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Weapons of Mass Destruction (WMD)

24 January 2003

Senator Hagel Sees "Imperative for Coalitions" in U.S. Foreign Policy

(Nebraska Republican speaks at Notre Dame University January 24)
(3390)
U.S. Senator Chuck Hagel believes "America must not forget the role
that coalitions play in bringing international support and legitimacy
to (U.S.) policies, especially to the use of force."
In a speech January 24 at the University of Notre Dame in South Bend,
Indiana, the Nebraska Republican and member of the Senate Foreign
Relations Committee stressed that the challenges America faces in
several areas in the 21st century require a multilateral approach --
that in spite of the unparalleled military and economic power of the
United States, international cooperation will be necessary to achieve
the goals of a more prosperous and peaceful world.
"Working through the United Nations and regional alliances," Hagel
said, "allows America to reinforce, not weaken, its power, principles
and purpose. ... That is why the president's approach to disarmament
in Iraq, through the United Nations, represents the most responsible
and effective means to end the threat from Saddam Hussein.
Multilateralism, in support of American interests and objectives,
remains a source of strength in our foreign policy, the best means of
expanding American influence in the world."
In addition to the challenge of Iraq, Hagel sees a test for U.S.
foreign policy in the uneven results of globalization, exemplified in
statistics that show half of the world's population subsisting on $2
or less a day, with more than 800 million going hungry each year.
Here, too, he espoused a multilateral approach.
"The challenges of economic development and political reform, to offer
hope and a better way of life for those who have missed the benefits
of globalization, require a balance of American leadership and
international support. We cannot solve completely the problem of world
poverty, but we can do more to help build coalitions to eradicate
world hunger and disease. But again, we cannot do it alone," Hagel
said.
Hagel sees "failed and failing states" as "[s]ome of the most serious
threats to American security today."
"These countries exist on the edge of modernity and civilization, and
are not only breeding grounds and potential exporters of terrorism,
but sources of political and economic instability in their regions,"
Hagel says. "We cannot allow this list to continue to grow," he adds.
In that context, Hagel says, "Afghanistan is the first critical test
case in the war on terrorism, and in our effort to prevent more failed
states. Helping rebuild Afghanistan's infrastructure, institutions and
civil society is important to America's and the region's security. The
outcome in Afghanistan will shape the future in Central and South Asia
and have an impact throughout the Islamic world."
Following is the text of Hagel's remarks as prepared:
(begin text)
"U.S. Foreign Policy: Meeting the Challenges of Change"
U.S. Senator Chuck Hagel
Speech at the University of Notre Dame
January 24, 2003
I would like to thank the Joan B. Kroc Institute for International
Peace Studies, the Helen Kellogg Institute for International Studies,
and the Departments of History, Political Science, and First Year of
Studies at the University of Notre Dame for inviting me to speak to
you today.
I can think of few more precarious assignments for a member of the
Senate Foreign Relations Committee than to discuss foreign affairs in
the home state of the Chairman of the Senate Foreign Relations
Committee, Dick Lugar. Senator Lugar is a close friend and colleague,
and one of the most highly respected voices in the Congress on foreign
policy. His is among the wisest counsel in the U.S. Senate. I also
count Indiana's other U.S. Senator, Evan Bayh, as a good friend and a
highly regarded member of the Senate.
A World of Change
A great test of leadership in world affairs is to understand the
dynamics of change, the nature of the threats we face, and the
opportunities that a new world offers. It is not always easy to see
change while it takes place all around you. Time is both cyclical and
linear, representing recurring patterns which can obscure or influence
truly profound change in world affairs. Leadership requires a wide
lens of observation and astute judgment.
The world after September 11, 2001, is not just about America's
commitment to defeating terrorism, its patrons and partners, but a
larger realization that the 21st century is emerging with new
challenges, just as the world has entered every new century. This will
require expanded thinking about globalization and the ways and uses of
power and politics. As Arnold Toynbee wrote years ago, each
civilization in the history of the world has been defined by challenge
and response. The post- 9/11 world is America's new challenge, and how
we respond to it will define our role in, and our ability to lead in
this changing world.
