
July 23, 1999
U.S.-CHINA: 'BACK TO BUSINESS' AFTER 'CHEST-BEATING' OVER TAIWAN?
Over the past 11 days, China watchers in Asia, Europe and the Western Hemisphere examined the "jolts" to the metaphorical Richter scale monitoring disturbances in U.S.-China ties, which followed Taiwanese President Lee Teng-hui's perceived shift away from a "one China policy" and Beijing's announcement last week that China possessed a neutron bomb capability. While rhetoric from Beijing's official media remained sharply critical of what was called Mr. Lee's "vain efforts" to create "divisiveness" and "split the motherland," analysts elsewhere, for the most part, moderated their alarmist tones as the days unfolded. Initially many worried that the heightened tensions between Beijing and Taipei posed a threat to the region as a whole, and that an "insecure" China might be moved to act rashly. Subsequently, however, observers took note of Washington's reiteration of support for the "one China" formula, and credited President Clinton with "reacting quickly to defuse tensions" across the Taiwan Strait. And, although pro-status quo and pro-independence dailies in Taipei were critical of the U.S. for "becoming a referee" in cross-Strait relations--which they charged violated one of the "six guarantees" Washington had made to Taipei--most others viewed U.S. involvement positively. A few dissenters, such as London's conservative Daily Telegraph, judged that President Clinton should have used the occasion of his telephone call to China's President Jiang Zemin "to warn Beijing that the U.S. will not tolerate threats of force against Taiwan." On the overall theme of U.S.-China ties, several Hong Kong papers scrutinized the Women's World Cup soccer match between the U.S. and Chinese teams earlier this month, interpreting President Clinton's "friendly visit" to the Chinese team as an indication that "Mr. Clinton is trying to the best of his ability to put Sino-U.S. relations back on track." In the words of the independent Hong Kong Economic Times: "[Mr. Clinton] was actually passing a message to Chinese President Jiang Zemin, hoping to break the Sino-U.S. deadlock through his personal zeal and the friendly sports relations." Following are highlights in the commentary:
'PARADOXICAL' IMPROVEMENT IN SINO-U.S. TIES?--A number of observers sounded an optimistic note, contending that the Taiwan "fracas" appeared to offer a "paradoxical chance for Washington and Beijing to patch up their relationship" as they work together "to keep a lid on the Taiwan Strait." The majority of commentators judged that a military confrontation between China and Taiwan was increasingly "unlikely," and viewed Secretary Albright's upcoming meeting in Singapore with her Chinese counterpart as an opportunity to further the dialogue between the U.S. and China. Nevertheless, in Beijing, official dailies continued to view the "U.S.-led NATO bombing of the Chinese Embassy in Belgrade" as the source of many an evil, including the alleged "encouragement" of Lee Teng-hui to "slide farther" away from the "one China" stance.
EXAMINING LEE'S 'PROVOCATION'--Although opinion was divided on whether President Lee's statements were a "welcome" or a "dangerous" provocation, most conceded that the "present row" will move Taiwan up "on the world's agenda."
EDITOR: Kathleen J. Brahney
Editor's Note: This survey is based on 59 reports from 23 countries, July 12 - 23.
The following editorial excerpts are grouped by region; editorials from each country are listed in reverse chronological order.
|  EUROPE  |    |  EAST ASIA AND THE PACIFIC  |    |  SOUTH ASIA  |    |  WESTERN HEMISPHERE  |
CHINA: "Scholars: Lee's Remarks Expose Splittist Stand"
Li Jianlin and Meng Yan maintained in official English-language China Daily, (7/23): "'Lee's boldness originates from a special international political pattern in the current world,' said Ye Zhuoxin, a researcher with the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences Institute of World Economics and Politics. The ambiguity in U.S.-led NATO's 'new strategic concept,' in the operational area--covered by updated U.S.-Japan Defense Guidelines and the downbeat tone of current Sino-U.S. relations as a result of U.S.-led NATO's bombing of the Chinese Embassy in Yugoslavia--all lead Lee Teng-hui to slide farther." NOTE: China Daily also carried a straight news story (7/23) entitled "U.S. Favors 'One China' Policy."
"Helms Miscalculates"
Fang Qiu said in official Communist Party People's Daily (Renmin Ribao, 7/22): "Apparently, [Senator] Helms is scheming to restrict the U.S. government's China policy. The adherence to the 'one-China policy' recently reiterated by the White House, State Department and President Clinton demonstrates that the attempt by Helms-led anti-China forces to disrupt Sino-U.S. relations (using Li Teng-hui's perverse acts) is in vain."
"Separatist Move Doomed"
Zhi Yan insisted in official English-language China Daily (7/22): "The right option for Taiwan 'President' Lee Teng-hui is to respond promptly to the appeals made by the Taiwanese to get back on the one-China track. Continued frenetic adherence to so-called 'state-to-state' relations between Taiwan and the mainland is just an illusion that will damage or even ruin, rather than protect, the interests of Chinese people across the Taiwan Strait. Although China has never ruled out the possibility of using force to achieve the reunification, a peaceful solution through exchange and dialogue is obviously beneficial to all Chinese across the strait."
