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Weapons of Mass Destruction (WMD)

Washington File

05 May 2003

Semmel: Strengthen Non-Poliferation Treaty Enforcement Measures

(Actions by Iran, North Korea called "provocative, disturbing") (2700)
A U.S. representative to a preparatory meeting in advance of the 2005
Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT) Review Conference called on all
nations to refocus on the growing need for oversight and control of
nuclear material and technology.
Deputy Assistant Secretary of State Andrew Semmel said that although
the NPT has proven durable despite enormous changes in the
international security environment over the past three decades -- and
has done much to forestall the spread of nuclear weapons -- in recent
years "a small number of parties are abusing the Treaty by flagrantly
or in some cases secretly, pursuing nuclear programs."
Semmel noted that "North Korea's nuclear weapons program and the
provocative actions it has taken present a grave threat to the region
and a serious challenge to the global nuclear nonproliferation
regime". Although the United States is doing its part to help find a
diplomatic solution to this problem, he said, the solution must be
multilateral in conception and execution, and that "North Korea's
actions are not a bilateral issue between the United States and North
Korea."
As for Iran, Semmel called recent revelations about the advanced state
of its nuclear program "disturbing."
Semmel said that the parties who have signed and adhered to the Treaty
must realize what is at stake, and not be misled into thinking that
the spread of nuclear weapons will be stopped by export controls, or
by an inability on the part of those seeking such weapons to deal with
the technological complexities of the development process. Serious
consideration and debate are needed, he said, to establish policies
that will strengthen compliance. Among issues to consider, Semmel
said, are such things as defining what constitutes a violation of
Article II, "how sanctions could be used to positive effect," and the
proper role of the United Nations Security Council. A sanction that
could be used, he said, would be "a cutoff of assistance to the civil
nuclear program of the guilty party."
Semmel also noted the importance of monitoring nuclear items that can
be diverted from peaceful civilian nuclear uses, and indicated that
any country found to be producing packages or casings for nuclear arms
should be found in violation of the Treaty -- even though it may not
yet possess the nuclear material itself.
Finding ways to enforce compliance with the nonproliferation
provisions of the NPT is one of the key challenges facing the
international community, Semmel said, adding that all countries
represented should "acknowledge this challenge and enter into a
serious discussion of how best to meet it."
Following is the transcript of Semmel's remarks:
(begin transcript)
Statement by
Deputy Assistant Secretary of State
Andrew K. Semmel
Alternative Representative of the United States of America to the
Second Session of the Preparatory Committee for the 2005 NPT Review
Conference
Articles I and II
Geneva, Switzerland
May 1, 2003
Nonproliferation
Articles I and II
The central purpose of the NPT [Treaty on the Non-Proliferation of
Nuclear Weapons] is to prevent the spread of nuclear weapons. The
Treaty's nonproliferation undertakings are contained in Articles I and
II, and in the safeguards obligations of Article III. IAEA
[International Atomic Energy Agency] safeguards will be discussed
later in our meeting.
The NPT has proven durable despite enormous changes in the
international security environment over the past three decades. With
nearly 190 parties, its reach extends into all regions of the world
and across all political systems. Its broad membership reflects
confidence in the Treaty as an important pillar of global security.
The NPT is an important standard that new nations are expected to
embrace and, of increasing importance, that all parties must honor. It
is this question of compliance with the NPT that I want to stress in
this overview of Articles I and II.
Article I imposes a comprehensive undertaking on the five nuclear
weapon states not to transfer possession of nuclear weapons to any
recipient and not in any way to assist a non-nuclear-weapon state in
the manufacture or acquisition of nuclear weapons. Fulfillment of this
obligation requires comprehensive nuclear export controls and a
classification system to protect sensitive nuclear weapons
information. Rigorous enforcement is essential. Nuclear weapon states
face a particular challenge, because their nuclear infrastructure
includes many entities with direct experience in the research,
development, testing and manufacture of nuclear weapons.
After 33 years, the NPT retains its near-universal appeal. Cuba became
a party last November and East Timor reportedly is preparing its
instrument of accession. India, Israel, and Pakistan have not joined
the NPT. Israel supported the NPT at the United Nations in 1968, but
due to regional security factors has declined to become a party.
Pakistan has said in the past that it would join the NPT if India did.
India has rejected the NPT on grounds that it differentiates between
nuclear weapon states and non-nuclear-weapon states. India and
Pakistan severely undercut nuclear nonproliferation objectives in 1998
by conducting nuclear weapon tests. The United States continues to
support the goal of universal NPT adherence.
Article II requires non-nuclear-weapon state parties not to
manufacture or otherwise acquire nuclear weapons. The vast majority of
NPT parties have strong political commitments to nonproliferation. We
applaud their rigorous adherence to the spirit and letter of their
