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Weapons of Mass Destruction (WMD)

USIS Washington File

24 June 1998

TRANSCRIPT: GEN. HABIGER PRESS BRIEFING ON TRIP TO RUSSIA

(6/16 - Commander of U.S. Strategic Command briefs) (6720)
Washington -- General Eugene Habiger, commander of the U.S. Strategic
Command, briefed reporters June 16 on his recent visit to five major
nuclear facilities in Russia.
Habiger said that throughout his visit, he was impressed with the
"obvious concern at all levels with the safety and security of their
nuclear weapons stockpile. It was a very revealing trip. They were
very open in every respect. And at no time did I ask a question and
then not have a very thorough answer."
He said he does not have "any serious concerns" about the Russian
nuclear weapons program and security. "I see some things they can
improve upon." The atmosphere was very "give-and-take," with Habiger
and the Russian authorities sharing suggestions and even jokes about
each others' procedures.
Habiger discussed his working relationship with his Russian
counterparts. He said, "One of the reasons why I think we've done so
well with the Russians is that our relationship, at least at my level,
is based upon just open, you know, very frank dialogue."
Following is a transcript of General Habiger's press briefing at the
Pentagon released June 24:
(Begin transcript)
DoD News Briefing
Tuesday, June 16, 1998, 2:15 p.m.
GENERAL EUGENE HABIGER, COMMANDER OF U.S. STRATEGIC COMMAND
SPEAKER: Gen. Habiger will speak on the record, and he has some
opening remarks about his recent trip to Moscow and around Russia. And
then he'll take some questions.
GEN. HABIGER: I think some of you were here when I spoke in November
about my trip to missile bases, which occurred in October of last
year. I went to a road mobile ICBM complex at Tejkovo, about 150
clicks northeast of Moscow. The next day, I went to Kostroma, which is
a real mobile base. And that's where the Russians, for the first time
ever, took a non-Soviet, non-Russian into a nuclear weapons storage
site. And I talked to you about what I saw, the approach the Russians
take, their very conservative approach. We have a two-person policy in
this country. They have a three-person policy in their country.
The level of security. They have a system similar to ours which we
call the personnel reliability program. The program is designed to
ensure the people who have access to the nuclear weapons or the
critical components of nuclear weapons have the right kind of
background checks and are not abusers of alcohol or drugs or that sort
of thing.
What I'd like to do is give you an update. Thanks to the efforts of my
boss, the Secretary of Defense, and his direct discussions with
Marshal Sergeyev, I spent six days just a week or so ago in Russia.
And in the six-day period, I went to five nuclear storage sites, five
major facilities in Russia.
First stop was to Kozel'sk, which is a SS-19 ICBM silo-based system
approximately 200 kilometers southwest of Moscow. I did not go to a
weapons storage area there, but what they wanted to show me was how
they guard their individual silos. Now, a little bit of background for
you. When I had Gen. Yakovlev back visiting me in March of this year,
I took him not only to a ICBM base, but I took him to one of our Navy
bases so he could see how the United States Marine Corps guards our
nuclear weapons at our Navy bases.
I also had Gen. Ford, Phil Ford, my bomber task force commander, take
Gen. Mikhail Oparin, the Russian bomber commander, to our bomber bases
to show how we guard nuclear weapons there. The idea was to set the
stage at some later point where I could go back and they would
reciprocate. That's exactly what happened on this trip. So at
Kozel'sk, they had a silo opened for me, an operational ICBM with six
warheads on board. And they took me to the silo. They showed me the
missile, took me to the launch control facility, showed me the crew
members on duty. Every question was answered -- it was very, very
open. They showed me how they maintained security. And the Russian
approach is a little different than ours in that we rely a lot on
technology. We don't have guards stationed at each of our 500 or so
silos in the United States. The Russians have two security members on
duty at every silo. And that's a radical difference from the way we
operate here in this country.
What I saw at Kozel'sk was impressive.  Security was excellent.
From there, we went (and this is revolutionary) to Saratov, to a
national nuclear weapons storage site, where I saw not only strategic
weapons, but tactical weapons. I saw a lot of Nunn-Lugar influence in
terms of the fencing we supplied them, the high tech sensors that are
on the fences. And they took me into the side of a mountain, a hill,
where we went behind two doors that were each several thousands of ton
in weight. And you had to open up one door at a time, these sliding,
massive doors, in order to get into the inner sanctum. In the inner
sanctum, there were five nuclear weapon storage bays. They took me
into one of those bays and we had interesting discussion. Completely
open.
