Subject: IRAQ CW Not Finally Evaluated Intelligence TO FACILITATE ELECTRONIC ACCESS, THIS DOCUMENT HAS BEEN REFORMATTED TO ELIMINATE INFORMATION THAT DOES NOT PERTAIN TO GULF WAR ILLNESS ISSUES OR THAT IS CLASSIFIED. A COPY OF THIS REDACTED DOCUMENT, IN ORIGINAL FORMAT, IS AVAILABLE ON REQUEST. DIRECTOR 634551 NOT WITHSTANDING BAGHDAD'S NPT COMMITMENT, WE STILL BELIEVE THE CURRENT LEADERSHIP JUDGES A NUCLEAR WEAPONS CAPABILITY TO BE ESSENTIAL TO MEET IRAQ'S SECURITY NEEDS AND TO FURTHER REGIONAL AMBITIONS. HOWEVER, COALITION AIR STRIKE DAMAGE TO THE TUWAITHA NUCLEAR RESEARCH CENTER, SUSPECT NUCLEAR FACILITIES, AND IRAQ'S INFRASTRUCTURE HAVE PROBABLY DELAYED BAGHDAD'S EFFORTS BY SEVERAL YEARS. WE BELIEVE THE TUWAITHA NUCLEAR RESEARCH CENTER- PROBABLY PLAYED A MAJOR ROLE IN BAGHDAD'S EFFORTS TO DEVELOP A NUCLEAR WEAPON. BEYOND THE CIVILIAN NUCLEAR RESEARCH THAT WAS ONGOING AT TUWAITHA, WE BELIEVE THE SITE HOUSED IRAQ'S CLANDESTINE WORK ON URANIUM ENRICHMENT AS WELL AS A SMALL FUEL REPROCESSING CAPABILITY. ALSO CONCLUDED IRAQ HAD SEVERAL FACILITIES AT TUWAITHA THAT COULD HAVE BEEN USED TO RECOVER HIGHLY ENRICHED URANIUM FROM THE SAFEGUARDED FUELS. THESE FACILITIES--WHICH WOULD NOT REQUIRE SAFEGUARDS UNTIL RELEVANT NUCLEAR MATERIALS WERE PRESENT--INCLUDED LABORATORIES SUPPLIED BY ALL BUT TWO BUILDINGS BELIEVED TO BE CAPABLE OF SUPPORTING A CRASH PROGRAM--ONE OF TWO SUPPLIED RADIOISOTOPE LABORATORY BUILDINGS AND THE SUPPLIED RADIOCHEMISTRY LABORATORY--WERE DESTROYED OR EXTENSIVELY DAMAGED. WE BELIEVE IRAQ WAS FOCUSING ON PRODUCING ABOUT 100-125 KG OF HIGHLY ENRICHED URANIUM PER YEAR WITH MODIFIED VERSIONS OF THE URENCO G-1 OR G-2 CENTRIFUGES. SINCE 1984, THE IRAQIS BUILT THREE NEW LABORATORIES AT TUWAITHA- -WHICH WERE DESTROYED IN COALITION AIR RAIDS. ONE SUSPECT NUCLEAR SITE THAT HAS RECEIVED CLOSE ATTENTION IS THE METAL FABRICATION PLANT AT TAJI. WE BELIEVE TAJI IS ONE POSSIBLE SITE THAT THE IRAQIS COULD HAVE USED TO PRODUCE GAS CENTRIFUGE COMPONENTS FOR THEIR CLANDESTINE URANIUM ENRICHMENT PROGRAM. END OF MESSAGE 1.5(c) 65679-65650First Page |Prev Page |Next Page |Src Image
NEWSLETTER
|
Join the GlobalSecurity.org mailing list |
|
|