U.S. POLICY TOWARD RUSSIA
Stephen SestanovichAmbassador-at-Large
State Department Senate Foreign Relations
Subcommittee on European Affairs 20 May 1998
1. Introduction Thank you, Mr. Chairman, for the invitation to appear before you today to discuss U.S. policy toward Russia. This is my first meeting with your committee since I joined the State Department last fall, and it could hardly come at a more opportune moment. In Moscow, President Yeltsin has put together a new government -- one of youth, talent, and reformist conviction, and he has charged it with restoring momentum to his policies across the board. The direction that his new team takes, and its ability to address the major challenges Russia faces, will have important implications for Russian-American relations. It will have a major impact on questions that have been, and will remain, of particular concern both to this administration and to members of Congress -- whether it's Russia's ability to implement a tough and effective non-proliferation policy, the economic strategies necessary to attract foreign investment and encourage growth, the protection of religious liberty, or Russia's relations with its neighbors and the world. How these questions are addressed will to a very large extent determine what kind of country Russia will be and what kind of role it will play in the world. On this, America's stand is clear. As President Clinton declared in his Berlin speech last week, "the secure, free and prosperous Atlantic community we envision must include a democratic Russia. For most of this century, fear, tyranny and isolation kept Russia from the European mainstream. Now Russians are building a democratic future. We have an enormous stake in their success.... We must support this Russian revolution." Americans of both parties have agreed that Russia's revolution deserves our support. They have seen that doing so serves American interests in the most palpable way. The administration and Congress have worked together to give concrete support to this revolution. As Secretary Albright told the Senate Budget Committee: "Our highest priority is to ensure that NIS [the New Independent States of the former Soviet Union] countries build peaceful ties with the West through free-market engagement and reliable democratic institutions." To advance these interests in our relations with Russia, this administration pursues a four-part agenda: First, we seek to reduce the threat to the United States and to international peace posed by weapons of mass destruction. Russia itself no longer threatens America the way it did for so many decades. Ensuring that the remnants of the Soviet military-industrial complex do not threaten us or our allies remains a principal goal of U.S. policy. Second, we support democracy and respect for human rights, including religious freedom. Just as Americans supported those who yearned to be free of communism throughout the Cold War, so now we must stand up for Russia's new generation of democrats as they build a civil society. A democratic Russia at peace with itself is more likely to be at peace with us and with the world. Third, we strongly support Russia's continuing transition into a modern, market-based economy, coupled with Russia's integration into the world economy. A market economy is the essential complement to democracy and respect for fundamental human rights. It creates opportunities for those Russians who have put behind them the habits and outlook of the past. It provides opportunities for U.S. business to participate in Russia's revolution, as well. Fourth, we seek a Russia cooperatively engaged with its neighbors and integrated into Euro-Atlantic and global communities. This is key to building a world based on equality among states rather than on confrontation and domination. Mr. Chairman, these are extremely ambitious goals. Reaching them requires several things. One of them is bipartisan support. Since 1991, that support has by and large held firm. But I would be less than candid if I did not acknowledge that this bipartisan consensus is under very severe stress. In the face of these challenges there are plenty of people, possibly some members of this committee, who have begun to question whether these are in fact realistic aims for American foreign policy in 1998. This administration's answer to that question is, emphatically, yes. The key to restoring a measure of bipartisanship to our Russia policy is for us together to tackle the problems we face head on. The more thoroughly we talk through the difficulties that we encounter in our relations with the Russians, the stronger, I believe, will be the case for the policy that we are pursuing. Another prerequisite for achieving our goals is understanding what Russians are thinking. Russians are themselves divided about their policy goals. There are, for example, those in Russia who understand that ratifying the START II treaty will enhance Russia's security and serve the urgent need of military reform; others prefer to block Russian-American agreements of any kind. There are those who see perfectly clearly that the flow of dangerous missile and nuclear technologies to Iran directly threatens Russia; but others believe they can make money from it and, to keep doing so, may try to subvert any strengthening of export controls. Many are committed to protecting the free exercise of religious faith in accordance with the Russian constitution and Russia's international obligations; others fear religious freedom and diversity. There are Russians who know that the long-term revival of their energy industry cannot succeed without foreign partnerships; others would rather let production slide than allow outsiders in. There are Russians who accept the independence of their neighbors and regard it as essential to Russia's security and democratic success; others want to reconstitute the Soviet Union, no matter the price. Mr. Chairman, what