Pakistan's Nuclear Future: Worries Beyond War

Edited by Mr. Henry D. Sokolski.
January 2008
383 Pages
Brief Synopsis
This book, completed just before Pakistani President Musharraf imposed a state of emergency in November 2007, reflects research that the Nonproliferation Policy Education Center commissioned over the last 2 years. It tries to characterize specific nuclear problems that the ruling Pakistani government faces with the aim of establishing a base line set of challenges for remedial action. Its point of departure is to consider what nuclear challenges Pakistan will face if moderate forces remain in control of the government and no hot war breaks out against India.
Contents
Foreword
1. Pakistan’s Nuclear Woes
Henry D. Sokolski
I: ISLAMABAD’S PROLIFERATING PAST
2. Kahn’s Nuclear Exports: Was There a State Strategy?
Bruno Tertrais
3. Could Anything Be Done to Stop Them? Lessons from Pakistan’s Proliferating Past
George Perkovich
II: MAINTAINING SOUTHWEST ASIAN DETERRENCE
4. Pakistan’s “Minimum Deterrent” Nuclear Force Requirements
Gregory S. Jone
5. Islamabad’s Nuclear Posture: Its Premises and Implementation
Peter R. Lavoy
6. Fissile Materials in South Asia and the Implications of the U.S.-India Nuclear Deal
Zia Mian, A. H. Nayyar, R. Rajaraman, and M. V. Ramana
III. PAKISTAN’S NEXT SET OF NUCLEAR HEADACHES
7. Preventing Nuclear Terrorism in Pakistan: Sabotage of a Spent Fuel Cask or a Commercial Irradiation Source in Transport
Abdul Mannan
8. Security Issues Related to Pakistan’s Future Nuclear Power Program
Chaim Braun
9. Bad Options: Or How I Stopped Worrying and Learned to Live with Loose Nukes
Thomas Donnelly
ABOUT THE CONTRIBUTORS
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