Treaty obligations. However, a small number of parties are abusing the
Treaty by flagrantly, or in some cases secretly, pursuing nuclear
programs that contravene the NPT's basic purpose. These countries of
concern are taking steps to acquire the capability to produce fissile
material for nuclear weapons. The long-term cases of noncompliance by
Iraq and by North Korea are well known. However, there have been new
developments since last year.
Iraq's defiance of the NPT and of Security Council resolutions dates
back more than a decade. Iraq continued its practice of deception and
deceit when inspections resumed last fall following adoption of
Security Council resolution 1441. We look forward to a new political
leadership in Iraq that will comply fully with all its international
obligations including those related to the NPT.
North Korea admitted to a covert uranium enrichment program in October
2002. In November, the IAEA Board of Governors called on North Korea
to clarify reports about its enrichment program and to cooperate with
the IAEA in opening all relevant facilities to IAEA inspections and
safeguards. North Korea responded instead by taking a series of
escalatory actions. It removed IAEA seals, disabled IAEA cameras, and
expelled IAEA inspectors. On January 10, North Korea issued a
statement of its intent to withdraw from the NPT. Later that month, it
reactivated the five-megawatt reactor at Yongbyon that had been frozen
under the 1994 Agreed Framework.
North Korea's nuclear weapons program and the provocative actions it
has taken present a grave threat to the region and a serious challenge
to the global nuclear nonproliferation regime. Since it joined the NPT
in 1985, North Korea's policies and practices have been repeatedly at
odds with its Treaty undertakings. In February, the IAEA Board of
Governors found the DPRK [Democratic People's Republic of Korea] in
further non-compliance with its NPT safeguards obligations and
reported this finding to the U.N. Security Council. The Security
Council met early last month to discuss this issue and expressed
concern about North Korea's actions.
We remain hopeful that North Korea will reconsider its policies. North
Korea must understand that the path to full participation in the
community of nations and the achievement of a better quality of life
for its people is through compliance with its international
commitments. Every responsible NPT party should press North Korea to
dismantle its nuclear weapons program, verifiably and irreversibly,
and reverse its decision to leave the NPT.
The United States is doing its part to help find a diplomatic solution
to this problem. However, the solution must be multilateral in
conception and execution. North Korea's actions are not a bilateral
issue between the United States and North Korea. Rather, they are a
problem of vital concern to the entire international community. All
NPT parties have a stake in preventing a nuclear-armed North Korea,
upholding the global nonproliferation regime and promoting the success
of the NPT.
There has been a major development elsewhere since we last met. The
world has seen disturbing revelations about the advanced state of
Iran's nuclear program. This information surprised the international
community, including the IAEA. Even before the anticipated operation
of its first nuclear power reactor at Bushehr, Iran is building a huge
and vastly expensive gas centrifuge enrichment plant at Natanz. Iran's
energy needs provide no economic justification for this plant. Iran is
also constructing a heavy water plant at Arak while having no known
reactors that use heavy water. It undertook this construction in
secret. Over the period it was designing, building, and outfitting
these facilities, Iran declined to respond to the IAEA's call for
states to provide early design information on nuclear facilities. It
also failed to negotiate and sign an Additional Protocol.
Iran's actions have shaken international confidence in its claims of
peaceful intent for its nuclear program. In response to these
revelations, the IAEA in August promptly sought information from Iran.
However, Iran repeatedly stalled and did not allow a visit until
February. At the IAEA's March Board of Governors meeting, the
Director-General reported that Iran's program raised questions and
concerns. We expect the IAEA is investigating fully and will soon
provide a comprehensive report to its Board of Governors.
Responsible NPT parties must look at the facts and ask whether Iran's
nuclear program and policies are consistent with those of a state
fully committed to its Article II obligations. These revelations
underscore the high risk of engaging in nuclear cooperation with Iran.
They reinforce and strengthen U.S. resolve to strongly discourage any
supplier from providing nuclear-related assistance to Iran.
Iran should allow complete access to the IAEA and fully disclose all
information about its nuclear programs. It should answer the questions
and concerns that have been raised, and take all measures necessary to
restore confidence in its nuclear program. NPT parties should press
Iran to accept all strengthened safeguards measures including the
Additional Protocol.
The United States is concerned that still other NPT parties may be
engaged in undeclared nuclear activities. All responsible NPT parties
must make clear that such behavior undermines our common security. Any
country that considers nuclear weapon-related activities should be
aware of the serious consequences it will face if it continues down
that path.
Let me speak briefly to the question of balance in our deliberations.
We understand and expect there will be considerable discussion on
Article VI issues during our Preparatory Committee sessions. Indeed,
