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DATE=8/4/1999
TYPE=BACKGROUND REPORT
TITLE=RUSSIA POLITICS
NUMBER=5-44000
BYLINE=PETER HEINLEIN
DATELINE=MOSCOW
CONTENT=
VOICED AT:
INTRO:  Two of Russia's most promising political 
movements have formed an alliance for parliamentary 
elections in December.  V-O-A Moscow Correspondent 
Peter Heinlein reports the coalition links one of 
Russia's rising political stars and some of its most 
powerful regional leaders.
TEXT:  It has been the talk of Moscow political 
circles for weeks.  Mayor Yuri Luzhkov, already seen 
as the main contender in the presidential election 
next year, and his Fatherland movement, are joining 
forces with the All Russia bloc that unites some of 
the nation's most influential regional chiefs. 
The object -- to win an absolute majority in Russia's 
Duma, or lower house of parliament.  At present, the 
Duma is a fractious collection of parties and 
movements that has been easily outmaneuvered by the 
vastly more powerful President Boris Yeltsin. 
At a news conference announcing the alliance, the All 
Russia movement's main organizer, Tatarstan president 
Mintimer Shaimiyev, said the coalition hopes to take 
firm control of parliament with an eye toward forming 
a stable government.
   ///  SHAIMIYEV ACT - IN RUSSIAN - FADE UNDER  ///
He says  "We must achieve a parliamentary majority 
that will make it possible for the next Russian 
president to form a majority government."
Political analysts say the alliance between Mayor 
Luzhkov and regional leaders could be a strong force 
in Duma elections, but not necessarily a dominant one.  
What could change that picture, however, is the 
addition of the man rated Russia's most popular 
political figure.
Mayor Luzhkov told reporters Wednesday the alliance is 
actively courting that man, former Prime Minister 
Yevgeny Primakov.
   ///  LUZHKOV ACT - IN RUSSIAN - FADE UNDER  ///
He says, "We all know Mr. Primakov and respect him.  
We supported him when he was head of government, and 
we are ready to make him number one on our list of 
candidates for the Duma."
The former Prime Minister has made no comment about 
the possibility of joining the coalition. 
But if Mr. Primakov does decide to join, political 
analyst Andrei Ryabov says the alliance would have the 
potential to become an almost unbeatable force.
            ///  RYABOV ACT  ///
      I think it's a very important psychological 
      moment, because the present-day Russian elite 
      emulates the behavior of the Soviet political 
      elite, which on every occasion supports the 
      strongest politician.  We can remember the 
      situation in the beginning of 90's when most 
      part of the elite ran out from Gorbachev and 
      joined Yeltsin when they felt that Yeltsin was 
      transformed to the center of power.  And I think 
      this situation may be repeated in the new 
      political context.
            ///  END ACT  ///
Analyst Ryabov notes that Mr. Primakov has several 
weeks to make a decision, and can wait to see whether 
the strong personalities involved are able to put 
aside their personal ambitions and work together.  It 
is a test many other potential Russian political 
alliances have failed.
If they can make it work, however, the coalition will 
be the odds-on favorite in the parliamentary vote in 
December.  After that, however, the question becomes, 
which of the powerful personalities will step aside 
and allow the other to become the group's presidential 
candidate.  (signed)
NEB/PFH/JWH/gm
04-Aug-1999 12:48 PM EDT (04-Aug-1999 1648 UTC)
NNNN
Source: Voice of America
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