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061896_cia_65101_65101_01.txt
Subject: IRAQI NUCLEAR
Not Finally Evaluated Intelligence
TO FACILITATE ELECTRONIC ACCESS, THIS DOCUMENT HAS BEEN
REFORMATTED TO ELIMINATE INFORMATION THAT DOES NOT PERTAIN
TO GULF WAR ILLNESS ISSUES OR THAT IS CLASSIFIED. A COPY OF
THIS REDACTED DOCUMENT, IN ORIGINAL FORMAT, IS AVAILABLE ON
REQUEST.
FEB 91           DIRECTOR 515885
SUBJECT:
WE BELIEVE THAT IRAQ'S SHORT-TERM OPTION FOR A NUCLEAR
EXPLOSIVE CAPABILITY HAS BEEN SIGNIFICANTLY AFFECTED BUT NOT
NECESSARILY ELIMINATED BY OPERATION DESERT STORM. THE SHORT-TERM
OPTION LINGERS BECAUSE OF REMAINING FACILITIES AT THE TUWAITHA
NUCLEAR RESEARCH CENTER AND UNCERTAINTY OVER THE EXACT STATUS OF
THE SAFEGUARDED FUEL.
 --WE BELIEVE IT IS MOST LIKELY THAT IRAQ'S SAFEGUARDED HIGHLY
ENRICHED RESEARCH REACTOR FUELS WERE IN THE REACTORS AT THE
TIME OF THE INITIAL OPERATION DESERT STORM RAIDS. HOWEVER,
WE CANNOT RULE OUT THAT IRAQ MOVED THESE FUELS PRIOR TO THE
RAIDS ON TUWAITHA.
WHILE BOTH OF IRAQ'S KNOWN RESEARCH REACTORS PROBABLY SUSTAINED
MAJOR DAMAGE TO CRITICAL COMPONENTS SUCH AS CONTROL AND COOLING
EQUIPMENT, THEIR FUELS COULD STILL BE RECOVERABLE
4. RADIATION CONTAMINATION AT TUWAITHA.
THE BOMBING OF THE           -SUPPLIED IRT AND          SUPPLIED ISIS
REACTORS AT THE TUWAITHA NUCLEAR RESEARCH CENTER PROBABLY WOULD HAVE
RESULTED ONLY IN LIMITED LOCAL RADIATION CONTAMINATION-
THERE
IS PROBABLY LITTLE, IF ANY, SIGNIFICANT RADIATION CONTAMINATION
OUTSIDE OF A FEW KILOMETERS FROM TUWAITHA. RADIATION CONTAMINATION
AT TUWAITHA WOULD COME LARGELY FROM THE POTENTIAL DISPERSAL OF THE
IRT REACTOR FUEL BECAUSE THE ISIS REACTOR FUEL IS ALMOST CERTAINLY
BURIED UNDER RUBBLE.
ADVERSE HEALTH CONSEQUENCES FROM THE BOMBING OF THE REACTOR WOULD
ALSO BE LIMITED TO THE AREA. IN THE WORST-CASE DISPERSAL OF
RADIOACTIVITY
THE RADIATION DOSE WOULD NOT BE
GREATER THAN I REM INTERNALLY AND 0.3 REM EXTERNALLY AT A DISTANCE OF
100 METERS FROM THE REACTOR IF PERSONNEL DID NOT LINGER IN LEAVING
THE AREA
END OF MESSAGE
1.5 (c)
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