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Weapons of Mass Destruction (WMD)

26 November 1997

GULF STATES COALITION AGREES WITH U.S. ON IRAQI THREAT

(Zinni pledges "serious" retaliation if needed) (1240)
By Susan Ellis
USIA Staff Writer
Washington -- There will be no more "pin pricks" by allied forces in
Iraq if a military response is required to counteract provocative
actions by Iraqi leader Saddam Hussein, General Anthony C. Zinni,
commander in chief of the U.S. Central Command, told a Pentagon news
briefing November 26.
"I think any movement of (Saddam Hussein's) forces south violates the
no-drive zone. It's a violation of an imposed sanction. I would take
it very seriously and I would certainly recommend we deal with it," he
said.
Zinni said "a serious response" by allied forces would constitute
"putting at risk the things that mean most to Saddam." The allies
would have to "go after the things that keep him in power and enable
him to inflict the kind of pain he does on his own people and on
others in the region," Zinni added.
Saddam Hussein does not hold his conscripts in high regard, judging
from the experiences of the Iran-Iraq war and the Gulf War, Zinni
said. "He doesn't much care if you strike a unit, a surface-to-air
missile site, a division. What means most to him are things like...his
own special Republican Guard and other Republican Guard units that
keep him in power, his own infrastructure and command-and-control
systems and those kinds of things."
Referring to the Arab state allies in the region, he said, "The
coalition could not be sounder. I visited the leadership of every
country in the region that has supported us. There is not a request
that we've made that has been turned down. They see the threat the way
we do, and they've been fully cooperative with what we've needed to be
able to respond and to protect ourselves in this region.
"We would be unable to enforce the U.N. sanctions without the support
of these countries," he continued. "These countries bear a large
portion of the costs of our forces being there, in the hundreds of
millions of dollars per year. We have made a number of requests that
have come in areas such as overflight rights, en-route basing
requirements, actual basing of our forces in the region, increasing
our forces' support, combat aircraft, additional naval forces, and all
sorts of other support and protection forces. Again, in no case have
we been turned down."
Asked whether Saddam Hussein is capable of using chemical and
biological warfare, Zinni replied, "I spent seven months in northern
Iraq. I went into the Kurdish villages that were gassed. I went into
villages where no stone stood upon stone, and the villagers told me
that five times the villages were destroyed. We still detected traces
of the chemicals in those areas and couldn't let the Kurds go back
into those villages.
"He used it in the Iran-Iraq war. He's used it against the marsh
Arabs. So he's used it against brother Arabs. He used it against
brother Muslims." If, indeed, Saddam Hussein possesses those weapons,
Zinni said, "it's clear" he will use them.
Asked about the current strength of Saddam Hussein's forces, Zinni
said "since the Gulf War his forces have been greatly reduced. But at
the same time, they've been remarkably streamlined -- (there exist)
probably half the ground forces, but he's consolidated them. His
training has continued. He obviously maintains an air force that still
is capable and an air defense system that's pretty robust.
"Biological, chemical weapons? We don't know. Obviously, I think
that's been covered in great detail, as to what the potential is out
there, and that evidently there must be something he's hiding. That
concerns us greatly."
Calling Saddam Hussein "dangerous," Zinni said, "I would not want to
predict his intentions. I purely look at his capabilities; those
exist. As I said, he's still in violation of some of the sanctions
that are in place to support the resolutions, and until he is fully
compliant, I think we have to be ready to take military action and to
respond because he still poses a threat."
Asked about Iraq's possible use of weapons of mass destruction against
U.S. forces in Kuwait, Saudi Arabia, and elsewhere in the Gulf region,
Zinni said "the potential exists" either by SCUD missile or biological
or chemical weapons.
He said that terrorist attacks also are of "serious concern" and
allied forces have therefore heightened their readiness to deal with
such attacks.
"We are taking every precaution," Zinni said. "We are making sure that
our force-protection measures are up to snuff, that the awareness of
the individual troops is what it should be. I put out several
messages, talked to my component commanders, (in order) that we don't
lose sight of that potential threat."
However, he added, the threat is an omnipresent fact, not solely based
on the current crisis. "As a matter of fact, the movement of more
troops in may even increase the potential of (attack by) those not
directly involved in this crisis but those that...would come in and
commit a terrorist act. So we are very, very aware of that
possibility."
Asked to assess the Iraqi situation at present, Zinni said he applauds
the diplomatic efforts and hope they work, "but the crisis is not
over.
"The UNSCOM inspections are, obviously, proceeding. We are monitoring
those -- where they go, what happens. What the next step is, we aren't
sure. And I think it's too early now to talk about...a complete
stand-down and the crisis being over. So we are still in the region
and still postured ready to see what the outcome will be," he said.
Zinni noted that Saddam Hussein is still in violation of the southern
no-fly zone with his surface-to-air missiles. "They don't pose an
immediate threat to us. We can certainly handle them," he said, but
it's still a technical violation. "He has moved some out. So he is
still postured in a way where he is violating sanctions, where he has
violated established and issued demarches, and these haven't been
cleared up yet."
Asked how the use of civilians as "human shields" by Saddam Hussein
affects U.S. military planning, Zinni said that in targeting, the
potential for civilian casualties is taken into account, although U.S.
forces "do not desire to engage targets where that potential is there.
"I will tell you this, that this act has really turned people in the
region against" Saddam Hussein, Zinni continued. "The people I've
talked to in the region don't view this as a courageous act or the act
of a noble warrior or an Arab man....It obviously is an act that flies
in the face and disgusts most of the people in the region."
The likelihood of a military confrontation is unpredictable, Zinni
said, adding, "I think we have to fully expect that it could be a
possibility that this would occur. I am not sure how desperate (Saddam
Hussein) is. He is a man that doesn't act rationally. I have seen the
results of his handiwork, firsthand. It's sickening. And it seems to
me he has little value for human life. And if it's a question of being
in power, I think he'd resort to any act."




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