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Weapons of Mass Destruction (WMD)

OFFENSIVE BW RESEARCH, DEVELOPMENT, AND ACQUISITION
Filename:0512rept.00d
OFFENSIVE BW RESEARCH, DEVELOPMENT, AND ACQUISITION
		Iraq's biological and toxin weapons program is the most 
extensive In the Middle East. Large quantities of anthrax bacteria 
and botulinum toxin have likely been produced. We believe that 
these agents have been weaponized and that biological and toxin 
munitions already exist. Further, the deployment of biological 
weapons in significant numbers will take place by the end of 1990, 
if not already Implemented.
		Current capabilities Include a) production of anthrax 
and botulInum toxin, b) vacuum drying of agents in micron size 
particle suitable for aerosol dissemination, c) testing of agents 
and d) weaponization and e) refrigerated bunkers for storage. Iraq 
has demonstrated a significant competency for research, 
development, and production of classic Infectious agents and 
toxins. Iraq also has the necessary Infrastructure to develop 
recombinant organisms and other agents of biological origin if so 
desired. [   (b)(1) sec 1.3(a)(4)   ].  [   (b)(1) sec 1.3(a)(4)  
 ] claim that Iraq has already tested BW agents and delivery 
systems. Generous funding, competent scientists, and construction 
or expansion of facilities provide full support to the program.  
In light of the unscrupulous use of chemical agents 
in the Iran and Iraq War and the record of human rights In Iraq, 
we postulate that given a threatening or no win circumstance, Iraq 
will launch a BW attack.
BW PROGRAM
		Although the Iraqi BW program has been in existence 
since the 70's, [   (b)(1) sec 1.3(a)(4)   ].  The end of the 
Iran-lraq War (August 88) triggered President Hussein to direct 
Iraq to become a self supporting military power in regard to 
producing conventional weapons and to boost its CBW capabilities. 
 [   (b)(1) sec 1.3(a)(4)   ].
	The BW program is supported at the highest level of the 
government.  President Saddam Hussein has direct-responsibility 
for all policy issues related to the program.  He has boasted that 
his country has developed a secret weapon system which previously 
was held by only two other countries in the world.
	The Intelligence service has the responsibility for security, 
procurement of material, and the general direction of the program. 
The BW program is highly secure [   (b)(1) sec 1.3(a)(4)   ].
[   (b)(1) sec 1.3(a)(4)   ]
	Despite signing the 1925 Geneva Protocol, the Iraqis 
repeatedly violated this agreement by their use of CW agents 
during their conflict with Iran.  [   (b)(1) sec 1.3(a)(4)   ]
[   (b)(1) sec 1.3(a)(4)   ]
PROCUREMENT 
[   (b)(1) sec 1.3(a)(4)   ]
[   (b)(1) sec 1.3(a)(4)   ]
[   (b)(1) sec 1.3(a)(4)   ]
AGENTS
[   (b)(1) sec 1.3(a)(4)   ]
[   (b)(1) sec 1.3(a)(4)   ]
[   (b)(1) sec 1.3(a)(4)   ]
PERSONALITIES
[   (b)(1) sec 1.3(a)(4)   ]
FACILITIES
	At least 15 separate facilities possess the technical 
capability to support the BW program.  Of these, five facilities 
have been [   (b)(1) sec 1.3(a)(4)   ] with the program.
	Salman Pak
	The Salman Pak facility [   (b)(1) sec 1.3(a)(4)   ], located 
25 kilometers southeast of Baghdad, Is Iraq's leading BW research 
facility.  The Salman Pak site where the El Hazen Institute is 
located, has been [   (b)(1) sec 1.3(a)(4)   ] as a facility for 
BW R&D and production [   (b)(1) sec 1.3(a)(4)   ].
[   (b)(1) sec 1.3(a)(4)   ]
[   (b)(1) sec 1.3(a)(4)   ]
[   (b)(1) sec 1.3(a)(4)   ].  These bunkers, located at Tikrit 
Ammo Depo, Al Fallujah Ammunition Depot South, Ad Diwahiyah 
Ammunition Storage Facility Southwest and Karbaia Depot and 
Ammunition Storage Facility, [   (b)(1) sec 1.3(a)(4)   ]. It is 
possible that such trucks could be used to transport temperature-
sensitive biological munitions or agents.
