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Weapons of Mass Destruction (WMD)

USIS Washington File

19 December 1998

TRANSCRIPT: SPECIAL DOD BRIEFING BY ADMIRALS DEC. 18

(Intelligence experts identify Iraqi targets)  (4450)
Washington -- "Operation Desert Fox" attacks have damaged Iraq's air
defense system in the southern part of the country and hit other
command and control facilities, including radio and television
transmitters, security and intelligence sites and command and control
facilities.
The attacks also hit a number of sites critical to Iraq's missile
capability, both production and research facilities. They also focused
on division and corps headquarters of elite Republican Guard forces,
airfields in southern Iraq at which attack helicopters are based and a
refinery in Basra which the US believes is important to illegal Iraqi
oil exports.
The targets were identified in a December 18 briefing by Director of
Intelligence Admiral Wilson, and Director of Operations Admiral Fry.
Following is the Pentagon transcript:
(begin transcript)
Admiral Wilson: I'm Admiral Wilson, the Director of Intelligence for
the Joint Staff. This is Vice Admiral Fry, the Director for
Operations. We'll give you a military briefing on the operation to
date, how to concentrate on some of the target sets and the battle
damage assessment to date, and Admiral Fry will discuss the operations
which have been ongoing.
I'd like to start, first of all, so we can get the lights down, with
some more gun camera film from the USS ENTERPRISE, a strike which
occurred the first night against some of the integrated air defense
systems and command and control systems in southern Iraq.
The first one is targeted at a reporting post. It's an early warning
site which provides both radar and visual information. There are two
GBU-24 laser guided bombs into that facility which is assessed as
destroyed.
That's a second view.
Also at Ashueva, the naval missile storage facility where offensive
cruise missiles are stored. Also an F-14 with GBU-24 laser guided
bombs.
A second view of the same attack.
Q:  What's the size of the warhead?
Admiral Wilson:  Two thousand pound bomb.
The final one is a radio relay facility which is important for
providing secure command and control communications from the south up
to the capital and points further north.
This was attacked by a F/A-18 Hornet with a GBU-16 1,000 pound bomb,
laser guided.
Q: Was there any AA facilities or any radar turned on or any defenses
to any of these...
Admiral Wilson: There was no reported AAA against those particular
missions.
Q: Can you give us the geographic name again for the radio relay site?
Admiral Wilson:  Al Rumaylah.
Q:  This is south of the no-fly zone south of Baghdad?
Admiral Wilson: The gun camera film was taken from targets that were
in the southern no-fly zone, that's correct.
Q:  I meant to say SAM.  Any SAM...
Admiral Wilson:  We have no reports of any SAM missile firings.
I'd like to go through this briefing, then turn it over to Admiral
Fry, and then we prefer to take your questions at the end of the
briefing.
This shows the target sets which have been selected for OPERATION
DESERT FOX. I'll talk a bit about the purpose of targeting these
particular installations and what we see in terms of the battle damage
assessments to date.
I would like to emphasize that the operations are ongoing. We are very
oriented in our assessment methodologies at looking at targets which
are the targets for future strikes, and in particular looking at
targets which threaten the air crews which are flying out of the Gulf
and the neighboring states.
So we don't have all the assessments complete. It will be days or
perhaps even weeks before we have a complete assessment, so what I am
passing on is very preliminary data.
We had very robust efforts against the surface-to-air missiles systems
and the integrated air defense systems that we call the military IADS
in the southern part of Iraq. This was to create access for the
aircraft flying north, and in fact to create access even for the
cruise missiles so that we increase the probability of those reaching
their targets as well.
Our assessment is that the southern Iraq air defense system has been
degraded and has largely proven to be ineffective against the strikes
which have been conducted to date. it is not completely destroyed.
We're still very wary of the capability of the systems down there,
especially the mobile surface-to-air missile systems. But we have not
had SAMs fired at the aircraft to our knowledge. There hasn't been a
lot of AAA fired as you've seen on television, and of course that's
especially true in the area of Baghdad.
We're going after command and control targets. As indicated earlier,
the radio and TV transmitters are part of that command and control
set. They have been severely damaged. It's important not only to know
that some of these transmitters are used to broadcast, but also to jam
incoming radio and TV signals, for example, Voice of Iraq and things
like that. So it is important to helping us get certain kinds of
messages in as well, should we choose to do that.