"Lee A Sinner In History For Splitting Motherland"
According to an official Xinhua News Agency piece in official English-language China Daily (7/21): "Lee Teng-hui has made himself a sinner in history by attempting to split the motherland when he redefined the cross-Straits relations as 'state-to-state,' according to a Xinhua commentator.... But Lee's efforts are fruitless, the commentator said...there is no way out for Lee's divisiveness and he is doomed to failure."
"Helms' Remarks Ignore Facts"
Zhi Yan contended in official English-language China Daily (7/21): "Recent remarks by Jesse Helms, chairman of the Senate Foreign Relations Committee of the United States, about the political status of Taiwan are both absurdly groundless and irresponsible. While voicing his complete support for Taiwan President Lee Teng-hui's statement of the 'state-to-state relations' between Chinese mainland and Taiwan, the Republican Senator said Taiwan was a part of China, but definitely not a part of the People's Republic of China. Helms' remarks originate by no means from an ignorance of related facts and knowledge, but from his ulcerous purpose to divide and dislocate China."
"Destruction Of Cross-Strait Relationship Not Allowed"
This official Xinhua New Agency commentary appeared in official Communist Party People's Daily (Renmin Ribao, 7/19): "Lee's redefinition of the cross-Strait relationship embodies a last-ditch struggle before stepping down. Also, he is gambling with the future of Taiwan as well as the interests and happiness of the Taiwanese people. We solemnly warn Li Teng-hui: the 'one China policy', the foundation for cross-Strait relations, will never be sabotaged."
"He Who Splits A Country Is A Historical Sinner"
Official Communist Party People's Daily (Renmin Ribao) carried this Xinhua News Agency commentary (7/17): "Encouraged by the recent farces played by some anti-China forces in the United States, and U.S.-led NATO interference in Yugoslavia's internal affairs under the excuse of 'human rights overstepping sovereignty', Lee Teng-hui thought that the opportunity was coming to create 'two Chinas' or 'one China, one Taiwan.'... However, his attempt is in vain. Cross-Strait relations do not in any way resemble the 'two Germanies' and his desire is only one-sided."
"Facts Speak Louder Than Words; Lies Will Collapse By Themselves"
Under the above headline, official Communist Party People's Daily, People's Daily Overseas Edition, China Daily and almost all smaller Chinese newspapers devoted two pages to this article (7/16). Released by Xinhua, the article (by Information Office of the State Council) concludes that the Cox report is a fabrication. The article is divided into eight parts with titles: 1. Sensational lies; 2. Fabrication that lacks basic knowledge of science and technology; 3. Clumsy distortion of the facts; 4. A story with a beginning, but no end; 5. Deliberate distortion of normal scientific, technological, economic and trade exchanges; 6. Absurd logic; 7. Concepts run counter to historical trends; 8. Criticism of the Cox report from global media. An excerpt held: "Voluminous facts indicate that the essence of the Cox report is to fan anti-China feelings and undermine Sino-U.S. relations. To achieve this political purpose, the report leaves no stone unturned in distorting the facts, making substitutions, making subjective assumptions and groundless accusations and resorting to demagoguery."
"One China Policy"
Almost all Chinese newspapers (7/14) carried a straight news article headlined "U.S. Reiterates 'One China' Policy."
HONG KONG: "After Chest-Beating, Back To Business"
The independent Hong Kong Standard's Washington correspondent, Charles Snyder, contended (7/23): "In our view, it is almost a dialectic inevitability that Sino-U.S. relations will improve and that common interests and needs will overcome the intractable differences that may always dog the bilateral relationship. In September, Mr. Jiang and Mr. Clinton will meet again, this time in New Zealand. It will probably be almost business as usual."
"Two Chances To Keep The Peace"
Willy Wo-lap Lam wrote in the independent South China Morning Post (7/22): "The words of Mr. Clinton, who dispatched two aircraft carrier groups to the Strait in March, 1996, carry particular weight, given Beijing's apparent willingness to patch up ties with Washington after the May 7 NATO bombing of the Chinese Embassy in Belgrade. There are signs that an accord on the mainland's accession to the WTO will be finalized during a Jiang-Clinton summit on the sidelines of the APEC meeting in New Zealand in September.
"Equally important is the consideration that tactics similar to the military maneuvers of 1995-96 would further inflame anti-Beijing feelings among U.S. politicians and lawmakers.... At this stage, Taipei's best hope seems to be that Beijing's concerns with its ties with United States and Korea may predispose it to take a more tolerant attitude toward its long-term adversary."
"Staying Calm"
The independent South China Morning Post contended (7/21): "If Taipei continues to make soothing noises, and the United States can keep a delicate balance between reassuring Beijing on the one-China question while insisting on a peaceful solution through peaceful talks, tensions probably will not lead to military action."
"Heighten Verbal Struggle; Military Exercises Across Strait Not Suitable"
Centrist Tin Tin Daily News maintained in its editorial (7/21): "The U.S. attitude continues to be the point of focus. Taiwan's official news agency...yesterday published an article by its Washington correspondent saying that White House officials said in private that they did not welcome the Taiwan envoy's trip to the United States to sell 'the two states theory'. If this report is real, it indicates that the White House also objects to Lee Teng-hui stirring up this political troubled water, and Lee Teng-hui will lose his support.... We think that Beijing should stop its moves altogether if its attacks on Lee Teng-hui's 'two states theory' are effective. So long as Taipei's attitude softens, Beijing should stop military exercises that involve shooting missiles toward the island of Taiwan.... We firmly believe that no war will be started in the Taiwan Straits if the United States acts as an onlooker and lets 'the two states theory' wind up quickly."
