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Weapons of Mass Destruction (WMD)

15 November 2002

Former Iraqi Generals Say Army Should Defend Country, Not Regime

(American Enterprise Institute conference November 15) (970)
By David Anthony Denny
Washington File Staff Writer
Washington -- Five former Iraqi generals agree that after Saddam
Hussein, the Iraqi military must represent the country, not the
regime.
Speaking November 15 at a conference organized by the private American
Enterprise Institute, General Sadoun al-Dulaimi said that over the
last 20 years the Iraqi armed forces have behaved as Saddam Hussein
has desired. Even the Ba'ath Party, he said, has become a group whose
members inform on each other.
Al-Dulaimi was joined at the conference by Brigadier Generals Najib
a-Salhi, Muhammad Barra al-Rubaie, Tawfik al-Yassiri, and Fawzi
al-Shammari. The theme of the conference was demobilizing, reforming
and rebuilding the Iraqi armed forces. The generals addressed the
conference through interpreters.
All stressed that the Iraqi armed forces must not be seen as
monolithic; instead, they said, the elite Republican Guard was created
and serves as Saddam Hussein's insurance against the regular army.
Al-Dulaimi called the Republican Guard, along with its special
security and intelligence organizations, Saddam Hussein's private
army, and said these forces "are capable of fighting and defeating the
regular army."
There was disagreement, though, over whether and how hard Saddam
Hussein's special forces would fight to save the regime. Al-Dulaimi
said they "will fight fiercely for Saddam." Al-Salhi disagreed with
this assessment.
"I don't think (the special forces) will 'fight fiercely' for Saddam,"
he said. "Even those closest -- we know them quite well -- are
disgruntled. A few hundred, isolated from news of the outside world,
will fight for the first couple of days," al-Salhi said.
All the generals agreed that the current armed forces need to be
reformed and restructured after Saddam Hussein. Al-Yassiri said the
current army must be downsized by demobilizing divisions "that exceed
its defensive role." In addition, he said, the defense ministry must
be reconstituted in order "to implement the policies of the government
and define the professionalism of the army, which Saddam has robbed
from it."
After regime change, said al-Yassiri, all factionalism should be
eliminated from military schools and academies, and all extra-judicial
tribunals should be removed. "Get rid of political guidance in the
army," he said. He also called for moving the military institution
away from developing weapons of mass destruction, and toward combating
terrorism. Demobilized units should be "used to rehabilitate the
nation," with non-governmental organizations having "a big role to
absorb the troops" and to return them to society. Also, the military
should be educated to become subordinate to civilian government
control.
Brigadier General al-Rubaie said that demobilization requires a
working group to set forth a timetable. Also to be decided is what
kind of army is needed -- "one that hasn't done sequestrations and
made arrests," he said. For al-Rubaie, a key factor of a new army
would be to distribute its elements to each of the country's
provinces, making sure that each one got no more than four mechanized
regiments. He wants to ensure that the army be used "for defending the
country and not for (internal) security forces."
General al-Shammari said a post-Saddam Hussein Iraq would "have to go
toward democracy as a modus operandi." The army should first be
demobilized and then reconstituted with a size of 150,000 troops,
al-Shammari said. He cautioned that there will be a need to look to
post-Saddam Hussein challenges.
"There may be a Sunni-Shiite clash," he said, "or a takeover attempt
by the Ba'ath Party."
In the question-and-answer period that followed the presentation by
the generals, an audience member asked whether Iraqi commanders would
heed U.S. warnings not to use weapons of mass destruction, even in
spite of direct orders from Saddam Hussein to do so.
"I don't think unit leaders will use them," said al-Shammari. "They
think if they do, the U.S. will use nuclear weapons." After all, he
said, Scud missiles fired against Israel in 1991 had conventional
warheads.
"I think only the Republican Guard would use them, but many of them
would not obey," al-Shammari said.
"It's not accurate to think that (Saddam Hussein's special forces)
won't fight," said al-Dulaimi. "The special Republican Guard forces
have 37,000 warriors. They are criminals; they have blackmailed Iraqi
society. How can we convince such forces not to fight for Saddam
Hussein," he asked.
Another questioner asked how revenge killings could be prevented as
part of regime change.
"These possibilities do exist," said al-Yassiri. "The Ba'ath Party did
things beyond your imagination."
"We have to start right now," said al-Salhi. "Saddam has many victims.
They will try to retaliate."
Al-Shammari said "campaigns should start right now for how to deal
with the new situation, even before it happens."
"I lean toward the realistic approach," said al-Dulaimi. "We will not
be able to prevent revenge, politically or religiously," he said. "The
opposition movements most promoting revenge are the (religious)
fundamentalists, whether Sunni or Shiite," he said. "There is no
moderate view -- they all believe in revenge and bloodshed. If we do
not remove these religious movements from power, we will not avoid
it," he said.
Concerning the possibility of assassinating Saddam Hussein,
al-Shammari said it is not acceptable. It would only mean one of
Saddam Hussein's sons would take control.
"We need regime change," he said.
"Many in the military make attempts" to oppose Saddam Hussein, said
al-Salhi. "Not a month passes without such attempts -- to create
movements or difficult challenges" to Saddam Hussein. "The jails are
full. Saddam has killed many," he said.
"Assassination is possible," said al-Yassiri. "It might create chaos,
but it could create new avenues. (Saddam Hussein) has created a
nightmare in the country." he said.
The key for al-Salhi is regime change. "The U.S. should prove it is
ready to get rid of Saddam Hussein, not (focus) on weapons of mass
destruction," he said. "In the next few days, the U.S. should assure
(Iraqi) military elements that they will be treated fairly."
(The Washington File is a product of the Office of International
Information Programs, U.S. Department of State. Web site:
http://usinfo.state.gov)



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