Tracking Number: 432236
Title: "China-Taiwan: 'One China' Too Many as Maneuvers Go On?'" (960313)
Date: 19960514
Text:
FOREIGN MEDIA REACTION DAILY DIGEST
USIA OFFICE OF RESEARCH AND MEDIA REACTION
U.S. INFORMATION AGENCY, WASHINGTON, DC 20547
PATRICIA McARDLE, BRANCH CHIEF MEDIA REACTION, (R/MR)
TELE. No. (202)619-6511
ANN PINCUS, DIRECTOR
Wednesday, March 13, 1996
CHINA-TAIWAN: 'ONE CHINA' TOO MANY AS MANEUVERS GO ON?
Foreign commentators from all over the globe let loose a torrent of concern over the ongoing Chinese military exercises in the Taiwan Strait and the dispatch of U.S. naval power to the area. While the majority view of analysts was that Beijing was simply exercising its military muscles to intimidate pro-independence Taiwanese as that island's first democratic elections near, most editorialists also agreed with a British daily that, "when the world's two greatest military powers maneuver menacingly in a narrow stretch of sea around a disputed island, only the foolhardy would argue that there was nothing to be worried about." Still, writers concluded that there was little real danger of outright military confrontation so long as the Chinese leadership is not challenged too much. Many of these pundits pointed to China's burgeoning economic might and argued, with a Belgian daily, that China would not go so far as to harm its own financial interests. In Moscow, reformist Segodnya expressed the minority view of the "showdown," arguing that, "by embarking on a large-scale military exercise in the Taiwan Strait, Beijing has made it plain that, contrary to what some Western analysts have been saying recently, it is ready to go ahead with its 'Taiwan policy' to the end." In Beijing, the official, Communist Party People's Daily Overseas reiterated its view that, "The U.S. must refrain from interfering in China's internal affairs and must stick to its policy of unofficial exchanges with Taiwan. This is of paramount importance."
Most writers in Europe strongly applauded the Clinton administration's decision to position U.S. warships in the Taiwan Strait. Stockholm's conservative Svenska Dagbladet, for example, stressed that there comes a point when democratic and free countries have to "fight for the principles on which their own existence rest," even if only in the "diplomatic field." One analyst suggested that the forceful U.S. response "is largely in memory of another invasion five years ago, when vital warnings emerging from Iraq were ignored in a diplomatic blunder that no one wants to see repeated." Observers in Asia were more reluctant to embrace the U.S. action. They noted the potential for escalation and urged all parties to find ways for both China and Taiwan to save face and back down from the brink of confrontation. For its part, Taipei's pro-opposition Taiwan Times urged "Taiwan and mainland leaders to replace confrontation with negotiation." Dailies in Australia and Japan also urged the nations of the region to concentrate on economic cooperation rather than political confrontation and even suggested that Taiwan "recognize reality" and "avoid provoking Beijing." Singapore's pro-government Business Times warned that any Taiwanese who believe the U.S. will offer itself as a shield against the mainland "are likely to find that their faith in the U.S. has been misplaced." France's regional Le Provencal remarked starkly that "in the West, nobody is willing to die for Taiwan." Papers elsewhere, notably in the Philippines, echoed that view. At the same time, however, the independent Hong Kong Economic Journal cautioned that if the U.S. backs off now, "the Asian countries which have expected U.S. military protection when their security was being threatened will adjust their foreign policies to a more pro-PRC approach."
This report is based on 190 commentaries from 31 countries, March 6-13.
EDITORS: Rose Sue Berstein and Pat McArdle EAST ASIA AND PACIFIC
CHINA: "Our Most Important Issue"
The official, Communist Party People's Daily Overseas, covering an interview with Western journalists, said (3/13), "The Taiwan issue is the most sensitive and most important issue in Sino-U.S. relations. In order to ensure the effectiveness of China's long-term efforts for peaceful reunification, the United States must refrain from interfering in China's internal affairs and must stick to its policy of unofficial exchanges with Taiwan. This is of paramount importance."
"Missile Tests"
The official, English-language China Daily said (3/12), "The military exercises by the People's Liberation Army will demonstrate that the Chinese government has the resolve and ability to safeguard the country's sovereignty and territorial integrity, (Foreign Minister) Qian Qichen said yesterday in Beijing. 'No foreign country should make irresponsible comments about these endeavors.... Qian...announced that if foreign forces do not support Taiwan in its quest for independence...there will not be tension across the Taiwan Strait.... China has never ruled out the use of force for reunifying the motherland, Qian said, adding that 'if foreign forces invade Taiwan or Taiwan attempts to declare independence, we will not sit by idly and remain indifferent.'"
TAIWAN: "A Vicious Circle"
In the opinion of the pro-opposition Taiwan Times (3/13), "Unfortunately, Taiwan-mainland relations have been in a vicious circle characterized with suspicion distrust, conflicts and confrontation ever since the ban on bilateral exchanges was lifted.... We believe now is the time for Taiwan and mainland leaders to replace confrontation with negotiation, and to alleviate war by negotiation. Negotiation is the starting point for building mutual trust. Taiwan need not be afraid for negotiation does not mean surrender. Neither should China unilaterally set 'to rule Taiwan' as the goal of these negotiations."
"Taiwan National Defense Is Facing Unprecedented Pressure"
The pro-establishment China Times said (3/12), "The PRC's real purpose for its recent military exercises is to show its new idea of 'sea power strategy' to the international community. Coincidentally, when the PRC government recently adopted its tough attitude toward Taiwan, this offered the PRC military a solid opportunity to test its 'sea power strategy.' However, the PRC's scheme of expanding its sea power apparently violates the U.S., Japan and other countries' idea of balancing the political and economic position in the Asia-Pacific region. It also seriously conflicts with the Asia-Pacific security defense system. This has made the U.S. leaders rush to announce that the Seventh Fleet will be sent to cruise around Taiwan's waters.
