ENDSTATE
"They suck"
Iraq in poor state to conduct viable defense or
- enough forces
- don't have logistics (hetts to move armored forces)
- most forces at 50% OR Rate
- expect 40% surrender on regular divisions
- could conduct Mount operations (urban warfare) but not counterattacks (Black Hawk Down)
Exceptions: Republican Guard hand selected with political allegiance to Saddam
Challenge in Logistics Supply from lessons learned
Fundamental understanding of terrain
Basic understanding of Iraqi Forces (can role into they suck)
- LOCs / CHEM (Decon)
Many challenges
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Notes:
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- ENDSTATE: Basics to walk away from the brief with
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- If we were to conduct offensive operations against, they are unable to conduct a viable defense against US Forces
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- not enough forces
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- operation readiness rate
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- low moral
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- Heavy air to ground - physcological victory
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EXCEPTION: Republican Guard
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- Commanders going to be killed if not
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- Lose Battle - some killed
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Vulnerables
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rear area threat (RSOI)
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water - tigris and eup
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-source
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-obstacle
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-controls our lines of communication
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agriculture to east
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good for manueverability
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-aquaducts / pipelines hinderance to west
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- in east dense population and crossing rivers
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HWY1, ...
NEWSLETTER
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