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Weapons of Mass Destruction (WMD)

DATE=6/20/2000
TYPE=BACKGROUND REPORT
TITLE=SANCTIONS / U-S BUSINESSES
NUMBER=5-46520
BYLINE=ALISHA RYU
DATELINE=HONG KONG
CONTENT=
VOICED AT:
INTRO:  The United States partially lifted decades-old 
economic sanctions against North Korea Monday, 
allowing U-S companies to seek out investment 
opportunities. But -- as V-O-A's Alisha Ryu explains 
from our Asia News Center in Hong Kong -- experts are 
skeptical about communist North Korea's readiness to 
embrace even a limited form of capitalism.         
TEXT:  U-S sanctions against North Korea date partly 
from the early days of the Korean War, 50 years ago, 
when the North invaded South Korea. Since then, nearly 
all U-S trade, travel and financial transactions with 
North Korea had been banned.  
Last September, when the Clinton administration 
announced it was willing to ease sanctions as a reward 
for a North Korean freeze on long-range missile tests, 
U-S companies viewed it as a long-awaited opportunity 
to penetrate one of the last closed economies left in 
the world.
The president of the American Chamber of Commerce in 
South Korea, Jeffrey Jones, says there are good 
reasons why American companies would want to invest in 
a country that is emerging from years of political and 
economic isolation.
            ///  JONES ACTUALITY ///
One, it is a new market.  Consumers will be loyal to 
those companies that go first and establish their 
brands and images in the minds of the consumer.   
U-S companies have billions of dollars invested in the 
economy here in South Korea and for the good of the 
economy here in the event of reunification, it is in 
our interest to ensure that the economy in the North 
is properly developed. 
             /// END ACTUALITY ///
Mr. Jones says his office in Seoul has already 
assembled a group of well-known U-S companies ready to 
open talks with North Korean officials.  
            /// JONES ACTUALITY ///
Included among those who have indicated that they 
might be interested are Motorola, Procter & Gamble and 
a textile manufacturer, P-B-M-S, which supplies 
garments to the Gap, Liz Claiborne and other retail 
outlets in the United States.
            /// END ACTUALITY ///
Monday, former U-S ambassador to South Korea, Donald 
Gregg, confirmed that six other large U-S firms are 
planning a trip to Pyongyang in the near future to 
discuss launching commercial projects in the North.
But long-time North Korea watcher and consultant 
Michael Breen thinks what those companies will likely 
encounter in North Korea are not endless opportunities 
but stubborn resistance.
            /// BREEN ACTUALITY ///
In terms of longer-term actual business, I am 
wondering how much will actually get done.  North 
Korea has not suddenly opened its door.  The U-S has 
actually decided to allow American companies to do 
business with North Korea.  So, those companies will 
find themselves dealing with communist officials who 
view capitalists and their profit-motives with deep 
suspicion and dislike. What the North Koreans really 
want is our money but they really do not want us 
coming along with it.
            /// END ACTUALITY ///
Even if U-S companies can overcome the bureaucratic 
obstacles, Mr. Breen predicts investment and trade 
with the United States will pick up very slowly, at 
best.  He says widespread poverty will limit how many 
goods and services North Koreans can afford. And the 
inferior quality of goods the North produces will have 
few buyers for them in the United States. 
Mr. Breen warns Americans should not view North Korea 
and its leader, Kim Jong Il, with the same type of 
optimism as they did when China threw open its doors 
to trade in the 1980s under the late Chinese Premier 
Deng Xiao Ping.
            /// SECOND BREEN ACTUALITY ///
Kim Jong Il is not Deng Xiao Ping.  He has not 
rejected the past, turning to a more capitalist 
future.  He is still, for all intents and purposes, a 
socialist leader of a communist country.  And that 
fact alone will make it very difficult and very 
frustrating for companies. 
            /// END ACTUALITY ///
Still, Jeffrey Jones at the American Chamber of 
Commerce says he believes the rewards of dealing with 
North Korea could outweigh the risks.
            /// JONES ACTUALITY ///
We are not being unrealistic about what to expect up 
there, but we have to start the process at some point.
            /// END ACTUALITY ///
According to the South Korean Trade Ministry, some 135 
South Korean companies are currently doing business 
with the North, generating a modest 330-million 
dollars in trade per year.  (Signed)
NEB / AR / WD
NEB/ 
20-Jun-2000 07:17 AM EDT (20-Jun-2000 1117 UTC)
NNNN
Source: Voice of America
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