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Weapons of Mass Destruction (WMD)

File: 970729_aadek_01.txt
Page: 01
Total Pages: 1


SUBJECT:  AFIA IRAQI CHEMICAL AND BIOLOGICAL WARFARE (CBW)
	      CAPABILITIES
					POINT PAPER
					          ON
		IRAQI CHEMICAL AND BIOLOGICAL WARFARE (CBW) CABILITIES (U)
	-     Iraq probably will resort to CBW in response to a 
	Coalition ground attack.
	-     Iraq's strategy stresses causing massive casualties to
	Coalition ground forces, making the liberation of Kuwait too
	expensive for U.S. public opinion.
		--     CBW in Iraq's inventory may be seen by Hussein as his
		only remaining means to cause massive casualties
		--     Other options (SCUD attacks, terrorism, air power,
		ground incursions) have failed
	-      Coalition air attacks have destroyed most Iraqi CBW
	production facilities, but have only destroyed a portion of
	CBW-associated storage bunkers.
		--    Iraq's ability to produce CW has been degraded by
		about 75%; all BW-related production facilities are 
		assessed as inoperable
			[(b)(1) sec 3.4(b)(1)]
	-      CW has been dispersed into the KTO
		--      Numerous EPWs have reported CW rounds available
		to artillery units, infantry
	-      There has been no evidence whether BW has been 
	sent to the theater
		     [(b)(1) sec 3.4 (b)(1)]
CHRISTOPHER M. CENTNER, GS-13
AFIA/INKT    [(b)(2)]
15 Feb 91



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