makes these differences serious isn't that we don't know where those who set Russian policy stand. We do. It was, after all, President Yeltsin who on Sunday emphasized to President Clinton his personal determination to use all the powers of his office to stop sensitive technology transfers to the Iranian missile program. It is the defense minister and foreign minister who are pushing START II ratification in the Duma. And it was Sergey Kiriyenko who, as energy minister, committed himself to resolve problems faced by Russian-American joint ventures in the energy sector. What makes the policy divisions I have described important, and what we must bear in mind as we deal with a Russia in transition, is their impact on the way policy is carried out. No matter the issue, the Russian system produces results -- good, bad, or indifferent -- only very slowly. The system itself is still undergoing profound change: the jurisdiction of government agencies is often poorly defined; their decisions are subject to constant challenge by the special interests affected; bureaucrats who want to ignore a particular decree or law can sometimes take cover under another one with a diametrically opposite meaning. I have dwelled on the difficulties that we face in pursuing our ambitious agenda toward Russia because some people conclude from these difficulties that we have had to give up, and that we are now pursuing second-best results. We are not, and it would be unacceptable to do so. The stakes are too high for us to accept second-best results. That was not this administration's approach when it worked for the withdrawal of Russian troops from the Baltic states; when it concluded a trilateral U.S.-Russia-Ukraine agreement to remove nuclear weapons from Ukraine; when it completed the NATO-Russia Founding Act; when it stood behind the Russian reformers in their successful battle against inflation or frankly when it stood with them against a communist resurgence. It was said of every single one of these efforts that it could not succeed. And they definitely could not have succeeded without persistence, patience and steady nerves. They could not have succeeded without continued bipartisan support for our Russia policy and for the resources that the Congress made available to advance our interests. 2. Security/Non-proliferation Developing a post-Cold War security relationship with Russia that enhances mutual security through arms control treaties and engagement on non- proliferation remains one of America's top foreign policy priorities. The Duma's delay in ratifying START II remains a source of frustration for us, and we hope that its action to postpone debate on ratification until September will be reconsidered. START II is manifestly in the interests of both the United States and Russia and should be approved. Once START II is ratified, we are poised to begin talks on a follow-on accord that will cut both arsenals still further. We have already agreed that START Ill would cap strategic nuclear warheads at 2000-2500. We have also agreed to address transparency in nuclear warheads, fissile materials and tactical nuclear weapons in the next treaty. Destroying the world's stockpiles of chemical weapons is another challenge that we're tackling jointly with Russia, which acceded to the Chemical Weapons Convention in December. Under the Cooperative Threat Reduction (CTR) program we are developing projects to eliminate Russia's chemical weapons production capacity and 14 percent of Russia's CW stockpile. Overall, the CTR program has provided approximately $1.3 billion to disarmament activities in Russia, including the destruction of over 360 strategic nuclear delivery vehicles, the safe dismantling of weapons of mass destruction infrastructure, and the secure storage of nuclear weapons and fissile materials. In Birmingham last weekend, President Yeltsin joined in a G-8 condemnation of India's reckless nuclear weapons tests. The G-8 reaffirmed its shared commitment to prevent the proliferation of weapons of mass destruction and missile-related technology. This has been an area of great concern to Congress and to this administration. We have been engaged almost constantly with the Russian government to find ways of stopping leakage of sensitive technology. We have discussed at length instances of involvement by Russian entities with Iran's ballistic program and pressed for immediate steps to halt it. The Russians have responded seriously, and our activities have intensified accordingly: between the President's envoy, Ambassador Gallucci, and Yuriy Koptev, the director of the Russian Space Agency (who recently held a sixth round in a series of consultations started with Ambassador Wisner last August); between Deputy Secretary of State Talbott and Deputy Foreign Minister Mamedov; between National Security Advisor Berger and his Russian counterpart, Andrei Kokoshin; between Secretary Albright and Foreign Minister Primakov; and between Presidents Clinton and Yeltsin. Has there been progress? Yes. First, Moscow has accepted the gravity of the problem and clearly stated its policy. President Yeltsin's May 4 public statement and his speech of May 12, along with strong statements by Prime Minister Kiriyenko, are important reiterations of Russia's commitment to stop the spread of missile technology. To be frank, we'd had some concern that the message from the top had not been clear enough. This is no longer the case. Second, Russia is putting in place a regulatory structure to control the flow of sensitive technology. On January 22, Prime Minister Chernomyrdin signed an executive order strengthening Russia's export control system, giving the Russian government broad powers (known as "catch-all" authority) to stop transfers of goods and services to foreign missile programs or programs for weapons of mass destruction. Last week, implementing regulations were issued. These guidelines: -- establish supervisory