"Putting Taiwan Back In Its Place In China"
The independent Hong Kong Standard had this editorial (7/20): "In the final analysis...calm over the strait will depend much on two critical factors. One is how sincerely Washington honors its commitment to Sino-U.S. joint communiques. The other is how Lee Teng-hui perceives the United States is honoring them."
"Does Lee Teng-hui Still Have U.S. Backing?"
According to an editorial in the independent Ming Pao Daily News (7/20): "Clinton took the initiative to call Jiang Zemin and told him that the United States would continue to support the one-China policy, and that its Taiwan policy had not changed. This is equal to telling Lee Teng-hui that the United States does not acknowledge the new two-China policy, which deals a lethal blow to Lee Teng-hui's two-state theory."
"'Language Attacks' Across Strait Will Escalate"
Independent Apple Daily News argued (7/19): "Although Beijing always claims that cross-Strait relations are the internal affairs of China, everyone knows that the United States plays an important role as Taiwan's final protector. Beijing cannot ignore it. Before China and the United States finish testing their bottom lines, 'language attacks' will become more severe. The possibility of direct conflicts is small."
"U.S. Should Not Continue To Appease Lee Teng-hui"
The pro-PRC Hong Kong Commercial Daily's editorial judged (7/16): "The Taiwan issue has once again become a litmus test for the stable development of Sino-U.S. relations. Clinton showed a progressive attitude through his 'women's soccer diplomacy'. The United States should make a practical follow-up move."
"Throwing A Neutron Bomb At International Diplomatic Circles"
The independent Hong Kong Economic Times observed (7/16): "It is generally believed that China's revelation of its possession of neutron bomb technology is a move to kill two birds with one stone. On one hand, it has to place a check on America's hegemonic airs. On the other hand, it has to deter Taiwan President Lee Teng-hui from walking toward Taiwan's independence."
"Taiwan Strait Crisis Depends On U.S."
The independent Hong Kong Economic Times featured this editorial (7/15): "The United States has always supported Taiwan. However, due to the interests of the United States and [President] Clinton, the United States did not back up Lee Teng-hui this time. At present, the United States is striving for China to return to the negotiating table to discuss China's accession to the WTO. Last Saturday, in the Sino-U.S. Women's World Cup competition, Clinton tried to the best of his ability to turn the sports game into diplomacy. After the match, he paid a visit to the Chinese team, and then he sent a letter of congratulations to President Jiang Zemin. All these moves were aimed at alleviating the tension after the bombing of the Chinese Embassy in Yugoslavia. Clinton's action may not mean that he has put Sino-U.S. relations back on track. But at least they show that he is anxious for a WTO agreement."
"Solving Cross-Strait Crisis Depends On U.S."
The independent Apple Daily News' editorial maintained (7/15): "Only the United States has the ability to restrain the Taiwan government. Thus, it is necessary to ask the United States to solve the cross-Strait crisis."
"Clinton Warm, Is Jiang Giving Him The Cold Shoulder?"
The independent Hong Kong Economic Times had this editorial (7/12): "After the [Women's World Cup soccer] match, Clinton made a friendly move to visit the Chinese team and praise its performance highly. Clinton's hidden motive is very obvious. He was actually passing a message to Chinese President Jiang Zemin, hoping to break the Sino-U.S. deadlock through his personal zeal and the friendly sports relations between the people of the two countries.... U.S. and Chinese athletes can hold hands to show their friendship. Can the U.S. and Chinese governments also hold hands and walk toward the 21st century?"
"The Atmosphere Of Sino-U.S. Relations Is Changing"
Readers if the independent Sing Pao Daily News saw this editorial (7/12): "U.S. President Clinton said before the match that he hoped the World Cup could help to improve Sino-U.S. relations. After the match, he went to visit the Chinese team first and then celebrated the victory with the U.S. women's soccer team. This indicates that Clinton is trying to the best of his ability to put Sino-U.S. relations back on track. Beijing leaders are in fact also looking for a way out. Since the United States is sincere, the matter is easy to deal with."
"Sino-U.S. Relations Outside The Rose Bowl"
Center-left Tin Tin Daily News expresed this view (7/12): "The Sino-U.S. deadlock cannot be broken by just a [soccer] match."
TAIWAN: "U.S. Sending Envoys To Both Sides Of Taiwan Strait"
Under the subheading, "Washington's Guarantee Not To Act As Mediator Becomes Empty Words," Kuo Chung-lun indicated in the centrist, pro-status quo China Times (7/23): "The United States is trying the best it can to ensure that Taiwan will further clarify or even revise its 'special state-to-state relationship' doctrine because Washington knows that if it fails, U.S. prestige in the Asia-Pacific region will be severely damaged. Maybe the Taiwan government will not agree to do so, but the U.S. administration's attitude in handling this matter is as serious and prudent as that when it sent battleships to the Taiwan Strait in 1996.... Taiwan suddenly announced its new position [towards the cross-Strait relations] without informing Washington in advance. It was not because the Taipei authorities had acted carelessly or heedlessly. On the contrary, Taipei was clearly aware that if it negotiated with Washington about its move in advance, the United States would have definitely opposed or even erased it. Taipei therefore decided to take action first and then started to consider how to reply Washington's question.... The United States' decision to send envoys to Taipei and Beijing separately has set a precedent of directly getting involved in cross-Strait issues. As the situation across the Taiwan Strait becomes more subtle in the future, it will be more likely that Washington will follow this model to interfere in cross-Strait issues. As a result, one of the six guarantees that the United States made, 'Washington will not act as a mediator across the Taiwan Strait,' will become empty words."