"This has caused the situation near Taiwan to be covered with the shadow of an international conflict.... What worried the Taiwan government is that the conflict near Taiwan between those great international maritime powers cannot help Taiwan solve its current crisis. It even would make the problem more complicated. Then the pressure on Taiwan's defense will be higher and may possibly lead to a more dangerous situation."
"Communist China Testing U.S. Limits"
The Taiwan Times held (3/12), "Communist China changed its attitude in order to test U.S. limits. If there is still a strong U.S. will to interfere in international disputes, Communist China will refrain. If the United States shows a reserved attitude, Communist China will be more aggressive. Therefore, the future development of the...situation will be a competition between the United States and Communist China."
"Independence Movement A Threat"
The conservative China Post opined (3/11), "Those politicians who really want peace and happiness for the people of Taiwan should stay away from the independence notion. The government, its current leaders in particular, ought to hold a broader view of the country's development. While striving to develop Taiwan, it should be concerned also about the destiny of the mainland, especially its people. Beijing could find no excuse to start a shooting war in the strait as long as Taiwan remains committed to reunification and is actively working toward this goal."
"We Hope Chinese Communists Won't Become 'Sinners Of the People'"
The liberal Great News (3/11) held, "The international community has echoed its strong protest against the PRC's military exercise.... The PRC urged Taiwan authorities not to hinder reunification of Taiwan and China, otherwise they would become sinners of the people. However, if the PRC authorities don't want to see the democratic style of life which we Chinese on Taiwan are leading now, and repeatedly apply military actions to threaten Taiwan, then they are the real 'sinners of the people.' We urge the PRC authorities to immediately stop their policy of military expansion, and let Taiwan complete its presidential election peacefully. After the election, leaders of both sides of the strait can go to the negotation table and discuss ways to achieve a mutually beneficial future. Let's do something good for the people of both sides."
"Peace Is Worth Saving"
The conservative China News (3/8) said, "It is important for President Lee to avoid provocative rhetoric.... Beijing...should call off the tests and show willingness to talk with Taipei to settle their differences.... Washington...should...mediate a settlement."
HONG KONG: "U.S. Has No Right To Interfere" Pro-PRC Hong Kong Commercial News declared (3/12), "If the United States really wants to relax the tense situation in the seas off Taiwan, it should give up supporting the activities of some Taiwanese of pushing for 'two Chinas.'... That includes ending arms sales to Taiwan and handling Taiwan-related affairs according to the principles of the three Sino-U.S. joint communiques."
"China Should Consider International Reaction"
According to the independent Sing Tao Daily News (3/12), "The U.S...attention to Taiwan is not only to protect the security of Taiwan, but to keep an eye on the security of the whole region. The unusual movements of the Seventh Fleet are believed to be agreed to by other countries around the area, except for the protest from China.... It is now believed that the United States has agreed with Japan that if China attacks Taiwan by force, the United States and Japan will act jointly. The United States would take the leading role and would be assisted by Japan." "What Is U.S. Goal In Taiwan?"
Leading, pro-PRC Ta Kung Pao (3/12) opined, "The United States has started foreign invasions and wars over seventy times. In the Korean War and Vietnam War, it even used bacterial weapons. For a long time, the United States has been setting up many military bases in various places in the world, and stationing hundreds of thousands of troops there. Today, the United States has decided to send a naval fleet to the seas around Taiwan. What does it want? Isn't it very clear?"
"Idea Worth Exploring"
The leading, independent English-language South China Morning Post (3/12) opined, "If there is a face-saving way for both sides to step back from the brink of the conflict, Beijing and Taipei should be ready to take it. It may be hard for Taiwan to give up its dream of UN membership. But it is so obviously no more than a dream at this stage; Mr. Lee and even the explicitly pro-independence Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) should be ready to concede this symbolic point for the sake of halting the slide into violence. Ordinary people on both sides of the Strait will be praying that it works."
"A Crucial Lesson In Brinkmanship"
The independent, English-language Eastern Express (3/12) held, "One of the contributory factors behind China's behavior is the chaos of U.S. policy toward Beijing during the Clinton presidency.... Every time Washington has shown signs of taking a hard line, all resolve has melted with the rhetoric that announced it. Once the decision was taken to award China Most Favored Nation status, and to sever connections between MFN and human rights, the Chinese government began laughing up its sleeve at the United States, and it is Clinton's fluctuating response that has contributed to this."
JAPAN: "Stop Military Exercises And Gunboat Diplomacy"
Liberal Mainichi held (3/13), "The dispatch of U.S. warships this time is clearly related to the Chinese military drills. This truly should be called gunboat diplomacy. We have criticized China's military exercises to influence the Taiwan presidential election but the U.S. demonstration of military threat to warn off the Chinese military threat will only escalate tensions in the straits.... China should suspend its military exercises at an early date."
"Japan Should Be Concerned About China-Taiwan Crisis"
Conservative Sankei remarked (3/13), "Japan's most effective diplomatic card toward China is economic cooperation. If China does not suspend its provocative military exercises in the Taiwan Straits, Tokyo should tell Beijing that it will review its economic aid. There are arguments that such a measure will only ruffle the feathers of the Chinese leadership and escalate tensions in the whole of Asia. But it would be quite 'do-nothing' policy to place all expectations on the U.S. military deterrent force to defuse the tension. Japan should take greater responsibility for maintaining the peace and stability of the international community."
