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DATE=5/16/2000
TYPE=BACKGROUND REPORT
TITLE=CHINA / TAIWAN / U-S
NUMBER=5-46318
BYLINE=ROGER WILKISON
DATELINE=BEIJING
CONTENT=
VOICED AT:
INTRO: As Taiwan prepares to inaugurate a new 
president Saturday (20th), Beijing is telling the 
island that, if it does not acknowledge being part of 
China, it could face dire consequences.  V-O-A 
correspondent Roger Wilkison reports China's stepped-
up pressure on Taiwan comes as the United States is 
indicating that it has no desire to mediate between 
the two longtime rivals.  
TEXT:  Ever since former pro-Taiwan independence 
leader Chen Shui-bian won election as the island's 
president last March, Beijing has insisted that he 
must accept its "one China" principle as a pre-
condition for talks across the strait.  That, in 
essence, means that Mr. Chen must acknowledge that 
Taiwan is part of China.  
Mr. Chen's Democratic Progressive Party has long 
advocated that Taiwan's people should decide whether 
the island should opt for reunification or 
independence, an idea that is anathema in Beijing.  
During the election campaign, Mr. Chen backed away 
from that stand, but he is still mistrusted by China's 
leaders.
This week, with Mr. Chen's inauguration approaching, 
Beijing has again gone on the offensive.  On Monday, 
the Communist Party's main newspaper, The People's 
Daily, warned the new Taiwanese leader there will be 
no peace across the Strait unless he officially 
recognizes that Taiwan is part of China.  On Tuesday, 
the official Xinhua news agency said there will be 
what it called "disastrous results" if Taiwan fails to 
accept the "one China" principle.  And foreign 
ministry spokeswoman Zhang Qiyue - speaking through an 
interpreter - reiterated that position, although more 
diplomatically.
            /// INTERPRETER ACTUALITY ONE ///
      I think the leaders of Taiwan, if they really 
      care about the interests of the Taiwan 
      compatriots and about peace and stability in the 
      Asia-Pacific region, should naturally recognize 
      the "one China" principle.
            /// END ACTUALITY ///
Mr. Chen says he is willing to discuss the "one China" 
principle but will not accept it as a precondition for 
talks.
With both sides boxed into seemingly irreconcilable 
positions, Taiwan has asked the United States to help 
facilitate the resumption of talks.  And, according to 
the Washington Post, so has China.  But U-S diplomats 
say they are wary of getting entangled in such a 
delicate issue and say it is up to China and Taiwan 
themselves to come up with creative ideas to overcome 
the impasse.  The State Department has denied the 
Washington Post report as being "not exactly 
accurate," and Chinese spokeswoman Zhang says China 
does not need outside help in solving an internal 
Chinese matter.
            /// INTERPRETER ACTUALITY TWO ///
      The question of Taiwan is an internal affair of 
      China.  We do not need any foreign countries to 
      have a hand in this matter. ... [We] do have 
      some contacts with the U-S side.  During these 
      contacts, we briefed the U-S side on the 
      position of the Chinese side on the question of 
      Taiwan.
            /// END ACTUALITY ///
But China analyst Barry Sautman - a professor of 
political science at Hong Kong's University of Science 
and Technology - says he believes China has asked the 
United States to put pressure on Mr. Chen.
            /// SAUTMAN ACTUALITY ONE ///
      The Chinese government has to try to do 
      something decisive because it simply cannot 
      proceed with negotiations across the strait 
      without acknowledgment on the part of Chen Shui-
      bian that either Taiwan is part of China or, at 
      least, that he's Chinese.  And I think that what 
      the Chinese government has in mind is to try to 
      get the Americans, who, after all, adhere to the 
      "one China" principle, as do most states, to try 
      to persuade Chen Shui-bian to do something that 
      would indicate that he favors that principle.
            /// END ACTUALITY ///
But Mr. Sautman says he doubts that Mr. Chen will be 
able to satisfy hard-liners in China who believe he is 
procrastinating in accepting the "one China" 
principle.  In his view, China will have to decide 
what kind of action it will take against Taiwan after 
it gets into the World Trade Organization.
            /// SAUTMAN ACTUALITY TWO ///
      There's a great deal of pressure on the civilian 
      leadership from the military on the mainland and 
      - I have to tell you also - that there's a great 
      deal of popular sentiment on the mainland in 
      favor of confronting the so-called separatists 
      on Taiwan.
            /// END ACTUALITY ///
So, on Saturday, the attention of policymakers in both 
Beijing and Washington will be focused on what Mr. 
Chen says - or does not say - in his inaugural speech.  
Beijing has said it could attack Taiwan if it delays 
reunification talks indefinitely.  Taiwan, meanwhile, 
has become used to having its own separate identity, 
and public opinion polls reveal that most of the 
island's people are in no hurry to be reunited with 
the mainland.  (Signed)  
NEB/HK/RW/JO/KL 
16-May-2000 07:18 AM EDT (16-May-2000 1118 UTC)
NNNN
Source: Voice of America
.





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