We've also gone heavily after security headquarters, military
intelligence, and command and control sites, as well as alternate
command and control sites and leadership sites. They have been
attacked and damaged, and as I said, the assessments are incomplete.
There's a very extensive security apparatus which Baghdad has used to
try to protect it's weapons of mass destruction program, to move these
things, hide these things from UNSCOM, as you indicated earlier in
this press conference. One of the goals was to degrade in particular
the special Republican Guard which is integral to helping move those
systems around and keep the Iraqi apparatus one step ahead of UNSCOM
as they've tried to conduct, in particular, the interference of
inspections which are so important to validating where they actually
stand in their WMD development programs.
We've also hit a number of WMD industry, weapons of mass destruction
industry and production programs, primarily oriented at the missile
programs, the research and development capability that will allow Iraq
to develop these systems for the future and to make and improve upon
the systems that he currently has, especially to give them more
accuracy, longer range, better electronics, and things like that.
We're targeting Republican Guard facilities, especially the division
and corps headquarters. The Republican Guard is the element of the
Iraqi armed forces that creates or presents the greatest threat to his
neighbors, and is also important for the security operations around
Baghdad and to go against, for example UNSCOM and help this hide
mechanism.
Certain airfields have been attacked, primarily ones that have attack
helicopters which he uses to go after the Kurdish and Shia minorities
in the north and south respectively, and we've already discussed the
single economic target that was attacked, which was the Basrah POL
facility, which is important to his illegal export of gas and oil.
Q:  What is POL?  That's not a refinery.
Admiral Wilson: Petroleum oil lubricant. It is a refinery from which
they put stuff out via the Shatt al Arab.
I'd like to go on and finish the briefing before we take your
questions.
This just goes through the target sets to date. As I indicated, we
still have a lot of assessment in progress. Some of the SAMs are very
mobile, even the strategic SAMs have been relocated frequently, so we
certainly have not hit all of them. We're assessing the damage. Some
have been destroyed; there's been moderate damage and severe damage to
others. As I've indicated or said earlier, the southern sector
certainly has been degraded and we have created the access for the
pilots flying to the north, and also in addition to the damage to the
SA-2 and SA-3 sites, which I mentioned earlier, we did significant
damage to a very large missile repair facility. It was hit by CALCMs
from B-52s last night.
Q:  Where was that?
Admiral Wilson:  At Taji.
Eighteen command and control facilities have been hit to date, or have
been attacked to date. You can see we are halfway through the
assessment process. We mentioned earlier the radio and TV transmitters
and jammers. Clearly we've gone after the security apparatus in
Baghdad, the special security organization and intelligence facilities
which conduct collection and repressive operations against the people,
as well as cuing the SRG, the Special Republican Guard about how they
can avoid UNSCOM inspectors. And we believe we've had a fair degree of
success; in fact, you saw the military intelligence headquarters
yesterday.
Next chart.
We've attacked to date 19 weapons of mass destruction security
details. These are largely the Special Republican Guard headquarters
buildings and the barracks buildings for the various brigades and
battalions. It's a 30,000 strong organization. They operate throughout
the country. We've attacked primarily in the Baghdad and Tikrit areas.
Next chart please.
Eleven WMD industry and production facilities have been attacked. We
have information on Al Kindi, Al Karama, and even Al Hatham. Moderate
to light damage, but we did go after key aim points that we think were
important to the long term research and development of the missile
industry. We have a lot more assessment work to do on this particular
target set. At this time we're concentrating on the military targets
because of force protection.
Next slide.
Eight Republican Guard facilities have been hit. We've only assessed
on four of them. You can see the damage reports. Imagery does confirm
severe and moderate damage on both Republican Guard corps headquarters
and a couple of division headquarters.
Next slide.
And we've attacked five airfields looking primarily to go after attack
helos, helicopters, as well as the L-29 aircraft which we have reports
are being converted to unmanned aerial vehicles that could potentially
be used to conduct reconnaissance operations or even delivery of
weapons of mass destruction.
Now I'd like to go into just a few of the images.
This is Al Sava airfield up north of Baghdad. It's an L-29 base. You
can see the aircraft were disbursed away from the parking aprons. The
maintenance hangars were targeted -- very good precision ordnance
delivery here. TLAMs through the roof of both of the hangars. Didn't
collapse the buildings but we believe severely damaged or destroyed
all the equipment that was inside.
