IRAQ SRBM WARNING REPORT (U)
Filename:627rpt.91j
DATE: 24 JAN 1991
TO:
SUBJ: IRAQ SRBM WARNING REPORT (U)
THIS IS THE FOURTH REPORT IN THE SERIES WHICH RELATES
TO THE SUBJECT WARNING PROBLEM. THIS INFORMATION IS BEING
DISSEMINATED TO PROVIDE WARNING TO U.S. DEFENSE
[ (b)(1) sec 1.3(a)(4) ]
DEFENSE INTELLIGENCE AGENCY
[ b.2. ]
- AUTHORITIES REGARDING THE DEVELOPMENT AND STATUS OF A SITUATION
WHICH MAY THREATEN U.S. INTERESTS.
1. SUMMARY [ (b)(1) sec 1.3(a)(4) ] INDICATE IRAQ
INTENDS TO LAUNCH TWO SCUD MISSILES ARMED WITH CHEMICAL OR
BIOLOGICAL WARHEADS AGAINST ISRAEL DURING THE EARLY MORNING
HOURS ON 21 JANUARY 91. ONE SOURCE INDICATED TARGETS WERE
HAIFA AND TEL AVIV. SOURCE INDICATED THE LAUNCHES WOULD OCCUR
FROM 3608N 04132E IN NORTHWEST IRAQ. THE SAME SOURCE
INDICATED A SECOND LAUNCH IS TO OCCUR FROM SOUTHWEST IRAQ
VICINITY 3206N 04228E NEAR MUDAYSIS. MISSILE TO BE NUCLEAR
ARMED AND TARGETED AT US/SAUDI BASE. ALSO DURING EARLY
MORNING 21 JAN 91. THE LOCATIONS OF THE SCUD MISSILE
LAUNCHERS ARE WITHIN RANGE OF INDICATED TARTETS IN ISRAEL, AS
ARE US/SAUDI BASES IN NORTHERN SAUDI ARABIA AS FAR SOUTH AS
2545N LATITUDE.
2. BACKGROUND. THE POSSIBILITY OF SCUD LAUNCHES AGAINST ISRAEL FROM
NORTHWESTERN IRAQ WAS REPORTED BY [ (b)(1) sec 1.3(a)(4) ] DURING
SEP/OCT 90 WHICH INDICATED THE DEPLOYMENT OF UP TO TWELVE
MOBILE LAUNCHERS TO THE GENERAL AREA OF MOSUL, IRAQ.
NO OTHER DEFINITIVE INTELLIGENCE HAS CONFIRMED SCUD PRESENCE
IN THIS AREA. IN THE AREA NEAR MUDAYSIS IN SOUTHWEST IRAQ, A
SCUD MISSILE BEEN PREVIOUSLY IDENTIFIED AS SCUD DEPLOYMENT
AREA.
3. ASSESSMENT. THERE IS NO OTHER INFORMATION TO SUPPORT ABOVE [ (b)(1)
sec 1.3(a)(4) ] REPORTING. THE INFORMATION WILL CONTINUE TO BE
EVALUATED WITH FOLLOW-UP AS REQUIRED. [ (b)(1) sec 1.3(a)(4) ]
POC FOR IRAOI SRBM TARGETING [ (b)(6) ]
SUPPORT IS THE JIC TARGET SUPPORT CELL (TSC)
POC IS [ (b)(6) ]
[ (b)(1) sec 1.3(a)(4) ]
NNNN
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