"U.S. Has Become Referee Between Taipei, Beijing"
Huang Pei-hsueh opined in the liberal, pro-independence Taiwan Daily (7/23): "In the aftermath of the 'state-to-state relationship' doctrine...the United States has become a referee between the two sides of the Taiwan Strait. The most clever move by the U.S. government in handling this incident is President Clinton's call to his Chinese counterpart, Jiang Zemin. On the surface, this call gave Jiang something he needed to show China's hardliners, but the message itself revealed that even if Taiwan becomes the peace-breaking trouble maker, Washington would not want to see Beijing use force against Taiwan.... Under the current circumstances, Washington will have limited ground to impose its pressure on Taiwan. After all, President Lee has twice spoken of his 'state-to-state relationship' doctrine in public. It would be very difficult if Washington now wants Lee to swallow his words."
"Mutual Trust Between Washington, Taipei Affected"
Washington correspondent Nadia Tsao judged in the liberal, pro-independence Liberty Times (7/23): "Although there seems to be no change in the framework that keeps Washington-Taipei ties moving, mutual trust between the two has been affected [following Lee's announcement of the 'state-to-state relationship' doctrine]. Clinton has always regarded the resumption of cross-Strait dialogue as the most important achievement in his term of office and of his China policy. He naturally does not want to see both sides break off their dialogue."
"Lee's Plan"
Yang Yu-wen stressed in the conservative, pro-unification United Daily News (7/23): "Lee Teng-hui's plan is not only an attempt to test Beijing's sincerity about political talks right in front of Washington, but also a challenge to the Clinton administration's one China policy: That is, if Beijing refuses even to talk with Taiwan about the political status of the two sides, can the United States force democratic Taipei to talk with tyrannical Beijing without any worries? After this crisis, Washington will have to find a common factor in the 'one China' consensus between the two sides of the Taiwan Strait before it pushes the two to enter political talks."
"Do Not Stand In Opposition To U.S."
The centrist, pro-status quo Commercial Times judged (7/23): "Clinton's hotline call to Jiang Zemin is a warning to Taiwan, indicating that the United States will not allow its basic principles on cross-Strait ties to be damaged without producing serious results. But actually, Taiwan has not learned its lesson.... If Taiwan continues playing the role of 'trouble maker' in the eyes of the Americans, will the United States cancel arms sales to Taiwan to prevent the 'trouble maker' from possessing more trouble-making weapons? That will be the most serious damage to Taiwan's safety."
"Taiwan Should Not Expect Submarines, TMD Soon"
Lu Te-yun wrote in the conservative, pro-unification United Daily News (7/22): "Those who understand Washington-Taipei military exchanges will know that the two sides meet regularly on joint air defense issues.... Postponing the meetings would give the United States a chance to convey its displeasure [with Taiwan] and for Beijing to understand Washington's position, and it would not necessarily harm Taiwan's defense affairs.... But military leaders believe that for the time being, it is out of the question if Taiwan wants to buy the submarines, the Aegis system, or the TMD system [from the United States]."
"Taiwanese Support State-To-State"
In the editorial view of the liberal, pro-independence Taipei Times (7/22): "The world will be a far safer place once the United States, its only policeman, gains a deeper understanding of exactly what it is that has riled China so much over the past ten days..... Let it be clearly said:...[President Lee's remarks] were a manifestation of the people of Taiwan's desire for their state to be recognized as just that by China, and indeed the world community."
"U.S. Still Plays Key Role"
Peng Chen-ling judged in the conservative, pro-unification Economic Daily News (7/20): "Beijing itself will weigh the decision on whether to conduct military exercises against Taiwan, and the phone call [between Clinton and Jiang Zemin] will not necessarily affect Beijing's decision. Nonetheless, the call is sufficient to show that the United States hopes to see stability across the Taiwan Strait and in the Asia-Pacific region. This call again proves that the United States still plays a key role in cross-Strait ties."
"Lee's State-To-State Remark Helps Thaw Icy Washington-Beijing Ties"
Huang Pei-hsueh commented in the liberal, pro-independence Taiwan Daily (7/20): "Americans, who know nothing but their own national interests, believe that Lee's attempt to break the status quo is provocative. They do not care at all how the Taiwanese people feel in their hearts."
"Pay Special Attention To U.S.' Negative Reaction"
An editorial in centrist, pro-status quo China Times stressed (7/17): "The backlash coming from the United States and other countries against Lee's statement in the past week reveal the fact that Taiwan is narrowing down its own channel to international society.... Lee's statement has obviously triggered an unexpectedly strong side effect for Taiwan, which will have negative impact on Taiwan's own safety, the development of cross-Strait ties and the future of Washington-Taipei relations."