"China Trying To Aviod Isolation"
Business-oriented Nihon Keizai opined (3/12), "As tensions grow in the Taiwan Strait, Chinese Foreign Minister Qian Qichen will meet with Secretary of State Christopher next month. "China has a two-track strategy. One side is escalating military exercises off Taiwan to shake up the island and influence the presidential election of March 23, while criticizing the U.S. dispatch of aircraft carriers to the area around Taiwan as absurd and preposterous. On the other track, the Chinese government seems ready to discuss the Taiwan issue in a positive manner with the United States, which has become critical of Beijing over its military exercises.... Qian is also expected to discuss the Taiwan issue with Japanese and Russian leaders in a bid to avoid becoming isolated from the international community."
AUSTRALIA: "Why China Will (Probably) Not Beat Up Taiwan"
According to the business-oriented Australian Financial Review (3/13), "Despite the United States' decision to move nuclear-armed naval task forces toward Taiwan and official U.S. warnings to China of 'grave consequences' if Taiwan is attacked, U.S. analysts are not gravely alarmed by the sound and fury being orchestrated from Beijing. Their assessment, shared by Australian intelligences and academic analysts, is that China's real intention is to remind Taiwan that Beijing (and most of the world) regard it as a province of China and that it should mute whatever ambitions it might have for independence and for wider diplomatic recognition including a seat at the United Nations. Provided Taiwan's leaders, especially President Lee Teng-hui, recognize that reality, concentrate their efforts on Taiwan's impressive economic and social development and avoid provoking Beijing, the present heightened tensions should remain manageable and eventually subside."
"If Only China Were In The Real World"
The national, conservative Australian held (3/13), "Everyone wants to engage China, not contain it. But for that to work, China has to learn to play by the international rules. This episode suggests Beijing is a long way from learning that lesson."
"A City Transformed Amid Independence Notions"
The Australian Financial Review remarked (3/12), "Beijing...detests (President Lee's) close links with U.S. politicians on both sides of Capitol Hill, and he is said to have played golf with both Bill Clinton and George Bush, unofficially of course. While the United States officially recognized Beijing as the only China and the two have a massive economic interest in each other, Clinton this week authorized the stationing near Taiwan of the USS Independence. The ship's name shouts out loudly in a region where symbols matter often more than words."
"Why U.S. Embraced Taiwan"
The liberal Sydney Morning Herald's foreign affair writer noted (3/9), "Taiwan is now fashionable again, particularly in the United States where there is...growing frustration with China's continuing human rights abuses and massive trade surpluses."
INDONESIA: "China-Taiwan Issue Heating-Up"
Independent Surya of Surabaya observed (3/13), "We all know that the United States is behind Taiwan, and is serving as no more than a balancing power against China. The actions taken by China--military, trade and diplomatic--are just tools to pressure Taiwan.... Is Taiwan feeling threatened by China's actions and willing to reunite? It would be difficult for Taiwan to reunite with China, as the Taiwanese people enjoy higher economic standards. And, of course, they prefer to have their own country." "Tensions Between The Two Chinas"
The independent, critical Media Indonesia held (3/11), "The magnitude of the criticism of China's missile tests indicates the gravity of the China-Taiwan conflict.... The U.S. double standard has made it difficult for China to control Taiwan. Backed by Western support, Taiwan has not been cowed by China's threats.... It is difficult to mediate a historical conflict fraught with ideological and legalistic concerns.... We hope that the two Chinas can reach a peaceful solution. If the situation requires reunification, efforts should be made to accommodate each party. War is by the powerless."
"China-Taiwan Tensions"
Pro-government, Islamic-oriented Pelita commented (3/8), "Taiwan had greater hopes for international recognition after the fall of the USSR. Practically, however, the situation has not changed, as China is becoming increasingly stronger, both politically and economically.... We must anticipate the worst if Taiwan and China carry out their plans."
MALAYSIA: "China Tests Launching Missiles Again"
Government-influenced, Chinese-language Nanyang Siang Pau commented (3/7), "The present tension between China and Taiwan has been aggravated by the deterioation in U.S.-China relations.
"It is not far from the truth to say China-Taiwan ties are the extension of U.S.-China relations. In the present situation, it is impossible to improve China-Taiwan ties in the absence of good U.S.-China relations."
PHILIPPINES: "Sticking With ASEAN Position On Chinese Intimidation"
The anti-administration, second leading Philippine Daily Inquirer (3/13) ran this by Amando Doronila: "The Philippine position is very much in line with the cautious approach taken by Asian nations, including Japan and other members of ASEAN. While these neighbors of China fear its growing economic might and are alarmed at its combative assertion of military power, they are reluctant to offend Beijing.... For the Philippines, the wisest course is to act...with ASEAN, whose members have demonstrated nimble skills in making the United States act on behalf of their security, without compromising their national sovereignty."
"The China Syndrome"
The independent Manila Times (3/12) opined, "The Philippines' northmost island is only approximately 240 kilometers south of Taiwan.... What if something goes wrong at a future test and a missile overshoots its target and lands somewhere in Batanes?.... No doubt our government officials will be looking for the United States for support. Maybe in the same way that Taiwan expects the United States to rush to its defense in case China attacks the island-state. But the United States has always adopted a policy of strategic ambiguity. This means not committing itself to Taiwan, but at the same time hinting to Beijing that it will not hesitate to take the role of a global policeman."
"The 'War' Over Taiwan"
A. Abaya wrote in the conservative Philippine Star (3/12), "This brouhaha began last year when...Clinton...against the advice of...Christopher, authorized...a visa to Taiwan President Lee.... "The United States may be angling to create more justifications to reduce its galloping trade deficit with China and delay China's march to superpower status, even if it involves reviving the Chinese civil war."
