In New Video, New Clues To Mysterious Russia Explosion
By Mike Eckel August 19, 2019
Days after a mysterious explosion at a Russian naval test site caused radiation detectors to briefly spike, a military officer met with worried residents of Nyonoksa, the village where the site is located on the White Sea.
The unidentified officer tried to assuage the concerns of the worried villagers, who can be heard peppering him with skeptical questions. He also provided clues to the August 8 explosion that killed at least five people and sent intelligence analysts from Washington to Brussels to Oslo scrambling to figure out what happened.
"There was ongoing work to test one of the rocket engines, but this rocket engine is fueled by radioactive isotopes. That's the source of the fuel," the officer was heard saying in the 30-minute video published on August 17 on an obscure Russian news site known as Newsader.
"An extraordinary event occurred, and as a result there was an explosion; it wasn't nuclear, but an explosion of materials that were located on the construction, and the people that were on it were wounded," he said.
The video could not be independently confirmed by RFE/RL, nor was it possible to pinpoint exactly when it was taken. Still, independent analysts said it appeared to be authentic, and it matched up with other evidence that has emerged since the blast.
Pavel Podvig, a Swiss-based expert on Russia's strategic forces, said the video was definitely genuine. But he told RFE/RL that it was unclear if there was anything truly revelatory.
Clues Emerge, Gradually
In the days after the mishap, civilian and military authorities gave conflicting information as to what exactly occurred, how many casualties there were, and where the recorded spike in radiation came from and whether it was dangerous.
The Defense Ministry revealed the incident the same day it happened, saying two people had been killed, but gave no details. Two days later, the state-run nuclear agency Rosatom revealed that five of its scientists had been killed while they were conducting "technical-engineering oversight" of a test of "radioactive isotope fuel for a liquid-fueled rocket engine."
The following day, on August 11, managers at the state research institute where the five were employed revealed in a video interview that the researchers had been investigating, among other things, "the creation of small-scale sources of energy using radioactive fissile materials."
Last week, the pro-government newspaper Izvestia, citing unnamed sources, reported that the explosion occurred during work on a new liquid-propellant propulsion system, and "nuclear batteries" were part of the system.
Meanwhile, monitoring stations in the nearby shipbuilding port of Severodvinsk recorded the brief spike in radiation levels in the hours after the explosion, but Russian officials emphasized that there was no danger to public health.
Monitors in Norway, hundreds of kilometers to the northwest, detected a small increase in airborne radioactive iodine in the days that followed, but they have not linked it to the Nyonoksa explosion.
Mounting Anger At Lack Of Information
In Nyonoksa, as well as in Severodvinsk and, farther down the coast, in Arkhangelsk, there's been mounting anger over what many say is contradictory and incomplete information from the authorities.
Some doctors at the Arkhangelsk region hospital who treated victims of the blasts have complained they weren't given any information about potential radiation dangers; several dozen doctors were flown to Moscow to conduct follow-up treatment.
In the video, anger can be heard in the skeptical, sometimes hostile questions that attendees voice toward the unidentified military officer.
The officer tells the crowd that Russian authorities had conducted several previous tests, apparently of the same type of technology or weaponry. "Who told you that these tests were only the eighth?" he says, speaking over one woman unseen on the camera. "The tests were being conducted long before that. You don't know anything about this."
What Was Being Tested?
What exactly was being tested has been the focus on intense speculation. Several analysts have suggested that the item in question may have been a nuclear-powered cruise missile dubbed the Burevestnik in Russian. That's a weapon that President Vladimir Putin himself boasted was under development last year.
And U.S. President Donald Trump added to the speculation by posting a Tweet that stated outright it was the Burevestnik, known to NATO analysts under the name Skyfall.
Other analysts said it might not be a nuclear-propelled, super-fast cruise missile, but a "radioisotope thermoelectric generator" used to generate power for a missile and its components.
Still others have speculated it could be a new underwater nuclear drone -- dubbed the "doomsday machine -- that is reportedly under development, or a hypersonic anti-ship missile known as the Tsirkon.
Podvig said he hadn't seen enough information to settle on one likely explanation, though he discounted the theory it was the Burevestnik nuclear-powered missile.
Who To Believe?
Meanwhile, the officer in the video says that some debris from the explosion had likely washed up on shore -- a statement that could corroborate theories that the test occurred on a floating platform some distance offshore from Nyonoksa.
He warns villagers not to try and salvage any of the debris, saying it might be radioactive, and he can also be heard trying to persuade attendees not to overreact or exaggerate the consequences of the incident.
"Everyone's trying to make the comparison with Chernobyl. I was at Chernobyl in 1986. That explosion had incredible power. The people who disappeared there, they were reduced to molecules. It was radioactive disintegration," he says. "There are objective parameters that would have resulted in a far worse result. On August 8, there was nothing of the sort."
In another exchange, a woman can be heard berating the officer, and asking about various reports she apparently has read online. "Why is there so much information on the Internet that is different" from what you say, the woman says.
"If you want to believe in" what is online, the officer responds, "I cannot persuade you not to do so."
"Who told you that what they wrote is true?" he then asks
"How do we know that you are telling us the truth?" the woman replies.
Nuclear Monitoring Stations Offline
In related news, the global body charged with monitoring compliance with the international nuclear weapons test treaty said that it was looking into "technical problems" that occurred at two monitoring stations in Russia.
The Wall Street Journal reported late on August 18 that two of the stations, which are used as part of a global network of detectors, had stopped transmitting data on August 10, two days after the explosion.
Lassina Zerbo, the director of the Vienna-based Comprehensive Nuclear Test Ban Treaty Organization, said in a post on Twitter that the Vienna-based organization was analyzing data "in or near the path of a potential plume."
"We're also addressing with station operators technical problems experienced at two neighboring stations," he wrote in the post.
Copyright (c) 2019. RFE/RL, Inc. Reprinted with the permission of Radio Free Europe/Radio Liberty, 1201 Connecticut Ave., N.W. Washington DC 20036.
|Join the GlobalSecurity.org mailing list|