970110_08092038_90_0001.txt

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[b.2.]
SUBJECT:  DIA ASIA PACIFIC INTSUM 215-90/9 AUG 90.  (U)
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[b.1. sec. 1.5.(c), (d)]
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IRAQ-KUWAIT:  SITUATION UPDATE.     
AS OF 2100Z 9 AUGUST 90
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MAJOR POINTS
[b.1. sec. 1.5.(c)]
3.       THE IRAQI AMBASSADOR IN ATHENS ANNOUNCED THAT BAGHDAD WILL
USE CHEMICAL WEAPONS IF ATTACKED BY THE US OR ISRAEL.
[b.1. sec. 1.5.(c)]
8.       IN A 9 AUGUST NEWS CONFERENCE, THE IRAQI AMBASSADOR IN
ATHENS ANNOUNCED THAT BAGHDAD WOULD USE CHEMICAL WEAPONS IF IT IS
ATTACKED BY THE US OR ISRAEL.  EVIDENCE THAT IRAQ IS UPLOADING
AIRCRAFT WITH CHEMICAL MUNITIONS OR DEPLOYING CHEMICAL WEAPONS INTO
KUWAIT REMAINS AMBIGUOUS. HOWEVER, THE IRAQIS PLAN FOR CHEMICAL USE
AS PART OF THEIR NORMAL FIRE SUPPORT PLANNING. THE DECISION TO
IMPLEMENT IT PROBABLY RESTS WITH SADDAM HUSAYN.
[b.1. sec. 1.5.(c)]
11.       BAGHDAD'S THREAT TO USE CHEMICAL WEAPONS IS NOT HOLLOW.
IRAQ HAS USED THESE WEAPONS DURING THE WAR WITH IRAN AND AGAINST
ITS
OWN KURDISH POPULATION AT HALABJA. IF BAGHDAD PERCEIVES ITS FORCES
ARE SERIOUSLY THREATENED, A CHEMICAL ATTACK IS LIKELY.
BT
#9051
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