Subject: IRAQI NUCLEAR Not Finally Evaluated Intelligence TO FACILITATE ELECTRONIC ACCESS, THIS DOCUMENT HAS BEEN REFORMATTED TO ELIMINATE INFORMATION THAT DOES NOT PERTAIN TO GULF WAR ILLNESS ISSUES OR THAT IS CLASSIFIED. A COPY OF THIS REDACTED DOCUMENT, IN ORIGINAL FORMAT, IS AVAILABLE ON REQUEST. FEB 91 DIRECTOR 515885 SUBJECT: WE BELIEVE THAT IRAQ'S SHORT-TERM OPTION FOR A NUCLEAR EXPLOSIVE CAPABILITY HAS BEEN SIGNIFICANTLY AFFECTED BUT NOT NECESSARILY ELIMINATED BY OPERATION DESERT STORM. THE SHORT-TERM OPTION LINGERS BECAUSE OF REMAINING FACILITIES AT THE TUWAITHA NUCLEAR RESEARCH CENTER AND UNCERTAINTY OVER THE EXACT STATUS OF THE SAFEGUARDED FUEL. --WE BELIEVE IT IS MOST LIKELY THAT IRAQ'S SAFEGUARDED HIGHLY ENRICHED RESEARCH REACTOR FUELS WERE IN THE REACTORS AT THE TIME OF THE INITIAL OPERATION DESERT STORM RAIDS. HOWEVER, WE CANNOT RULE OUT THAT IRAQ MOVED THESE FUELS PRIOR TO THE RAIDS ON TUWAITHA. WHILE BOTH OF IRAQ'S KNOWN RESEARCH REACTORS PROBABLY SUSTAINED MAJOR DAMAGE TO CRITICAL COMPONENTS SUCH AS CONTROL AND COOLING EQUIPMENT, THEIR FUELS COULD STILL BE RECOVERABLE 4. RADIATION CONTAMINATION AT TUWAITHA. THE BOMBING OF THE -SUPPLIED IRT AND SUPPLIED ISIS REACTORS AT THE TUWAITHA NUCLEAR RESEARCH CENTER PROBABLY WOULD HAVE RESULTED ONLY IN LIMITED LOCAL RADIATION CONTAMINATION- THERE IS PROBABLY LITTLE, IF ANY, SIGNIFICANT RADIATION CONTAMINATION OUTSIDE OF A FEW KILOMETERS FROM TUWAITHA. RADIATION CONTAMINATION AT TUWAITHA WOULD COME LARGELY FROM THE POTENTIAL DISPERSAL OF THE IRT REACTOR FUEL BECAUSE THE ISIS REACTOR FUEL IS ALMOST CERTAINLY BURIED UNDER RUBBLE. ADVERSE HEALTH CONSEQUENCES FROM THE BOMBING OF THE REACTOR WOULD ALSO BE LIMITED TO THE AREA. IN THE WORST-CASE DISPERSAL OF RADIOACTIVITY THE RADIATION DOSE WOULD NOT BE GREATER THAN I REM INTERNALLY AND 0.3 REM EXTERNALLY AT A DISTANCE OF 100 METERS FROM THE REACTOR IF PERSONNEL DID NOT LINGER IN LEAVING THE AREA END OF MESSAGE 1.5 (c) 65101:65101First Page |Prev Page |Next Page |Src Image
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