"China Bull"
K.C. Yao wrote in the independent, financial Business World (3/12), "After winning the trust of foreign investors who have put billions into China's economy, it is throwing its weight with the full realization that it will not be easy for any country to simply pull out its investments.... China has little to lose economically by bombing Taiwan...and if it chooses to go to war with its...neighbors, China knows that its only formidable military foe, the United States, will not be so quick to come to Asia's aid.... The United States has so far kowtowed to every slap in the face China has given it. From...Lee Teng-hui's U.S. visit to...human rights, the United States has not only handled China with kid gloves, but it actually even rewarded China with most favored nation status. Believe me, China is grinning from ear to ear."
SINGAPORE: "No Help"
The pro-government Business Times commented (3/12), "It is no help that President Lee Teng-hui should call for support from the United States against a backdrop of comforting noises from influential Americans.... If anything, this will only encourage the Taiwanese to believe that the United States will rush to their defense, if ever China makes good its promise to invade the island.... If any Taiwanese believe the United States will offer itself as a shield against the mainland, they are likely to find that their faith in the United States has been misplaced."
SOUTH KOREA: "Taiwan Warning China Not To Go Beyond Drill Level"
Conservative Chosun Ilbo commented (3/13), "The impression is that the U.S. responses so far against China's military maneuvers are well calculated. First the United States expressed concern and gave warnings, which led to a second stage of quiet persuasion. Having given 'sufficient' warning in advance, the United States dispatched the aircraft carriers Independence and Nimitz. Confident that China won't invade Taiwan, the United States is not likely to go beyond the current warning level."
"Force Can Never Be Accepted"
Moderate Hankook Ilbo observed (3/12), "While the United States and Japan have strongly condemned the Chinese missile maneuvers, the Korean government--which is in fact closer to the militarily threatening scene--hasn't done anything. We're simply watching from 'across the river.' Silence at this time is not golden. Even if Taiwan is an international affair for China, an attempt to resolve the situation through force can never be accepted."
THAILAND: "China Does Not Mean To Attack Taiwan"
In the opinion of top-circulation, Thai-language, nationalist Thai Rath (3/13), "Having learned the lesson of the disintegration of the former Soviet Union...China could not help taking a hard stand against Taiwan as the latter has unambiguously demonstrated that it wanted to break loose from China.... China should be warned that if it is not ready for a major war, it should reduce the scope of its maneuvers in order to avoid any accident at the time the USS Independence is already in the area."
"China-Taiwan War Of Nerves"
The mass-circulation Daily News (3/10) commented, "The government under President Lee Teng-hui seems confident that China will never launch an attack against Taiwan. In addition to inviting harsh international criticism and economic sanctions, such a move would also be tantamount to severing a main artery that helps to sustain the Chinese economy."
"China Is Playing With Fire"
The top-circulation, English-language, pro-government Bangkok Post (3/8) said, "Taiwan deserves a choice. The rest of the world deserves peace. A bully deserves discipline and must be punished before it is given the breathing space to achieve its dubious goals."
EUROPE
BRITAIN: "Dragon's Roar Awakens Fears In The West"
The conservative Daily Telegraph held (3/13), "China's armed forces have begun to throw their weight about in the vast area Beijing regards as its own backyard, upsetting the balance of power throughout the region.... These developments point to a fundamental miscalculation about China on the part of the West. Until recently, the awakening of the Chinese dragon was regarded almost everywhere as a good thing.... This theory now needs revising, for China is becoming more powerful more quickly than it is becoming pleasant and accommodating.... Even at this tense juncture, jaw-jaw still seems more likely than war-war in the Taiwan Straits, if only because of uncertainty in Beijing as to what the United States would do in the event of a Chinese attack. But the long-term prospects for peace in the oceans around China are not encouraging.... At best, it will force neighboring countries to form what would amount to an anti-China alliance. At worst, it could spark a real shooting war whose first casualty might well be the East Asian 'economic miracle.'"
"Taiwan Not Insignificant"
The Daily Telegraph opined (3/12), "The rise of China poses the greatest challenge to peace in Asia. The verbal and military threats made by Beijing over the past few days are a test of the resolve of Washington and its allies. China must be contained or it will undermine the stability of the region. Taiwan is not an insignificant island whose fate is a matter for Beijing alone. It is, rather, a model for what China could become. It deserves our support."
"Remembering Iraq"
Washington correspondent Bill Turnbull said on BBC-TV's Breakfast News (3/12), "The Americans say it is just a prudent precautionary measure, but they are assembling one of the largest U.S. fleets seen in the region since the Vietnam War.... Congress has been taking up the cudgels too, drafting resolutions heavily critical of China....
"The United States is calculating that China has no real intention of attacking Taiwan, and that this crisis will blow over after the Taiwanese elections later this month. The forceful response is largely in memory of another invasion five years ago, when vital warnings emerging from Iraq were ignored in a diplomatic blunder that no one wants to see repeated."
"West Must Raise The Volume Of Its Alarm"
The conservative Times (3/12) opined, "There was ugly hypocrisy in the warning given yesterday against American 'interference' in matters Taiwanese, by Qian Quichen, China's foreign minister. The interference in Taiwan's affairs comes not from Washington, but directly from Beijing....
It would be folly to treat lightly their threat to act against 'chaos' in Taiwan. Western military strategists point out that in the event of a Chinese invasion, Taiwan would be a fierce adversary....
This is why the West must raise the volume of its alarm. Beijing has to be told now that Taiwan has a right to be left in peace. If it uses force, China will return once more, and firmly, to the status of pariah."
"Resisting The Dragon's Roar"
The centrist Independent (3/12) held, "When the world's two greatest military powers maneuver menacingly in a narrow stretch of sea around a disputed island, only the foolhardy would argue that there was nothing to be worried about.... At stake in this escalating war of words, gestures and threats is not only the outcome of Taiwan's forthcoming elections but the terms under which China will exert its growing power in Asia....
