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DATE=2/15/2000
TYPE=BACKGROUND REPORT
TITLE=U.S.-CHINA TRADE
NUMBER=5-45464
BYLINE=DAVID GOLLUST
DATELINE=WHITE HOUSE
CONTENT=
VOICED AT:
INTRO:  President Clinton has mounted an intensive 
drive to persuade Congress to permanently grant China 
normal trading status with the United States - a move 
that would help clear the way to Chinese entry into 
the World Trade Organization, the WTO. White House 
aides describe it as the toughest political fight Mr. 
Clinton will have in his final year in office. V-O-A's 
David Gollust reports from the White House
TEXT: The debate has created unusual alliances - with 
business groups and top Republicans supporting the 
President, and labor unions and other traditional 
Democratic party constituents opposing the trade 
measure. And with election-year politics complicating 
the mix, White House aides believe Mr. Clinton only 
has a window of a few months to get the controversial 
measure through the Congress.
The Clinton Administration promised to permanently put 
China on the same tariff basis as virtually all other 
U-S trading partners as part of a market-opening 
bilateral trade agreement concluded late last year. 
The White House says China - which enjoys a huge 
surplus in its trade with the United States - made 
virtually all the concessions to get the agreement. 
But some opponents say they doubt China's willingness 
to actually live up to its terms in opening closed 
markets to U-S goods and services. Others contend that 
by giving up what has been an annual congressional 
debate on China's trade status, the United States is 
relinquishing vital leverage over - among other things 
- China's human rights performance.
As he officially began his lobbying campaign for the 
trade agreement last month, President Clinton said the 
trade deal will not prevent the United States from 
pressing its views on human rights and other issues on 
which its disagrees with Beijing. At the same time, he 
said opening China to more world trade will encourage 
both economic reform and respect for the rule of law 
in that country:
            /// CLINTON ACTUALITY ///
      We want to see a China that is moving toward 
      democracy at home and stability around the 
      world. This agreement gives China's people 
      access to goods and services, to ideas and 
      innovations that will help to promote those 
      goals. It also gives China access to the World 
      Trade Organization membership, and that will 
      help promote those goals. Bringing China into 
      the WTO is a win-win decision. It will protect 
      our prosperity. And will promote the right kind 
      of change in China.
            /// END ACT ///
President Clinton has been meeting groups of 
congressmen on almost a daily basis - focusing on 
Democrats who are badly split over the issue. There is 
broader support among Republicans, including 
presidential candidate George W. Bush who told the N-
B-C television last Sunday that he too believes that 
opening China to freer trade will have a beneficial 
political impact:
            /// BUSH ACTUALITY ///
      The World Trade Organization has been a very 
      interesting debate. Many religious leaders 
      around the world believe that China ought to be 
      admitted into the World Trade Organization 
      because they recognize what I recognize - that 
      there's a better chance for freedom to take hold 
      in China. Members of the democracy movement in 
      China have expressed their desire for trade to 
      continue, because they realize what you and I 
      know: that if the Internet takes hold, freedom 
      will take wing.
            /// END ACTUALITY ///
But U-S organized labor fiercely opposes the 
agreement. Labor unions fear a loss of jobs to China 
if U-S companies move factories there.  They promise a 
fight on the scale of labor opposition in the mid-
1990's to the North America Free Trade Agreement or 
NAFTA.
Thea Lee - Assistant Director for Public Policy for 
the AFL-CIO labor federation - told V-O-A the WTO is a 
weak organization that can and would do nothing to 
prod China to improve its poor record on workers' and 
human rights:  
            /// LEE ACTUALITY ///
      There are no rules, there are no minimum 
      standards protecting workers rights or human 
      rights. And so there's no pressure that comes on 
      China from its membership in the World Trade 
      Organization to improve its egregiously bad 
      record on human rights and workers rights. And 
      we think that if the United States Congress 
      turns down permanent, normal trade relations, we 
      will have the ability to use annual reviews and 
      unilateral sanctions more effectively to 
      pressure China to make sure that its workers 
      have freedom of association, the right to 
      organize and bargain collectively, and that 
      there are not abuses of forced labor, child 
      labor or discrimination in employment.
            /// END ACT ///
Stephen Yates, senior China policy analyst at 
Washington's conservative Heritage Foundation, says 
there is nothing inevitable about human right progress 
in China flowing from increased trade. But he says 
China needs access to advanced technologies, and its 
Communist leaders are taking what he terms "a 
precarious gamble" in seeking to join WTO. Mr. Yates, 
who - on balance - supports permanent normal trade 
status for China, says the annual debate in Congress 
was probably over-rated as a way of influencing 
Chinese policy:
            /// YATES ACTUALITY ///
      If a president moves forward with permanent 
      extension by clearly outlining plans he had to 
      address these kinds of concerns through another 
      means, then we haven't lost leverage - he simply 
      moves leverage from one area to another. And 
      there's also somewhat of a debate on how much 
      leverage there really was in this process. 
      Because no matter how you went about it, it's 
      true there was an annual debate or argument or 
      discussion about U-S relations with China and 
      things happening in China. But just the same, if 
      right after the Tiananmen Square massacre in 
      1989 we weren't going to discontinue normal 
      trade with China, when were we?
            /// END ACT ///
U-S Senate approval of the China trade package is 
considered likely. But analysts in both parties say it 
is a close call in the House of Representatives, 
despite a 260-to-170 vote for extending trade benefits 
the last time the issue came up for annual review last 
July. They say Democratic votes for the deal will 
evaporate as the November election draws nearer, and 
the administration will stand little chance of getting 
approval if it is not acted on by June. (Signed)
NEB/DAG/JO
15-Feb-2000 16:52 PM EDT (15-Feb-2000 2152 UTC)
NNNN
Source: Voice of America
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