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cia_65227_65227_01.txt

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Subject: INFORMATION ON IRAQI SCUDS
Not Finally Evaluated Intelligence
TO FACILITATE ELECTRONIC ACCESS, THIS DOCUMENT HAS BEEN
REFORMATTED TO ELIMINATE INFORMATION THAT DOES NOT PERTAIN
TO GULF WAR ILLNESS ISSUES OR THAT IS CLASSIFIED. A COPY OF
THIS REDACTED DOCUMENT, IN ORIGINAL FORMAT, IS AVAILABLE ON
REQUEST.
OCT 90
SUBJECT: INFORMATION ON IRAQI SCUDS
ALL THESE IRAQI MISSILES HAVE RELATIVELY POOR ACCURACY.
MISSILE ACCURACY IS USUALLY EXPRESSED AS CIRCULAR ERROR PROBABLE
(CEP); THE RADIUS OF A CIRCLE, CENTERED ON THE TARGET, WITHIN WHICH
50 PERCENT OF THE MISSILES FIRED AT THE TARGET WOULD BE EXPECTED TO
HIT. THE CEP OF ANY MISSILE INCREASES WITH THE RANGE FROM THE LAUNCH
POINT TO THE TARGET.
TARGET.
4. DAMAGE RADIUS IS THE DISTANCE FROM THE EXPLOSION TO WHICH
THE WARHEAD'S DESTRUCTIVE EFFECTS EXTEND. THE DAMAGE RADIUS OF THE
FULL SCUD B PAYLOAD AGAINST INDUSTRIAL TARGETS AND UNPROTECTED
AIRCRAFT AND AIRFIELD BUILDINGS WOULD BE ABOUT 100 METERS FOR SEVERE
DAMAGE. THE DAMAGE RADIUS AGAINST INDUSTRIAL BUILDINGS WITH
REINFORCED CONCRETE IS 65 METERS FOR SEVERE DAMAGE.
CHEMICALLY-ARMED MISSILES COULD BE USED MOST EFFECTIVELY IN
RELATIVELY SMALL NUMBERS TO DEGRADE OPERATIONS AT AIRFIELDS, OR
TERRORIZE A POPULATION CENTER
(BW) AGENTS. IRAQ HAS THE ABILITY TO WEAPONIZE ITS BW AGENT--SUCH
AS ANTHRAX SPORES--AND PROBABLY COULD PRODUCE WARHEADS FOR ITS
MISSILES. ONLY ONE ANTHRAX WARHEAD ON TARGET, EVEN USING THE AL
HUSAYN MISSILE, WOULD BE REQUIRED. ANTHRAX CAN CONTAMINATE AN AREA
FOR YEARS,
END OF MESSAGE
1.5(c)
65227:65227

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