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USIS Washington File

14 March 2000

Text: Commerce Secretary Daley Remarks on China Trade Status

(Urges China Permanent Normal Trade Relations status) (1490)
President Clinton's self-described "point man" for getting
Congressional approval of permanent Normal Trading Relations (NTR)
status for China says it will be the toughest vote the U.S. Congress
has faced in many years.
Commerce Secretary William Daley made that characterization March 13
to the U.S. Wheat Associates in a speech in Washington, D.C. The vote
to grant China permanent NTR status that will take place later this
spring in the Senate and the House of Representatives.
"It will be one of the biggest, and toughest votes Congress has taken
in many years," Daley predicted.
"It's about deciding whether we want a new, more open world economy,
by bringing China into the world community. Or whether we want the old
world of closed markets and closed societies," Daley said.
The Clinton Administration, Daley said, is "very hopeful that Congress
will move quickly on the legislation, beginning with the Senate
Finance Committee.
"We would expect a final vote before the end of May, when Congress
recesses for Memorial Day (May 29th)," Daley told his audience.
"Frankly, we probably don't have the votes yet in the House (of
Representatives)," he said. But, Daley added, "at the end of the day,
I think we're going to win."
Americans, Daley noted, "are split on the China trade deal, and some
are uncertain. Recent polls show they favor it 48 percent to 36
percent.
"I wish we had a majority, but in my opinion, we're close, and gaining
ground," he said.
"Secretary (of Agriculture Dan) Glickman and I will each escort
congressional delegations on separate trips to China next month,"
Daley said.
"We hope to show skeptical lawmakers that China is truly attempting to
change and reform," he told his audience of wheat dealers and growers.
"And that the best way to keep them on track is to encourage the
Chinese people to use the Internet, and try American wheat."
Following is the official text of Daley's remarks, as prepared for
delivery:
(begin text)
Remarks by Secretary of Commerce William M. Daley
U.S. Wheat Associates
March 13, 2000
Washington, DC
As you know, I'm President Clinton's point man, along with Steve
Ricchetti, on winning normal trade relations for China. It will be one
of the biggest, and toughest votes Congress has taken in many years.
And how it turns out, in my opinion, will have a very significant
impact on the future of our economy, and for that matter, the global
economy as a whole. China is a very challenging nation in a host of
areas: trade, foreign policy, the environment, and human rights, to
name a few.
Until recently, it was a country closed to the outside world. And it
has not treated its people the way that other major nations do.
So, this vote is about a lot more than trade. It's about deciding
whether we want a new, more open world economy, by bringing China into
the world community. Or whether we want the old world of closed
markets and closed societies.
So, let me up-date you on where we are ... talk about how you can help
... and then take your questions.
As you know, President Clinton sent the legislation to Congress last
week. It would make permanent what has already been in effect for 20
years, normal trade ties with China.
And it removes a key stumbling block. It says the terms of the trade
deal we negotiated with China won't change, unless Europe and others
working on deals get better terms than we did. In my opinion, it would
be great if we could raise equity stakes in joint ventures to 51
percent, or more, than the 50 percent we negotiated.
The question is, would we get the benefits of the trade deal if China
joins the WTO, and we don't have permanent normal trade relations.
The odds are that we would not, but our competitors in Europe and
Japan would. We would be left standing on the outside.
We are very hopeful that Congress will move quickly on the
legislation, beginning with the Senate Finance Committee. We would
expect a final vote before the end of May, when Congress recesses for
Memorial Day. Frankly, we probably don't have the votes yet in the
House -- because we're only in the first quarter of the game.
But at the end of the day, I think we're going to win.
No doubt about it, this will be a tough vote. Americans are split on
the China trade deal, and some are uncertain. Recent polls show they
favor it 48 percent to 36 percent. I wish we had a majority, but in my
opinion, we're close, and gaining ground.
Secretary Glickman and I will each escort congressional delegations on
separate trips to China next month. We hope to show skeptical
lawmakers that China is truly attempting to change and reform. And
that the best way to keep them on track is to encourage the Chinese
people to use the Internet, and try American wheat.
It's absolutely critical that we move quickly on this legislation. To
be frank, it gets tougher with each passing day, as we get closer to
the November elections and the campaign heats up. We are fortunate
because the major candidates -- Vice President Gore and Governor Bush
-- both strongly support us. The likely third candidate who will
probably run on the reform party ticket, isn't for it. But 2 out of 3
isn't bad!
Obviously, this is an incredible deal our negotiators hammered out
last fall. It reflects the tremendous transformation going on in China
today. They have made many concessions, because they want to open up
and take full advantage of the global economy by joining the WTO.
For America, it's really a one way deal. All we have to do is grant
PNTR to China. The deal smoothes the way for China to join the WTO
because all the major trading nations must first work out any problems
they might have. Our deal opens many markets, from insurance to
telecommunications to agriculture.
As you know, China's commitments on agriculture are very strong. Many
producers would for the first time be allowed to enter the market in a
major way.
I know as wheat producers you can't wait to start shipping. Obviously,
we welcome China's recent $6 million wheat purchase. It's a good first
step, and shows their willingness to allow more agriculture imports.
But as we begin the legislative fight in earnest, I believe we need to
think more about the big picture. Absolutely, the economics of this
deal are very good for America. But it goes far beyond that.
China is our most important relationship on all levels, strategic and
economic. And, in my opinion, that will be the case for many years to
come. China is a rising world power not to be ignored. And in today's
new economy, in today's global economy, we cannot neglect our role as
a world leader.
Clearly we cannot go back to the old politics of trade that threw up
high tariff barriers as the way to deal with global competition. It's
a different world out there.
What kind of message would we be sending to the rest of the world if
we fail to normalize our trade relations with China?
I think it would be a very negative message, that America no longer
wants to lead, that we fear a country that has an economy just
one-tenth the size of ours. As President Clinton said, we don't know
what choices China will make about its economy or its political
institutions. No one knows.
But we have to be able to stand there and say, we took the steps to
encourage them to go the right way.
But we cannot do it alone. The agriculture community has done a great
job so far. But we need you now more than ever.
To be honest, in my 3 years as secretary, I have not seen the
intensity by industry for trade that we will need to win this fight in
Congress. The opposition is very well organized, and is pumped after
Seattle.
We need more companies like Farmland Industries which prints messages
about trade on their pay stubs, so employees know how vital trade is
to their jobs. We need to see more of this. We should try any way we
can to talk with normal people, outside of Washington.
And to be credible, we need to talk about the negatives of trade, not
just the positives. And we need to make this a broader discussion of
America's role in the world, beyond economics. And how we view
ourselves.
Thank you very much.
(end text)
(Distributed by the Office of International Information Programs, U.S.
Department of State. Web site: usinfo.state.gov)



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