Press Release by Pakistan Foreign Office Spokesman
Foreign Secretary's Statement on
"India's Nuclear Doctrine: Implications for Regional and Global
Peace and Security"
at
The Institute of Strategic Studies
Islamabad
7-September 1999
Quantification of Indian Nuclear Deployment
Estimates* |
Cost |
Estimates of Gen. Sudriji carried out (1985) |
Rs. 7,000 crore
($ 17 billion) |
Value at present day |
Rs. 13,55 crore |
Estimates of K. Subramatiyam (1984)
(cost of 2O x Prithvi, 20 x Agni, 60 x warheads, deployment costs,
command & control system, safety measures) |
Rs. 10, 000 crore |
Cost of Agni I & II Missiles |
Rs. 20-35 crores per copy |
Cost of Prithvi Missiles |
Rs. 8 crores per copy |
Cost of one atomic weapon R&D costs not included |
Rs. 8 crores per weapon |
150 Weapons (6O x Agni + 40-6O x Prithvi + Means of air delivery +
Command and control + 3-4 Surveillance
satellites + Communications & Reconnaissance systems |
Rs. 2,000-3,000 crores |
Costs of operating, maintenance, training of personnel to keep the
nuclear arsenal in, high state of alert |
Rs. 2,000-3,000 crores |
Total costs of minimum credible deterrence (cost of nuclear submarines
not included) |
Rs.: 10,000 crores |
Cost of 1 nuclear submarine (2-4 submarines required) |
Rs. 4,000-5,000 crores |
Annual cost of minimum credible deterrence (minimal posture) |
Rs. 2,000-3,000 crores |
Annual cost of minimum credible deterrence (with 400 warheads) |
Rs. 5,000-7,500 crores |
Source: The Indian Express,' "A Price Tag to Deterrence Minimal, Credible
and Nuclear" by Vinod Anand,, of August 23, 1999.
Cost of 350-400 nuclear weapons (triad) |
US $ 16 billion/Rs. 700 billion |
In the worst case scenario of trade embargoes, international credit
cut-offs & other punitive measures |
10 times greater than the above estimate |
This cost is less than 6.7% of India's GNP |
- |
If the economy grows @ 7% per annum till the year 2030 |
Total cost will be 13.7% of the GNP |
Cost Estimates Published by The Nation, The News and Dawn of August 23,
1999.
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