Gen. Valynkin is the commander of the 12th Directorate on the general
staff. And this is a new bit of information which I did not know until
I went to Russia. On the 1st of April, Gen. Valynkin took over
responsibility for all Russian Naval nuclear weapons. On the 1st of
May, he took over responsibility for all air force nuclear weapons.
And it appears that before the year's out, he will probably take over
control of all the rocket force nuclear weapons.
When I asked him why he was going to do this, take over this
additional responsibility, he said our security is good, but we're
going to make it better. And we're going to standardize our security
and safety processes. And that's exactly what he's doing. This guy,
Valynkin, is a no-nonsense kind of guy. He started his career in the
missile forces. He told me that he's been in the job a little less
than a year, and he's taken on a procedure whereby he personally
interviews every officer who comes on board working with nuclear
weapons. I said, oh, it sounds like Rickover. And he didn't have a
clue who Rickover was, but the same kind of approach. He is the
perfect guy to take on this responsibility.
At Saratov, at the national site, it's a closed cantonment area. There
are about 3,500 people who live in this area. About 1,200 or so are
military. The rest are dependents and children. It is closed. The
commander, a colonel, is the one who gives permission for people to go
off the facility. Completely self-contained schools, hospitals. Gen.
Valynkin was very proud to tell me that in order to maintain the very
high standards of the children, I saw lots of children, that he pays
the teachers at his national sites three times the going rate of
teachers in most other places in the country.
While I was there, they demonstrated how they use their security
forces to repel a terrorist attack. And the use of helicopters,
armored personnel carriers. Was it rehearsed? You bet. Same kind of
thing I put my people through before I send a high roller to one of my
bases. But they did it very well. Helicopter gun ships were used, and
they had about a dozen other security forces jump out of one of their
troop carrying helicopters from about an altitude of six feet, roll
over and take part in the exercise.
From Saratov, went to Engels, which was about 30 kilometers away.
Bomber base. They took me in the weapons storage site area there.
Again, I was shown everything, shown the security, shown the closed
circuit TV cameras, shown how they use a process of three person
control. And Gen. Valynkin made it a point that at his national
facilities, it's four person control. You have to have three people
who are knowledgeable of the tasks they're about to engage in plus one
of their supervisors to go along with them.
The bomber facility was very large geographically. And extensive use,
as I said, of closed circuit television. Entry control procedures are
very, very tight. And then they took me into the innermost bunker
where they demonstrated the massive doors that guarded the storage
bunkers, which were rolled back on steel wheels that rolled on a
steel-embedded track. They put a kopeck down to show me this was about
the size of nickel before -- this is kind of one of these "gee whiz"
kind of things. Watch us put the coin -- we used to do it as kids with
rail cars. But they showed me in their nuclear storage facility.
From Engels, we went out to Irkutsk, out in the Baikal region, where I
went to another SS-25 road mobile base. They took me to a nuclear
weapons storage area there. Again, the security was tight, rigorous
and in many cases, much like the way we operate here in the United
States.
Then Friday night, back to Moscow just in time to get four hours'
sleep, which was the norm for this trip. And the next morning,
Saturday morning, we went up to Severomorsk, where we went to a
nuclear weapons storage site there. I met with the commander in chief
of the northern fleet, Gen. Yerofeyev, who was another no-nonsense
kind of guy. And again, they took me into a nuclear weapons storage
site.
The kinds of things I saw, only officers work on nuclear weapons in
Russia. We rely heavily on our non-commissioned officers. Our officers
are more in leadership positions than they are in technical positions.
Their people who work on nuclear weapons, they don't move around a
lot. As a matter of fact, at Saratov, I talked to two colonels. One of
the colonels at Saratov had been there for 27, the other had been
there for 25 years. And that shows you that there's a great deal of
stability there.
Gen. Valynkin told me that, which I knew from a previous trip, the
folks who are missile crew members at full alert or who work on
nuclear weapons get a base pay plus a 25% bonus. Valynkin said that in
his 12th Directorate, his people, and he's got about 30,000 people,
Gen. Valynkin does in the 12th Directorate -- his people who deal
directly with nuclear weapons, until recently, got base pay plus a 30%
bonus. Commanders got base pay plus a 35% bonus. And Valynkin said he
recently gained approval for all of his people to be paid at base pay
plus a 50% bonus.