"Cross-Strait Issue Part Of Regional Security Under New World Order"
The liberal, pro-independence Liberty Times contended (7/20): "The involvement and mediation of the U.S. government have proved that the Taiwan issue is by no means a domestic issue of China. The telephone conversation between Clinton and Jiang Zemin is evidence that the Taiwan issue is a typical regional security issue under the new world order."
AUSTRALIA: "Better Vibes In The Rising Sun's Vicinity"
The national Australian (7/23) carried this from foreign editor Greg Sheridan: "Japan, to the acute chagrin of China, has re-engineered its security treaty with the United States to make it politically and militarily sustainable over the medium term. Unlike Clinton, the Japanese have followed a consistent, at times difficult policy in the face of much Chinese bluster. The new defense guidelines allow Japan to offer every kind of support--short of actual combat--to U.S. troops anywhere in the region. This greatly vexes Beijing because it fears, rightly that if it ever got into a military conflict with the United States over Taiwan, the Japanese would probably help the United States."
JAPAN: "Good Time To Restore U.S.-China Relations"
Conservative Sankei's Beijing correspondent Komori observed (7/23): "China's formal announcement that it will accept the visit of Assistant Secretary of State Stanley Roth as a special U.S. envoy indicated a move between China and the United States to--at least--restore considerably tarnished bilateral relations to the level before the mistaken NATO bombing of the Chinese Embassy in Belgrade. In addition to Roth's visit, Secretary of State Albright and Chinese Foreign Minister Tang Jiaxuan are scheduled to meet in Singapore during their attendance at the ASEAN meetings. It is not certain, however, whether the Albright-Tang meeting will successfully bring 'immediate improvement' to the Sino-U.S. relationship...at a time when tensions are rising between China and Taiwan over President Lee Teng-hui's remarks."
"China, Taiwan Must Continue Dialogue"
Liberal Asahi observed (7/22): "President Clinton reacted quickly to defuse the tension by declaring Washington's non-support for Taiwan's independence.... It was quite wise of the president to ask both Beijing and Taipei to play it cool. Japan has also reaffirmed its support of the 'one China' policy. The cross-Strait tension will not only inconvenience people living on both sides of the strait, but also impair peace and stability in Asia."
INDONESIA: "China's Neutron Bomb Technology Shocks Everyone"
Leading, independent Kompas contended (7/20): "It seems the United States could not hide its concern over China's announcement of its neutron bomb technology. That is why, perhaps, Washington officials were forced to confirm that the United States possesses over 6,000 nuclear warheads to secure its national interests, whereas, China was said to only have fewer than 20.... It was assumed that the threat of nuclear arms would disappear with the end of the Cold War. In fact...the nuclear danger is currently real to Asia. It is such a horrible fact. Meanwhile, in international fora, people continue to talk about a possible doomsday because of the use of nuclear or neutron weapons."
"China-Taiwan Ties Should Improve"
Independent Suara Pembaruan held (7/19): "This new tension demonstrates to the world that the chronic China-Taiwan conflict will not end by itself. The world, especially the United States and the West...have not shown a clear stand, by recognizing China but defending Taiwan."
MACAU: "U.S. Did Not Acclaim Lee Teng-hui"
The pro-PRC Macau Daily had this news analysis (7/14): "Lee Teng-hui finally threw away his coat of hypocrisy and stands undisguised in front of the 'Taiwan independence' ranks. Mr. Lee may want to make use of the worsening of Sino-U.S. relations due to the bombing of the Chinese Embassy in Yugoslavia to stir up trouble. He also wants to test Beijing and Washington. It is sure that Washington sensed the danger and immediately reiterated that the United States would stick to the 'one China' policy and urged the two sides across the straits to settle their differences through peaceful talks. This is actually throwing cold water on the head of Lee Teng-hui."
PHILIPPINES: "A Welcome Provocation"
Floro Mercene asserted in Tempo (7/23), the sister publication of the conservative, top-circulation Manila Bulletin: "President Lee's remarks are a welcome provocation; even if the substance of his remarks does not represent a significant departure from his government's policy since 1991.... By staking out a strong position, Lee has invited world leaders to recognize the magnitude of the challenge facing both sides of the Taiwan Strait."
"Provocative Declaration"
The independent, second-highest circulation Philippine Daily Inquirer emphasized (7/22): "Clinton has reaffirmed U.S. support for the one-China' policy.... But the United States has also a strategic interest in the protection of the territorial integrity and independence of Taiwan, and maintaining the balance of power in Asia Pacific. This strategic consideration is what makes the escalation of tensions over Taiwan a threat to the stability and security of the Asia-Pacific region."
"Has Taiwan's Lee Stepped Over The Line?"
Max Soliven observed in the conservative, third-highest circulation Philippine Star (7/14): "President Lee, in the past, used brinkmanship expertly on the 'independence' issue, knowing full well that the United States, by treaty, has served notice that it won't come to the rescue in Taiwan if the Taiwanese ever openly declare their independence from China. How open is 'open'? What we have to fear is that Lee, this time, may have overstepped the line."
