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Weapons of Mass Destruction (WMD)

Table S-6. Summary Comparison of Environmental Impacts of the Alternatives

Alternative 1 Alternative 2 Alternative 3 Alternative 4

Land Use, Site Support Activities, Airspace

Minimal land-use impacts would occur from continuation of current operations. All land uses would be consistent with current site and zone designations.

Because of the location of the sites analyzed, and because similar land uses generally would be located on the borders of the sites, surrounding land uses would not be affected by this alternative.

Surrounding land-use impacts would be the same as those listed under Alternative 1. Closure without environmental restoration would not meet requirements of federal and state laws and signed agreements and memorandums. Surrounding land-use impacts would be the same as those listed under Alternative 1. There would be minimal land-use impacts on site from increased intensity of operations and land-use conditions. Land uses at the Tonopah Test Range, Project Shoal Area, and Central Nevada Test Area would be similar to Alternative 1. The new Solar Enterprise Zone facility could result in up to 2,402 acres of new land disturbance. Potential public uses of relinquished NTS lands would be located in designated areas surrounded by buffer zones. Current defense-related designated areas would be redesignated for nondefense activities. Land uses at the Tonopah Test Range, Project Shoal Area, and Central Nevada Test Area would be similar to those listed under Alternative 1. New Solar Enterprise Zone facility activities could occur at the NTS, Eldorado Valley, Dry Lake Valley, or Coyote Spring Valley; these activities would be compatible with existing land uses. Surrounding land-use impacts would be the same as those listed under Alternative 1. Land-use designations and zones would be incompatible with existing designations and zones.
Site support activities would continue at current levels. Site support activities would decrease and facilities would be closed. Site support activities and structures would be modified and expanded, as needed. Site support activities would be reduced and facilities would be closed.
Airspace activities would be maintained at the current level of air traffic, navigational aid services, and airspace structure. The NTS and Tonopah Test Range would experience reduced flight operations; otherwise, there would be no impacts to airspace. Impacts to NTS airspace would be the same as those listed under Alternative 1. Minimal impacts would be experienced at the Tonopah Test Range, Central Nevada Test Area, Project Shoal Area, Eldorado Valley, Dry Lake Valley, and Coyote Spring Valley. Airspace impacts would be the same as those listed under Alternative 1.

Land Disturbancea

10,000 acres 0 acres 21,000 acres 15,500 acres
aThe total amount of land currently disturbed on the NTS is approximately 60,000 acres. Numbers shown represent additional estimated disturbed acreage under each alternative after 10 years (acres to be reclaimed are not included).
Transportation (On-site, Off-site, Transportation of Materials and Waste, Other Transportation)
Minimal on-site impacts would exist at the NTS, Tonopah Test Range, Project Shoal Area, and Central Nevada Test Area. The NTS would average 3,370 trips per day. This would not change the level of service on affected highways and roads.









A total of 1,480 one-way vehicle trips per day would occur off site by 2005. All key roads in the vicinity of the site would continue to operate at level of service C or better. However, while NTS-generated traffic would be relatively minimal, segments of I-15, U.S. Hwy. 95, and U.S. Hwy. 93 within metropolitan Las Vegas could deteriorate to

A total of 60 one-way vehicle trips per day would occur on the site. This would not change the level of service on affected highways and roads.













A decrease over Alternative 1 of 1,480 one-way vehicle trips per day would occur off site by 2005. All key roads in the vicinity of the site would continue to operate at level of service C or better.











A total of 16,310 on-site vehicle trips per day are estimated under this alternative. No roadway would experience any significant traffic congestion. All key NTS roadways would have a capacity exceeding 2,000 vehicles per hour. Minimal impacts would be felt at the Tonopah Test Range, Project Shoal Area, Central Nevada Test Area, Eldorado Valley, Dry Lake Valley, and Coyote Spring Valley.