Observations. Many similarities. At every nuclear weapons storage site
I went into, I received a briefing that I could have taken from
Francis E. Warren Air Force Base and just translated into Russian. It
was very, very similar. We, as I mentioned to you when I was here in
November, tend to use technology a heck of a lot more than the
Russians do. They're still very manpower-intensive, but that's working
for them.
The consolidations that I talked to you about Gen. Valynkin and the
12th Directorate taking over. I asked several questions. Was there
some precipitating act that caused this transfer? And the answer I got
was no, they just want to standardize the procedures. And obvious
concern at all levels with the safety and security of their nuclear
weapons stockpile. It was a very revealing trip. They were very open
in every respect. And at no time did I ask a question and then not
have a very thorough answer.
So, with that, I will open it up for questions.
Q: What worries you the most about Russian nuclear weapons programs
and security? What still concerns you?
A: At this particular point, I don't have any serious concerns. I see
some things they can improve upon. It's a very give-and-take kind of
environment. As I mentioned to you, when I was here in November, I
said we were going to have an exchange of security experts and we were
going to have a shadow program. The security experts, they were going
to send ten or so experts over here, which they did in April. Two of
them were from the 12th Directorate and eight were from the rocket
forces. And I took them to not only Francis E. Warren, but I took them
to Bangor, Washington to see how we do it in the Navy.
And as we were walking out of the nuclear storage facility at the Navy
base up at Severomorsk, I was kind of harassing my good buddy, Gen.
Valynkin, about how this fence line was going up the side of a steep
cliff and that it was kind of a tough place to lay fences and just
kind of giving him a hard time in a joking manner. And then he
immediately comes back to me and says, well, yeah, you may criticize
that. He says you do some things in the United States I'd never even
think about doing, he said, some of the procedures you use.
So there's been a give-and-take here. And specifically, he was
referring to the fact that we, under very heavy guard, take at some of
our bases, contractors into our nuclear weapons storage areas to cut
grass. To do the maintenance. Of course, the Russians aren't -- and
this is not a slam dunk to my good Russians friends -- but they're not
much into grass-cutting. (Laughter)
Q: General, there have been a number of horror stories about the
Russian economy, about segments of the military not getting paid. So
is the standard of living in the nuclear forces, rocket forces, etc.,
has that really been maintained? Are those people content?
A: From what I've seen, it's content. They are content. There are two
elements of the Russian military that appear to be better off than
others. The first is their nuclear forces and the second is their
airborne forces. They appear to be putting more emphasis on those two
aspects.
The biggest problem the Russians have, and we've discussed this at
length with them, is the critical shortage of housing. That is a very,
very real problem with them. And Gen. Valynkin mentioned that he was
short 2,000 housing units and Gen. Yakovlev had mentioned to me that
on the neighborhood of 15 to 17,000 units short. And a lot of this has
to do with when they brought back the missile forces from Ukraine and
Belarus and Kazakhstan, they had to bring back into Russia, they
didn't have the money for housing. The Russians have brought the
bombers back from Mozdok and have put them at Engels. And they needed
housing. So it's a very critical issue. We're working very hard,
hopefully, to get some support to perhaps get some Nunn-Lugar money.
It's a very contentious issue because there are some folks on the Hill
who would not have us spend that money on something like housing.
Q: I take it you're completely and personally convinced as to the
integrity of those Russian officers?
A: Yes. As much as I am content with the integrity of the officers
that we have.
We're talking about a core of professionals. Virtually in most
nations, your officer corps is the seed corn of your country in terms
of maintaining your government. And so you've got to put some
confidence in them or otherwise, you're on very shaky ground.
Q: Are you assuming from your trip that what you were shown is really
the best that the Russians have to offer in terms of their security
over nuclear forces? And if so, how far do you think the spectrum goes
in terms of lesser security?
A: It's a fair question. The way I would answer that is when I was
here last time, I got beat up by you all saying, well, you only saw
one base. And remember, I said, yes, I saw one base, but I was told
that was representative of the other 19 or so missile bases in Russia.
They told me what I saw was representative. I don't quote the
individual by name, but one of the senior officers I talked to said
when I asked him that very specific question, am I seeing the best. He
said you're seeing a little bit of the best, you're seeing most of
what's in the mainstream and he said there's some that are worse. But
not much worse. So they're very candid in that regard.