SINGAPORE: "Taiwan Issue Brings U.S., China Closer"
U.S. correspondent Lee Siew Hua opined in the pro-government Straits Times (7/21): "The Taiwan fracas appears to offer a paradoxical chance for Washington and Beijing to patch up their relationship as they work together to keep a lid on the Taiwan Strait.... Analysts said that in his [telephone] call to President Jiang, [President Clinton] would have urged Mr. Jiang not to let the Chinese fury over Mr. Lee's statements escalate and approach a show of force.... What Mr. Jiang can actually do is another issue, given the power play in Chinese politics that has sustained an internal disagreement about China's foreign policy. Still, the Clinton-Jiang dialogue will be picked up by Secretary of State Madeleine Albright and Chinese Foreign Minister Tang Jiaxuan when they meet in Singapore at an ASEAN meeting, where diplomats expect the Taiwan issue to be dominant. While U.S.-China relations can improve, one wild card in the deck is still Congress. Already, some members, including Senate Foreign Relations Committee chairman, Jesse Helms, have spoken up in defense of Taiwan."
SOUTH KOREA: "Tensions With Taiwan And Relations With U.S."
Former Korean Ambassador to China Chung Chong-ku predicted in conservative Chosun Ilbo (7/23): "It is not very likely that the current tensions between China and Taiwan will escalate into military conflict of serious nature. That is partly because the United States is maintaining its firm stance (on relations between China and Taiwan.)... Even if the tensions do not develop into anything more serious for now, they will...only be lurking 'below the water' until they resurface. The ambiguous nature of Sino-U.S. relations, the relationship being entirely tied to the 'one-China' premise, is a factor behind these tensions. How the Unied States, Japan and China will settle their strategic relations is another, but more crucial, factor. Until a clear answer is ready on this question, China and Taiwan will not be able to do anything about their unstable relations."
"A Political Game"
Kim Byung-chan noted in moderate Hankook Ilbo (7/19): "Though only verbally, China is nevertheless raising the level of tensions with Taiwan.... China's sense of insecurity plays a large role in the current round of an episode with Taiwan, and that insecurity comes from the way a series of recent international incidents, including the Kosovo conflict."
"Threatening Taiwan And Holding The U.S. In Check"
Park Chung-tae noted in moderate Hankook Ilbo (7/17): "By attracting attention to neutron bombs, Cold-War era products, China is apparently trying to provoke something similar to the kind of tensions we saw during the Cold-War era. Obviously, Beijing is aiming at posing threats to Taiwan while trying to hold the United States in check."
THAILAND: "Time For China To Move Forward"
The top-circulation, moderately conservative Bangkok Post offered this advice (7/12): "Whether China truly believes Americans conspired to bomb its faraway outpost, it is time for Beijing to stop allowing the incident to drive its foreign policy. America cannot prove a negative--that it did not bomb the embassy on purpose. Unless China finds direct evidence of such a conspiracy, it must accept the apologies and move on."
BRITAIN: "The Truth About Taiwan"
The independent weekly Economist's editorial emphasized (7/23): "The threat of force has become almost a knee-jerk reaction for China's leaders whenever Taiwan displeases them. They need to realize that this hinders rather than helps China's goal of reunification. Not only does it antagonize Taiwan's people; it also helps to build up other countries' support for Taiwan's right to decide its own future.... All of this puts the West--and especially the United States--in a difficult position.... Maybe one day Taiwan's people will willingly join a democratic, tolerant China. Or maybe a more liberal China will one day be less hostile to Taiwan's independence. Today, both ideas look like pipe-dreams.... However the present row resolves itself, the future of Taiwan will soon move up the world's agenda. When Portugal hands Macau back to China in December, Taiwan will be the last item left on China's list of places it wants to reclaim. To draw Taiwan into reunion, China will need to win the support of Taiwan's people. Its current behavior is a demonstration of how not to do it."
"Taiwan Isn't Chinese"
The conservative Daily Telegraph said in its lead editorial (7/21): "Seeking to defuse the situation, President Clinton rang President Zemin on Sunday and assured him of continued support for a 'one-China policy.' The occasion would have been better used to warn Beijing that the United States will not tolerate threats of force against Taiwan."
"Careless Talk"
According to the lead editorial in the conservative Times (7/20): "The revived tension between China and Taiwan recalls the early stages of the confrontation in 1996.... While last time, China could be accused of manufacturing a crisis out of nothing more substantial than a visit by Taiwan's President Lee Teng-hui to his old university in America, this time the outspoken Mr. Lee has given Beijing more solid cause for complaint.... All parties need to be extremely careful. This is more dangerous than many of the Cold War standoffs in Europe. Washington should remind Taiwan publicly that semantic finesse is vital; and say to China that in East Asia, propaganda wars can easily and unintentionally lead to the real thing."
"Splitting China"
According to the independent Financial Times' lead editorial (7/15): "On balance, China would serve its own strategic objectives best by charming rather than bullying Taiwan, even from the narrow perspective of next year's presidential election.... However, China would have more incentive to pursue a moderate approach if the rest of the world continued to stick unequivocally to the one-China concept and rejected Mr. Lee's claims to recognition. Since Taiwan's record on democracy and human rights is vastly superior to that of China, this is a much harder option for Western governments than officials in Beijing recognize. But pushing China into a corner over Taiwan risks a violent response with destabilizing consequences across the entire Pacific region and beyond. That is a price the outside world still cannot afford to pay."
