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Weapons of Mass Destruction (WMD)

      DATE=11/12/98
      TYPE=WORLD OPINION ROUNDUP
    NUMBER=6-11005 
     TITLE=THE COUNTDOWN TO ATTACKING IRAQ IS ON         
    BYLINE=ANDREW N. GUTHRIE
 TELEPHONE=619-3335
  DATELINE=WASHINGTON
    EDITOR=ASSIGNMENTS
CONTENT=
INTRO:  THE MAJOR TOPIC ON FRONT PAGES AND IN EDITORIALS IN THE 
WORLD PRESS THIS WEEK IS THE POSSIBLE ATTACK BY THE U-S AND 
BRITAIN AGAINST IRAQ FOR ITS REFUSAL TO CONTINUE U-N WEAPONS 
INSPECTIONS.
MANY PAPERS WERE RELUCTANTLY AGREEING THAT IRAQ'S LEADER, SADDAM 
HUSSEIN, HAD ESSENTIALLY LEFT THE ALLIES NO VIABLE OPTION OTHER 
THAN A MILITARY ATTACK, BUT MOST STILL DID  NOT  FEEL COMFORTABLE
WITH THE MILITARY OPTION.
WE WELCOME __________________ TO OUR MICROPHONE NOW WITH A 
SAMPLING IN THIS WEEK'S WORLD OPINION ROUNDUP. 
TEXT:  ON THE ONE HAND, MANY JOURNALISTS LAMENTED THE FACT THAT 
"THE INTERNATIONAL COMMUNITY HAS YET TO FIND AND AGREE ON AN 
EFFECTIVE WAY TO DEAL WITH SADDAM."  WHILE AT THE SAME TIME, 
WRITERS IN EUROPE AND THE MIDDLE EAST WERE EXPRESSING 
RESERVATIONS ABOUT THE USE OF FORCE AND WORRYING, AS DID ONE 
ITALIAN DAILY, ABOUT WHAT IT CALLED THE "UNKNOWN FACTORS IN THE 
IMMINENT U-S ATTACK...."  STILL OTHERS FRETTED THAT ATTACKING 
IRAQ WILL NOT BRING ABOUT THE DESIRED RESULTS, AND OTHER 
COMPLAINED THAT MILITARY ACTION WILL ONLY MAKE A VERY HARD LIFE 
EVEN WORSE FOR THE IRAQI PEOPLE WHO ARE INNOCENT PAWNS IN THIS 
INTERNATIONAL DRAMA.
WE BEGIN OUR SAMPLING IN THE MIDDLE EAST, WHERE THE INFLUENTIAL 
EGYPTIAN DAILY "AL AHRAM" IN CAIRO COMMENTS:
VOICE:   UNDOUBTEDLY THIS REPEATED SCENARIO [OF AMERICAN THREATS]
         TO FORCE IRAQ TO COOPERATE WITH THE U-N,  LIES IN THE 
         CONTEXT OF AMERICAN POLICIES AIMED TO MAINTAIN CONSTANT 
         TENSION IN THE REGION AND TO COVER REPEATED ISRAELI 
         VIOLATIONS OF THE PEACE DEALS AND THE UGLY FACE OF 
         [PRIME MINISTER] NETANYAHU.   THIS BORING REPETITION 
         MADE ARABS LOSE CONFIDENCE IN AMERICAN POLICY TOWARD 
         IRAQ.   NO ARAB COUNTRY IS READY TO USE ITS LAND FOR A 
         STRIKE AGAINST IRAQ....
TEXT:  IN THE SAUDI CAPITOL, RIYADH, THE ARABIC-LANGUAGE DAILY 
"AL-RIYADH" RAN THIS EDITORIAL IN THURSDAY'S [11/12] EDITIONS:
VOICE:   ... CONVENTIONAL WISDOM SEES THE U-S AS A POWER WHOSE 
         ACTIONS DO NOT COINCIDE WITH THE LOGIC OF JUSTICE OR THE
         DESIRES OF THE INTERNATIONAL COMMUNITY IN THE 
         FORMULATION OF ITS DECISIONS.... 