Q: Will you ever make any surprise visits anywhere or see anything
that was a little bit shaky in terms of their security?
A: No. Again, I don't want to mention any names, but when they took me
down into the launch control facility at Kozel'sk, the general I was
with hit the wrong button. And so we went somewhere we weren't
supposed to go. And I was impressed with what I saw. (Laughter)
One of the reasons why I think we've done so well with the Russians is
that our relationship, at least at my level, is based upon just open,
you know, very frank dialogue. And it's not one of these things where
you probe, trying to get answers to technical questions. For example,
Gen. Valynkin, when he took me into a number of the storage sites
said, okay, which one of these things do you want me to open up? I
said, I don't want you to open up any of them. I see you've explained
the external security of the containers. You've shown me the safety
wire. You've shown me the two lead seals that are imprinted with the
symbol of the two officers that seal that container. I don't need to
see what's in there. That's the kind of trust we've built.
And hopefully, I've personally invited Gen. Valynkin to come to this
country soon so he can personally see how we do business. I think
that's a very good thing to do. And Admiral Yerofeyev from the
northern fleet, commander in chief up there, I've invited him and his
wife to come also. And I hope we can get that done shortly.
Q: First of all, can you put to rest, and I apologize, I was in and
out of the briefing, so if you've touched on this, please tell me. But
can you put to rest, finally, this contention that there might be some
suitcase size nuclear weapons missing from the Russian nuclear
arsenal? What degree of confidence do you have about the assurances
you've received?
A: I have a very, very high level of confidence. I talked about that
in October. And I was told in no uncertain terms that this is not an
issue. They go to great lengths to ensure accountability for their
nuclear weapons. The security to get in to the facilities is
significant in some cases. When I compare the United States and
Russia, don't get me wrong. When I say that in some cases, it's more
difficult to get into a Russian facility, I'm not saying that U.S.
facilities, it's easy to get into. But when you talk about two 100 ton
doors to get through to get into a national weapons site, that's
pretty significant.
Q: (Inaudible) are now talking to the Chinese government about
possibly detargeting missiles, something that we've already done with
Russia. Could you talk a little bit about whether -- how important is
detargeting? Is it largely symbolism or is it an important confidence
building measure?
A: I underscore important confidence-builder. It's the right thing to
do. And I'd prefer not to get into a lot of discussion there because I
know it's something that's being worked over in the White House. But
it's worked very well with the Russians. They feel very comfortable
with that.
A little vignette for what it's worth. In December, I invited someone
from the far right to come to our headquarters and spend a day and he
did. He writes in the Washington Times from time to time. My agenda
with him was to convince him that we hadn't sold the farm. And I think
we did a fairly good job there. And then in January, mid January, I
invited Bruce Blair and some of his colleagues and spent a day with
them. And I invited Jeremy Stone from the Federation of American
Scientists to come out and to show them what we're doing, the kind of
confidence building. I didn't convince them for a lot of obvious
reasons, but to kind of put in perspective some of these notions of
hair trigger, which are just not true.
Q: Critics say it's meaningless because the missiles can be retargeted
so quickly that it's militarily insignificant.
A: Well, the Russians will tell you that it takes in excess of ten
minutes for them to put the target sets into the missiles. I've seen
it. There are four or five positions depending on the missile that you
have to put a switch in, and then there's a zero position, which is
the no target position. And from the time they go from the no target,
the zero position to one of the target sets, it takes in excess of ten
minutes. As a matter of fact, when one of the delegations that I just
mentioned visited, we had a big discussion about hair trigger and this
notion that you're talking about, Jamie, about getting hair trigger,
tens of seconds, less than ten seconds. I was able to pick up the
phone early the next morning and call the chief of staff of missile
forces through an interpreter at the embassy in Moscow and talk to my
good buddy, Gen. Lata, who is the chief of staff. And I said, okay,
Vasiliy, what's the answer. How long does it take you to put the
coordinates in. And I said, if you can't answer, I understand, but
I've got this visitor here and I need a no kidding answer. And he said
well, hey, Gen. Habiger, it takes more than ten minutes. And I said
thank you very much, that's what my people told me. And then I was
able to go back to this individual who was visiting for breakfast and
say, hey, I was just talking to the chief of staff for the Russian
rocket forces and this is what he told me.
