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DATE=6/15/2000
TYPE=WORLD OPINION ROUNDUP
TITLE=ASSAD'S DEATH LEAVES MANY QUESTIONS
NUMBER=6-11876
BYLINE=ANDREW GUTHRIE
DATELINE=WASHINGTON
EDITOR=ASSIGNMENTS
TELEPHONE=619-3335
CONTENT=
INTRO:  Seldom does the world's press have to deal 
simultaneously with two more momentous events than the 
death of Syrian President Hafez al-Assad and the 
historic meeting of the leaders of South and North 
Korea in Pyongyang.
In the Middle East, and elsewhere, international 
editorial page editors were assessing the 
repercussions of the Syrian leader's death and how it 
will impact on the Israeli-Palestinian peace talks 
that are supposed to be moving toward a settlement in 
September.
We get a sampling now from ________ in this week's 
World Opinion Roundup.
TEXT:  Several Lebanese and Egyptian dailies are 
anticipating that Syria's new leadership will promote 
better Syrian-Lebanese and Syrian-Palestinian 
relations, thus strengthening the overall bargaining 
position of the Arabs with Israel.  European dailies, 
for the most part, wondered whether Bashar Assad, the 
late president's 34-year-old son, would have the 
internal strength and political cunning to maintain 
his father's rule in Syria.
TEXT:  To Israel first, where, in Tel Aviv, Haaretz 
writes in an editorial:
      VOICE:  Israel is entitled to expect that the 
      talks with Syria, when they resume, are 
      fashioned to do more than address technicalities 
      and matters of detail.  They must also take 
      Israeli public opinion into account.  Hafez 
      Assad spared no effort to guarantee that the 
      Israelis remained alienated from Syria and its 
      leadership.  In contrast, Bashar Assad, who was 
      educated in the West, is perceived as someone 
      who understands how public opinion molds a 
      democratic government's decision-making process.  
      Thus Bashar, who now holds the key ... would be 
      wise to direct a share of his words and deeds 
      toward the Israeli public ...
TEXT:  As for the Jerusalem Post's view, here's part 
of an editorial from Tuesday [6/13]:
      VOICE:  The first measure of whether Syria has 
      in fact turned over a new leaf will be whether 
      Hafez Assad's ignominious record of state-
      sponsored terrorism finally comes to [an] end 
      ... Syria's modus operandi (method of operation) 
      was to treat aggression against neighboring 
      states as its right, and to expect to be "paid" 
      diplomatically for ending its unacceptable 
      behavior.
TEXT:  For a Syrian view of what lies ahead, and of 
the late president's legacy, we turn to the 
government-owned Syria Times in Damascus.
      VOICE: President Assad has left behind a 
      complete set of rules and principles that will 
      serve as guidance to his son in leading the 
      country to the shore safely, and realizing his 
      noble goals ... Given the perversities of 
      Mideast politics, the only way to ensure that 
      this approach will work, is through pursuing the 
      late president's policy.  Dr. Bashar is well 
      positioned to do so.  Any expectation that a 
      dramatic shift in policy will occur ... appears 
      groundless ...
TEXT:  For the Lebanese reaction, we turn to Sunni Al-
Liwa in Beirut.
      VOICE:  If [President] Clinton will not settle 
      the matter this time and, as a sponsor of the 
      peace process, act honestly, he will have again 
      lost a historic chance, as when he did not turn 
      the summit [with] ... President al-Assad in 
      Geneva into a historic landmark in the Arab-
      Israeli conflict.
TEXT:  In Egypt, we turn to the Arabic language daily 
in Cairo, Al Ahram, which writes:
      VOICE:  It is a major injustice to characterize 
      America's interest in Syria based on the sole 
      presence of [Secretary of State Madeleine] 
      Albright at the funeral.  In the past few 
      months, the United States hosted a series of 
      Syrian-Israeli talks ... and President Clinton 
      intervened more than once ... This does not mean 
      ... Washington will rush toward Damascus, but it 
      may wait until the domestic situation is stable.
TEXT:  An earlier column in Al Ahram focused on 
President Assad's successor:
      VOICE:  [Mr.] Bashar has a great responsibility 
      to help Syria transcend the crisis of Assad's 
      death to dealing with the challenges of peace 
      and economy ... [President] Assad was able to 
      turn the country into an influential regional 
      power ... He prepared [his son] Bashar to rule 
      with a new vision.  [He] is a civil (not 
      military) personality interested in fostering 
      modern developments in technology and the 
      economy ... Bashar will seek his father's 
      footsteps with his own vision for government.  