The record of globalization in world affairs is a mixed one, with many
parts of the world, including most of Africa and the Middle East,
being left behind. Harvard University Professor Stanley Hoffman has
written that, "in the realm of global society, much will depend on
whether the United States will overcome its frequent indifference to
the costs that globalization imposes on poorer countries." One can
subscribe to that tenet or not. However, there are some startling
facts that the world must deal with: Half the world, three billion
[3,000 million] people, live on $2.00 or less per day. More than 800
million people go hungry every year. In 1999, GDP in all Arab
countries was less than that of Spain ($531 billion [$531,000 million]
compared to $595.5 billion [$595,500 million]). Sweden receives more
foreign direct investment than all Arab countries combined.
A survey by the Pew Global Attitudes Project, released last month,
found that the spread of disease is considered as the most pressing
international challenge by citizens in a majority of the countries
polled. More than 28 million of the approximately 40 million people
infected with HIV/AIDS live in sub-Saharan Africa, and nine percent of
all sub-Saharans between the ages of 15 and 49 carry HIV. This is an
historic tragedy, and not just in Africa. The projected growth rates
and spread of this disease in China, India, and Russia signal an
alarming trend for humanity at the beginning of this new century.
In the recent past, America's greatest threat was the Soviet empire,
its global ambitions, nuclear arsenal, and ideological tyranny. Today,
threats come not from a rival nation or doctrine or coalition of
nations, but from transnational cartels and networks of terrorists
that undermine the world's security, societies and stability, as well
as America's security, values and way of life. In addition to
terrorism, Moses Naim, the editor and publisher of Foreign Policy, has
written of the challenges of the five wars of globalization: the
international trade in drugs, arms, intellectual property, people, and
money. To meet these threats requires extensive international
intelligence and law enforcement cooperation and alliances,
cooperation and multinational efforts and relationships like we have
never before experienced.
Some of the most serious threats to American security today come not
from rival powers or coalitions, but from failed and failing states.
Professor Robert Rotberg wrote last year in Foreign Affairs about the
dangers to world security of failed states such as Afghanistan, Sierra
Leone, Somalia, Angola, Burundi, the Democratic Republic of Congo,
Liberia and Sudan. These countries exist on the edge of modernity and
civilization, and are not only breeding grounds and potential
exporters of terrorism, but sources of political and economic
instability in their regions. We cannot allow this list to continue to
grow. The peoples of these and other states on the brink of collapse
deserve a future of hope and promise, not misery and despair. Helping
prevent more failed states, especially in Africa, the Middle East and
South and Central Asia, must be a priority in America's foreign policy
-- because it will determine the future of the world.
Afghanistan is the first critical test case in the war on terrorism,
and in our effort to prevent more failed states. Helping rebuild
Afghanistan's infrastructure, institutions, and civil society is
important to America's and the region's security. The outcome in
Afghanistan will shape the future in Central and South Asia and have
an impact throughout the Islamic world. The Israeli-Palestinian and
India-Pakistan conflicts show little promise of reconciliation without
active and balanced American engagement and mediation. What we have
started in Afghanistan, and whatever further actions we take there and
in Iraq, will have ripple effects throughout the Muslim world and
beyond. America and the world must deal not only with these dangerous
and combustible problems, but with crises in South America and North
Korea as well. Taken together, these are real and current dangers to
world peace.
America's policies in these areas are as connected as they are
complicated. They cannot be untangled. They will not be resolved by
regime change in Baghdad, and they will not wait until we are ready to
deal with them. America must deal with all of these problems at the
same time. And that will require a careful balance of resources,
leadership and commitment.
America's course of action will demand wise, steady, and patient
leadership and focus. In this era of terrorism and weapons of mass
destruction, the burdens on our policy-makers are great, expectations
high, and the margins of error small.
The Imperative for Coalitions
America straddles the globe at the beginning of the 21st century
unrivaled in power and presence. American values of liberty,
democracy, and free markets are emulated and respected throughout the
world. Our military has no match, and our economy maintains its
capacity for growth and global leadership. We enter this new century
with confidence and promise.