FRANCE: "War Of Words Between Beijing And Taiwan"
Jean Leclerc du Sablon opined in right-of-center Le Figaro (7/22): "[Chinese] politicians, confronted with a domestic trust crisis, are looking for a victory before the jubilee of their republic next October. They want it to be a diplomatic one. Against Washington, on Taiwan's back, they will greet two American emissaries today.... Madeleine Albright will tell her Chinese counterpart tomorrow again that Washington, like Beijing, believes in one China. A message that will be heard by all leaders of ASEAN who are meeting in Singapore."
"Two Birds With One Stone"
Jean Leclerc du Sablon argued in right-of-center Le Figaro (7/16): "In claiming that they developed this neutron bomb technology alone, the Chinese are answering Washington, but they are also thinking of Taiwan.... One should probably put the Chinese announcement in a context of propaganda, similar to the neutron bomb: frighten targeted adversaries without doing something irrevocable."
GERMANY: "Dangerous Rumbling"
Ex-Foreign Minister Klaus Kinkel penned this editorial in mass-circulation, right-of-center Bild Zeitung of Hamburg (7/21): "The Beijing leadership seems to be determined to use force to prevent an official secession of Taiwan from the Chinese motherland. After the Kosovo war, a military confrontation at the other end of the world--that's all we need. This is why Taiwan should not provoke the yellow giant too much. Both sides should try to reach a peaceful settlement of the crisis.
"And Germany should continue to stick to the 'one-China' policy.' China backed us during Germany and Berlin's division. We should not forget this."
"Unfavorable Moment"
Right-of-center Nordkurier of Neubrandenburg mused (7/20): "Deep in his heart, President Clinton may be closer to the freely elected Taiwanese Premier Lee than to the Communist Party in Beijing. But to side with Lee would mean to sacrifice China as a future power and a future market. Against this background, Clinton's clear reiteration of the one-China principle was a gesture in Taipei's direction not to exaggerate the contemplation of its own navel."
"China Is Getting Unpredictable"
Centrist Sueddeutsche Zeitung of Munich told its readers (7/19): "The threat to invade Taiwan is old hat. China has always kept open this option. But China has a strong, economic interest in peace along its borders. However, with its increasingly nationalistic tones, China's leadership has put pressure on itself. If the crisis escalates according to the old pattern, then there is the danger that Beijing will intensify the conflict even more."
"Beijing's Taiwan Dilemma"
Sven Hansen indicated in left-of-center Die Tageszeitung of Berlin (7/19): "Party leader Jiang Zemin...seems to be looking for a solution that will save Beijing's face, has few economic and political consequences and will not give the supporters of Taiwan's independence a new momentum."
"Double-Barreled Shotgun"
Centrist Sudkurier of Konstanz pointed out (7/16): "The [neutron bomb announcement was a] warning shot...aimed primarily at Taiwan, which wants less and less to do with the idea of reunification.... But it was also aimed at the United States, the rebellious island's traditional ally. The message to the White House is that China is not Serbia, and Taiwan is not Kosovo. Washington's subdued response shows that the message has been understood."
"Threatened Taiwan"
Right-of-center Frankfurter Allgemeine remarked (7/16): "In view of China's current lack of foreign policy success, and in view of the country's economic crisis, the leadership in Beijing cannot afford to be lenient with Taiwan's desire for independence. The crisis that Lee needlessly provoked is not over yet."
ITALY: "U.S. Will Dispatch Envoys"
Centrist, top-circulation Corriere della Sera said (7/21): "The United States will give it a try. In the wake of the persisting tension between China and Taiwan, Washington will dispatch special envoys to Beijing and Taipei to help curb the effects of this alarming crisis."
"America And The Two Chinas"
Provocative, classical liberal Il Foglio remarked (7/20): "For the time being, the Taiwan-China crisis boils down to (alarming) statements, but they demonstrate the need for a strategy by the West which is less subject to risky interpretations."
"U.S.' Ambiguous Attitude On Taiwan"
Antonio Pollio Salimbeni wrote from Washington in pro-DS (leading government party) L'Unita (7/17): "The United States maintains an ambiguous attitude on Taiwan. While supporting the policy of a 'single China,' it took it less than two days to grant a visa for the United States to Lee Teng-hui, knowing that it would create alarm in Beijing. With the risk of a nuclear threat from North Korea, there is really no need for a hot summer for Taiwan."
"Neutron Shock"
Antonio Pollio Salimbeni filed from Washington in pro-DS (leading government party) L'Unita (7/16): "It was a shock announcement and it was taken as such both from the United States and Japan.... While apparently China's announcement on the neutron bomb may stem from its irritation about the Cox report...the initiative has other serious explanations. To begin with, it has to do with the clear deterioration of relations with the United States which, leaving aside women's soccer, has been going on since the war in Kosovo and the bombing of the Chinese Embassy in Belgrade. And it has to do, most of all, with relations between China and Taiwan.... In Beijing, there are growing pressures on the government for an anti-American turn in foreign relations."
RUSSIA: "Worthy Response"
Dmitry Bulgakov contended in reformist Noviye Izvestiya (7/16): "Beijing has come up with a worthy response to recent accusations that it has stolen neutron bomb secrets from the United States. For the first time, the Chinese have admitted that they have a neutron bomb. They say that they first tested it as far back as 11 years, which completely belies the American charges."