much has already been said at this meeting. Nuclear disarmament is a
goal of the Treaty and we should have constructive exchanges about it.
However, the great majority of responsible NPT parties who value and
abide by the Treaty need to recognize also the large issues at stake
in actual and potential cases of noncompliance with Article II. There
is a simple logic: more states with nuclear weapons means a more
dangerous world. It also means that the overall NPT goal of the
elimination of nuclear weapons would become even more difficult to
achieve.
These risks are real and they are upon us. We cannot delay and hope
that technological complexity and export controls will ultimately
defeat these efforts to acquire nuclear weapons. The NPT must be more
than an international norm. It must be enforced. We must insist on
strict observance of the Treaty and adopt policies that will encourage
compliance. This requires dealing firmly with existing violations,
strengthening verification, and raising the costs of new violations.
These actions will help meet the growing challenge of deterring future
noncompliance.
As we move toward the third session of the Preparatory Committee, the
United States would like to see more discussion of policies that will
strengthen compliance. Among issues to consider are: (1) Article I
implementation; (2) what constitutes a violation of Article II; (3)
how to deal with low-level cheating not involving nuclear material;
(4) the role of the Security Council in enforcement; and (5) how
sanctions could be used to positive effect. We will discuss
strengthening IAEA safeguards later in this session of the Preparatory
Committee. For now, we offer some preliminary observations.
First, it is incumbent on nuclear weapon states to monitor strictly
the implementation of their Article I obligations. This is
particularly true for nuclear dual-use items that may be sought by
non-NPT parties or NPT parties with questionable compliance records.
While procurement by these countries may appear benign, it could be
part of an elaborate effort to divert equipment and technology into a
clandestine or undeclared nuclear weapons program. The heightened risk
of nuclear terrorism is another reason for nuclear weapon states to
ensure that they have the strongest possible Article I enforcement
measures in place. We believe the five nuclear weapon states should
consult periodically on the policies and practices necessary to
enforce our Article I undertaking.
Second, NPT parties should begin to focus more attention on Article II
and insist on a high standard of compliance. While there is no clear
definition of what constitutes the "manufacture or acquisition" of a
nuclear weapon, there are activities not involving nuclear material
that could represent a clear violation. For example, a state seeking
nuclear weapons could build a prototype nuclear weapon shell.
Similarly, it could assemble the conventional explosive package needed
for a nuclear device. Either of these activities can be done without
the use of nuclear material, and thus would not be a violation of
safeguards. Yet, each activity represents considerable progress
toward, and is clearly directed at, the acquisition of nuclear
weapons. We cannot wait until a state has actually manufactured a
nuclear weapon to declare noncompliance with Article II. Rather, we
need to look at the totality of a state's nuclear program, as well as
the nature of the activity in question.
Third, the multilateral institutions with a role in enforcing
compliance must take firm action against violators. In January 1992,
the Security Council met at the level of Heads of State. The President
of the Council, Prime Minister John Major of the United Kingdom,
issued a statement on behalf of the members that dealt with the
Council's responsibility for the maintenance of international peace
and security. A portion of the statement noted the importance of the
NPT and said the Council "will take appropriate measures in the case
of any violations reported to them by the IAEA." All members of the
Security Council must more aggressively carry out this responsibility.
Fourth, all nuclear suppliers need to be alert for suspicious activity
by a recipient state and take action promptly when questions and
concerns arise. It could be many years from a secret decision by an
NPT party to acquire nuclear weapons until a clandestine program is
uncovered and there is a formal finding by the international community
of noncompliance. During that time, the future violator's civil
nuclear program could be benefiting greatly from outside assistance.
Even worse, the recipient of this assistance could be exploiting
commercial or governmental nuclear linkages to obtain items that are
diverted to its nuclear weapons program. This is a problem for all
nuclear suppliers, not just the nuclear weapon states.
Finally, we must be willing to take action against those who would
violate the Treaty. For example, a finding of non-compliance with
safeguards by the IAEA should lead to a cutoff of assistance to the
civil nuclear program of the guilty NPT party. The multilateral
nuclear export control regime has recognized this principle for many
years. The Nuclear Suppliers Group Guidelines call for consultations
in the event of a violation of safeguards or of other terms of supply
and possible penalties, including the termination of nuclear
assistance.
Finding ways to enforce compliance with the nonproliferation
provisions of the NPT is one of the central challenges we face. Let us
acknowledge this challenge and enter into a serious discussion of how
best to meet it.
(end transcript)
(Distributed by the Office of International Information Programs, U.S.
Department of State. Web site: http://usinfo.state.gov)



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