Saddam's Jul 17 Natl Day Speech
Iraq News, JULY 20, 1998
By Laurie MylroieThe central focus of Iraq News is the tension between the considerable, proscribed WMD capabilities that Iraq is holding on to and its increasing stridency that it has complied with UNSCR 687 and it is time to lift sanctions. If you wish to receive Iraq News by email, a service which includes full-text of news reports not archived here, send your request to Laurie Mylroie .
I. RAMADAN:IRAQ UNWILLING TO SEE EMBARGO BEYOND EIGHT YEARS, AFP, JUL 19 II. SADDAM'S NAT'L DAY SPEECH, IRAQ TV, JUL 17 On Sun, Jul 19, Vice President, Taha Yasin Ramadan, made a speech to a Bath party "cultural symposuim," in which he said, "The leadership of Iraq and its people are not willing to see the embargo maintained beyond eight years and demand practical measures for it to be lifted." "Iraq News" should have the full text of those remarks shortly. On Fri, Jul 17, on the occasion of Saddam's Nat'l day speech, Baghdad inaugurated "Iraq Space Channel," television broadcasting to the Arab countries, carried on Egypt's Nilesat satellite. [How did Iraq get the uplink equipment to send the signal?] Also, Saddam ordered pay raises for a number of state employees. In his speech, Saddam reiterated the warning sent to the UNSC May 1. He said, "The enemies of Iraq will be mistaken if they imagine that they can deceive the people who are fortified by all factors of national life and . . . who were scorched by the fire of their enemies. These people are motivated by factors related to their defense of life. . . These people sacrificed tens of thousands of dear souls within a short period of time as a result of shortages in food and medicine and the use of force. We tell them in the name of that great people of Iraq that they are under a great illusion. They had better reread ancient history and this glorious history carefully to learn the lessons that would help us and them avert the consequences of their evils and wrongdoing." What is the "great illusion" the enemies of Iraq are under? And what is "the consequences of their evils and wrongdoing" that Saddam would like to avert? Saddam continued, "We reassert that the letter addressed to the Security Council and the UN Secretary General by the joint meeting of the Party command and the Revolutionary Command Council on 1 May 1998 is not only a cry of protest, but it represents willpower and an alternative strategy, should other means and methods fail to return life to its normal course and restore justice. The command and the council will meet at a later date to conduct an in-depth discussion of this issue and deal with it, along with their great people . . . After that, only what is right shall prevail" Although Saddam's words implied dramatic action, he preceded and followed them by suggesting the opposite, "Faced with the Iraqis' steadfastness, their insistence on the need to lift the siege and their readiness to add a new honor to their stock of sacrifices, the siege has started to erode. This year, and the years to follow, is the time for the serious erosion of the siege imposed on Iraq." In the view of "Iraq News," the dramatic scenario is the operational one, while the second is something else--perhaps, meant to create wiggle room; perhaps, offered up to those who do not want to hear what the Iraqis are saying; perhaps, something else. In any case, the NYT Jul 18, carried a story on Saddam's speech, entitled "Saddam Hints at Setbacks in Lifting of Sanctions," which began, "In the first public hint that Iraq's hopes for an early lifting of sanctions have been set back. . . President Saddam Hussein said in a speech Friday that the embargo was instead more likely to crumble over time." It described the speech as "considerably less bellicose than usual." "Iraq News" strongly disagrees and questions the judgment of the sources for that story, which presumably included US officials. "Iraq News" reviewed the May 1 statement, as well as subsequent, related statements. The May 1 statement was close to a declaration of war. It began by noting the conditions under which wars occur, "Because of a maximum feeling of injustice, making war the only means to remove the injustice . . . or because of a feeling of bestial power, accompanied by a feeling of the nonexistence of other powers to prevent it from achieving its objectives through armed force or something equivalent to it." The statement concluded, "The inability of the Iraqi people to see a lifting of the sanctions after eight years and despite their sacrifices through their cooperation with the UNSC and Special Commission will lead to dire consequences. Despite all of this, our moral, constitutional, and humanitarian responsibility calls on us to wait and see how the Security Council will behave after this message of ours" [see "Iraq News," May 5]. Presumably, that is what the Iraqis have been doing--waiting. On May 2, Ramadan, addressing the opening of the Fifth "Arab People's Forces Conference" in Baghdad, reiterated the May 1 statement and said, "We have to make our enemy feel that it has to pay a dear price if it decides to continue the siege," according to INA. Ramadan told the conference at its closing, "The age of this letter is not years or months. It has a limited time," according to Reuters, May 4. On May 7, INA reported, "Al Thawrah [party newspaper] says that whoever thinks that he can