Q: How many missiles have you actually witnessed that have been
detargeted?
A: Every one I've seen has been detargeted.
Q: Approximately how many would that been?
A: On this trip, I saw an SS-25 on alert at Irkutsk. I saw that SS-19
on alert at Kozel'sk. And then, what I didn't mention is when I was at
the Naval northern fleet headquarters at Severomorsk, they brought a
Delta force sub for me to crawl around for an hour, which was very
interesting. Let me go through the whole sub except for the engine
compartment.
Q: They let you see their warheads uncased?
A: They did at Kostroma last year. And again, if I'd asked, they would
have done it this time. But again, the confidence building that we
have at the military level is not to be probing, inspector, hey, let
me see everything kind of thing.
Q: General, do you think you would have anything to gain by having a
similar set of exchanges with the Chinese military leadership?
A: Yes. And we've attempted to pursue that, and have not been very
successful. And we hope to, assuming that things work out, in July, we
will re-engage with the Chinese and see if we can get a dialogue
going. That's very, very important.
Q: Have the Chinese rejected the offer of detargeting?
A: I am not aware of any rejection or acceptance. I know it's
something being discussed in the White House.
Q: The consolidation you mentioned earlier, putting the Naval, the air
force and the rocket forces under a single person, how significant is
that in your view? And does that sort of mirror your role in many
ways?
A: Yes, it does. I'm not saying that they did that because of us. But
having one person who that's all they worry about is nuclear weapons
is probably the right thing to do. Gen. Yakovlev, for example, at the
end of last year, not only did he have his nominal responsibilities as
the commander in chief of the Russian missile forces, but he picked up
the responsibility of being commander in chief of their space
activities. So he's got a lot on his platter.
Q: Just out of curiosity, when you met with all these Russian
generals, was there any discussion about their views of what's going
on with India and Pakistan?
A: Yes.
Q: What did you generally hear from them?
A: Generally the same concerns I have. It's very destabilizing, that
part of the world. Obviously, India is a heck of a lot closer to
Russia. A consensus, if you will, that the explosion of a laboratory
device in a tunnel is heck of a lot different than an operational,
miniaturized warhead that has all the built in safety features you
would expect. The point I'm trying to make to you is that just because
the Indians and the Paks detonated nuclear devices, 12 of them over a
20 day period, which is historical, that there is a big difference,
big leap of faith between exploding a laboratory device and
operational.
Q: Actually, what's your view on all of that at the moment? I mean, do
you view both those countries as nuclear powers now?
A: My own professional view, no.  I mean --
Q: Either of them?
A: They have exploded nuclear devices. Does that make a country a
nuclear power? That's a rhetorical question.
Q: Are you concerned about the level of safeguards that are in place
in Indian and Pakistan? You described the elaborate systems in the
United States and Russia. Is there anything like that in terms of
India and Pakistan in terms of safeguarding nuclear weapons material?
A: I really have not gotten into that, Jamie. I know that there are
massive amounts of security that went around the Pakistani facilities
just before their detonations. And let me just say this. The Indians
and the Paks have some pretty elaborate security around their
facilities that deal with fissile material.
Q: What's the status of the SS-27 fleet as it makes right now and what
do you see happening?
A: I see the 27 replacing some of the 18's, you know. The SS-18 has
ten warheads. The SS-27 is operational. They've got two of them
deployed. Minister Sergeyev and Gen. Yakovlev went out to the Far East
to declare those two silos operational. I would expect to see over the
next several months more of the SS-27s to be deployed.
Q: These are two fully operational ones or is one of them a training
one?
A: They're both operational, both operational.
Q: It takes in excess for each side to retarget these missiles. Some
people think it might be a better idea to separately store the
warheads and the missiles. What do you say to that? And is there any
looking into that as a possibility?
A: I've read Stanfield Turner's book. I've talked to a number of
people who helped him write the book. Here's where I'm coming from in
this arena. First of all, the Cold War ended, we had 12,000 nuclear
weapons staring each other in the face. We began a very stable,
verifiable glide path to getting down to lower and lower numbers.
START I, where we're at now, 6,000 weapons, START II which is coming.
Unfortunately, the Duma did not support debate this month, but has
kicked the can until September time frame. Under START II, we'll be
down to 3,000, 3,500. START III, under the Helsinki Accord, will get
us down to 2,000, 2,500. So, you know, the ultimate goal is the non
proliferation treaty, which has been around for 30 years. And oh, by
the way, the United States of America has ratified that treaty. The
total elimination of nuclear weapons, that's the goal. That's our
policy.
