the target are planned and executed. The exact length of this time will depend on both technical considerations (how long it will take to compute the fire plan, move fire units into position, break out ammunition, and so forth) and operational considerations (for instance, SEAD plans will not be fired until nearly the time of the air strike, preparations will not be fired until nearly H-hour, and so forth).
The plan attack guidance should apply to two different types of target categories:
- Target categories that, in the current situation, are not worth shooting at this time.
- Targets that may be used in future schedules of fire (such as preparations, counterpreparations. and programs) and are not likely to move before the schedule of fires is expected to be shot.
Determine any exceptions to the I, A, and P guidelines given above and adjust guidance accordingly. For example The guidance might be "Don't shoot C3 targets because we are getting good intel from radio intercepts," This guidance would make C3 a plan target set instead of as acquired.
Restrictions and/or Remarks
In the RESTRICTIONS column, identify targets that are to be coordinated with or engaged solely by EW assets. Coordinate with the G3 EW officer for guidance on what can be effectively jammed and how jamming can be coordinated.
Identify targets that are well suited for engagement with nuclear and/or chemical weapons. Note which targets should go in the nuclear development file.
Identify targets that should be nominated for attack by CAS or Army aviation assets.
Identify any special ammunition or weapon systems considerations.
Identify specific targets within a category that are much more important than the category as a whole. For instance, if a maneuver commander is particularly concerned about ATGMs, maneuver as a whole might be a category to suppress. To indicate this, include the remark Neutralize ATGMs.
Dissemination of Matrix
Finalize the attack guidance matrix as shown below. Disseminate the attack guidance matrix so that all fire support agencies have it.
To prepare TVA for future operations, identify enemy fallback options. As time permits, perform TVA through the identification of high-payoff targets for each enemy fallback option. Coordinate with G3 plans to update and modify TVA for future operations.
In the conduct of combat operations, the TVA process described in this appendix must be modified at brigade level according to the time and resources available for planning. This is because TVA is not conducted formally below brigade level. Targeting at the brigade is focused on close operations, the nature and posture of the opposing force, and the resources available to the commander. Targets of interest are primarily tactical CPs, small combat and combat service support units, and possibly key terrain of immediate concern to the brigade.
If the brigade is deployed as part of a division, the brigade S2 should receive the results of a detailed IPB from the division G2. The brigade S2 will further develop the IPB within the brigade zone in an attempt to identify likely enemy avenues of approach and possible enemy courses of action. The targeting officer, with the maneuver brigade S2, uses target spread sheets (if available) to identify potential high-value targets. Spread sheets are based on the size of the opposing enemy force and a possible enemy course of action. A list of these targets prioritized on the basis of their relative worth to the enemy commander becomes the high-value target list associated with that particular enemy course of action.
As the staff prepares their estimates, staff members consider the high-value target list in determining the friendly course of action. During the staff war-gaming process, the targeting officer (in conjunction with the S2, S3, and FSO) develops the high-value target list into a high-payoff target list based on the targets that are of concern to the friendly maneuver commander and that will facilitate the success of the friendly course of action. The high-payoff target list is sent to the maneuver commander for his approval and to allow him to modify the list as he deems necessary.
The targeting officer recommends attack guidance from the high-payoff target list to describe how targets are to be attacked (effects criteria), when they are to be engaged (prioritization in the engagement of specific target types), and any restrictions that may apply in terms of target dwell time, target location error, or munition type. Some target categories may be restricted from engagement, because of the limited availability of assets or because the target can be exploited for SIGINT information. Attack guidance is disseminated to all fire support attack and acquisition agencies available to the brigade.
The targeting officer recommends changes to the attack guidance based on events that occur during the battle and on target damage assessment (TDA) reports.
The primary means of integrating the high-payoff target list and the attack guidance into TACFIRE operations is by establishing fire mission modifications in the FM;MOD file. Select the HPT types identified on the attack guidance matrix for immediate attack, and identify them by target type or subtype in the PTYPE field of the FM;MOD file.
Target attack modifications must then be made to the FM;ATTACK file to override default attack criteria with any modifications from the attack guidance matrix. First, review the default attack criteria for target types or subtypes in the FM;ATTACK file. Then, modify the default guidance to conform to the commander's attack guidance contained in the approved matrix.
Specific changes to TACFIRE default criteria must be published in the operation order. In addition to other tactical fire support files, the FM;MOD and FM;ATTACK files should be reviewed by TACFIRE shift personnel at least as often as shifts change to ensure that the current commander's guidance is reflected in the files.
For specific procedures and mnemonics for the, see the FM;MOD and FM;ATTACK files current edition of TM 11-7440-240-10.
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