Next chart please.
This is a Special Republican Guard barracks facility in the city of
Tikrit in north central Iraq. You saw some other Special Republican
Guard facilities yesterday. These are, as I said, very key elements
that have been used to thwart UNSCOM and protect these weapons of mass
destruction -- hide them, move them, deny access to the records.
We attacked the headquarters building which is right here. There were
four barracks buildings here, four barracks buildings right here. Most
of those have been destroyed or damaged. One is left standing. Another
barracks over here which was attacked by Tomahawk land attack missiles
.
Q:  How many were killed, if you know?
Admiral Wilson: We do not have casualty estimates or any precise
casualty figures for any of the barracks or the headquarters elements
that were attacked.
This is a before and after photograph of the Saddam International
Military Barracks North which is in the Baghdad area. These are very
similar to the ones I just showed you. Here is the headquarters
building and some barracks buildings shown right here.
This shows where we had mixed success. This barracks was fairly well
destroyed and damaged. The headquarters building, you can see the
crater for the Tomahawk land attack missile right here, destroyed half
the building.
We have another crater here which did not destroy this building, and
all of the facilities which were targeted, for example, were not
successfully targeted in this particular photograph.
Q:  Where is that?
Admiral Wilson:  This is in the Baghdad area.
Next chart.
Finally, I'd like to go into a little bit more detail on this Ibn al
Haytham missile research and development center which General Shelton
was discussing.
This is a facility which manufactures a shorter range and allowed
ballistic missile, but all the technology which is in this facility is
useful in developing the longer range versions that could be used to
conduct longer range attacks against Saddam's neighbors.
These buildings right here were welding, final fabrication and
important buildings for the manufacture of these weapons and the
equipment, as well as the building right here which is associated with
the missile development. You can see it has been fairly well
destroyed, all three of these buildings, and damage to this one right
here.
Q:  Where is that again?  Is that...
Admiral Wilson: It's north of Baghdad. We can get you maps of these
facilities later.
Next chart, please.
Another blowup of the Ibn al Haytham missile R&D center. General
Shelton mentioned this very large final assembly building here. It was
a critical aim point, and essentially there's not much left standing.
That entire building has been destroyed. As well, there was light
damage to the computer center which they use for research,
development, modeling, simulations, things like that.
Q:  ...did it take to take out that facility?
Admiral Wilson: We're not going to discuss aim points or the number of
missiles that were used on these facilities.
Q:  Do they have some supercomputers in the computer center there?
Admiral Wilson: I would like to now turn the briefing over to the J-3,
Vice Admiral Fry, who will give the operational aspects. Thank you.
Admiral Fry: In the Chairman's remarks he introduced me as the new
J-3. I'd like to underscore that. I've had the job for a week.
(Laughter) Until a month ago I had command of the EISENHOWER battle
group which was also in the Gulf last November.
As you know, there was a decision made earlier that we would have
sufficient force in the theater to conduct significant strikes when
required. On the first night of the operation that fell to the
ENTERPRISE battle group who remains in the theater with her Aegis
destroyers and other escorts.
The CARL VINCENT battle group is closing on the Straits of Hormuz as
we speak, and will begin her transit this evening. She is bringing two
additional cruisers and more destroyers.
Additionally, we've begun to flow the maritime pre-positioned force,
some units of that, towards the Gulf.
Air forces, as the Chairman said earlier, land-based air was
integrated into the second night of strikes. U.S. Air Force aircraft
already in the theater as well as our British allies. These are the
kinds of CONUS crisis response forces that will begin flowing at the
48 hour point where we are right now. These begin to provide General
Zinni with the additional capability to provide for the force
protection of his force in the theater. It also provides added
capability as we march down the road to achieving the military
objectives.
I've just put up the kinds of capability that are moving in that
direction, but those forces will begin loading today.
Next slide.
Q:  ... where?
Admiral Fry:  At TRANSCOM bases throughout the country.
These are the ground forces that we've had in the theater and we will
also start flowing headquarters, some more brigade elements into the
theater as well as some combat search and rescue and more helicopter
capability.
So as the 24 and 48 hour and 72 hour forces that have been on alert
begin to flow, there will be a steady buildup of capability in the
region for the CINC's effort.
With that...
Q:  This will be for Admiral Wilson primarily.