But if you read Article 6, it says given the proper preconditions.
Zero nuclear weapons given the proper preconditions. I don't think
we'll ever see the proper preconditions. My point to you, though, as I
talk to people like Bruce Blair and Jeremy Stone and Federation of
American Scientists is that, hey, things are going well. You know,
today, we have probably about 2,300 nuclear weapons on alert and we
ought to get down lower numbers. Under START II, those numbers will be
down to less than a thousand. Under START III, those numbers will be
less than 700. So we're on a good, stable glide path. And to do
something that is not verifiable or if verifiable, very intrusive,
would have an -- and also, the potential for being destabilizing,
because one of the things as you think through the policy implications
of the business that we're in, of deterrence, is that as you go to
lower and lower levels of nuclear weapons, cheating takes on much
greater leverage. And I'm not implicating that anybody's going to
cheat, but those are the kinds of things I think about on a daily
basis.
Q: Do the Russians have a different level of security standard for
tactical nuclear weapons or is it the same thing?
A: Same.
Q: When Gen. Butler presided, he came to Washington and gave a speech
in which he said he'd done a lot of soul searching and had basically
renounced the efficacy of nuclear weapons. I guess you're coming
toward the end of your command. Have you had any similar introspective
thoughts? (Laughter)
A: I've had a religious experience this morning, J.D. You're going to
be the first to know it. (Laughter)
No, I'm just kidding you, obviously. I've had the job for two and a
half years. I've gone to great, great lengths to make sure that I
don't get into a public debate about Gen. Butler and his views.
Obviously, my views and his views are 180 degrees out. I disagree with
his views vehemently, but he's entitled to his views.
Q: Does the U.S. intelligence community share your relatively sanguine
view of the level of command and control in Russia? You have a good
confidence?
A: I do. And I have a bit of confidence because I've been exposed to a
great deal. Now, one of the things I was very frustrated about when I
got in to this job was it took me a year before I got, then commander
in chief of rocket forces, Sergeyev over to visit. So, as one year.
And most commanders in chief are only in the job for two years. So
half of my tenure was behind me when I first got this dialogue going.
So to make sure we keep the momentum going, when I went on this most
recent trip, I took my successor, Admiral Rich Mies, along with me and
he got to see everything I did. He got to meet the people and
hopefully, will continue this thing in the future, which is very, very
important. It should not be a personality driven series of events. It
should be a continuous kind of process.
Q: Does the intelligence community share that view?
A: I'll tell you what, and I'll probably get in trouble from the
intelligence Mafia, but they just haven't been exposed to this kind of
stuff.
Q: So they disagree with you?
A: No.  You're terrible, you know that?
Q: Well, I didn't understand your answer.
Q: Do they agree with you entirely or do you have a difference of
opinion with the intelligence community?
A: I don't think in most cases, they've been exposed to the level of
detail that I have to disagree.
Q: They're not as knowledgeable?
A: Yes, but I didn't want to say that. (Laughter) I mean, the intel
folks have pretty big egos. I used to be one, so I can say that.
Q: How does that reflect (inaudible)
A: A lot of the things that they have been exposed to and have written
have been based upon estimates, interpolations, interpretations. And
do I have the total, hundred percent truth? Probably not. But I'm
probably a hell of a lot closer than they are.
Q: Well, then I have to follow up one more time. My question then is
what is your assessment of the quality of U.S. intelligence about
Russian nuclear forces?
A: It's good. But I think because so much of what is done in this
arena, you know, for example, the Saratov Sierra 1050, which is the
name of the site I went to, we had never had access to anybody that
had ever worked at one of those facilities that I'm aware of. And so,
for them to take me in there and show me the flats where the families
live, show me the schools, you know, take me to the officer's club for
a meal, to see 30 kids come running up never having seen an American
before and a Russian three star say, hey, look, here's an American,
you've never seen one before. And to take me into the areas where they
have the national bunkers, that's revolutionary.
Q: There's been a lot of debate in Washington over the last couple of
months about to what extent China's missile program has been aided by
U.S. technology. And without getting into any classified information,
could you just give us generally an assessment of whether China's
missile capability is significantly greater today than it was say a
few years ago.