DENMARK: "The Two Chinas"
Center-left Aktuelt's editorial said (7/21): "China should not be allowed to bully the rest of the world into ignoring Taiwan. China needs to be criticized for its dictatorship and should be encouraged for any attempt, however slight, to soften the politics of oppression. Taiwan, on the other hand, deserves recognition for its courageous transformation towards democracy. Taiwan is the nation that shows the way--not China."
"West's Position On Taiwan Increasingly Untenable"
Center-left Politiken commented (7/15): "There is little doubt that the United States would consider a Chinese invasion of Taiwan completely unacceptable and it would probably offer military support to Taiwan. Democratic Taiwan deserves the support of the world community. Nonetheless, neither the United States nor the majority of the world community recognizes Taiwan as a sovereign state. The U.S. position [on Taiwan] is greatly influenced by China, and China maintains that Taiwan is a part of it. The problem with this diplomatic stance is that we don't mean it seriously--and certainly ought not to mean it seriously if it [a Chinese invasion] became a reality. In the worst case, our hypocritical stance on Taiwan could increase the likelihood of China using its military against Taiwan. The West's position is becoming increasingly untenable as Taiwan's politicians are becoming increasing outspoken [about the prevailing situation]."
NORWAY: "Fear Of Chaos In China"
Leading, independent tabloid VG (7/23) commented: "Fear of chaos in a population of more than 1.2 billion people is behind China's hysterical reactions to what are actually completely undramatic comments from Taiwan--and the sect Falun Gong.
"China's threats against Taiwan are always frightening, because the United States still promises to protect the island with only 22 million inhabitants against use of force by a big brother with nuclear weapons. But this time both superpowers wish most to reach a diplomatic solution."
"Reunification With Undemocratic China Unthinkable"
Erik Sagflaat commented in Social Democratic Dagsavisen Arbeiderbladet (7/22): "Taiwan's President Lee Teng-hui chose a bad time to fly the flag.... That which he has said is a reality...the pure fact is that two Chinese states exist, and that the relationship between them must be solved by an international plan. But the comments come while Chinese leaders tire of internal unrest following great economic changes, and at the same time prepare for the PRC's 50th anniversary celebration, where Chinese unity and solidarity will be a major theme.... At a time when the relationship between...the United States and China, is already at a low point, such an escalation now could easily get out of control and have very serious consequences."
SPAIN: "China's Nuclear Power"
Conservative La Razon noted (7/16): "China has made public that it has the neutron bomb in its arsenal...precisely at a time when Taiwan...is making noises about being capable of becoming a sovereign state. The regime in Beijing has had to tolerate free Taiwan's existence under American protection, but under no circumstances will it consent to Taiwan's becoming formally independent of China."
THE NETHERLANDS: "Taiwan's Provocation"
Centrist Algemeen Dagblad had this editorial (7/21): "Lee is not helping his island but, rather, he is creating tensions in the region. The China-Taiwan dispute should be settled in a peaceful manner. Beijing and Taiwan have been trying to normalize their relations during the past few years. They are also more engaged in mutual trade activities. Lee's announcements about the status of Taiwan double-cross this positive development and do not serve the interests of his prosperous island."
INDIA: "U.S. To Stick To Stated China Policy"
Washington correspondent Sridhar Krishnaswami penned this analysis for the centrist Hindu (7/15): "Apprehensive of getting dragged once again into the rhetoric that normally raises tensions between China and Taiwan, the Clinton administration has said it will not endorse the two-China policy and that its position on the issue was 'clear and unchanging.' The United States has made it known that there is absolutely no going back on what has been the stated policy over the last 30 years.... In the present instance Washington is quite aware of the sensitivities of both China and Taiwan, but would have to take a line that offended neither. At present the United States is trying to get over a very rough patch in its relations with Beijing that hit rock bottom following the bombing of the Chinese Embassy in Belgrade. Having said this, it would also have to be borne in mind that Beijing's response to the present crisis will also be watched very carefully. As it is, there is little or no sympathy for China among the conservative establishment for a number of reasons--ranging from allegations of influence peddling to 'stealing' nuclear a missile technology from American labs."
ARGENTINA: "Changes In Strategic Balance"
Claudio Uriarte, leftist Pagina 12's international analyst, opined (7/16): "The new situation [following Lee Teng-hui's remarks] places the United States in a very difficult position, taking into consideration that [the United States] is the nationalistic island's protector, and that [the United States] also defends the 'one China' principle vis-a-vis the dangers which could result from its disintegration."
CANADA: "Taiwan's True Sin"
Frederic Wagniere argued in centrist La Presse (7/20): "For communist leaders, the idea that mainland Chinese could freely elect their government...is much more dangerous than any threat to Chinese unity. That is Taiwan's true sin."
"Free China"
The conservative National Post (7/17) opined: "Given China's meddlesome involvement in Hong Kong political and judicial affairs, and its unwillingness to allow for greater democratic expression, Mr. Lee's position is not unreasonable. The Taiwanese have no interest in being governed from Beijing, unless, of course, leaders there are democratically elected by the Chinese people. Washington and Ottawa should share Mr. Lee's objectives."
For more information, please contact:
U.S. Information Agency
Office of Public Liaison
Telephone: (202) 619-4355
7/23/99
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