TEXT:  TURNING TO JORDAN, WE READ IN AMMAN'S "AL-ARAB AL-YAWM" A 
WARNING THAT THE REST OF THE ARAB WORLD NEEDS TO SHED ITS 
COMPLACENCY:
VOICE:   WHEN WE COMPARE THE ARAB REACTION TO THIS NEW CRISIS 
         WITH THE ARAB REACTION TO THE SIMILAR CRISIS IN FEBRUARY
         98, WE FIND A HUGE DIFFERENCE. ... THE WAY THE PREVIOUS 
         IRAQI CRISES AROSE AND DIED DOWN STRENGTHENED THE ARABS'
         BELIEF THAT THIS CURRENT IRAQI CRISIS WILL BE RESOLVED 
         LIKE ONES BEFORE WHEN BOTH PARTIES BACK DOWN.  THIS FACE
         COULD PROMPT THE UNITED STATES TO RESORT TO THE MILITARY
         OPTION WITHOUT HESITATION. 
TEXT:  AND HOW DO THEY FEEL IN ISRAEL?  TEL AVIV'S "HAARETZ" 
COMMENTED THURSDAY [11/12]:
VOICE:   THE IMPORTANCE OF DESTROYING IRAQI NONCONVENTIONAL 
         WEAPONS AND MATERIAL CANNOT BE OVERESTIMATED, BUT IT IS 
         EVEN MORE IMPORTANT TO NEUTRALIZE SADDAM'S ABILITY TO 
         RESUME MANUFACTURING SUCH WEAPONS.   ... MILITARY ACTION
         WILL ONLY MAKE SADDAM A HERO IN HIS OWN MIND AS WELL AS 
         IN THE MINDS OF SOME ARAB COUNTRIES -- AND WILL MAKE THE
         U-S FEEL EVEN LONELIER IN ITS BATTLE AGAINST IRAQ.
                          /// OPT /// 
TEXT:  IN JORDAN'S ENGLISH-LANGUAGE PRESS, "THE JORDAN TIMES" 
ALSO IN AMMAN, SEES THE VALIDITY IN BOTH SIDES OF THE ARGUMENT. 
VOICE:   THE SECURITY COUNCIL HAS REASON TO BE CONCERNED ABOUT 
         IRAQ'S REFUSAL TO COOPERATE WITH UNSCOM (UN WEAPONS 
         INSPECTORS).  ON THE OTHER HAND, IRAQIS HAVE CAUSE FOR 
         CONCERN ABOUT THE SUFFOCATION OF THEIR COUNTRY FOR 
         NEARLY A DECADE.... THE IRAQI AUTHORITIES DID IN FACT 
         COOPERATE WITH UNSCOM FOR SEVERAL YEARS AND THIS ... 
         PROVES THAT UNDER APPROPRIATE CONDITIONS THIS KIND OF 
         COOPERATION CAN BE RESUMED AND MAINTAINED.
TEXT:  AND IN NORTH AFRICA, MOROCCO'S FRENCH-LANGUAGE 
"LIBERATION" SUGGESTS THE OUTCOME IS, AT THIS POINT, ESSENTIALLY 
PRE-ORDAINED. 
VOICE:   EVEN IF [UN SECRETARY-GENERAL] KOFI ANNAN DECIDES TO GO 
         TO BAGHDAD, HIS MISSION WOULD HAVE LITTLE CHANCE FOR 
         SUCCESS.... THE U-S ADMINISTRATION HAS ALWAYS PUT 
         GETTING RID OF SADDAM HUSSEIN AS A CONDITION FOR LIFTING
         THE EMBARGO.  
                        /// END OPT /// 
TEXT:  TO THE SOUTH PACIFIC NOW, AND ISLAMIC INDONESIA, WHERE 
"SUARA PEMBARUAN" IN JAKARTA HOLDS OUT HOPE.
VOICE:   A CHANCE FOR DIPLOMACY STILL EXISTS.  EXPERIENCE SHOWS 
         THAT THE U-S HAS TWICE, MOMENTS BEFORE LAUNCHING 
         ATTACKS, CONVINCED IRAQ TO 'SURRENDER.' ...  IT SEEMS 
         THAT SADDAM HAS TWO OBSESSIONS: ELIMINATION OF U-S 
         INTERFERENCE AND INFLUENCE, INCLUDING IN UNSCOM; AND 
         REMOVAL OF THE EIGHT-YEAR-OLD ECONOMIC SANCTIONS.  IF 
         IRAQ WERE FULLY SOVEREIGN, IT WOULD BE THE MAJOR MIDDLE 
         EAST POWER.  WITH THIS IN MIND, THE SOLUTION TO THIS 
         CONFLICT MUST BE WISE. 
