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Weapons of Mass Destruction (WMD)

USIS Washington File

17 September 1998

REPORT URGES INDIA, PAKISTAN TO CAP NUCLEAR CAPABILITY

(Congress urged to give President sanctions waiver) (650)
By Rick Marshall
USIA Staff Writer
Washington -- A special report on the consequences of India and
Pakistan's nuclear tests was issued here September 17 by two leading
U.S. think tanks.
Entitled "After the Tests: US Policy toward India and Pakistan," the
report, sponsored jointly by the Council on Foreign Relations and the
Brookings Institution, calls for both India and Pakistan "to adopt
policies that will help stabilize the situation in South Asia by
capping their nuclear capabilities at their current levels."
At the same time, it urged the U.S. Congress "to provide broad waiver
authority to the President so that sanctions and incentives can be
used to support, rather than thwart, U.S. diplomacy."
"Kashmir remains the most dangerous point of contention between India
and Pakistan," the report goes on to say. "It is the issue with the
greatest potential to trigger a conventional or even nuclear war. That
said, the dispute is not ripe for final resolution. It is not even
ripe for mediation by the United States or anyone else."
The co-chairs of the report were Richard Haass and Morton Halperin.
Haass, now with Brookings, was senior director for Near East and South
Asian Affairs at the National Security Council during the Bush
Administration. Halperin, a senior fellow at the Council on Foreign
Relations, served from 1994 to 1996 as senior director for democracy
at the National Security Council.
The two men are scheduled to travel to India and Pakistan next week to
discuss the report and its recommendations.
"The United States has important interests in both India and Pakistan
in, addition to discouraging nuclear proliferation," according to the
report: "promoting democracy and internal stability; expanding
economic growth, trade and investment; and developing political and,
where applicable, military cooperation on a host of regional and
global challenges."
"Closer American ties with India and Pakistan should buttress efforts
to discourage further proliferation, while progress in containing a
nuclear arms race will facilitate closer bilateral cooperation between
both countries and the United States.
"US foreign policy should not sacrifice its many interests in South
Asia in order to promote unrealistic aims in the nuclear realm. In
particular, a complete 'rollback' to a non-nuclear South Asia is
simply not a realistic near- or even medium-term policy option for the
United States."
Turning to the economic sanctions -- the Glenn Amendment that was
levied against India and Pakistan as a result of their nuclear tests
this May and the Symington and Pressler Amendments which have been in
effect against Pakistan for several years -- the report said they were
"almost certain to make the challenge of promoting the full range of
American interests more difficult ... The unintended consequences of
U.S. sanctions are particularly pertinent to Pakistan, which is far
more dependent than is India on international assistance. Sanctions
could actually weaken political authority in Pakistan, a state already
burdened by political, social, and economic problems."
In addition to capping their nuclear weapons programs, the report
called on both India and Pakistan to:
-- sign the Comprehensive Test Ban Treaty (CTBT);
-- participate in good faith negotiations and sign any ensuing Fissile
Material Cut-Off Treaty (FMCT);
-- participate in a broad-based moratorium on producing fissile
material;
-- refrain from transferring nuclear or missile technology to any
third party;
-- refrain from deploying missiles with nuclear warheads or aircraft
with nuclear bombs;
-- implement a series of confidence-building measures, including
regular use of hot line and advance notification of military
exercises;
-- take steps to calm the situation in Kashmir, while avoiding
unilateral acts that could exacerbate tensions, and
-- enter into sustained, serious negotiations with each other on the
entire range of issues that divide them.




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