A: No. From my perspective. I'm talking about military,
intercontinental ballistic missiles.
Q: Was all this debate just a lot of hot air?
A: I'm not going to into debates and hot air. Let me tell you that the
CSS-4 ICBM that the Chinese have deployed today has been deployed
since 1981. And there have been some modifications, but nothing
significant.
Q: Another thought that came to mind is in talking to all of these
Russians, did you get into the subject of missile proliferation and
the dangers of India and Pakistan, Iran, Libya, etc., especially
Russian collusion in missile proliferation? Were they as concerned
about that as we are?
A: We talked about the development of missile technology in those
countries. I did not bring up the subject of Russian involvement in
potential proliferation. Our relationship is built, my relationship is
built upon, you know, I'm not afraid to ask tough questions, by the
same token, I don't go out and ice pick, going for their eyes when I
talk to them.
Q: General, we're a technology happy type thing, they're manpower
happy, but they still have a lot of technology, obviously, guarding
their sites. Year 2000 problems, are they looking at that and are you
satisfied with their progress and are you sharing some of the things
that maybe you have?
A: Yes. Good question. In February, I accompanied the Secretary over
to Moscow for a meeting with Marshal Sergeyev. I had an opportunity to
sit down with Gen. Yakovlev for about two hours and talk about his
upcoming trip. And as we were going through his itinerary, I asked him
what he wanted to do. He said he was tennis player, he wanted to play
tennis with Pete Sampras. I said I probably could not set that up. He
said he wanted to go swimming in the Pacific Ocean. I said, hey, I'm
taking you to Vandenberg, we can do that. And as we were just
chatting, I talked about El Nino because California and the tides. And
then I said, you know, one of the things that is really worrisome to
me because of the potential magnitude of the problem is the Year 2000
problem. He was not very familiar with this issue. In March, he came
over, Gen. Yakovlev did, and in a one-on-one session with me, he said
thank you very much for bringing that to my attention. And then when I
saw him last week, we talked about it at some length. And he said that
he does not have any problems in his nuclear command and control with
Year 2000, but they're still working the periphery systems.
Q: General, if I could go back to the proliferation question. Is it
your opinion that the Russian military leadership either acknowledges
or is involved in the proliferation --
A: I have seen no indication of that.
Q: START II question. What is your assessment of the Duma's postponing
hearings again on START II?. Did you all talk about that the prospects
for getting some smaller numbers? And what's your gauge of Russia's
intention toward the nuclear forces? Are they putting most of their
eggs in that basket?
A: Yep. I shouldn't say yep. As I mentioned right up front, if you
look at where they're spending their money, it's the nuclear forces
and the airborne forces. The sensing I got in my discussions with, and
again, I don't want to quote a specific individual, but with a senior
military official that I talked with on the trip, is that the Duma has
three major hang-ups with START II at this particular point in time.
Number one, perceptions about ABM activity in the United States.
Number two, our capability to break out and upload our ICBM's with
more than one warhead. And three, ensuring that the nuclear forces
have stable funding. Those are the three primary concerns that were
relayed to me as perceptions of the Duma regarding START II. And I'll
just relay them to you as I heard them.
Q: If there's so much trust between both sides, why is it that the
United States can't get more visibility into the Yamantau mountain
complex and other similar construction projects that are underway and
closely tied to their command and control of nuclear forces?
A: Excellent question. Again, I don't want to identify anyone by name.
But another senior official, very senior official and I had a
discussion and that's one of the issues I brought up. I said, we've
got folks in the United States who think you're committing a technical
foul by, you know, you've got 20,000 people working there. You've got
a lot of resource going to this place. Why don't you just take an
American down there and show them what you're doing? And he said, got
it. I don't know what's going to happen.
Q: Did they tell you what it was all about?
A: Yes. It's the same story that I got from Gen. Sergeyev over a year
ago and it is not military-related. It is a national crisis center.
That's the way it was described to me. I said you need to put it to
bed.
Q: One more question right here. When you were here last time, you
mentioned that one of the modernization programs, long range that's
going on is the continued development of a cruise missile, long range
cruise missile. Any update on that?
A: No. Yes. The update is that there's not as much activity as I
thought I would see in that development program. The 15 is still good,
which they use on their blackjacks and their bears. Their TU-160s and
TU-95s.
Q: Thank you very much, General.
(End transcript)




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