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Threat to Israel
Filename:0110pgv.91p
[    b.2.    ]
Subject: Threat to Israel
	The threat by Saddam Hussein to burn half of Israel is 
assessed to be a real, but not literal, threat.  Has not changed 
its assessment of Iraq's capability to deliver unconventional 
munitions against Israel.  Iraq does not have the capability to 
produce and deliver a nuclear bomb or warhead at this time.  It 
does not have the potential to produce a crude radiological weapon 
that could be delivered by missile against Israel, a weapon 
primarily of psychological impact.  Iraq is still assessed to have 
a chemical warhead capability for its SCUD and SCUD related 
missile.  These could be launched against Israel.  Cannot confirm 
the existence of an incendiary devise using "kontax".  It is 
probably that Iraq will use its unconventional munitions against 
tactical formations in close contact during the ground phase of 
the war and in deep attack mission against targets in either 
Israel, Saudi Arabia or both.