File: 970613_01211010_90_txt_0001.txt
Page: 0001
Total Pages: 1
/*********** THIS IS A COMBINED MESSAGE ************/ SUBJECT: IRAQ-KUWAIT: SITUATION UPDATE. DOI: 21 JAN 91 (AS OF 0100 EST) )) MAJOR POINTS )) 1. IRAQ LAUNCHED AT LEAST EIGHT SRBMS AT SAUDI ARABIA. [b.1. sec. 1.5.(c)] 4. DEVELOPING SITUATION. [b.1. sec. 1.5.(c)] ON 21JANUARY, AT LEAST EIGHT SRBMS WERE LAUNCHED FROM SOUTHERN IRAQ. AT LEAST TWO, AND POSSIBLY THREE, SRBMS WERE LAUNCHED FROM THE VICINITY OF QURNAH SOUTH SRBM FACILITY (31-00N 047-30E) [b.1. sec. 1.5.(c)] ON 20JANUARY. ALL MISSILES WERE REPORTEDLY DESTROYED BY PATRIOT AIR DEFENSE MISSILES IN THE VICINITY OF DHAHRAN, SAUD1 ARABIA. [b.1. sec. 1.5.(c)] ANOTHER SIX SRBMS WERE FIRED, TWO WERE FIRED AT DHAHRAN AGAIN FROM THE VICINITY OF QURNAH, AND FOUR SRBMS CAME FROM THE VICINITY OF [b.1. sec. 1.5.(c)] THE NORTHERN KUWAIT/IRAQ BORDER AGAINST RIYADH. AT LEAST FIVE OF THESE MISSILES WERE REPORTEDLY DESTROYED BY PATRIOTS AND ONE APPARENTLY IMPACTED IN THE VICINITY OF RIYADH. DAMAGE IS UNKNOWN. COMMENT: BAGHDAD WILL LIKELY CONTINUE TO ATTEMPT STRIKES AGAINST COALITION FORCES IN SAUDI ARABIA AND COULD LAUNCH FURTHER MISSILES AT ISRAEL. [b.1. sec. 1.5.(c)] MISSILE/CHEMICAL/BIOLOGICAL ACTIVITY. AN EARLIER ASSESSMENT HAS BEEN REAFFIRMED THAT A LIMITED NUMBER OF CHEMICAL WARHEADS ARE AVAILABLE FOR IRAQ'S SURFACE-TO-SURFACE MISSILES, MOST LIKELY FILLED WITH THE SEMI-PERSISTENT NERVE AGENT GF OR THE PERSISTENT BLISTER AGENT MUSTARD. IT IS BELIEVED THESE WARHEADS WOULD HAVE LITTLE MILITARY VALUE, GIVEN IRAQ'S PAST PROBLEMS WITH APPROPRIATE FUSING AND THE LIMITED ACCURACY OF THE SYSTEMS, PARTICULARLY FOR THE EXTENDED RANGE SYSTEMS. THEY WOULD BE MORE EFFECTIVE IF USED AGAINST CIVILIAN TARGETS. SINCE THERE ARE ONLY LIMITED WARHEADS AVAILABLE, AND SINCE USE OF CHEMICALS WOULD BESEEN AS AN ESCALATION BY COALITION FORCES, IRAQ HAS THUS FAR REFRAINED FROM USING CHEMICALS. IT IS UNLIKELY THAT RECENT AIR ATTACKS ON IRAQI STRATEGIC CHEMICAL PRODUCTION AND STORAGE FACILITIES HAVE SIGNIFICANTLY AFFECTED IRAQI TACTICAL CAPABILITIES TO DELIVER CHEMICALS [b.1. sec. 1.5.(c)] [b.2.]
NEWSLETTER
|
Join the GlobalSecurity.org mailing list |
|
|