TEXT:  IN KARACHI, ONE OF PAKISTAN'S BIGGEST PAPERS, "JANG" 
POINTS OUT THAT:
VOICE:   ... BY DESTROYING IRAQ, THE U-S WANTS TO PROVIDE 
         PERMANENT PROTECTION TO ISRAEL AND TO ACHIEVE THIS END, 
         IT IS USING THE ARABS.... TO WHAT EXTENT THE IRAQI 
         NATION, THE INNOCENT IRAQI CHILDREN, THE OLD PEOPLE AND 
         THE IRAQI WOMEN HAVE A SAY IN THESE DECISIONS?  WHEN 
         WILL THEY GET THEIR BASIC HUMAN RIGHT TO LIVE?" 
                          /// OPT /// 
TEXT:  IN NORTH ASIA, ONE OF SOUTH KOREA'S BIGGEST DAILIES, 
"HANKOOK ILBO" HOLDS OUT HOPE FOR A COMPROMISE AT THE LAST 
SECOND.
VOICE:   ... THERE IS A POSSIBILITY THAT HUSSEIN WILL PERMIT 
         WEAPONS INSPECTIONS AT THE LAST MINUTE AS HE DID IN 
         OCTOBER OF LAST YEAR. 
TEXT: QUICKLY TO SUB-SAHARAN AFRICA, WHERE KENYA'S "DAILY NATION"
IN NAIROBI OPINES:
VOICE:   FROM WHATEVER ANGLE ONE LOOKS AT THE SITUATION, IT IS 
         PRESIDENT SADDAM HUSSEIN WHO CAN HELP DEFUSE THE LATEST 
         TENSION IN THE GULF.
                         /// END OPT ///
TEXT:  AND IN LATIN AMERICA, BRAZIL'S HUGE "O ESTADO DE SAO 
PAULO" RAN THIS FROM ITS MAN IN WASHINGTON ON THURSDAY [11/12]:
VOICE:   THE NEW CHALLENGE POSED BY THE IRAQI PRESIDENT TO THE 
         U-S AND THE U-N LEAVES [PRESIDENT] CLINTON IN A DILEMMA.
         IF HE STARTS THE BOMBING UNDER PREPARATION, HE WILL 
         STRENGTHEN SADDAM POLITICALLY, EVERY DAY THE IRAQI 
         LEADER AND HIS REGIME SURVIVE THE BOMBS IN BAGHDAD. 
TEXT:  FINISHING UP IN EUROPE, LONDON'S "FINANCIAL TIMES IS 
CLEARLY WORRIED:
VOICE:   THE CURRENT CRISIS BETWEEN SADDAM AND THE WEST IS MORE 
         SERIOUS THAN MANY EARLIER EPISODES. ... ALTHOUGH THERE 
         IS MUCH TALK IN WASHINGTON, LONDON AND PARIS ABOUT 
         LAUNCHING HEAVY BOMBARDMENTS THAT WOULD WEAKEN SADDAM, 
         NO ONE IS SERIOUSLY CONSIDERING A GROUND OPERATION THAT 
         WOULD BRING AN END TO HIS RULE. ALL THAT MAY BE ON THE 
         TABLE IS THE HOPE THAT PERHAPS THE INSTABILITY PROVOKED 
         BY MILITARY ACTION WOULD LEAD TO A COUP. 
TEXT:  AND LASTLY, IN SOUTHERN GERMANY, THIS DISMAL FORECAST FROM
"SUEDDEUTSCHE ZEITUNG" OF MUNICH.
VOICE:   THERE ARE TWO VERSIONS FOR THE END: WAR OR A BAD PEACE. 
         ONLY ONE THING IS CLEAR, THERE WILL BE NO HAPPY END.
TEXT:  ON THAT NOTE, WE CONCLUDE THIS SAMPLING OF THE LATEST 
REACTION TO THE IMPENDING CONFLICT BETWEEN THE UNITED STATES AND 
BRITAIN AGAINST IRAQ.
NEB/ANG/JO               
12-Nov-98 4:50 PM EST (2150 UTC)
NNNN
Source: Voice of America
.





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