imprison Iraq in the embargo tunnel for an indefinite period under different, futile excuses must remember that there is more than one way to get out of this tunnel. The paper says: Iraq's open letter to the president and members of the Security Council is clear. Unless justice is done by lifting the economic embargo at the minimum, there will be some other action. This action is a private matter, which only Iraq knows and will decide when and how to take." On May 17, following a UNSC decision to review Iraq's nuclear program in Jul(rather than Oct), the cabinet issued a statement that briefly mentioned the May 1 warning, "The Council of Ministers took cognizance of the statement issued by the president of the UN Security Council on 14 May 1998 on the plan to move the activity of the International Atomic Energy Agency in Iraq to the stage of permanent monitoring in July. The Council of Ministers has found that this statement does not meet the minimum level of Iraq's rights following the immense sacrifices it has made. Iraq is still WAITING in accordance with the concepts included in the open letter it addressed to the UNSC on 1 May 1998" [see "Iraq News," May 20]. On May 23, Radio Monte Carlo interviewed Ramadan, asking what Iraq's response would be if the UNSC did not meet its demands. He replied, "The UNSC must fulfill its obligations as Iraq has fulfilled all UN demands. . . We have not set a time limit, but the time must not be long. We will WAIT for a reasonable period of time and then act accordingly." In an interview published by the Tunisian paper, al Shuruq, reported Jun 3, by INA, "Taha Yasin Ramadan said: The letter by the Iraqi leadership and the RCC to the president and the members of the Security Council is not open ended in terms of time, and we are not talking about years here. We are talking about months, at the most, a few months." On Jun 17, Reuters reported that Iraq's UN Ambassador, Nizar Hamdoon said, "There are two things that can happen . . . Either the sanctions will be lifted as soon as possible or, by October or November, if the sanctions are not lifted, there will be a crisis. This will be the last crisis." On Jun 23, the day the Wash Post reported that UNSCOM had detected traces of VX in a SCUD warhead, the RCC and Party leadership issued a statement reiterating the May 1 warning, "Regarding the question of the blockade and the US position on it, the conferees noted the alternative strategy stated in the open letter issued by the meeting of the command and the council on 1 May 1998-the letter addressed to the president and members of the Security Council. When other means fail due to the evilness and aggressiveness of others, then this strategy, adopted by the leadership would be the unavoidable alternative. This strategy is supported by the sons of our great people and the sons of our glorious Arab nation to get rid of the unjust blockade. It has been decided to continue meetings later to assess the final situation and make a final decision." On Jun 26, Al Thawrah's chief editor, Sami Mahdi, wrote, "Iraq will not allow a crucial issue, such as the embargo, to remain captive to the evil willpower of the US administration and an ugly puppet called Richard Butler. If Iraq has decided to presently continue with its contacts 'so as to know the final situation and make the final decision,' its other option-or rather alternative option-will remain open. It will make its final decision at the appropriate time." On Jun 29, the Saudi-owned, Al Sharq Al Awsat published an interview with Deputy Prime Minister, Tariq Aziz, in which he said, "When we addressed the Security Council earlier this year, we said that we would WAIT for the Council's action to rectify the non-neutral role of UNSCOM . . . That did not mean that we would wait for an open period of time. No, I say now that we are not going to wait for an open period of time, and the exploitation of the blockade issue is not going to have good results. It is a serious matter . . . very serious." For two and a half months, the Iraqi leadership has said that the situation is intolerable and it has another option, which it prefers not to use. What is that other option? "Iraq News" can think of nothing other than the use of the proscribed weapons Iraq will not turn over to UNSCOM, whether for military action in the Gulf, or for some other purpose, even if the first step might be something else, like the expulsion of UNSCOM. In his speech, Saddam also explained Iraq's strategy over the past year, "By the end of 1997 and the beginning of 1998, the Iraqis waged battles and took positions. These placed those who have no interest in the blockade face to face with those who had evil intentions and ambitions. The two parties were separated by clear distinctive lines.." The rest of Saddam's speech constituted an indictment of the Arab leaders for their willingness to deal with Israel and their failure to develop a strategy to destroy it. Saddam reviewed the Palestinian question, going back to the 1945 establishment of the Arab League, of which Iraq was one of seven founding members, as opposed to the "22 countries and entities which is the case now, resulting from the political and constitutional division of the nation." [Kuwait, which became independent in 1961, could be among the "entities" Saddam had in mind]. Saddam recalled the 1967 Khartoum summit, known for the "Three NoXs"--no