An increase over Alternative 1 of 1,030 one-way vehicle trips off site per day would occur by 2005. Most key roads in the vicinity of the site would continue to operate at level of service C or better. While the NTS-generated traffic would be relatively minimal, segments of I-15, U.S. Hwy. 95, and U.S. Hwy. 93 within metropolitan Las Vegas could deteriorate to unacceptable levels of service by 2000 because of cumulative traffic growth without state and local governmental

A total of 12,180 on-site vehicle trips per day are estimated. No roadway would experience any significant traffic congestion. All key NTS roadways have a capacity exceeding 2,000 vehicles per hour. Minimal impacts would be experienced at the Tonopah Test Range, Project Shoal Area, Central Nevada Test Area, Eldorado Valley, Dry Lake Valley, and Coyote Spring Valley.





A decrease from Alternative 1 of 610 one-way vehicle trips off site per day would be experienced by 2005. All key roads in the vicinity of the site would continue to operate at level of service C or better. However, while the NTS-generated traffic would be relatively minimal, segments of I-15, U.S. Hwy. 95, and U.S. Hwy. 93 within metropolitan Las Vegas could deteriorate to unacceptable levels of service by 2000 because of cumulative traffic growth without state and local

Socioeconomics (Economic Activity, Population, and Housing)

Total direct employment would be approximately 6,600 in 2005.



Unemployment rate:

Clark County, 5.8%

Nye County, 5.2%.



Total personal income in 2005:

Clark County, $32,280,885,000

Nye County, $780,701,000.



Population in 2005:

Clark County, 1,380,920

Nye County, 38,516.



Housing demand in 2005:

Clark County, 539,422

Nye County, 14,435.

A decrease from Alternative 1 of 6,490 direct jobs in 2005 would occur under Alternative 2.

Unemployment rate increase over Alternative 1 in 2005:

Clark County, +1.9%

Nye County, +2.5%.

Total personal income decrease in 2005 from Alternative 1:

Clark County, ($884,676,000)

Nye County, ($44,609,000).

Population decrease from Alternative 1 in 2005:

Clark County, -7,946

Nye County, -583.

Housing demand decrease from Alternative 1 in 2005:

Clark County, -2,928

An increase over Alternative 1 of approximately 4,550 direct jobs in 2005 would occur under Alternative 3.

Unemployment rate decrease from Alternative 1 in 2005:

Clark County, -1.1%

Nye County, -0.05%.

Total personal income increase in 2005 over Alternative 1:

Clark County, +$632,638,000

Nye County, +$31,457,000.

Population increase over Alternative 1 in 2005:

Clark County, +10,020

Nye County, +656.

Housing demand increase over Alternative 1 in 2005:

Clark County, +3,914

Nye County, +246.

A decrease from Alternative 1 of approximately 2,750 direct jobs in 2005 would occur under Alternative 4.

Unemployment rate increase over Alternative 1 in 2005:

Clark County, +1.1%

Nye County, +1.7%.

Total personal income decrease in 2005 from Alternative 1:

Clark County, ($374,608,000)

Nye County, ($18,833,000).

No substantial employment level would be triggered; therefore, population and housing demand would not change when compared to Alternative 1.

Geology and Soils

Testing impacts would include ground motion hazards and secondary seismic effects, soil contamination, alteration of natural drainage paths, and decreased surface stability. Impacts from other activities would include dust creation, soil contamination, and an increase in erosion potential. There would be minimal impacts at the Tonopah Test Range, Project Shoal Area, and Central Nevada Test Area. Discontinuing operations would result in no additional impacts to geology and soils. However, the media that have been contaminated or altered by underground nuclear test would as in alternatives remain unavailable for unrestricted use. No surface areas contaminated by past activities would be remediated and any present access restrictions based on contamination would continue. Impacts would be the same as those listed under Alternative 1. Minimal impacts would be experienced at the Tonopah Test Range, Project Shoal Area, Central Nevada Test Area, Eldorado Valley, Dry Lake Valley, and Coyote Spring Valley. Impacts would include dust creation, soil contamination, and an increase in erosion potential. Minimal impacts would occur at the Tonopah Test Range, Project Shoal Area, Central Nevada Test Area, Eldorado Valley, Dry Lake Valley, and Coyote Spring Valley.
Hydrology (Surface Hydrology and Groundwater)
There would be minimal potential impact from the alteration of existing drainage paths caused by testing.

Total effects from continuing groundwater withdrawals are expected to be minor. Local effects to the Yucca Flat Basin could be substantial if the annual water demand exceeds the basin's perennial yield.