bodies in all enterprises dealing with missile or nuclear technologies; -- establish a range of measures for licensing military exports; and -- specify a list of end-users for which exports are prohibited. A separate order assigns the Russian Space Agency responsibility for oversight of the entire space rocket industry. Third, we have set up a bilateral group where Russia's export control officials and experts work with ours to strengthen Moscow's export control system. We have sought for Russia to develop a system of export control legislation and regulation that is as tough and effective as the best in the world. We will work hand in glove with Russia to ensure this gets done. Do we consider this major progress? Yes. Are we fully satisfied? Of course not. Implementation is the crucial test. We will carefully monitor execution of this range of export control mechanisms, assist the Russians in every appropriate way, and continue to press Moscow to use this new authority to end all missile cooperation with Iran. As you know, on May 18 Secretary Albright waived sanctions against Gazprom under the Iran and Libya Sanctions Act (ILSA). This waiver was based, in large part, on the progress I have outlined here toward accomplishing ILSA's primary objective of inhibiting Iran's ability to develop weapons of mass destruction and support terrorism. This administration believes the waiver will encourage further progress in this direction and will be accompanied on our part by continued close monitoring. Members of Congress have been active partners with the administration in our dialogue with Russian officials about the problem of Russian cooperation with Iran. The Senate is now considering a bill, the "Iran Missile Proliferation Sanctions Act," that risks inadvertently undermining our efforts to stop Russia's support of Iran's missile program and is unnecessary in light of existing legislation. We believe this measure will be profoundly counterproductive to U.S. national interests with respect to Russia -- on strategic arms, on democracy, on market economic reform, in terms of working with the new government in Moscow, and in other areas. The proposed legislation would in fact be counterproductive to the very goal of stopping the transfer of missile-related technology to Iran. For example: -- The lack of a sufficiently flexible waiver provision works against the most important purpose of sanctions legislation -- its usefulness as leverage to encourage foreign governments to crack down on their companies. -- The proposed standard of evidence is too low given the national security, foreign policy and economic repercussions of imposing sanctions. -- Similarly, sanctions appear to be required even if an entity is not aware that the item is going to Iran or will be used in missiles. Such a provision is fundamentally unfair and will undermine U.S. credibility and the willingness of foreign entities to cooperate with us. Given the shortcomings of the bill, the Secretary of State and the President's National Security Advisor have stated that they would recommend the President veto it. Our goal is a Russian export control regime that is rigorous and meets Western standards. The actions the Russian government has taken put it firmly on the right track. This legislation could cause a reversal in the hard-fought gains that the administration and the Congress have achieved on these issues. Mr. Chairman, this administration strongly opposes any form of nuclear cooperation between Russia and Iran. Given Tehran's demonstrated interest in acquiring a nuclear weapons capability, this is the only responsible position we can take. We have expressed this view repeatedly and at the highest levels within the Russian government. Moscow has given us assurances regarding Russia's nuclear cooperation with Iran, including President Yeltsin's assurance that Russia would not provide Iran with any militarily useful nuclear technologies, including a gas centrifuge facility and a heavy-water moderated reactor given the inherent proliferation risks of such reactors. We are, of course, aware that a senior Iranian official was recently in Moscow and, according to press accounts, Russian Atomic Energy Minister Adamov talked about expanded cooperation with Iran's nuclear program. We will continue to press Russia to ensure that cooperation does not go beyond the Bushehr reactor. 3. Democracy, Human Rights and Religious Freedom Religious freedom is a foundation stone of a free society and occupies an important place in the obligations that states assume as members in good standing of the international community. In October 1997, Russia enacted a restrictive and potentially discriminatory law on religion that includes troubling provisions establishing a hierarchy of religious communities and according preferential treatment to religions that have been present in Russia for an extended period of time. Some new religious organizations are required by the law to wait up to 15 years before acquiring basic legal rights. This is a bad law. It was pushed through by those who do not share the principles of tolerance that are embodied in Russia's own constitution and its international commitments. Others in Russia, including millions of members of minority religious congregations, feel differently and value the freedoms that they have won during the past ten years. Enactment of the law and growing discrimination against minority religions and foreign missionaries in Russia's regions have been the subject of great concern. The President, Vice President, Secretary Albright, Ambassador Collins and I have been active during the past year engaging with Russia to ensure that it upholds its commitments to protect religious freedom. In seeking full Russian respect for its international obligations, we have been immeasurably helped by others who have articulated America's commitment to religion freedom. I want to thank