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Weapons of Mass Destruction (WMD)

ENDSTATE

  • "They suck"

  • Iraq in poor state to conduct viable defense or

    • enough forces
    • don't have logistics (hetts to move armored forces)
    • most forces at 50% OR Rate
    • expect 40% surrender on regular divisions
    • could conduct Mount operations (urban warfare) but not counterattacks (Black Hawk Down)
  • Exceptions: Republican Guard hand selected with political allegiance to Saddam

  • Challenge in Logistics Supply from lessons learned

  • Fundamental understanding of terrain

  • Basic understanding of Iraqi Forces (can role into they suck)

    • LOCs / CHEM (Decon)
  • Many challenges

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Notes:

    - ENDSTATE: Basics to walk away from the brief with
    - If we were to conduct offensive operations against, they are unable to conduct a viable defense against US Forces
    - not enough forces
    - operation readiness rate
    - low moral
    - Heavy air to ground - physcological victory
    EXCEPTION: Republican Guard
    - Commanders going to be killed if not
    - Lose Battle - some killed
    Vulnerables
    rear area threat (RSOI)
    water - tigris and eup
    -source
    -obstacle
    -controls our lines of communication
    agriculture to east
    good for manueverability
    -aquaducts / pipelines hinderance to west
    - in east dense population and crossing rivers
    HWY1, ...



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