cia_65570_63907_01.txt

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Subject: IRAQI SPECIAL WEAPONS
Not Finally Evaluated Intelligence
TO FACILITATE ELECTRONIC ACCESS, THIS DOCUMENT HAS BEEN
REFORMATTED TO ELIMINATE INFORMATION THAT DOES NOT PERTAIN
TO GULF WAR ILLNESS ISSUES OR THAT IS CLASSIFIED. A COPY OF
THIS REDACTED DOCUMENT, IN ORIGINAL FORMAT, IS AVAILABLE ON
REQUEST.
WARNING: INFORMATION REPORT, NOT FINALLY EVALUATED INTELLIGENCE
DIST:           ANUARY 1991
COUNTRY: IRAQ
SUBJ: IRAQI SPECIAL WEAPONS CAPABILITIES
DOI:           JANUARY 1991
A.           THE IRAQI GOVERNMENT IS TO
DETERMINE HOW CLOSE ITS SCUD MISSILES ARE TO THEIR TARGETS WHEN THEY
ARE DESTROYED BY PATRIOT MISSILE.
IRAQ HAS CHEMICAL WARHEADS FOR SCUD MISSILES, IT HAS NOT YET MASTERED
THE FUZE TECHNOLOGY AND TRIGGER MECHANISM TO DETONATE THE WARHEAD.
IRAQI MISSILE OFFICIALS ARE THEREFORE LOOKING AT THE POSSIBILITY OF
HAVING A SCUD MISSILE DELIVER CHEMICAL OR BIOLOGICAL WEAPONS AND
DISPERSE THEM UPON IMPACT WITH A PATRIOT MISSILE. IN THIS WAY, THE
OFFICIALS BELIEVE THAT THE CHEMICALS COULD BE SPREAD OVER AN AREA OF
APPROXIMATELY 60 SQUARE KILOMETERS. BY CONTRAST, A SCUD MISSILE
ARMED WITH A CHEMICAL WARHEAD WHICH DETONATES UPON IMPACT WITH THE
GROUND WOULD ONLY SPREAD THE CHEMICALS OVER A FEW SQUARE KILOMETERS.
REGARDING THE SPREADING OF CHEMICALS OVER A 60
SQUARE KILOMETER RANGE, THE EXTENT TO WHICH THE CHEMICALS WOULD
SPREAD WOULD DEPEND ON PAYLOAD SIZE, BURST HEIGHT, AND TYPE OF FILL,
I.E., CHEMICAL OR BIOLOGICAL AGENTS.)
IRAQ HAS
APPROXIMATELY ONE HUNDRED AND FIFTY (150) FIXED SCUD SITES.
D. IRAQ HAS APPROXIMATELY ONE HUNDRED EXOCET MISSILES
LEFT.
E. IRAQ HAS A SMALL ATOMIC BOMB, WHICH IT OBTAINED WITH
ON THE DEVICE, HOW AND WHEN IT WAS ACQUIRED,
WHETHER IRAQ HAS A DELIVERY SYSTEM FOR THE WEAPON, OR WHERE IT MAY BE
LOCATED.
END OF MESSAGE
1.5(c)
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