recognition; no negotiations; and no peace. He explained, "Although some people cast doubts about that conference at the time, the rejection of the defeat and the insistence by Abd al Nasir's Egypt to liberate territory provided the political and psychological base for the military position in 1973." Saddam then described the 1978 Baghdad summit, held after the Sept 78 Camp David summit among Carter, Begin, and Sadat, and before the Mar 79 signing of the Egyptian-Israeli peace treaty. That was the period of the Iranian revolution and Saddam took advantage of it to orchestrate the Arab opposition to Egypt's peace with Israel. With the Shah gone, or about to be, an Iraqi-Syrian combination was able to pressure and intimidate the Saudis to generate an Arab "consensus" to ostracize Egypt and block other Arab leaders from following Sadat into an agreement with Israel. As Saddam explained, "Several resolutions were adopted. . . These resolutions constituted the practical base for the steadfastness of others and prevented their collapse, as was expected by the Zionists and the masters of imperialism following al-Sadat's position." Saddam also described the May, 1990 Baghdad summit. With hindsight, after Aug 2, it became clear that the summit was part of a strategy to raise tensions with Israel, and excite Arab populations, in advance of Iraq's invasion of Kuwait. Yet, as Saddam said, "Those resolutions and the nature of the known roles and stands at that summit adversely affected the plans of the black conspiracy which preceded August 1990 against Baghdad and its men, stand, policy and ability. Thus, was the treacherous 30-state aggression." So, it is all one big conspiracy against Iraq--by the imperialists, the Zionists, and their agents. Saddam then described the 1996 Cairo summit, Jun 22-23, the only Arab summit held since the Gulf war. Iraq was the only Arab state not invited to the summit, which took a very tough line on Iraq, holding Baghdad responsible for the suffering of the Iraqi people and calling on it to implement the UNSC resolutions. As Saddam explained, "One of its most important decisions was to facilitate the mission of the United States and its supporters in maintaining the blockade against Iraq under the banner of stressing the need for Iraq to implement the so-called UN Security Council resolutions. That was as though the concerned Arabs turned to play the role of a UN office on behalf of the United States." Indeed, immediately following that summit, the Iraqi press lashed out at the US, Kuwait, and Saudi Arabia. On Jun 24, Al Jumhuriya (Gov't paper), Al Thawra (party paper) and al Qadissiya (military paper) all carried strong editorials condemning the summit. As INA reported, Al Jumhuriya's chief editor, Salah Mukhtar, wrote in a front page editorial "that the Cairo statement adopted the worst things in the Zionist, American, and Saudi stands toward the Iraqi people. In its editorial Al-Jumhuriyah says that what came in the statement on Iraq constitutes in itself a candid, official acknowledgement that those who imposed and accepted the statement are official and effective parties to the policy of annihilating millions of Iraqis and exposing those who are still alive to unlimited suffering." That line was repeated in the Iraqi press the next day. And that night, the biggest bomb ever to explode in the Arabian peninsula, exploded at the base that housed the US pilots that flew over Southern Iraq, enforcing the no-fly zone. How that bomb ever came to be understood as Iran is extraordinary and historians will have a lot of fun with it. They will find a US blunder, grounded in a failure to understand that the Gulf war was not over for Saddam, reinforced by a strategic intelligence failure in Israel, generated by the "peace process," as it was pursued by the Rabin Gov't [see "Iraq News," Mar 20]. Saddam went on to discuss recent efforts among the Arabs to hold another summit, implying that little good would come of it, unless Iraq were present, because other Arabs are willing to compromise with Israel. As Saddam explained, "Some Arab officials, publicly and frankly, distorted the truth of the conflict between the Arabs and the usurper, aggressor Zionist entity . . . They turned this conflict into a disagreement over policies and nothing more. They dwarfed the areas of disagreement to portray them as if they were differences between some Arab rulers and Netanyahu over minor tactical, transitional issues, and not over major, strategic and crucial issues that concern the entire nation. . . . But, Saddam said, "There is no way out of a dilemma caused by a greedy imperialist foreigner [the US] or an occupying foreigner [Israel] by building on low ground, because it will then be washed away by the flood and be left in ruins. The enemy cannot be made to understand the truth and respond to what is right and just by submission, but rather by the Arabs taking an honorable and proud stand, in which case the foreigner may retreat without the shedding of blood . . . "The Iraqis echo the words of their great poet, Kamal al-Hadithi: Small birds will not be spared disgrace if they flee chasing falcons. Life will progress and those who are mortal are bound to die. Though our resources may be scarce and disperse, we do things our way, then we forge ahead to drink the purest of waters. . . ."
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