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Weapons of Mass Destruction (WMD)

DATE=12/20/1999
TYPE=BACKGROUND REPORT
TITLE=RUSSIA POLITICS
NUMBER=5-45060
BYLINE=PETER HEINLEIN
DATELINE=MOSCOW
CONTENT=
VOICED AT:
INTRO:  The Kremlin has hailed Russia's parliamentary 
elections as a peaceful revolution, after two 
nominally pro-government factions made strong 
showings.  International observers say the ballot was 
conducted in a generally fair manner, although they 
have some reservations.  But as V-O-A Moscow 
correspondent Peter Heinlein reports, independent 
experts are expressing grave concerns about the result 
and its possible implications for Russia's future.
TEXT:  The head of the European security 
organization's observer mission says Sunday's election 
was a step forward for Russia's fledgling democracy.  
But O-S-C-E [Organization for Security and Cooperation 
in Europe] mission chief Helle Degn notes some 
disturbing irregularities, including wholesale abuse 
of the state-run media to bash [attack] anti-
government candidates.
                 /// DEGN ACT ///
      Political associations have in the state-
      controlled T-V been given free and equal time on 
      T-V.  But both in the state T-V channels and the 
      private and commercial media, they have all been 
      very biased.
                 /// END ACT ///
Other observers were less charitable in their 
assessments.  Veteran Russia watcher Michael McFaul 
says the Kremlin's willingness to use the media to 
destroy political enemies during the campaign left 
voters with little information about issues facing 
them.
               /// 1st McFAUL ACT ///
      This was probably the worst campaign in terms of 
      violations of voters' rights.  What's striking 
      to me is the amazing ability of those in power, 
      the state, that for years we have been talking 
      about being so weak, blah, blah, blah [et 
      cetera].  The state is pretty darn strong.  And 
      what's really weak is societal control on the 
      state.
                 /// END ACT ///
Experts agree the clear winner in Sunday's vote was a 
man who was  not  even participating -- Prime Minister 
Vladimir Putin.  In little more than four months, Mr. 
Putin has replaced the anti-Kremlin leader Yevgeny 
Primakov as the leading contender for the presidency 
next year.
Michael McFaul believes the Putin phenomenon was 
created by the Kremlin to turn the anger of Russian 
voters to their advantage by offering their own 
powerful protest candidate.
               /// 2nd McFAUL ACT ///
      Except it's as if the protest leader, instead of 
      being on the outside, has emerged from the 
      inside of the government, and that's Putin, and 
      that's very important. Maybe it sounds 
      paradoxical, but Putin is  not  the old system.  
      Putin is against [President Boris] Yeltsin.  
      Putin is against the status quo.  Putin is 
      against stagnation.
                  /// END ACT ///
Another analyst, Alan Rousso, director of the Moscow 
Carnegie Center, says he is disturbed by the ease with 
which the Kremlin created the pro-government Unity 
bloc from nothing a few months ago, and whipped up 
massive public support even though voters knew almost 
nothing about what Unity stands for.
                /// ROUSSO ACT ///
      Is it a good thing that a party, which was 
      created three months ago, with no political 
      agenda of its own, save for support of the 
      government and the war in Chechnya, won so many 
      votes?  Does that tell us something positive 
      about Russia's future and the state of the 
      electorate.  The answer is `no'.
                  /// END ACT ///
Mr. Rousso says the Putin phenomenon is a dangerous 
strategy that could backfire if the war takes a turn 
for the worse before presidential elections next year, 
or if members of the hastily-assembled Unity 
parliamentary delegation turn out to have other 
allegiances.
For the time being, most observers agree the election 
results give Mr. Putin more room to maneuver, making 
him a power in his own right.  But that too, has a 
negative side, since the Prime Minister may try to use 
that new-found strength to challenge other power 
centers within the Kremlin.   (Signed)
NEB/PFH/GE/WTW
20-Dec-1999 12:30 PM EDT (20-Dec-1999 1730 UTC)
NNNN
Source: Voice of America
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