International Conference on
Nuclear Technology and Sustainable Development
5-6 March 2005, Tehran, Iran
A WMD-FZ in the Middle East:
Policy Agenda for a New Regional Security System
Jeffrey Boutwell
Pugwash Conferences on Science and World Affairs
Overview of WMD-FZ Issues
Scope of a WMD-Free Zone
- Nuclear, chemical and biological weapons
- Delivery vehicles
- Related materials and dual-use technologies
- Conventional weapons (especially those suitable for pre-emption)
Verification and Enforcement
- International and National Inspections
- Issues of transparency
- Credibility of inspections
- Preventing misuse for intelligence purposes
- Types of Inspections
- NPT-type inspections (with consent of inspected party)
- Additional Protocol, complementary access inspections (e.g., environmental sampling
- CWC-type challenge inspections (but with protections of military and civilian proprietary information)
- UNSCOM and UNMOVIC-type inspections (no right of refusal)
- Bilateral inspections agreed to by members of WMDFZ regime
- Issues of Non-Compliance and Enforcement
- Enforcement through national pressure
- Regional enforcement mechanisms
- UNSC sanctions and enforcement
- Unilateral great power enforcement
- Military and Political CBMs (similar to CSCE)
- Military staff meetings, transparency of threat perceptions
- Pre-notification of exercises
- Hot line communications channels
- Transparency of military deployments
- Reduced alert levels
- Civilian and Technological CBMs
- Strengthen verification capabilities and mutual confidence through cooperation on environmental, climate, natural disaster monitoring
- Re: BWC, WHO-type early alert network on natural and man-made biological threats
- Cooperation and transparency in securing and reducing non-military radiological materials at research reactors and medical facilities
- Multilateral mechanisms for control and secure supply of enrichment and reprocessing technologies and capabilities
- New technologies for and modes of verification
- Transparency of WMD activities, including
- Register of nuclear scientists and engineers
- Import-export end use certification of sensitive technologies
- Modalities of national inspections (including quotas)
Incremental Confidence-Building Measures
Long-Term Implementation
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