      The question is: How can peace with Israel and 
      economic revival occur without mistakes 
      threatening the stability that [President] Assad 
      established.
TEXT:  On to the Gulf now, where we see this article 
in Al-Siyassah of Kuwait City, which asks:
      VOICE:  What will happen to Syria after Bashar 
      (Assad) takes the lead?  His job will not be 
      easy.  He will be faced with enforcing the 
      constitutional ruling [clearing the way for him 
      to take office] first before paying attention to 
      economic and political issues.  Bashar will face 
      new challenges, such as globalization, to 
      guarantee the stability of Syria.
TEXT:  For European reaction, we go first to Britain, 
where London's Guardian published this analysis after 
the Syrian president's death:
      VOICE:  Israel's sigh of relief at the death of 
      Hafez Al-Assad was so loud we have virtually 
      been able to hear it from here.  Suddenly 
      Israel's most lasting enemy has been plucked off 
      the board of Middle East politics.  But 
      Israelis, and their prime minister in 
      particular, should temper their joy.  With the 
      old strongman gone, Syria will find it harder, 
      not easier, to make peace.  Israel has painted 
      [President] Assad as the great stumbling block. 
      ... The truth is more interesting.  The Israelis 
      have knowingly made demands that [[president] 
      Assad could not accept. ... Even without such 
      demands, Bashar Al-Assad could be forgiven for 
      hesitating to rush into the arms of Israel.  The 
      fate of those who have is not comforting 
TEXT:  In Scotland, Edinburgh's The Scotsman ran this 
assessment from East Jerusalem.
      VOICE:  Few Palestinians here were moved by the 
      death of the Syrian president ... For supporters 
      of Yasser Arafat, he is recalled as a man whose 
      policies collided repeatedly with the 
      aspirations of the P-L-O (Palestine Liberation 
      Organization).  Mr. Assad's name is associated 
      in the public mind with a massacre of 
      Palestinians by Syrian-allied Christian forces 
      in Beirut during the 1976 civil war.  ... Still, 
      Palestinian leaders were clearly hoping that Mr. 
      Arafat's participation in Mr. Assad's funeral 
      could start a new, more amicable chapter after 
      years of acrimony ...
TEXT:  In Germany, Munich's Sueddeutsche Zeitung 
pondered the future and wrote:
      VOICE:  In the peace talks with Israel, which 
      are in a stalemate anyway, the designated Syrian 
      leader will not demand less than his father.  
      The withdrawal from the entire Golan Heights and 
      from the eastern bank of Lake Galilee.  In an 
      area where Assad Senior did not make any 
      concessions, Assad junior cannot afford to make 
      any, since it is not clear what he could win 
      during President Clinton's last months in office 
      and in view of the weakness of Israel's Prime 
      Minister Barak ... 
TEXT:  And finally in North America, the Globe and 
Mail of Toronto in Canada views the late President 
Assad this way:
      VOICE:  File him under "dictators."  There's no 
      other way to describe a man who ruled so 
      ruthlessly; who ordered whole neighborhoods of 
      his country's second largest city bulldozed, 
      people and all, for harboring members of a 
      militant opposition; who let smuggling and 
      corruption become the dominant form of economic 
      expression; who never allowed another candidate 
      to run against him. ... Yet for all his 
      brutality, this much could be said of the man: 
      He was dependable.  He agreed to a cease-fire 
      with Israel on the Golan Heights in 1974, and 
      for 26 years there has not been a single 
      incident on the frontier to spoil it.  More 
      recently, he stuck by his word and supported the 
      United States-led Gulf War against Iraq in 1991, 
      giving the operation instant legitimacy in the 
      Arab world. ... Hafez Assad was a dictator, but 
      his son has a chance to be found among the 
      peacemakers.
TEXT:  On that note, we conclude this sampling of 
reaction to the transition under way in Syria 
following the death of Hafez Al-Assad.
NEB/ANG/JP
15-Jun-2000 17:25 PM EDT (15-Jun-2000 2125 UTC)
NNNN
Source: Voice of America
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