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Weapons of Mass Destruction (WMD)

04 February 2003

Blix Won't Ask for More Time for Inspectors

(UNMOVIC chief urges Iraq to cooperate in "substance") (1170)
By Judy Aita
Washington File U.N. Correspondent
United Nations -- Saying that it is "five minutes to midnight," chief
U.N. weapons inspector Hans Blix said February 4 that Iraq must
cooperate immediately with U.N. weapons inspectors on the substance of
its weapons of mass destruction programs.
Blix said that with the lack of cooperation from Baghdad, he did not
feel the need to ask the Security Council to give his inspectors more
time to do their job. Instead, he said, he was urging the Iraqis to
improve their cooperation with the U.N.
"My impression is that after 12,000 pages given to us (in Iraq's
December final declaration) and after 400 names and a number of other
signs are taken together, I assessed that we do not have the same
determination for cooperation on substance as we had on process," he
said.
"Our experts have not found any significant material that sheds light
on the questions of the past -- those that were asked in early 1999,"
Blix said. "This is our main concern: That an opportunity was missed,
in my view, and I think (Iraq) should take it now."
On the eve of a Security Council meeting at which U.S. Secretary of
State Colin Powell will present information and intelligence on
Baghdad's weapons of mass destruction programs, efforts to hide them,
and links to terrorism, Blix talked with journalists about the efforts
of the U.N. Monitoring, Verification and Inspection Commission
(UNMOVIC) efforts in Iraq.
Blix made an interim 60-day report to the council on January 27 and is
scheduled to report again on February 14. He and Mohamed ElBaradei,
director general of the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA),
which is inspecting Iraq's nuclear program, will meet with Iraqi
officials in Baghdad February 8 and 9.
Blix said that the thrust of his January 27 report was that "we do not
feel there is sufficient Iraqi cooperation on substance. There is
cooperation -- help -- on process, but not on substance. And not
having, not knowing if and when that will come, I did not think that
it was possible for me to ask for a few months" to continue the
inspections.
"If I had asked for a few months it would have been predicated on the
idea that there will be cooperation so that two months will help. So
long as I did not see that cooperation in substance, I did not feel it
was justified," he said.
Blix said it would not be enough for Iraq to give him a commitment to
present material by the first of June, for example. "They have to be
much more active and present very promptly whatever they can present
promptly," he said.
If Iraq wants to convince the international community that it no
longer has weapons of mass destruction, Iraqi officials could use the
newly formed commission of inquiry to find the documents and
individuals who can fill in the blanks, Blix said.
When he and ElBaradei return to Iraq, Blix said, he will be "pleading"
for the Iraqis to cooperate on substance.
In accepting Baghdad's invitation to return for more talks, Blix said
he made "absolutely clear that the principal item is how can Iraq
assure us and the Security Council that it will actively seek and
present any items or programs which are proscribed or else if they are
not there to seek and present credible evidence for their absence."
"Minor points" on his agenda are getting U-2 surveillance flights,
private interviews with scientists, and getting Iraq to pass the
required legislation on weapons of mass destruction. "They are
tangible and easy to see, but they are the minor points," he said.
"At this stage of the political development we think it is extremely
important that Iraq move forward on the substance and not ... simply
say these were issues that UNSCOM dreamt up and which were so-called
issues of marginal importance. (Iraqi officials) have to take them
seriously," Blix said.
The chief inspector said that even if Iraq's latest invitation was a
diplomatic game of cat and mouse he didn't see any great harm in
accepting.
"This is a chance and I will report next week (to the council) on my
impressions from that exercise," he said.
Blix said he is aware of the statement by U.S. Ambassador John
Negroponte, who said, "the diplomatic window is closing."
"We all know the situation is very serious. I don't think the date has
been set for armed action, but I think we are moving closer and closer
to it. It seems to me the Iraqi leadership must be well aware of
that," Blix said.
UNMOVIC has many questions in the biological and chemical weapons and
ballistic missile areas, the chief inspector said.
Blix said that so far the inspectors have not seen any signs, such as
tracks in the sand, of weapons being moved by Iraq to elude
inspections. He said inspectors have not found evidence of a mobile
biological weapons laboratory. U.N. inspectors have taken soil samples
to see if banned materials had been at certain sites, but the analysis
are not all completed yet, he said.
Blix added that if the council felt it wanted the inspections to go on
he "would welcome it."
"We had eight years of inspections, then four years of no inspectors
and now we had two months of inspections," Blix said. "It is rather a
short time to call it a day."
To continue the inspections for several months or a year would not be
disarmament, but "would amount to containment ... keeping Saddam in
his box," he said.
But the decision is up to the Security Council, he stressed. He added
that it is also up to the Security Council, not UNMOVIC, to determine
if Iraq is in material breech of any U.N. resolution.
Blix also said that he is well aware of the shortcomings of the
inspections and has no illusions about the whole process.
Even with the strong group of inspectors he has assembled and the most
technologically advanced equipment, there could still be underground
facilities or operations that UNMOVIC does not find, he said.
In addition, he said that the inspection process will not guarantee
that Iraq will not produce anthrax in the future.
Security is also a problem. "We were aware that there would be bugs
everywhere; they have lots of minders for each inspector," Blix said.
"In some cases they have five minders per inspector on an inspection.
The hotel rooms surely are bugged as well. Telephones bugged.
Surveillance. Yes," he said.
But when it comes to confidential issues of where the next inspection
will be and when, UNMOVIC has "very, very rigid" procedures that
include a small group of people and a short time-frame," Blix said.
(The Washington File is a product of the Office of International
Information Programs, U.S. Department of State. Web site:
http://usinfo.state.gov)



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