"The Clinton administration was right to strengthen the U.S. naval presence in the area. It may also diplomatically remind China that the West has no 'selfish' interests in Taiwan and will not encourage a desire for independence, yet it could not stand by if Taiwan were attacked.... Taiwan is vulnerable precisely because it is caught in that limbo short of full statehood. It is convenient for the West that it should be kept there, for that eases Western trade with China. In return Taiwan has every right to expect our support. Most importantly...the West must remind China that war and instability could seriously hamper investment. The days are gone when Beijing could behave like a surly dragon, occasionally popping its head out of a cave of self-imposed isolation to roar defiance. The West must not escalate the tension by intervening directly, but it must make its presence felt for as long as China continues to threaten."
"High Noon In Taiwan"
The conservative tabloid London Evening Standard (3/11) held, "China has sold nuclear technology and missiles to Iran, grabbed the mischief reef on the Spratly Islands, laid claim to parts of Indonesian waters and harassed shipping in the South China Sea. There also remains the shameful matter of China's subjection of Tibet, a tyranny to which Western enlightened opinion seems largely indifferent. The Clinton administration has acted admirably in making an armed demonstration off Taiwan. Its action deserves Europe's unequivocal support."
"U.S. Deployment Is A Statement"
BBC TV's Breakfast News commented (3/11), "The deployment is a statement that the United States still sees its naval might as the guarantor of security in East Asia. But the region has been shaken by the latest round of military posturing by China, including military exercises periously close to Taiwan. The United States has warned of grave consequences if China moves against Taiwan.... But China's foreign minister...dismissed the idea of American intervention as 'ridiculous.' He said some people seemed to have forgotten that Taiwan was part of China, not an American protectorate." "Taiwan Tension"
The independent Financial Times commented (3/11), "The outside world cannot sit idly by, but its reaction must be measured. The tests are far too close to Taiwan. But they are in international waters. There has been no accident involving damage or loss of life. To encourage Taiwan in its drive for international recognition would inflame an already volatile situation. Yet to leave Taiwan to China's mercy just when it has completed the process of democratization would be a shocking signal of indifference....
"The outlines of a deal are discernible. Taiwan might reaffirm its long-term aim of unification and drop its campaign for a seat in the UN. In return, China might agree to abandon military pressure, to open direct shipping links and permit representation for Taiwan in some international bodies such as the WTO. With a strong popular mandate, Mr. Lee should be able to sell such a deal at home. How the aging Chinese generals who appear to determine policy on Taiwan would react is another matter. Clearly aghast at the prospect of Taiwan's elections being seen by millions of disenfranchised Chinese on satellite television, they seem bent on aggression. They should consider the merits of a conciliatory approach. The world will be more dangerous if they do not."
"Nervous Taiwan Invokes Blitz Spirit"
The liberal Guardian (3/7) observed, "China's saber-rattling adds further weight to a view gathering support, particularly in election-year Washington, that Beijing is more a potential enemy than a partner."
GERMANY: "China Does Not Want A War"
Centrist Sueddeutsche Zeitung of Munich said (3/13), "Observers agree: China does not want a war.... But, nevertheless, reactions are varying between placating (Southeast Asia), clear words (Japan), and sharp warnings (the United States).... Even if we think that their own interest and reason will slow down the leaders in Beijing: The situation is delicate, since the government in Beijing has put itself under pressure to act. But with its saber-rattling, China has not come one step closer to unification. To save face and to withdraw, it needs conciliatory gestures from Taiwan after the elections."
"Subtle Like An Exploding Tire"
Sueddeutsche Zeitung of Munich commented (3/12), "The message from Washington is clear. Enough is enough. The Clinton administration has decided to amend its classical integration policy with some elements of containment. That is the reason why Washington is showing China's saber rattlers that it has its own powerful saber and does not need to rely on diplomatic exchanges any longer. Clinton has no choice.... The Chinese are playing a game which will not make them new friends. Their strategic options are limited anyhow.... But this won't go too far if China calculates its interests in a rational way. They would drive Japan and Russia into the arms of Washington and would deter international investments which hate political instability more than anything else. Without vital investments, China would have to wait even longer for its great power status than the unification with Taiwan."
"Playing With Fire"
Stuttgarter Zeitung opined (3/11), "Beijing is flexing its muscles...in an effort to intimidate the people of Taiwan.... "At the same time, Beijing is once again trying to find out just how far it can go with the West. Obviously, a long way, since the international protests have been somewhat muted. The reason is obvious--China represents tomorrow's market, and nobody wants to spoil relations with the Chinese leadership.... How about a few clear words from Washington or Bonn?... China is playing with fire, and the West is playing the innocent bystander, instead of doing all it can to stamp out the flames."
FRANCE: "Firmness Without Further Escalation"
Influential Le Monde commented (3/13), "The U.S. administration struck this balance by announcing that it would strengthen its naval presence in the region while, at the same time it was downplaying Beijing's intentions.... The reality, as Christopher put it, is that China represents an enormous strategic weight."
"Firm U.S. Message"
TV TF-1's Washington correspondent Ulysse Gosset said (3/12), "With the (U.S.) Seventh Fleet en route, the message is firm. But China is not yielding.... Apparently, the Chinese are trying to play with Bill Clinton's nerves. If the U.S. president does not react, the Chinese will certainly take advantage. If Bill Clinton does too much, tensions may rise further, even though, in the end, America does not want a fight with China. Economic relations between the two countries are very important."