You mentioned two things about the allied aircraft operations. You
mentioned something about making a corridor that would be safe to get
to Baghdad, I presume. And can you tell us when this might come to
pass? Is this imminent? Have any fixed wing aircraft actually flown
over Baghdad and some of the SAM facilities?
Admiral Wilson: Whether it's piloted or not piloted, we wanted to
reduce the air defense capability in southern Iraq. That was
essentially the gateway. So early in the campaign or the DESERT FOX
operation, the surface-to-air missile systems and the integrated air
defense command and control systems in the south -- Basrah, An
Nasiriyah, and places like that -- were targeted. So it's to create
access to points farther north, regardless of the kind of platforms
we're sending in.
Q: But you can't say if fixed wing aircraft have been farther north
into the Baghdad area?
Admiral Fry: As the operation continues, it's not appropriate for us
to talk about what kinds of capability or what kinds of units are
going to which targets.
Q: Admiral Fry, General Shelton said already more cruise missiles have
been fired in this operation than during the Gulf War. Can you tell us
how many were fired during the Gulf War, and give us a sense of how
many have been fired?
Admiral Wilson: I'm not sure I can answer the question about how many
were fired in the Gulf War. Do you know, Tom?
Admiral Fry:  Several.  (Laughter)  Less than 300, I know that.
Q:  Have more than 300 been fired now?
Admiral Wilson:  No.  Mr. McWethy said 289.  (Laughter)
Q:  You're saying now that more than 300 have been fired?
Admiral Wilson: I didn't say that. We said more than were fired, than
during the Gulf War.
Q:  A lot more or...
Q: Has there been anything in this military operation so far that has
been a surprise to you? Or has everything unfolded according to plan?
Admiral Fry: The strikes have unfolded in the sequence that we planned
them. I think if there is any surprise it's the complete lack of
response.
Q:  What had you expected?
Admiral Wilson: I don't think there have been really many surprises in
this operation to date, although all military operations, both from
the ops and intel perspective, we always have a fair number of things
to adjust to. We need to be flexible, but no big surprises.
Q: Can you give us your assessment of the overall extent of damage
inflicted so far on the targets you've selected?
Admiral Wilson: I think the boards we put up there spoke for
themselves. I would like to emphasize, we are very very early in the
overall assessment of these. When we do battle damage assessment we
have three tiers or three phases -- phase one, phase two, phase three.
We are essentially in phase one on a relatively small percentage of
the target set. So we have a lot more work to do, and it will be
awhile before we determine the overall impact.
Q:  Up until now how would you gauge the...
Admiral Wilson: I think the forces have carried out very accurate, for
the most part accurate precision strikes against their designated
targets. Once again, we have a lot of work to do.
Q: Over the last couple of years every time you've hit Iraq, Saddam
simply rebuilds whatever capability you've destroyed, especially the
integrated air defense.
In the targets that you've hit, can you identify anything where you
feel this is it, he could not simply wait it out and come back in
several years with a rebuilt capability?
Admiral Wilson: The integrated air defense system and the SAMs are
what we would call supporting targets. They are necessary to suppress
and degrade and to hit while you are going after other kinds of
principle targets in the system. So we think we have degraded that
system to support the strikes, and in the sense of, for example, the
WMD, our goal is to degrade and delay the way he can develop those
capabilities in the future. But as you saw we have had very little
assessment to this point on that target set.
Q: The Iraqis say a hospital has been struck in Baghdad. Can you say
anything about that?
Admiral Wilson:  I have no knowledge of a hospital being struck.
Q: Admiral, Iraq also claims it shot down 77 U.S. cruise missiles. Do
we put any...
Admiral Wilson: We have nothing that would confirm that. We don't have
any indication that any have been shot down.
Q: Admiral Fry or Admiral Wilson, do you plan to use the B-2 out of
CONUS in all this buildup?
Admiral Fry: It would be inappropriate for me to tell you which types
of aircraft we intend to use at this point as the operation continues.
Q: The aircraft and the other assets that are deployed, we are told
the B-2 was not deployed, would operate from its home bases here in
CONUS and use aerial refueling if it's put into play, so there's a
little bit of a gray area here as to whether or not the B-2 is going
to be used.
Q: True or false on WMD. No actual stores of chemical or biological
weapons have either been targeted or destroyed by this operation?