But all of this great power will not be enough to assure American
security and prosperity in the 21st century. The threats to both our
country and the world will require strengthened alliances to manage
the diplomatic, economic, law enforcement, intelligence and
humanitarian aspects of these new global challenges. Military power
alone will not be enough.
Working through the United Nations and regional alliances allows
America to reinforce, not weaken, its power, principles and purpose.
On the Korean peninsula, for example, our allies in South Korea and
Japan continue to work shoulder-to-shoulder with the United States to
get Kim Jong Il to give up his nuclear weapons program. They
understand the threat from North Korea better than we do. They live
with it every day. America gains by working with and empowering our
allies to share leadership and initiative.
The challenges of economic development and political reform, to offer
hope and a better way of life for those who have so far missed the
benefits of globalization, require a balance of American leadership
and international support. We cannot solve completely the problem of
world poverty, but we can do more to help build coalitions to
eradicate world hunger and disease. But again, we cannot do it alone.
The perpetuation of poverty and despair breeds only radical politics
and anti-Americanism. We must understand the cause-and-effect
connections to global de-stabilization, terrorism, poverty, and
desperation.
America must establish programs of partnership with the peoples and
governments of the developing world to break this cycle of inhumanity.
We must do more to encourage private sector development, the rule of
law, transparency, human rights, and trade-based growth in the Middle
East and Central Asia, and throughout the developing world. And we
must hold governments accountable for their actions. That is the
intent of the Bush Administration's five billion dollar [$5,000
million] Millennium Challenge Account, which I support, as a creative
initiative to meet the challenges of poverty and development across
the globe.
There is a disturbing and widening gap between America and the world
regarding the perception of the intent of American power. America must
not forget the role that coalitions play in bringing international
support and legitimacy to our policies, especially to the use of
force. Through engagement, the United States can work with NATO, as it
has in the Balkans and Afghanistan, to address, in Jim Hoagland's
words, "talk of NATO undergoing an existential crisis as it abandons
Cold War clarity for the grays of Third World involvement and
providing support for the U.S. war on terrorism."
Some of those who would rush to war in the absence of a strong
multilateral coalition believe that, despite widespread concern about
American intentions, others will surely follow in America's strong
wake, just to be sure to be on the winning side. These nations, it is
said, will covet a seat at the table for their share of the economic
and political rewards and dividends that many expect in a post-Saddam
Iraq. This line of thinking is questionable and very chancy.
The reality may be more subtle, and not as promising, if the United
States turns away from its allies and prefers a go-it-alone course. We
may be witnessing a widening of the gap between America and the world,
as we approach a day of decision on Iraq, and perhaps the day after,
even if Saddam's regime goes down without a protracted military
struggle. America must not fear making difficult decisions, including
the decision for war, if that is what is required. But we must be
wiser and more cautious in our use of our awesome military power than
ever before. America must play for the long term. Our policies, words
and deeds must set the tone for the next generation, not just seek
results for today.
Hubris and Humility
America must guard against the hubris of great power at this critical
time in its history. Our power is unsurpassed, but our security
continues to rest on our alliances, our values and our strength. We
must be patient and exercise a mature judgment in our decisions that
will encourage others to follow and trust our leadership, rather than
question and turn away from our initiatives.
I am reading an interesting book, The Savage Wars of Peace, by Max
Boot, editorial features editor of The Wall Street Journal. In the
book, which is rich in American military history, Boot recounts the
many "small wars" in which America has used military force to expand
its power and influence in the world. While warning of "imperial
overstretch and hubris," Boot advises that "in deploying American
power, decision-makers should be less apologetic, less hesitant, less
humble." "America," Boot concludes, "should not be afraid to fight the
'savage wars of peace' if necessary to enlarge the 'empire of
liberty.'" The author draws upon the "lessons of history" in making
his case.
America's military history is a source of pride and honor for our
nation. It is part of who we are and what we represent in the world. I
have been honored to serve my country in uniform in combat in Vietnam.
And because of my experience in Vietnam, I know that war brings
uncertainty, unintended consequences, death, and destruction.
The burden is on policymakers to be wise and judicious, not hurried
and adventurous, in making the decision for any war, great or small.