"One Never Knows What China Will Do"
Economic Les Echos (3/12) opined, "One can still try to reassure oneself by saying that Beijing will know not to go too far.... But one never knows what a relatively rich China, now a nuclear and space power, can do. Underdeveloped and poor, China did not hesitate to break off with the Soviet Union in 1960 or to launch a disastrous war against Vietnam in 1979 to 'punish' Hanoi for its intervention in Cambodia."
"The Sad, But Real, Truth"
Julien Redon wrote in regional Le Provencal (3/12), "In the West, nobody is willing to die for Taiwan."
"The Chinese Opera"
Conservative Le Figaro commented (3/6), "The Chinese wants to remind the world...that the independence of their separate brothers is unacceptable.... Launching an uncontrolled adventure would be contrary to Beijing's usual prudence.... One must not rule out that a war might erupt by accident. But it is more likely that Beijing, in this military gesturing, will stick to the usual moves as the singers cautiously do in a Chinese opera."
ITALY: "China Challenging U.S. Monopoly As Superpower"
Fernando Mezzetti's commentary in centrist La Stampa suggested (3/13), "China's intimidation is aimed at Taiwan, but what China really intends to challenge is the U.S. monopoly as a superpower.... This assertive, if not extremist China, which does not hesitate to endanger its relations with Asian countries and with its main economic partner, the United States, is the result of a modernization and an economic growth to which today's targets have contributed considerably.... China is recklessly affirming its role in the area, and questioning the U.S. zone of influence in Asia, previously challenged by Moscow.... "The 'line of demarcation' of U.S. interests will not be passed, there will be no showdown, and tension will lessen in two weeks. But, in the meantime, Beijing is leading the game. And the message it has sent will not fail to produce effects."
"The New Asian Powder Keg"
Vittorio Zucconi held in La Stampa (3/12), "Only American political and military power offers the hope of containing the risks of a Chinese explosion and of dissuading the temptation of solving the Chinese regime's domestic problems with an attack on Taiwan.... But the American eagle is trapped in an unsolvable paradox between the two dragons: In the '70s the Americans recognized the People's Republic of China's historical sovereignty so as to normalize relations with Beijing, while also guaranteeing the island's security and protection in order not to betray its ally. At the roots of this paradox, and in light of the Clinton administration's lacking a 'Chinese strategy,' there is the hope that the democratization process of the 'Two Chinas' continues and ripens, making their reunification a natural and painless outcome."
RUSSIA: "Showdown"
Alexander Chudodeyev contended on the front page of reformist Segodnya (3/13), "This is a showdown. By embarking on a large-scale military exercise in the Taiwan Strait, Beijing has made it plain that, contrary to what some Western analysts have been saying recently, it is ready to go ahead with its 'Taiwan policy' to the end.... Anyhow, Beijing wouldn't have caused trouble in the Taiwan Strait for nothing. As they seek to profit by revved-up power struggles...the Chinese brass hats sort of signal the 'non-comprehending' West that the age of the pragmatic Deng is on the way out."
BELGIUM: "Tricky State Of Play For U.S."
Philippe Paquet wrote in conservative Catholic La Libre Belgique (3/12), "The United States...is forced to maintain its long-term relation with the political and economic superpower which China is, while maintaining the credibility of the security system which it is maintaining in the entire Western Pacific. U.S. indifference to a Chinese action against Taiwan would ruin this system's credibility and would, among other consequences, trigger Japan's massive rearmament, even perhaps its nuclearization."
"China Won't Go So Far As To Hurt Itself"
Freddy De Pauw observed in independent Catholic De Standaard (3/8), "There are mutual interests at stake. Beijing will not cut its own flesh. The People's Republic will certainly refrain from an invasion of Taiwan. Beijing cannot have forgotten how Chinese troops invaded Vietnam in 1979 'to teach that country a lesson'--but got a lesson themselves. Taiwan's defense is strong enough to thwart an invasion. But missile tests and threats with some shelling suffice to undermine Taiwan's self-confidence. From the fact that business contacts continue and that even the exchange of students is not interrupted, the Taiwanese are drawing the hope that the soup will not be eaten as hot as it is being served. To be certain, they will (try to cool it off) themselves."
CANADA: "Intimidation"
The conservative Ottawa Sun (3/11) asked, "What took the United States so long in warning Communist China to ease up the intimidation when it began launching test missiles across the bow of Taiwan.... "As Taiwan nears it March 23 election, what it needs is for Uncle Sam to step up its warning against China and put its carrier task force within range of China's anticipated target zone. That would be talking tough. Or does the States only talk tough when Cuba is involved?"
THE NETHERLANDS: "Only U.S. Can Dam Chinese Power Display"
Influential, liberal-left De Volkskrant said (3/13), "The United States opted for a...comprehensive engagement. This still has not yet resulted in a consistent policy. But at least it set up a line and because of its military potential, it is the only one who can build a dam against the Chinese display of power. On this point, there is no task for Europe and there probably never will be. But this may not be reason to keep silent."
"Crucial U.S. Role"
Centrist Haagsche Courant observed (3/12), "The U.S. role is crucial. Without support from the world's only superpower, Taiwan would have no chance to be an independent nation.... Things were different in the days of the Cold War when China came in handy in the fight against the Soviet Union.... China is first and foremost interesting as a market. Beijing would like to do business, but under the condition of no nagging about human rights.... All this while, through close relations with the United States, Taiwan has developed into a free market democracy. The near future will prove how much Washington values this. Or not, if Beijing gets its act together and ends this stupid saber rattling."
"Theatrical Face Saving"
Conservative De Telegraaf (3/12) held, "This new escalation of the conflict between the two countries is somewhat theatrical. The regime in Beijing knows very well that it cannot really make a fist without bringing an American intervention.... Beijing's display of power also has something to do with the fear of losing face now that Taiwan will soon hold its first democratic presidential elections.... Beijing's saber rattling is dangerous because it can easily get out of hand."