Admiral Wilson: I'm not going to talk about our entire targeting
plans. We have targeted at least one chemical facility that has the
potential for chemical weapons development in the future, and I will
not go beyond that point in this particular target set.
Q: Could you talk a little bit about the ground forces that are in the
region and what their activities have been, if any?
Admiral Wilson: The Iraqi army, --Iraq has a robust army. The ground
forces that we are principally concerned about are the Republican
Guards, and especially their armored and mechanized divisions. For the
most part they have been disbursed; it's a disbursed force in a
defensive position during the strikes themselves.
Q: Why do either of you gentlemen think the Iraqi armed forces have
not responded?
Admiral Wilson: I think they're essentially trying to protect
themselves right now and believe that's a better tactic than trying to
go and fight against the attack.
Q: During the Persian Gulf War the Pentagon came under some criticism
for presenting an unrealistic picture of success by only showing the
successful application of smart weapons and not really giving a
complete picture.
How complete a picture are we getting here today? Is there a
difference because of the increase in the number of precision guided
munitions that are used?
Admiral Wilson: I led off by trying to say, and I will reemphasize,
it's a very incomplete picture. We are in the initial phases of battle
damage assessment. We haven't even looked at all the targets. We are
emphasizing the targets which we need to emphasize to provide
protection for the striking force. We have had some success, and we
have had some areas that were less than successful. So we need to make
an assessment over time with all sources of information before we can
gauge the total success of the OPERATION DESERT FOX.
Q: Have you used the GBU-28, the earth penetrator? The 5,000 pound
bomb.
Admiral Fry:  I don't know.
Q:  Do you have plans now to deliver that now...
Admiral Fry:  We have not; I don't think so.
Q: Can you talk about the overall degradation of communications, unit
to unit, north to south, east to west? How taking out the TV
transmitter on a different level affects the ability of this
government to communicate with the different parts of the country?
Admiral Wilson: I'm not going to get into details about the overall
communication systems, I think for obvious reasons. And if you take
out the TV stations, clearly you degrade the ability to communicate. I
also wanted to indicate, it's not the stations, it's the transmitters.
Some of the ones that we took out were also used and can be used to
jam incoming signals.
Q:  ...over the next 48 hours?
Q: ...B-1 bomber in combat. I think we ought to talk about that before
you sneak out of here.
What capability does that plane bring and why was it...
Admiral Fry: Well, it brings a large level of effort, capability to
the fight. Lots of...
Q:  How?
Admiral Fry: Lots of iron bombs, and it flew its first sortie last
night. We haven't had the bomb damage assessment on it yet so I'm not
sure that we can tell you...
Q:  What type of munitions did it drop?
Q:  Did it...
Q:  ...by the Iraqis?
Admiral Wilson: We have no information of Saddam using human shields
during this particular operation.
Q: You've got troops that are leaving on the eve of Christmas. It
sounds like you've got a range of units that are still deploying. Can
you give us some sense here of where the operation is headed in terms
of longer range? Not really specifically talking about Ramadan as a
true or false marker.
Secretary Cohen has talked about being ready for the long term.
Admiral Fry: There are lots of ways to get to an answer on that. As we
continue with the operation and as Tom has mentioned in more than one
response, we are only in the initial stages of looking at the BDA. We
need to gauge how we are moving towards accomplishing our goals with
each of those target sets that Tom briefed you on and their
contribution to the overall objective of degrading Iraq's ability to
attack it's neighbors and deliver weapons of mass destruction.
We are flowing forces into the theater now to enhance our ability as
far as force protection, and should Saddam Hussein lash out, either in
a thrust south or in some other fashion, we need to have the forces
there that can deal with that.
Q:  Have you gone back and hit...
Q:  Can I...
Q:  Have you gone back and hit any targets?
Mr. Bacon: I'd just mention three things. One, we have copies of the
pamphlets, or we're making them. They're in English. Obviously the
ones that were dropped were in Arabic.
Two, we're leaving behind copies of the bomb damage assessment
pictures so you can look at them or shoot them photographically.
Three, we are making small copies of the slides that Admiral Wilson
used and you can get those -- I'm not sure we have them yet, but
you'll have them soon.
Q:  Can we also get the Arabic version of the leaflets?
Mr. Bacon:  We're working on that, yes.
Q:  And the video?
Mr. Bacon:  The video, we'll get that as well.
(end transcript)




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