you, Mr. Chairman, and Senator Hatch and Senator Bennett for traveling to Russia to discuss church-state relations with Russian authorities and to underscore U.S. concerns about the new law. Non-governmental organizations, such as Law and Liberty Trust, the Union of Councils, the National Conference on Soviet Jewry, the U.S. Catholic Conference, as well as church groups, have been actively and effectively engaged, as well. Let me mention some of what has been accomplished. -- Russian government officials, including President Yeltsin and then-Prime Minister Chernomyrdin, pledged to the Vice President that the new law would not result in any erosion of religious freedom in Russia. -- In applying the law, the Russian Ministry of Justice has adopted a permissive approach to registering religious organizations with full legal rights, effectively bypassing elements of the 15-year rule. Last Thursday, the Ministry registered the Mormon church with full legal rights. -- Presidential administration officials have established two consultative mechanisms to engage with religious communities and to monitor application of the new law. -- The Presidential administration and the Ministry of Justice have also promised to support efforts now under way by non-governmental organizations to challenge the constitutionality of the law's retroactive provisions before the constitutional court. The implementation of this law has provided encouraging evidence of the federal government's determination to respect its international obligations and to make sure that law enforcement conforms to constitutional standards. We are disappointed that the implementing regulations failed to clarify the law's ambiguities. Since enactment of the law, 25 cases of harassment by local officials have come to our attention. We and Ambassador Collins in Moscow have vigorously complained about these incidents. The federal government needs to be more active in reversing discriminatory actions taken at the local level and, when necessary, reprimanding the officials at fault. The State Department will continue to monitor this issue closely. As required by the FY-98 Foreign Operations Appropriations Act, the President will provide to Congress his conclusions about religious freedom in Russia during the coming days. Religious liberty is only one of the measures of the creation of a modern democratic order. The collapse of communism has permitted us to work with governments and with private groups across Eastern Europe and Eurasia to foster the institutions essential for building a civil society. In Russia, we have since 1991 initiated programs to support free and fair elections, the development of independent media, the promotion of accountable and responsive municipal government institutions and the growth of a vibrant non-governmental sector. U.S.-sponsored programs have provided over 1500 small grants that have nurtured environmental and human rights watch-dog groups, women's organizations, public policy groups and other non-governmental organizations. We have supported over 10,000 high-school exchange students. We are now exploring programs that will help foster religious tolerance. We have also worked to strengthen institutions that sustain the rule of law by training judges and reforming law school curricula to develop the next generation of legal professionals. Cooperation and training involving the FBI, Secret Service, DEA, Customs and other U.S. agencies have helped us to identify allies among Russian law-enforcement officers who can help tackle the scourges of corruption and international organized crime. These kinds of programs are a long-term investment in our security and an expression of Americans' deep-rooted sense of responsibility to support those who have survived tyranny and now want to build an open society. 4. The U.S.-Russia Economic Relationship Completing the transition from a centrally planned to a market economy is essential to Russia's prosperity, democracy and long-term role as a constructive player in world affairs. The success of this transition is in our interest, and we will remain engaged in moving the process ahead. Russia has made remarkable progress. The private sector produces seventy percent of Russia's GDP, and tens of millions of Russians in start-up businesses are building the new Russian economy. After a decade of decline, Russia's economy may now be growing again. The Russian government killed off the very high inflation that followed the collapse of the Soviet Union, dramatically reduced Russia's budget deficit, and built a strong ruble. There are plenty of problems. Export revenues are being hit by falling world oil prices, the Asian flu has put the Russian and other emerging market economies under increased scrutiny and, in the past few days, Russian financial markets have been buffeted anew by developments in Asia and questions about the government's ability to manage economic policy. In particular, current market jitters underline the urgent need for tax reform and greater transparency in government decision-making. U.S. and Russian leaders have placed a priority on investment and integration into the world economy as key building blocks of a dynamic, wealth generating economy. At the 1997 Helsinki Summit, Presidents Clinton and Yeltsin called for improvements in Russia's investment climate and greater Russian participation in global institutions. Russia joined the Paris Club as a creditor member last year, has been invited to join APEC later this year, and has started serious efforts towards WTO accession. The "U.S.