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Weapons of Mass Destruction (WMD)

Table E-4. Mark-31 plutonium-239 targets.

Latent cancer fatalities (LCF)

Accident consequences

Uninvolved

Offsite

Quantity

Uninvolved

Offsite

worker

MEI

population

Accident

released (curies)

Frequency

(per year)

worker

(rem)

MEIa

(rem)

population

(person-rem)

(Point estimate of increased risk per year)

(Increased risk of LCF per occurrence)

NO ACTION

L-Reactor Basin (storage)

Inadvertent draindown of half the basin water to the Savannah River

2.57E+03

1.08E-02

(b)

9.12E-04

0.678

(b)

(b)

4.9E-09

4.6E-07

3.7E-06

3.4E-04

Severe earthquake

4.27E+05

2.00E-04

7.64E-04

5.36E-03

17.7

6.1E-09

3.1E-05

5.4E-10

2.7E-06

1.8E-06

8.9E-03

Inadvertent overflow of 37,850 litersc of basin water through sewer system to Savannah River

15.1

1.56E-02

(b)

5.37E-06

3.99E-03

(b)

(b)

4.2E-11

2.7E-09

3.1E-08

2.0E-06

CONVERSION

F-Canyon (full operations)

Airborne release of plutonium solution resulting from coil and tube failure in F-Canyon water cooling tower

17.0

4.00E-02

16.5

0.755

4.42E+03

2.6E-04

6.6E-03

1.5E-05

3.8E-04

8.8E-02

2.2

Severe earthquake

73.0

2.00E-04

10.5

0.474

2.80E+03

8.4E-07

4.2E-03

4.7E-08

2.4E-04

2.8E-04

1.4

Fire in a plutonium process vessel

56.2

6.10E-05

10.6

1.75

1.29E+04

2.6E-07

4.2E-03

5.3E-08

8.8E-04

3.9E-04

6.5

Ruthenium volatilization

30.0

5.30E-02

0.105

1.77E-02

1.29E+02

2.2E-06

4.2E-05

4.7E-07

8.9E-06

3.4E-03

6.5E-02

Inadvertent nuclear criticality

2.40E+05

1.60E-03

(b)

7.43E-03

12.9

(b)

(b)

5.9E-09

3.7E-06

1.0E-05

6.5E-03

Table E-4. (continued).

Latent cancer fatalities (LCF)

Accident consequences

Uninvolved

Offsite

Quantity

Uninvolved

Offsite

worker

MEI

population

Accident

released (curies)

Frequency

(per year)

worker

(rem)

MEIa

(rem)

population

(person-rem)

(Point estimate of increased risk per year)

(Increased risk of LCF per occurrence)

CONVERSION (continued)

Inadvertent transfer of plutonium solution from a processing vessel to the ground outside building

24.9

1.10E-04

1.61

7.24E-02

4.30E+02

7.1E-08

6.4E-04

4.0E-09

3.6E-05

2.4E-05

0.22

FA-Line (normal operations)

Eructation (spewing from overpressurization) in vessel during processing

3.40E-05

4.00E-02

1.97E-04

9.04E-06

5.49E-02

3.2E-09

7.9E-08

1.8E-10

4.5E-09

1.1E-06

2.7E-05

"Red oil" explosion (i.e., uncontrollable reaction of contaminated organic materials) in denitrator

2.30E-05

1.40E-04

1.33E-04

6.12E-06

3.71E-02

7.4E-12

5.3E-08

4.3E-13

3.1E-09

2.6E-09

1.9E-05

Design-basis tornado

2.60

1.00E-06

(b)

2.9E-05

8.0

(b)

(b)

1.5E-14

1.5E-08

4.0E-09

4.0E-03

Severe earthquake

1.29E-06

2.00E-04

7.47E-06

3.43E-07

2.08E-03

6.0E-13

3.0E-09

3.4E-14

1.7E-10

2.1E-10

1.0E-06

FB-Line (processing)

Severe earthquake

4.34

2.00E-04

11.3

0.521

3.06E+03

9.0E-07

4.5E-03

5.2E-08

2.6E-04

3.0E-04

1.5

Inadvertent nuclear criticality in processing solution or solid

(b)

1.40E-04

(b)

2.64E-03

2.93

(b)

(b)

1.8E-10

1.3E-06

2.1E-07

1.5E-03

Propagated fire in processing vessels or gloveboxes

0.105

5.26E-03

4.33E-02

7.13E-03

52.7

9.1E-08

1.7E-05

1.9E-08

3.6E-06

1.4E-04

2.6E-02

Table E-4. (continued).

