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cia_65613_65613_01.txt

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Subject: IRAQI CW
Not Finally Evaluated Intelligence
TO FACILITATE ELECTRONIC ACCESS, THIS DOCUMENT HAS BEEN
REFORMATTED TO ELIMINATE INFORMATION THAT DOES NOT PERTAIN
TO GULF WAR ILLNESS ISSUES OR THAT IS CLASSIFIED. A COPY OF
THIS REDACTED DOCUMENT, IN ORIGINAL FORMAT, IS AVAILABLE ON
REQUEST.
FEB 91     DIRECTOR 507804
SUBJECT:          BRIEFING
1.          FEBRUARY 1991
SUMMARY OF THE BRIEFING FOLLOWS.
CAN SCUDS ACTUALLY DELIVER CW WARHEADS WITH ANY ACCURACY?
IRAQ PROBABLY HAS CW WARHEADS FOR THE SCUDS, BUT DETONATING THEM
EFFECTIVELY IS A COMPLEX TASK.
ALSO, WE BELIEVE SADDAM THINKS THE TIME IS NOT YET
RIGHT TO USE CW, BECAUSE THE RISK OF US OR ISRAELI RETALIATION STILL
OUTWEIGHS THE BENEFITS OF A CW LAUNCH.
CAN YOU GIVE US AN ASSESSMENT OF THE OUTLOADING OF CHEMICAL
STORES AT H-3 AIRFIELD YESTERDAY? WE THINK IRAQ IS DISPERSING ITS
CHEMICAL WEAPONS AS A RESULT OF CONTINUED ALLIED AIRSTRIKES.
IS THE SHORT SHELF LIFE OF CHEMICAL WEAPONS PUSHING SADDAM TO
USE THEM QUICKLY? IF, AS WE SUSPECT, IRAQ HAS BINARY CHEMICAL
MUNITIONS CAPABILITIES, THE SHELF LIFE OF CHEMICALS WOULD NOT AFFECT
IRAQI STRATEGY.
END OF MESSAGE
1.5 (c)
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