	[   (b)(1) sec 1.3(a)(4)   ] that live agents (typhus (sic) 
probably typhoid and/or cholera) are produced in Salman Pak and 
loaded into 122 mm shells stored in the bunkers of the area.
	Taji
	The facility at the Taji major military industrial complex 
north of Baghdad, [   (b)(1) sec 1.3(a)(4)   ], contains a 
fermentation plant which is capable of scale-up production of BW 
agents.  [   (b)(1) sec 1.3(a)(4)   ] it is producing BW agents on 
a small scale.  The location of the facility at Taji and its 
control by the military affords the Iraqis the security necessary 
for agent production.  [   (b)(1) sec 1.3(a)(4)   ]
	Abu Ghriab
	In 1982, an "infant formula" plant was completed at Abu 
Ghurayb(sic) Ghraib [   (b)(1) sec 1.3(a)(4)   ], 25 kilometer 
west
of Baghdad.  Very high security is maintained at the plant, which 
has barbed wire fencing and guard towers.  
[   (b)(1) sec 1.3(a)(4)   ].  
The unusual security measure at the plant make it highly suspect.
[   (b)(1) sec 1.3(a)(4)   ]
[   (b)(1) sec 1.3(a)(4)   ]
[   (b)(1) sec 1.3(a)(4)   ]
[   (b)(1) sec 1.3(a)(4)   ]
	[   (b)(1) sec 1.3(a)(4)   ] that there is a possible BW 
center near Mosul, where basic research and development of
biological agents is done.  
[   (b)(1) sec 1.3(a)(4)   ]
[   (b)(1) sec 1.3(a)(4)   ]
[   (b)(1) sec 1.3(a)(4)   ]
[   (b)(1) sec 1.3(a)(4)   ]
[   (b)(1) sec 1.3(a)(4)   ]
BIOTECHNOLOGIES AND BW
	The technical infrastructure necessary to support an 
offensive BW program exists in Iraq which is one of the few Arab 
countries having a strong industrial microbiology technological 
base.  Little basic biological research currently is underway in 
Iraq; most of the indigenous scientific expertise is
engaged in applied research for the military.
[   (b)(1) sec 1.3(a)(4)   ]
[   (b)(1) sec 1.3(a)(4)   ]
[   (b)(1) sec 1.3(a)(4)   ]
	Iraq has what is claimed to be a chemical and biological 
warfare test grid [   (b)(1) sec 1.3(a)(4)   ], 90 NM N/NW of 
Samarra.  [   (b)(1) sec 1.3(a)(4)   ]
[   (b)(1) sec 1.3(a)(4)   ].
[   (b)(1) sec 1.3(a)(4)   ]
	The Iraqis can potentially disseminate biological and toxin 
agents in a variety of conventional ways.  The are reported to 
have successfully tested shells which appear suitable for the 
battlefield delivery of BW agents.  These shells are capable of 
generating and releasing aerosolized materials above the 
ground prior to impact without causing heating or extreme 
pressurization of the agent during dispersal.  
[   (b)(1) sec 1.3(a)(4)   ]
[   (b)(1) sec 1.3(a)(4)   ]
[   (b)(1) sec 1.3(a)(4)   ]
[   (b)(1) sec 1.3(a)(4)   ]
[   (b)(1) sec 1.3(a)(4)   ]
	Currently we can only surmise as to the Iraqi doctrine for 
the use of BW missiles.  The most likely targets for the modified 
SCUDs would be cities, large industrial areas, airfields, and rear 
areas.  If launched from southern Iraq or Kuwait, the missiles can 
reach Riyadh and Qatar.  
[   (b)(1) sec 1.3(a)(4)   ]
	[   (b)(1) sec 1.3(a)(4)   ], special groups of Iraqi were 
formed and trained to deploy chemical and biological weapons.  The 
decision to use specific systems will likely be dependent or 
strategic or tactical requirements.  Weapons deployment will 
likely be in the aerosol form, possibly at night or in the early 
morning to take advantage of favorable military and meteorological 
conditions. 
[   (b)(1) sec 1.3(a)(4)   ]
[   (b)(1) sec 1.3(a)(4)   ]
[   (b)(1) sec 1.3(a)(4)   ]
[   (b)(1) sec 1.3(a)(4)   ]
 



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