The decision to go to war must always be predicated on defending our
country, our people, our values, our culture, and our allies.
At this precarious juncture in American history, America needs more
humility than hubris in the applications of American military power,
and the recognition that our interests are best served through
alliances and consensus. That is why the president's approach to
disarmament in Iraq, through the United Nations, represents the most
responsible and effective means to end the threat from Saddam Hussein.
Multilateralism, in support of American interests and objectives,
remains a source of strength in our foreign policy, the best means of
expanding American influence in the world.
Lessons of History
Even at times of historic and profound change, we can indeed learn
from the past. Time is fluid and interactive; the past is never just
"history," it is part of the present and the future, and it informs
our actions and decisions. To misread or overlook the lessons of
history dooms us to repeat them.
Let me conclude with some thoughts about Vietnam and Iraq. Many speak
of the ghosts or lessons of Vietnam. There is much we can learn from
one of America's greatest foreign policy failures of the past 50
years. When considering our next steps in Iraq, a few lessons are
unambiguously clear to me. The United States cannot succeed alone, and
it cannot rely nearly exclusively on military power, even against a
much weaker adversary, as was the case in Vietnam, and as would be the
case in Iraq.
If the president decides to use force to disarm Saddam Hussein, we do
not know what will follow. The inevitability of change does not
determine the certainty of what comes next. Some, however, argue that
change can only be to the good in the Middle East, a region with
little experience in the ways of participatory politics and open
economies. The people of the region deserve change. But kicking over
the chessboard during a losing game does not assure victory when the
game is reset. By the time the pieces are back in place, the game
itself may have changed, and not assuredly for the better.
I do not necessarily believe that either chaos or a region on fire
will follow Saddam's overthrow, nor do I see democracy taking quick
root in Iraq and spreading throughout the Arab world after the Iraqi
dictator has left the scene. What I do see is the beginning of an
American engagement in Iraq and the Middle East that will require a
commitment of American time, resources, and diplomacy for which the
American people may neither be prepared for nor understand.
In thinking about Iraq's future, I recently returned to Iraq's past,
to the proclamation issued by Lt. General Sir Stanley Maude on March
19, 1917, the day that British forces occupied Baghdad. General Maude
said:
"... I am charged with absolute and supreme control of all regions in
which British troops operate; but our armies do not come into your
cities and lands as conquerors or enemies, but as liberators....
"O people of Baghdad, remember that for 26 generations you have
suffered under strange tyrants who have endeavored to set one Arab
house against another in order that they might profit by your
dissensions. This policy is abhorrent to Great Britain and her allies,
for there can be neither peace nor prosperity where there is enmity
and misgovernment. Therefore I am commanded to invite you, through
your nobles and elders and representatives, to participate in the
management of your civil affairs in collaboration with the political
representatives of Great Britain who accompany the British Army, so
that you may be united with your kinsmen in North, East, South, and
West in realising the aspirations of your race."
The British historian Stephen Helmsley Longrigg observed that Maude's
proclamation "made no great impression" upon the people of Iraq, whose
tribes three years later revolted against British rule, and whose
aspirations, 86 years later, have yet to be realized.
History informs our understanding of the inevitability and uncertainty
of change. American leadership and resources have given the world hope
and help, as it continues to do in Eastern Europe and Central Asia,
where post-Communist and formerly authoritarian societies strive to
build a better way of life for their people.
And history provides scores of examples of the pitfalls of hubris and
the unforeseen consequences of war. Enlightened and wise leadership
must guide us through the often difficult and unclear paths that
characterize the dynamics of historic change in world affairs.
American power must be balanced with a nobility of purpose grounded in
the art of the possible.
Yes, we face a dangerous and uncertain world -- but a world full of
possibilities and opportunities. A world full of hope. A heavy burden
rests upon America's broad, willing shoulders. It is a familiar burden
of destiny. America will not fail if it makes the world its partner in
this noble cause of human dignity and freedom.
(end text)
(Distributed by the Office of International Information Programs, U.S.
Department of State. Web site: http://usinfo.state.gov)



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