062096_cia_72259_72259_01.txt

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Subject: MIDDLE EAST BRIEF
Not Finally Evaluated Intelligence
TO FACILITATE ELECTRONIC ACCESS, THIS DOCUMENT HAS BEEN
REFORMATTED TO ELIMINATE INFORMATION THAT DOES NOT PERTAIN
TO GULF WAR ILLNESS ISSUES OR THAT IS CLASSIFIED. A COPY OF
THIS REDACTED DOCUMENT, IN ORIGINAL FORMAT, IS AVAILABLE ON
REQUEST.
PAGE 001
TOT:          FEB 91
SUBJECT:  MIDDLE EAST BRIEF
CONTENTS
1. IRAQ-KUWAIT:  SITUATION REPORT
1. IRAQ-KUWAIT:  SITUATION REPORT
THE IRAQI LEADERSHIP CALLED PUBLICLY FOR ITS ARMED FORCES TO
WITHDRAW FROM KUWAIT. BUT THERE IS NO REPORTING THAT SUCH A
WITHDRAWAL IS ACTUALLY UNDER WAY. MEANWHILE. BAGHDAD LAUNCHED AT
LEAST TWO MORE MODIFIED SCUDS, ONE OF WHICH BROKE UP ON REENTRY OVER
DHAHRAN, SAUDI ARABIA, AND FELL ON A US BARRACKS, CAUSING NUMEROUS
CASUALTIES.
PAGE 002
TOT:          FEB 91
SCUD LAUNCHES
IRAQ LAUNCHED AT LEAST TWO MORE MODIFIED SCUDS YESTERDAY
BEFORE AND ANOTHER AT ABOUT THE TIME OF BAGHDAD'S RADIOBROADCAST
ANNOUNCING SADDAM'S INTENT TO WITHDRAW FROM KUWAIT. AT APPROXIMATELY
1230 EST. IRAQ LAUNCHED A SINGLE SCUD FROM AN AREA NORTHWEST OF AL
BASRAH TOWARD DHAHRAN, SAUDI ARABIA.
THE SCUD BROKE UP ON REENTRY, AND THE
WARHEAD FELL DIRECTLY ON A BARRACKS HOUSING US SOLDIERS, CAUSING
NUMEROUS CASUALTIES.
SOME FIVE HOURS LATER, IRAQ FIRED ANOTHER SCUD
TOWARD QATAR.
BAHRAINI FORCES MAY HAVE DOWNED IT. ACCORDING TO PRESS REPORTS. IRAQ
NOW HAS LAUNCHED AT LEAST SEVEN SCUDS SINCE THE COALITION GROUND
ASSAULT BEGAN: AT SAUDI ARABIA, TWO AT ISRAEL, AND ONE AT
QATAR.
CHEMICAL WEAPONS
BAGHDAD PROBABLY HAS AVOIDED CHEMICAL WEAPONS BECAUSE THEY
CANNOT RELIABLY TARGET A COALITION UNIT. THE SITUATION IS SO FLUID
THAT IRAQI COMMANDERS ARE UNCERTAIN WHERE TO USE THE WEAPONS AND
CANNOT GET ADEQUATE TARGETING INFORMATION. IRAQI FROG MISSILES HAVE
HIT THEIR OWN UNITS. THE IRAQIS PROBABLY WILL NEXT REVIEW THE OPTION
OF EMPLOYING CHEMICAL WEAPONS WHEN THEY CONSIDER WHETHER TO COMMIT
REPUBLICAN GUARD FORCES TO BATTLE.
1.5 (c)
72259-72259

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