There could be localized impacts related to underground tests conducted under or near the water table. Monitoring has revealed few instances of migration of radionuclides beyond the near test environment.

There would be no new impacts to surface hydrology.



Water demand would be reduced to that required for environmental monitoring and for potable water for the caretaker workforce.

















Contaminated areas would not be restored, resulting in continued possibility of groundwater contamination.

There would be minimal potential impacts from alteration of natural drainage paths caused by new construction.

Because of new program activities other potential impacts would be increased slightly over those listed under Alternative 1. However, the Solar Enterprise Zone has been estimated to require up to 6.8 x 106 m3/yr (5,550 ac-ft/yr) of water. Local effects to the affected basin such as those near Dry Lake Valley could be substantial if the annual water demand exceeds the perennial yield of the basin. Increased waste quantities would not result in impacts.

Minimal impacts would be experienced at the Tonopah Test Range, Project Shoal Area, Central Nevada Test Area, Eldorado Valley, Dry Lake Valley, and Coyote Spring Valley.

There would be minimal potential impacts from alteration of natural drainage paths caused by new construction.

Other potential impacts generally would be the same as those listed under Alternative 1 except at a decreased level. However, the Solar Enterprise Zone has been estimated to require up to 6.8 x 106m3/yr (5,550 ac-ft/yr) of water. Local effects to the affected basin such as those near Dry Lake Valley could be substantial if the annual water demand were to exceed the perennial yield of the basin.





Minimal impacts are expected at the Tonopah Test Range, Project Shoal Area, Central Nevada Test Area, Eldorado Valley, Dry Lake Valley, and Coyote Spring Valley.

Biological Resources

Approximately 7,360 acres of generally undisturbed habitat would be disturbed, primarily in support of the Environmental Restoration Program at the NTS, Tonopah Test Range, and Central Nevada Test Area. This would represent approximately 1 percent of total undisturbed habitat in these areas. There would be minimal impact to desert tortoise population viability and on biodiversity or ecosystem functions. There would be no effect on undisturbed natural habitat. Discontinuation of man-made water sources would change the distribution of horses, deer, and chukar. However, there would be no sitewide ecosystem impacts. Approximately 10,420 acres of generally undisturbed habitat would be disturbed, primarily in support of the Environmental Restoration Program at the NTS, Tonopah Test Range, Project Shoal Area, and Central Nevada Test Area. This would represent an increase of 3,060 acres over Alternative 1. A portion of this area (3,015 acres) could be desert tortoise habitat. The Solar Enterprise Zone could minimally impact biodiversity or ecosystem functions at Eldorado Valley, Dry Lake Valley, and Coyote Spring Valley. Coyote Spring Valley lies within critical habitat for the desert tortoise. Approximately 9,275 acres of generally undisturbed habitat would be disturbed, primarily for the Environmental Restoration Program and the Solar Enterprise Zone at NTS. The NTS, Tonopah Test Range, Central Nevada Test Area, and Project Shoal Area impacts would generally be the same as those listed under Alternative 1. The Solar Enterprise Zone could minimally impact biodiversity or ecosystem functions at all sites and areas. Coyote Spring Valley lies within critical habitat for the desert tortoise.
Air Quality and Radiological Air Quality
Pollutant emissions from stationary and mobile sources would be generated on site and off site. These emissions would be dispersed over a wide area. No major air emission sources are planned. Pollutant concentrations related to NTS activities would be well below ambient air quality standards. No substantial increases in air pollution are expected by 2005 and Nye County would continue its present attainment designation for all criteria pollutants. No additional violations of air quality standards would be provided in the nonattainment area of Clark County. The region is expected to conform with the applicable State Implementation Plan for all Pollutant emissions associated with stationary sources would be essentially eliminated following discontinuance of operations, and mobile source emissions would be substantially reduced.



























Radiological air quality impacts would be the same as those listed under Alternative 1.

Impacts would be the same as those listed under Alternative 1.

Pollutant concentrations related to NTS activities, though higher than the Alternative 1, would remain below ambient air quality standards. Selected values for two pollutants of concern are PM10 : 600 tons/ year; less than one percent of regional burden.

CO2 : 224 tons/year of which 90 tons/year would be in the Las Vegas Valley; less than 0.2 percent of Clark County emissions.