"China Wants To Convince"
Centrist Algemeen Dagblad (3/12) opined, "Li Peng does not hide that after Hong Kong, Taiwan too will be included in the nation and that it will not be the voters, but Beijing that will shape their political systems.... To convince Taiwan...Chinese armed forces are playing the drums loudly.... But it is unacceptable that they try to impose their will through intimidation or an invasion.... This is the signal hidden in the American concern and the sending of warships. It is a sign that the international community under U.S. leadership demands a solution based on mutual respect and equality. Hopefully, the Chinese leaders will soon be convinced so that a military confrontation can be avoided."
"Chinese Missiles"
Influential, liberal-left De Volkskrant said (3/8), "Communist ideology is being replaced by nationalism.... The other Asian countries realize that the development of China could be of crucial importance for the future of their continent. However, there is no consensus on how to deal with China. This is typical of weakness. Southeast Asia is extremely successful in its economic development. The question that comes up is how successful it will be in resolving the numerous political and military conflicts in its region."
NORWAY: "Dangerous Fireworks"
Hallvard C. Hanssen wrote in independent, tabloid Dagbladet (3/12), "The Chinese know they are openly challenging the Americans. (They) have done this before, both with human rights issues and in weapons trade. The Chinese market has become so important that few countries really dare pick a fight with Beijing. What could save the situation, however, is that China's economy has become so important for China itself, that the Chinese are reluctant to sacrifice this over a real conflict in the strait of Taiwan."
"China And Taiwan"
Social Democratic Arbeiderbladet (3/12) called the exercises "an unacceptable demonstration of power...meant to scare Taiwan from formalizing what...has existed for a long time--independence from China."
"China's Dangerous Muscles"
Conservative Aftenposten (3/7) held, "The thought that the Chinese peoples who used to be part of the Middle Empire should be gathered once again, is deeply rooted in Chinese history.... But Chinese use of military power to obtain its goals should be condemned and rejected.... This could be the beginning of a China-U.S. conflict influencing the whole Pacific Rim--and the rest of the world."
SPAIN: "China Merely Showing Off, For Time Being"
Conservative ABC (3/13) said, "China will not tolerate an independence movement resulting from the probable land-slide victory of President Lee at the March 23 elections. Its mere possibility has set off the alarm in Beijing. For the time being, China is only trying to show its capability to cut off Taiwan from any trade traffic. However, it does not appear to be set on invading the island because the cost would be too high both in the international field and on the very battle ground."
"Chinese Turn Of The Screw"
Anti-government El Mundo (3/9) held, "Beijing is trying to frighten the Taiwanese population so that it will not re-elect Lee, whose program includes...declaring the island's independence formally.... Relations between China and the United States are not very good.... However, Washington is not interested in breaking ties with Beijing, especially after the great trade opening that the reduction of tariffs has brought."
"One Country, Two Systems; Or Two Countries, One System?"
Asian affairs expert F. Pastrano wrote for conservative ABC (3/10), "Taiwan knows that, today, democracy is the only possible way toward development.... What Beijing is trying to do, by its threat of invading the island, is to frighten a segment of the Taiwanese electorate which is against reunification and has proposed the existence of two countries and a single system of government--democracy."
SWEDEN: "Fighting for Principles"
Conservative Svenska Dagbladet held (3/12), "There comes a point when democratic and free countries have to fight for the principles on which their own existence rest, even if it would only take place in the diplomatic field. To Sweden it would imply that we stop repeating the 'one China' mantra and actively, within the EU begin to work for the establishment of closer diplomatic ties with Taiwan." SOUTH ASIA
INDIA: "Confrontation Likely To Lead To U.S.-China Nuclear Arms Race"
The independent Times of India said (3/13), "The last confrontation in the Taiwan strait led to China's acquisition of nuclear weapons. The present confrontation is likely to lead to an arms race between United States and China. The United States which is developing...THAAD system is likely to compel China to increase its penetration capability and develop its own ballistic missile defense. This confrontation demonstrates that nuclear arsenals do not add to the security of even a superpower.... What China is proving is that the existentialist threat of nuclear weapons can paralyze the United States and make it impotent to act in East Asia. The world has come a long way from the Quemoy-Matsu crisis of 1958 when China had to climb down under U.S. nuclear threat."
"China Checkmated"
The independent Indian Express opined (3/13), "Great restraint is called for to prevent the overheated situation in the Taiwan strait from spilling over into an unintended incident.... It is abundantly clear that China's interests will not be served by reunifying Taiwan by force, but Beijing's posturing and rhetoric give the impression that such an option may not be far from its mind....
"Fortunately, Taipei has reacted carefully but its evident alarm at Chinese bellicosity has led to the American decision to send in more ships. While this is intended to reassure Taiwan's people during the poll, Chinese leaders, inevitably, interpret it as U.S. interference.... The international reaction to last week's missile test shows Beijing may have carried its threats too far. Having raised the temperature over Taiwan in order to scuttle Lee's poll chances, it now finds itself checkmated. Without some visible gains for itself, Beijing will have trouble accepting this situation."
"China Piles On More Pressure"
Tokyo correspondent F.J. Khergamvala wrote in the independent Hindu (3/11), "Beijing is fully aware of its position as the developing world's leading overseas investment destination.... Militarily it has done its preparation, hopefully. All...could be dangerously upset if even one dummy projectile lands in any part of Taiwan. That would set off a reaction in Congress that the Clinton administration would find difficult to bridle. Consequently China would respond, in a chain reaction."