-Russia Binational Commission on Economic and Technological Cooperation" -- formerly also known as the Gore-Chernomyrdin Commission -- has been a key instrument of our policy. This Commission, which will continue with Prime Minister Kiriyenko, has successfully addressed diverse issues such as securing American participation in multi-billion dollar energy projects, simplifying customs procedures, and forging links between our industries and Russia's potentially vibrant high-technology sector. Programs funded under the FREEDOM Support Act have been another instrument for helping Russia work through critical market reforms. We have funded a number of short -- and long-term technical advisors to work with the Russian government on creating new laws and institutions for a modern market economy. Our advisors have provided assistance to the government on monetary and fiscal policy, revamping the tax code, drafting commercial law, and preparing Russia's WTO accession commitments. These programs advance important U.S. interests, help improve conditions for U.S. traders and investors, and have been a sound investment in Russia and America's future. Congress has been wise to fund them. Economic reform has had a certain ebb and flow over the past several years. There are those who favor open markets, those who favor oligopoly or insider capitalism, and still others who would defend a long-since defunct status quo. The last kind of thinking is the primary reason that progress has been so slow on reforming the tax code, normalizing land ownership, passing broader production-sharing legislation, and making progress on other investment climate priorities. Prime Minister Kiriyenko and his government appear determined to push ahead and address these issues. Together with the IMF, the World Bank and our friends and allies, we will continue to work closely with reform-minded Russian officials to promote an open entrepreneurial Russian economy, to the benefit of the Russian people and U.S. economic interests. 5. Russia and Its Neighbors Our goal since the end of the Cold War has been a democratic undivided Europe that includes Russia and all of the New Independent States. To achieve this, we have promoted the independence, sovereignty and territorial integrity of these new states; encouraged their development as democratic, market-oriented countries adhering to the norms of responsible international behavior; and facilitated their integration into the Euro-Atlantic and global community of nations. It is critical for Russia to be integrated into broader world structures. Let me elaborate this point by discussing two examples. First, NATO. It is no secret to say that the United States and Russia have disagreed profoundly over NATO enlargement. To make sure that the expansion of NATO occurred in a Europe that is whole and free, we worked to forge a cooperative NATO relationship with Russia codified in the NATO-Russia Founding Act signed one year ago in Paris. The NATO-Russia Permanent Joint Council is an essential element of integrating Russia. Its success will be important in completing the transition of European security from a kind of adversarial, zero-sum relationship we had with the Soviet Union to a cooperative one in which we work together. Second, Russia's relations with its neighbors. We absolutely reject the idea of a Russia sphere of influence. But, while some in the Russian political spectrum accuse us of trying to dominate the region -- and some neighbors claim that Russia is out to dominate them, the reality is that the region will benefit from a cooperative, constructive Russia that trades with its neighbors and that helps to resolve differences with and among countries. In this spirit we are working with Russia on problems that just a few years ago would have divided us. We are active co-chairs with France in the OSCE Minsk Group process trying to resolve the conflict in Nagorno-Karabakh. Russian and American soldiers are serving together under U.S. command to keep the peace in Bosnia. In energy, we regard the Caspian Pipeline Consortium route through Russia an essential element of a multiple pipeline strategy for moving Caspian Basin energy to international markets. These efforts draw Russia into more cooperative relationships with its immediate neighbors and with the world as a whole. We believe inclusion is a sounder policy than isolation, but inclusion does not mean forgetting our interests or ignoring our differences. Secretary Albright put it well when she described the mandate for the NATO-Russia Permanent Joint Council. She said it was a forum where "we are not always going to agree... We are not here to pretend, or to paper over differences. We are here to work through them." 6. Conclusion The common thread of our policy toward Russia is to address all four parts of the agenda I described together, comprehensively, and in a way that advances international peace and stability. We seek to demonstrate in practical ways the benefits for Russia of being part of the international community and to ensure against the isolation that, for 70 years, produced such terrible consequences for Russia and the world. The new government in Moscow understands the importance of integration. The top echelon of this new team represents something we have never seen before in any Russian government. It is comprised exclusively of young governors and former regional administrators who made their mark in the country's most politically progressive provinces. They carry no Soviet-era baggage. They have, instead, first-hand knowledge of how markets function and an awareness that the average Russian cares more about his own government's ability to collect taxes fairly and provide services effectively than about NATO enlargement. They understand that in a democracy voters reward bottom-line results, not empty promises. This modern progressive outlook should serve Russia well, and we look forward to working closely with this new team. We cannot guarantee that democracy will triumph in Russia -- that is for the Russian people to determine. But we owe it to ourselves to take full advantage of the opportunity to advance our broad agenda with Russia to secure a safer future for all Americans. (End text)
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