Impacts would be the same as those listed under Alternative 1.

Pollutant concentrations related to NTS activities would be lower than those of Alternative 1. All pollutants would remain below ambient air quality standards.

Noise
Transportation noise levels on site would be minimal and would not produce any noise impacts off site. Temporary noise impacts from construction-related noise would occur within the immediate vicinity of construction sites. Noise impacts would be negligible because the sites are located within remote areas. No sensitive receptors are close to construction areas. Noise from other activities would decrease with distance and would be barely distinguishable from background noise levels. A minor amount of noise would result from operations vehicles. Other noise levels would be a result of noises typically found in uninhabited desert areas. Impacts would be the same as those listed under Alternative 1. Impacts would be the same as those listed under Alternative 1, except for the Defense Program, which would have the same impacts as Alternative 2.

Visual Resources

New land disturbance would be located in areas of scenic quality common to the region, but none would be visible from any public viewpoints. Although there would be short-term, local adverse effects because of environmental restoration, there would be long-term beneficial effects because of revegetation. There would be little change in the overall appearance of the existing landscape. Most new land disturbance would be located in areas of scenic quality common to the region. However, the areas proposed for the Solar Enterprise Zone facility in Eldorado Valley, Dry Lake Valley, or Coyote Spring Valley have a high visual sensitivity because they cross major highways. Furthermore, Coyote Spring Valley has extensive panoramic views of linear mountain ranges and valleys. There would be slight changes in the overall appearance of the existing landscape. New ground disturbance would be located in areas of scenic quality common to the region, but none of these areas would be visible from any public viewpoints. The impacts of the Solar Enterprise Zone would be the same as those listed under Alternative 3.
Cultural Resources

There would be impacts to cultural resources as a result of ground disturbing activities resulting from construction of new facilities, utilities, road upgrades, and decommissioning of existing buildings. Continued visitation and vehicular traffic could indirectly affect recorded archaeological sites and archaeologically sensitive areas. The precise location of these resources is unknown until archaeological survey is conducted. Surveys will be conducted prior to any ground disturbing activities.

Modification of existing buildings would include an evaluation of their historic significance, especially in relation to Cold War/nuclear development themes, to minimize

Discontinuance of activities would eliminate most impacts to cultural resources. The degree of impact to American Indian cultural sites, as stated by the CGTO, would be less than that associated with Alternative 1. The amount of acreage disturbed as a result of activities described for Alternative 3 would double as compared to Alternative 1. Approximately 20,930 acres of ground disturbance are anticipated.

Construction of new facilities, wells, utilities roads, and burial of contaminated soils may affect cultural resources.

Large-scale activities associated with the Solar Enterprise Zone facility could affect cultural resources.

Modification of existing buildings would include an evaluation of their historic significance, especially in relation to Cold War/nuclear development themes, to minimize impacts.

According to the CGTO, under Alternative 3, access to American Indian culturally significant places would continue to be reduced. Increased visits by students and researchers who

Most impacts would be the same as those listed under Alternative 3. Access impacts, according to the CGTO, for American Indians would be less than that experienced under Alternative 1. However, the potential for unauthorized artifact collection would be increased from Alternative 1 because of increased public access.

