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DATE=3/23/2000
TYPE=BACKGROUND REPORT
TITLE=US - TAIWAN - CHINA
NUMBER=5-45996
BYLINE=DEBORAH TATE
DATELINE=WHITE HOUSE
CONTENT=
VOICED AT:
Intro:  Foreign policy experts in the United States 
are calling on the Clinton administration to reassess 
its policy toward China and Taiwan. President Clinton 
has indicated there would be no change in policy 
following the election of Chen Shui-bian as Taiwan's 
next President. But annalysts say the time has come to 
modify the U-S stand toward the region to reflect what 
they say are political reality there. Correspondent 
Deborah Tate explains in this background report.
Text:   U-S policy toward China and Taiwan has not 
changed since the 1970's, when Washington normalized 
ties with Beijing, broke off relations with Taipei - 
and agreed to encourage eventual reunification.
The United States has maintained a one-China policy, 
recognizing Beijing as the sole government, and 
pursuing a strategy known as `strategic ambiguity', in 
which Washington refuses to specify the circumstances 
under which it would defend Taiwan from Chinese 
military force.  It supplies Taiwan with weapons it 
needs to defend itself, but refrains from selling the 
island offensive arms.  At the same time, the United 
States appeals to Beijing and Taipei to resolve their 
differences through peaceful dialogue.
In recent years, the policy has been criticized as 
`outdated' by foreign policy observers in the United 
States and from members of the Republican majority in 
Congress.
Earlier this month, the number two Republican in the 
House of Representatives, Majority Whip Tom Delay of 
Texas, said the one-China policy does not reflect `the 
new reality' in the region:  a free and democratic 
Taiwan, and a China which he described as neither 
free, nor democratic, and a global security threat.
Joseph Bosco, an adjunct professor in the Asian 
Studies department at Georgetown University here in 
Washington, agrees:
            // Bosco actuality //
      Circumstances have changed dramatically in the 
      Taiwan Straits, the nature of the 
      administration, the regime if you will, in 
      Taiwan is entirely different.  We had an 
      authoritarian dictatorship under Chiang Kai- 
      shek and his immediate successor that has 
      evolved dramatically, partly under U.S.  
      tutelage, to a flourishing democracy.  So we 
      have an entirely different situation.   
      Meanwhile, on the mainland, although there has 
      been great progress economically, politically 
      there is still a Leninist regime, which has not 
      evolved, has not democratized.  Each time it 
      made moves in that direction it suddenly lurched 
      back into the kind of repressive system that we 
      have seen.
            // end act //
Critics - troubled by Beijing's recent threats to use 
force against Taiwan, even if necessary to achieve 
reunification - say the one-China policy has failed to 
ease tensions in the Taiwan straits.
In 1996, the United States sent two aircraft carrier 
groups to the region after China fired missiles into 
waters near Taiwan ahead of elections on the island 
that year.  Beijing considers the island a renegade 
province.
With the election of Mr. Chen in Taiwan, observers 
believe there is an opportunity for the United States 
to - at the very least - clarify its one-China policy.   
Professor Bosco:
	            // Bosco actuality //
      Over the years, our position has eroded from one 
      of neutrality over that issue, to accepting 
      China's position that it is the one China, that 
      the People's Republic of China has the right to 
      govern Taiwan.  This to me is serious erosion of 
      what the one-China policy was originally.   
            		// end act //
Professor Bosco says the United States should also 
make clear it would come to Taiwan's defense if the 
island came under attack by Beijing - in his words, 
replace the policy of `strategic ambiguity' with 
`strategic clarity'.
/// opt/// Mr. Bosco advocates expanding military ties 
with Taiwan.   The House of Representatives last week 
passed the Taiwan Enhancement Security Act, which 
would do just that.  The Senate has yet to act on the 
measure, but the Clinton administration has indicated 
the President will veto it - arguing it is too 
provocative to Beijing.///end opt///
Professor Bosco dismissed concerns of supporters of 
current policy who believe a clear commitment by the 
United States to defend Taiwan against Chinese attack 
would destroy U-S - Sino relations. 
/// opt/// Such ties are already strained over 
concerns about Beijing's human rights record, 
allegations of Chinese espionage on U-S nuclear 
laboratories, and last year's accidental Nato bombing 
of the Chinese Embassy in Belgrade.///end opt///
		// Bosco actuality //
      There are such strong reasons why we should have 
      a healthy bilateral relationship, certainly 
      stronger reasons on China's side than ours.  
      They benefit far more than we do on the trade 
      relationship, so it is hard to see that China 
      would cut off its nose despite its face by 
      breaking off relations or curtailing trade 
      simply because they disagreed with our 
      commitment to Taiwan.
            // end act //
Trade is one area where Professor Bosco and the 
Clinton administration agree.  Mr. Bosco says it would 
be a mistake for the United States to withhold 
permanent normal trade status for Beijing, echoing the 
administration line that the best way to foster 
democratic change in China is by integrating it into 
the world economy.
/// opt /// U-S officials are concerned that Beijing's 
recent threats against Taiwan may make an already 
reluctant Congress even more hesitant to extend normal 
trade ties on a permanent basis - a key step toward 
China's entry into the World Trade Organization. 
///end opt///
Besides expanding trade, observers believe Washington 
also can promote change in China by highlighting 
Taiwan's democratization in its dialogue with Beijing.    
Bates Gill is a senior fellow at the Brookings 
Institution here in Washington.
	            // Gill actuality //
      We need to begin the process of dialogue with 
      China to integrate more effectively the changes 
      that have taken place on Taiwan, and facing them 
      more realistically.  Avoiding the obvious or 
      pretending the democratization process has no 
      bearing on the situation or that somehow we can 
      ignore these changes is wrong-headed and is more 
      likely to lead us to disillusionment and 
      conflict in the years ahead.  The sooner we can 
      make clear to Beijing that we intend to take the 
      democratization process seriously in Taiwan and 
      convey to Beijing our interest in finding ways 
      to integrate it into our dialogue, the better.
            // end act //
Mr. Gill denies that such a move would encourage 
Taiwan to proclaim independence, thereby sparking war 
with China.
	            // Gill actuality  //
      I think it is wrong-headed to believe that 
      democratization and Taiwan independence are one 
      and the same.  They are not.   Clearly, we have 
      seen the democratization process occurring in 
      Taiwan for the past 10-15 years, which has not 
      led yet to the independence of Taiwan.  I will 
      grant that it has forced all parties to think 
      more flexibly about what the one-China policy 
      means, and think more imaginatively about how 
      that framework can be preserved at its broadest 
      level, while still accomodating Taiwan's 
      democratic process, and its well-deserved 
      strengthened stature on the international stage.  
      But I do not think they are mutually exclusive.
            // end act //
Mr. Gill notes that since his election Mr. Chen has 
sought to distance himself from the idea of 
independence for Taiwan, and that China, too, has 
softened its rhetoric toward Taiwan.
In an effort to keep tensions at bay, Mr. Clinton sent 
U-S Ambassador to the United Nations Richard Holbrooke 
to Beijing to try to encourage a resumption of a 
cross-strait dialogue.  Former Congressman Lee 
Hamilton, now head of the Woodrow Wilson International 
Center for Scholars, at the request of Mr. Clinton, 
delivered a similar message to Taipei.  (signed)
Neb/dat/PT
23-Mar-2000 18:49 PM EDT (23-Mar-2000 2349 UTC)
NNNN
Source: Voice of America
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