Latent cancer fatalities (LCF)

Accident consequences

Uninvolved

Offsite

Quantity

Uninvolved

Offsite

worker

MEI

population

Accident

released (curies)

Frequency

(per year)

worker

(rem)

MEIa

(rem)

population

(person-rem)

(Point estimate of increased risk per year)

(Increased risk of LCF per occurrence)

INTERIM STORAGE

Existing vaults (235-F)

Rupture storage container

(e.g., radiolytic decay)

5.14E-04

2.00E-02

8.62E-04

1.43E-04

1.05

6.9E-09

3.4E-07

1.4E-09

7.2E-08

1.1E-05

5.3E-04

Severe earthquake

1.05E-02

2.00E-04

0.60

7.0E-03

10

4.8E-08

2.4E-04

7.0E-10

3.5E-06

1.0E-06

5.0E-03

Fire

2.0E-05

5.0E-02

6.0E-04

2.0E-05

0.10

1.2E-08

2.4E-07

5.0E-10

1.0E-08

2.5E-06

5.0E-05

High-Level Waste Tanks

Severe earthquake

(b)

2.00E-04

(b)

3.41E-03

0.26

(b)

(b)

3.4E-10

1.7E-06

2.6E-08

1.3E-04

Hydrogen explosion in a tank

(b)

2.00E-05

0.291

1.13E-02

0.43

2.3E-09

1.2E-04

1.1E-10

5.7E-06

4.3E-09

2.2E-04

Waste tank filter fire

(b)

2.5E-02

9.55E-02

3.68E-03

8.5

9.6E-07

3.8E-05

4.6E-08

1.8E-06

1.1E-04

4.3E-03

ADDITIONAL CONVERSION

(New) Actinide Packaging Facility

(FB-Line drying)

Severe earthquake

1.74

2.00E-04

4.54

0.208

1.22E+03

3.6E-07

1.8E-03

2.0E-08

1.0E-04

1.2E-04

0.62

Inadvertent nuclear criticality

(b)

5.26E-05

(b)

2.64E-03

2.93

(b)

(b)

6.9E-11

1.3E-06

7.7E-08

1.5E-03

Propagated fire in a glovebox

3.37E-03

5.26E-03

1.39E-03

2.29E-04

1.69

2.9E-09

5.5E-07

6.1E-10

1.2E-07

4.5E-06

8.4E-04

Table E-4. (continued).

Latent cancer fatalities (LCF)

Accident consequences

Uninvolved

Offsite

Quantity

Uninvolved

Offsite

worker

MEI

population

Accident

released (curies)

Frequency

(per year)

worker

(rem)

MEIa

(rem)

population

(person-rem)

(Point estimate of increased risk per year)

(Increased risk of LCF per occurrence)

ADDITIONAL CONVERSION (continued)

F-Canyon (second plutonium cycle contribution)

Airborne release of plutonium solution resulting from coil and tube failure in F-Canyon water cooling tower

0.218

4.00E-02

0.531

2.44E-02

1.44E+02

8.8E-06

2.2E-04

4.8E-07

1.2E-05

2.9E-03

7.2E-02

Severe earthquake

0.365

2.00E-04

3.43

0.158

9.22E+02

2.8E-07

1.4E-03

1.6E-08

7.9E-05

9.2E-05

0.46

Fire in a plutonium process vessel

1.59

6.10E-05

2.27

0.378

2.78E+03

5.5E-08

9.0E-04

1.2E-08

1.9E-04

8.5E-05

1.4

Inadvertent nuclear criticality

2.40E+05

1.60E-03

(b)

7.43E-03

12.9

(b)

(b)

5.9E-09

3.7E-06

1.0E-05

6.5E-03

Inadvertent transfer of plutonium solution from a processing vessel to the ground outside building.

9.65E-02

7.40E-05

0.872

4.02E-02

2.35E+02

2.6E-08

3.5E-04

1.5E-09

2.0E-05

8.7E-06

0.12

POST-STABILIZATION STORAGE

Storage vault

Severe earthquake

1.05E-02

2.00E-04

0.60

7.0E-03

10

4.8E-08

2.4E-04

7.0E-10

3.5E-06

1.0E-06

5.0E-03

Fire

2.0E-05

5.0E-02

6.0E-04

2.0E-05

0.10

1.2E-08

2.4E-07

5.0E-10

1.0E-08

2.5E-06

5.0E-05

a. MEI = Maximally exposed individual.

b. These data were not available.

c. To convert liters to gallons, multiply by 0.26418.



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