Land Use Land Zone Areas

  1. Nuclear Test Zone (includes Areas 19 and 20) - 1,120 km2 (435 mi2)
  2. Nuclear and High Explosive Zone - 180 km2 (70 mi2)
  3. Research, Test, and Experiment Zone - 45 km2 (20 mi2)
  4. Radioactive Waste Management Zone - 5 km2(2 mi2)
  5. Yucca Mountain Site Characterization Zone (within NTS boundary) - 225 km2(90 mi2)
  6. Critical Assembly Zone - 130 km2(50 mi2)
  7. Spill Test Impact Zone (within NTS boundary - 15 km2 (5 mi2)
  8. Reserved Zones on NTS (within NTS boundary) - 1,775 km2(685 mi2)
  1. Yucca Mountain Site Characterization Zone (within NTS boundary) 225 km2(87 mi2)
  2. Monitored/Restricted Zone (within NTS boundary) - 3,255 km2(1,260 m2)
  1. Nuclear Test Zone (includes Areas 19) - 705 km2 (275 mi2)
  2. Nuclear and High Explosive Zone - 381 km2 (147 mi2)
  3. Research, Test, and Experiment Zone - 575 km2(222 mi2)
  4. Radioactive Waste Management Zone - 5 km2 (2 mi2)
  5. Yucca Mountain Site Characterization Zone (within NTS boundary) - 225 km2(90 mi2)
  6. Solar Enterprise Zone - 34 km2 (13 mi2)
  7. Spill Test Impact Zone (within NTS boundary - 15 km2(5 mi2)
  8. Defense Industrial Zone - 170 km2(65 mi2)
  9. Reserved Zones on NTS (within NTS boundary) - 1,375 km2 (530 mi2)
  1. Non-Defense Research/Development/Testing Zone (includes Areas 19 and 20) - 1,295 km2(500 mi2)
  2. Radioactive Waste Management Zone - 5 km2(2 mi2)
  3. Yucca Mountain Site Characterization Zone (within NTS boundary) - 225 km2(90 mi2)
  4. Solar Enterprise Zone - 35 km2 (13 mi2)
  5. Spill Test Impact Zone (within NTS boundary) - 15 km2(5 mi2)
  6. Reserved Zones (within NTS boundary) - 1,310 km2 (505 mi2)
  7. Potential Turnback Area (includes Area 22 Solar Enterprise Zone) - 610 km2(235 mi2)
NOTE: CGTO = Consolidated Group of Tribes and Organizations.

Occupational and Public Health and Safety (Routine and Accident Operations)

The health impacts to workers due to occupational exposure and accidents could result in a probability of 1 in 8 of a single latent cancer fatality and 1 in 21 of a single other detrimental health effect in the worker population. The risk of life-threatening noncarcinogenic effects on workers involved with an accidental release of hazardous chemicals has a hazard index of 0.58.

Health impacts to the public from accidental release of radionuclides could result in a probability of 1 in 18,000 of a single latent cancer fatality and 1 in 40,000 of any other detrimental health effect in the population within 50 miles. Potential public exposure to accident release of hazardous chemicals could

The health impacts to workers due to occupational exposure and accidents could result in a probability of 1 in 47 of a single latent cancer fatality and 1 in 120 of any other detrimental health effect in the worker population. The risk of life-threatening noncarcinogenic effects on workers involved with an accidental release of hazardous chemicals has a hazard index of 0.48.



Health impacts to the public from accidental release of radionuclides could result in a probability of 1 in 20,000 of single latent cancer fatality and 1 in 50,000 of any other detrimental health effect in the population within 50

The health impacts to workers due to occupational exposure and accidents could result in a probability of 1 in 8 of a single latent cancer fatality and 1 in 20 of any other detrimental health effect in the worker population. The risk of life-threatening noncarcinogenic effects on workers involved with an accidental release of hazardous chemicals has a hazard index of 2.4.



Health impacts to the public from accidental release of radionuclides could result in a probability of 1 in 18,000 of a single latent cancer fatality and 1 in 40,000 of any other detrimental health effect in the population within 50 miles. Potential public exposure to accidental release of hazardous chemicals could result in a probability of 1 in 4,000 of a single incidence of cancer in the population. No noncarcinogenic detrimental health effects are expected.

The health impacts to workers due to occupational exposure and accidents could result in a probability of 1 in 13 of a single latent cancer fatality and in 1 in 30 of any other detrimental health effect in the worker population. The risk of life-threatening noncarcinogenic effects of workers involved with an accidental release of hazardous chemicals has a hazard index of 0.58.





Health impacts to the public from accidental release of radionuclides could result in a probability of 1 in 20,000 of a single latent cancer fatality and 1 in 43,000 of a single other detrimental health effect in the population within 50 miles. Potential public exposure to accidental release of hazardous chemicals could result in a probability of 1 in 4,000 of a single incidence of cancer in the population. No noncarcinogenic detrimental health effects are expected.

Environmental Justice

American Indian impacts would only consider American Indian groups and would, therefore, be disproportionately high according to the CGTO's method of defining impacts. Impacts would be the same as those listed under Alternative 1. Impacts would be the same as those listed under Alternative 1. Impacts would be the same as those listed under Alternative 1.



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