BANGLADESH: "Taiwan Ready For War"
The independent Morning Sun (3/12) held, "The conflict between China and Taiwan has reached an alarming stage.... Taiwan should not make any hasty move against China. It should better concentrate on staying on top of Asia as one of its economic tigers. The United States, which has now shifted its preference from recognizing Taiwan independence ever since developing...her good relationship with China, should play deftly, since good relationship with China also implies acceptance of Taiwan as an inalienable part of China, which was never the Cold War policy of the United States."
NEPAL: "China Entitled To Respond To U.S. Imperialism"
Pro-left Chhalphal (3/10) observed, "Through diplomatic moves the United States is indirectly backing the Taiwanese claim of equal representation with China.... "Change in the one China-policy...and the use of Taiwan against China cannot serve the interests of the United States.... Present U.S. activities against China are simply a desperate attempt to push back China's economic progress and deter China from its move to become a world power.... To defeat the imperialist U.S. moves, it is necessary for China, too, to take its steps, not on impulse or provocation, but with restraint and caution, for the sake of world peace and stability."
LATIN AMERICA AND CARIBBEAN
ARGENTINA: "The Two Faces Of Southeast Asia"
Leading Clarin (3/12) opined, "Less than a week after the Euro-Asian summit...the series of missiles launched by Beijing close to Taiwan's shores have the effect of reminding who is the unavoidable protagonist, the main military power in Asia. The Chinese giant moves...with intentions to dissuade any kind of independence attempts of what was until a few years ago nationalist China.... The growing tension...could be considered an anachronism proper of the Cold War.... So far, the hypothesis of an invasion cannot be conceived as a reality. But the military mobilization and the international reactions, provoked mainly by the United States, are symptoms of a rekindling that affects international peace and reflects the kind of territorial conflicts and nationalistic disputes that economic globalization and the end of the Cold War have been unable to modify."
BRAZIL: " Is U.S. Just A Paper Tiger?"
Independent Jornal da Tarde (3/12) said, "The United States is now harvesting in the Taiwan Straits the fruits of a foreign policy characterized by uncertainty. We are discussing the treatment given Cuba...and China.... Two weights and two standards.... Now the totalitarian China is moving from commercial to imperial expansion, threatening Taiwan's government with missiles, artillery barrages and naval maneuvers. Given the uncertainty of American policy, China has every reason to continue believing that Mao...was right when he said the United States was a 'paper tiger.'"
"Little Chance Of Outright Hostilities"
Liberal Folha de Sao Paulo's Beijing correspondent commented (3/12), "The United States knows that the chance of a real crisis ending in an armed conflict is remote. The United States does not want China to become a military or diplomatic rival. But also it does not want to implement a containment policy that would destabilize its bilateral relations (with China) and leave the United States outside the lucrative Chinese market."
"The Tension In The Taiwan Straits"
Center-right 0 Estado de Sao Paulo (3/12) said, "By sending war ships...the United States is trying to guarantee the region's stability. The American position...is delicate. In recent decades, the United States has lost one by one, its allies in the territory surrounding China, and with them its bases. Burma, Thailand, Laos, Cambodia, and Vietnam, where there was once an American presence, today have regimes that are either hostile to the United States or neutral. In the area nearest China, only Taiwan and South Korea are support points for the United States This is a very uncomfortable situation, with perennial instability in Korea and now in the Taiwan Strait.
"China will not give up its claims on Taiwan, and its military maneuvers show that the unresolved question of the island has great appeal for internal Chinese politics. The United States is not ignorant of this reality and is moving to gain a better bargaining position on what it would like to postpone as much as possible. China is the one in a hurry."
CHILE: "Democracies Have Not Helped Taiwan"
Pablo Roriguez wrote in popular, conservative La Tercera (3/9), "What has the democratic world done to help Taiwan? Up to now, nothing concrete.... This is a good opportunity to show that democracy, as is often said, is alive and is more than just words and circumstantial convenience."
GUATEMALA: "War Threat In Strait Of Taiwan"
Guatemala's moderate El Grafico opined (3/12), "The Chinese Communists can't do anything else except try to isolate the Taiwanese and reinforce their belief that the island of Taiwan is part of continental China. The Taiwanese (know) what it is to have a free country.... Communist Chinese military actions in the strait of Taiwan constitute a threat against world peace."
PANAMA: "Communism A Cover For Imperialism"
Independent La Prensa (3/11) held, "Communism has been a pretext, more than an explanation, for the reconstruction of imperial China, for which the existence of an autonomous Taiwan is bothersome.... (China's) threats to Taiwan are subtly designed provocations designed to...weaken Taiwanese resolve. Only a unified Western policy regarding the respect for human rights and the self determination of the nations which make up China...can ensure a promising era in which a democratic and federal China exists within the concert of nations."
URUGUAY: "We Applaude The U.S. Stance"
The conservative, business El Observador held (3/12), "The U.S. Department of State let the government of Communist China know that it would not tolerate any military action on its part against the 'rebel province' and that, if necessary, it would help the attacked party with the (U.S.) army. Those of us who love and admire the United States and its posture in regard to defense for freedom and human rights in the world (despite its potential mistakes and lack of diplomatic experience), must applaud this attitude on the part of its government which answers a large number of questions left unanswered by Kissinger and his pupil, Nixon, with their historic shift regarding both Chinas."
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Product Name: Foreign Media Reaction
Product Code: FM
Keywords: CHINA-TAIWAN RELATIONS; MILITARY EXERCISES; TAIWAN/Defense & Military; NEWS MEDIA COMMENTARY; CHINA-US RELATIONS;
TAIWAN-US RELATIONS; FORCE & TROOP LEVELS
Document Type: EXC; RPT
Thematic Codes: 1EA
Target Areas: AF; AR; EA; EU; NE
PDQ Text Link: 432236
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